Stepan (NYSE:SCL) shareholders have endured a 40% loss from investing in the stock three years ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Stepan Company (NYSE:SCL) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 44% in three years, versus a market return of about 64%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 34% in the last year.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years that the share price fell, Stepan's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 26% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 17% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on Stepan's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Stepan, it has a TSR of -40% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
While the broader market gained around 13% in the last year, Stepan shareholders lost 33% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Stepan better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Stepan (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Stepan is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
37 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Bayerische Motoren Werke (ETR:BMW) delivers shareholders favorable 12% CAGR over 5 years, surging 6.7% in the last week alone
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. To wit, the Bayerische Motoren Werke share price has climbed 34% in five years, easily topping the market return of 18% (ignoring dividends). Since the stock has added €1.6b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS). During the five years of share price growth, Bayerische Motoren Werke moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise. The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail). This free interactive report on Bayerische Motoren Werke's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further. When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Bayerische Motoren Werke the TSR over the last 5 years was 80%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence! Bayerische Motoren Werke shareholders are down 8.3% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 21%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Bayerische Motoren Werke (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process. If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation). Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges. — Investing narratives with Fair Values A case for TSXV:USA to reach USD $5.00 - $9.00 (CAD $7.30–$12.29) by 2029. By Agricola – Community Contributor Fair Value Estimated: CA$12.29 · 0.9% Overvalued DLocal's Future Growth Fueled by 35% Revenue and Profit Margin Boosts By WynnLevi – Community Contributor Fair Value Estimated: $195.39 · 0.9% Overvalued Historically Cheap, but the Margin of Safety Is Still Thin By Mandelman – Community Contributor Fair Value Estimated: SEK232.58 · 0.1% Overvalued View more featured narratives — Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Miami Herald
an hour ago
- Miami Herald
Go ahead: Start celebrating a big quarter for stocks
When 2025 opened, there was plenty of talk of a boffo year for stocks. Tax cuts were coming. Deregulation was coming. Maybe the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates more. So, there was talk the Standard & Poor's 500 would end the year possibly at 7,000 or higher, which would mean a 19% gain on the year. Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter Yes, there might be some tariff increases, but no one - but no one - expected the panic that overtook markets when President Trump unveiled his tariff plans on April 3. The S&P 500 fell as much as 10.4% in the next two days. The president then dialed back the tariff increases, subject to getting trades negotiated by July 9. Related: Veteran analyst offers eye-popping Nvidia, Microsoft stock prediction And, lo and behold, the S&P took off. From an April 7 low, the index has roared back, rising nearly 28% and ending Friday at a record 6,173 after reaching an intraday high of 6,188. 7,000 may seem over-the-top, but . . . For the quarter so far (with one day to go), the S&P 500 is up 10%. It's up 4.4% in June and nearly 5% on the year. The year-to-date return is about the same at the Nasdaq Composite Index; the Nasdaq-100's gain is 7.2% on the year and 17% for the quarter. So, if the S&P 500 hits 10% gains per quarter for the rest of the year, the index would finish 2025 at, maybe, 8,200, a gain of some 40%. Related: Scott Galloway sends strong message on Social Security If you think that's doable, we can think of a bridge you might buy in Brooklyn. In short, we're being a tad silly. Nonetheless, the S&P 500 will end the quarter higher, with the technology sector up 21% and the industrial sector up 12%. Techs are led by Seagate Technology (STX) , up more than 60%, Broadcom (AVGO) , up 61%, and Jabil (JBL) ., up 56% Palantir (PLTR) is up about 45%. Nvidia (NVDA) , Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) are up 46%, 32% and 28%, respectively. The industrial sector has risen because of gains in a number of defense and related companies, including Boeing (BA) , naval ship builder Huntington Ingalls (HII) , L3Harris Technologies (LHX) and Howmet Aerospace (HWM) . Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images The current environment is bullish and has momentum that won't last forever. In fact, there face risks a-plenty over the next six months, including: The Administration's July 9 deadline for finishing trade negotiations will probably come and go because there are so many deals to negotiate. China and the United States have agreed on terms for exporting rare earth metals to the United States. India and the United States are close to a deal. But the president stopped talks with Canada over a tax dispute. Terms on all agreements, however, will be examined carefully. And a mistake on tariffs can cause investors to panic as they did in April. Related: Nike raises prices and puts the blame purely on tariffs To start, first-quarter earnings were very good with tariffs talked about but having little actual effect. Yet. It depends on how all the negotiations end. And tax changes as big as the Trump Administration is proposing can cause absolutely unforeseen effects that probably won't be seen until later in the year. Still, second-quarter earnings look promising. They unofficially have a soft start on July 10, when Delta Air Lines (DAL) reports results. The parade kicks into higher fear on July 15 when JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and a host of big banks report on July 15. (AMZN) sports the largest percentage of buy ratings: 97% of total ratings, with 3% holds. The Middle East is quiet for now. Israel and Iran are not shooting missiles at one another, and Iran has not blocked the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's oil flows. The state of Iran's nuclear materials, however, is not clear. The fear is that the Trump tax bill will increase the U.S. deficit by trillions of dollars over the next few years, and bond yields will soar. (Senate Republicans were able to win a key procedural vote on Saturday.) The 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.87% on Jan. 13 and $4.285% on Friday. Meanwhile, it seems that the Fed will cut its key federal funds rate in September, despite President Trump's complaints that Fed boss Jerome Powell, whose terms ends in 2026, is too slow. The traders have expected two rate cuts all this year, with the first coming in September. Two measures to watch: One is the S&P 500 forward price-earnings ratio which was at 25 on Friday. The 10-year average is 18 to 19. Relative strength indexes are very high. as many as 55 S&P 500 stocks are Friday at RSIs, above 70, a signal they're overvalued. It fell back to 49 at the end of the day. Jabil Circuit, Western Digital (WDC) , Seagate Technology and financial giant Goldman Sachs (GS) all had RSIs are 80 or higher. Bull markets, like we're having, can continue with high RSIs for a while - but not forever. More Tech Stocks: Caution ahead: S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite enter overbought territoryAmazon tries to make AI great again (or maybe for the first time)Google plans major AI shift after Meta's surprising $14 billion moveQuestion of the Week: The S&P 500 Pits the Big Dogs Against the Little Dogs U.S. financial markets and most businesses will be closed on Friday for the July 4 holiday. Earnings are small in number and include only one S&P 500 component: Constellation Brands (STZ) . The shares have struggled all year as alcoholic beverage consumption generally has slumped. Beer stocks have been weak too. Trading volume will peak on Tuesday but will fall rapidly Wednesday and Thursday as Wall Street starts the long weekend early. Related: Legendary fund manager issues stock market prediction as S&P 500 tests all-time highs The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Oil price drops, shares jump as Trump announces Israel-Iran ceasefire
Stocks rallied on Tuesday after US President Trump said that a "complete and total ceasefire" between Iran and Israel would take effect in the coming hours. Iran's foreign minister denied that an official ceasefire agreement had been reached, but noted that Tehran would not continue its attacks as long as Israel halted its 'aggression'. At the time of writing, Israel had yet to comment. The truce, which Trump is labelling the end of the '12-day war', came after Iran attacked a US base in Qatar on Monday, retaliating against the US bombing of its nuclear sites over the weekend. In response to Tuesday's development, oil prices dropped as fears over a blockage to the Strait of Hormuz subsided. About 20% of global oil and gas flows through this narrow shipping lane in the Gulf. Brent crude, the international standard, dropped 3.83% to $68.74, while WTI dropped 3.85% to $65.87. Last week, Brent reached over $78 a barrel, a level not seen since the start of this year. Related Why the Strait of Hormuz remains critical for the global economy The dollar sees a rebound after US strikes Iran, but can it continue? European markets opened in the green. The DAX was 1.99% higher at 23,730.98, the CAC 40 was up 1.71% at 7,666.69, while the FTSE 100 rose 0.81% to 8,828.83 in morning trading. The STOXX 600 increased 1.48% to 542.93, while the EURO STOXX 50 rose 1.9% to 5,320.97. Looking to the US, S&P 500 futures rose 0.97% to 6,135.75 on Monday, while Dow Jones futures increased 0.89% to 43,284.00. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 jumped 0.89% to 8,550.10, South Korea's Kospi rose 2.75% to 3,097.28, and the Shanghai Composite index climbed 1.07% to 3,417.89. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 2% to 24,162.70 and the Nikkei 225 increased 1.16% to 38,796.39. The US Dollar Index slipped by 0.32% to 98.10. The euro gained 0.25% against the dollar while the yen dropped 0.48% in comparison to the greenback. Economists had suggested that persistent threats to oil would increase the value of the US dollar and hurt other currencies such as the euro, notably as the US economy is more energy independent. Greg Hirt, chief investment officer with Allianz Global Investors, told Euronews earlier this week that although the dollar may see a short lift on the Iran-Israel conflict, 'structural issues around a twin deficit and the Trump administration's volatile handling of tariffs should continue to weigh on an overvalued US dollar'. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data