
Trump Attacks Watergate Laws in Massive Shift of Ethics System
A half-century later, Holtzman, a New York Democrat, is watching as President Donald Trump takes aim at post-Watergate reforms on transparency, spending, conflicts of interest and more. By challenging and disregarding, in letter or in spirit, this slew of 1970s laws, Trump is essentially closing the 50-year post-Watergate chapter of American history – and ushering in a new era of shaky guardrails and blurred separation of powers.
'We didn't envision this,' Holtzman said. 'We saw Nixon doing it, but he hadn't done it on this vast a scale. Trump is saying, 'Congress cannot tell me what to do about anything.''
In 1976, for example, Congress created a 10-year term for FBI directors; Trump has forced out two FBI directors. The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 aimed to prevent presidents from dismantling agencies; Trump has essentially done just that. Lawmakers in 1978 installed independent inspectors general in government offices; Trump has fired many of them and is seeking to replace them with loyalists.
Trump has also disregarded post-Watergate safeguards intended to prevent the unjustified firings of federal workers. His U.S. DOGE Service has skirted rules on government secrecy and personal data. He has declared numerous emergencies despite Congress's efforts to rein them in.
This broad rejection of the post-Watergate laws underlines the country's shift from an era focused on clean government and strict ethics to the rise of a president whose appeal stems in part from his willingness to violate such rules and constraints.
'There has been a collapse, at least temporarily, of the kind of outrage and ethical standards that were prevalent during the days of Watergate,' said Richard Ben-Veniste, who headed the special counsel's Watergate Task Force. 'The excesses of Watergate now seem naive. They have been overtaken by a system that is based on quid pro quo.'
Many of Trump's moves face legal challenges, and they may be reversed by the courts – or the Supreme Court could enshrine them. Some scholars welcome Trump's effort to claw back presidential power, saying the post-Watergate Congresses, caught up in an anti-Nixon fervor, improperly sought to rewrite the Constitution in the legislative branch's favor.
'Congress should not be able to fundamentally change the constitutional balance between the two branches,' said John Yoo, a senior Justice Department official under President George W. Bush, referring to the legislative and executive. 'Several of the Watergate reforms went too far. The presidency functioned better, and the separation of powers functioned better, before.'
White House spokesman Harrison Fields said Trump is not dismantling ethics but reviving them in a system that had become corrupted.
'President Trump is restoring the integrity of the Executive Branch following four years of relentless abuse through weaponization, lawfare, and unelected bureaucrats running the nation via autopen,' Harrison said in a statement. 'The President and his administration are the most transparent in American history, seamlessly executing the will of the American people in accordance with their constitutional authority.'
Nixon's resignation on Aug. 9, 1974, was a seismic political event, as Americans at the time were far less hardened to scandal and more willing to denounce wrongdoing by their party's leaders. In November of that year, Democrats swept to historic majorities in Congress, carried on a wave of pro-reform sentiment.
They crafted restraints on presidential authority that had not occurred to anyone before Nixon's startling use of government power against his adversaries. Nixon's team had broken into Democratic headquarters, spied on domestic targets, secretly taped White House visitors, misused campaign funds and even developed an 'enemies list' with a plan to 'use the available federal machinery to screw our political enemies,' as White House counsel John Dean put it.
Presidents of both parties have chafed at those restrictions but largely followed them. Until now.
Some Democrats say Trump, by disregarding many of the statutes, is going further than Nixon, who at least paid lip service to his obligation to follow the law.
'Nixon was essentially a criminal, but an ordinary criminal who accepted the fact that the laws applied to him and that if he tried to violate them he would be subject to punishment,' said David Dorsen, an assistant chief counsel of the Senate Watergate Committee. 'Trump considers himself above the law, so that the system is to be rejected by him when he feels like it should be.'
It is far from clear that Trump is seeking to eviscerate the Watergate laws specifically. He has always taken an expansive view of his own power, and that has set up a natural collision with the rules written by lawmakers trying to rein in what they saw as rogue presidents.
That collision is unfolding on numerous fronts. Watergate-era lawmakers, furious at Nixon for refusing to spend money they had authorized, passed a law forbidding 'impoundment.' Trump ignored that when he temporarily froze government grants, and he has all but dismantled an agency created by Congress, the U.S. Agency for International Development.
In response to Nixon's push to replace civil servants with political loyalists, Congress created the Merit Systems Protection Board in 1978 to hear cases of federal employees claiming unjust termination. Trump, who wants to force out thousands of workers, has dismissed a key member of the board and sought to neutralize it.
Among the most notable post-Watergate reforms was the creation in 1978 of inspector general offices to pursue wrongdoing throughout the government. The law has been bolstered repeatedly since then and number of IGs has expanded to more than 70, with some Republican lawmakers among their strongest supporters.
Trump fired 16 inspectors general shortly after taking office, in apparent violation of the law that requires 30 days' notice and a detailed rationale for such dismissals. Previous presidents, including Ronald Reagan, have also sought to fire IGs, but not in such a sweeping, peremptory manner.
For many of Trump's critics, his rejection of the post-Watergate worldview goes beyond individual laws to a broader disregard of the principle that a president should not use the federal government to advance his personal interests.
When Trump dines with people who enriched his family by buying his meme coin, or rewards his top campaign donor with a powerful federal job, they say, he is obliterating the red line drawn after Watergate.
'The background was a president who, on every front that you looked, was engaged in an abuse of power,' Holtzman said of the Watergate reforms. But now, she added, 'You have Elon Musk, who can spend almost $300 million to elect a president – when we passed a law specifically to limit expenditures because of the abuses we saw in Watergate.'
The courts are weighing almost all of Trump's moves; he has won some victories, and legal experts say it is likely the Supreme Court will approve at least some of what he is doing. The judiciary has become far more supportive of presidential power in the years since Watergate.
Yoo said it is notable that Trump is insisting on his right to fire any executive branch employee, including those Congress sought to shield with specified terms. 'If he succeeds in that, it would end the Watergate experiment in creating these independent bureaucracies,' said Yoo, who teaches at the University of California at Berkeley.
'On issue after issue, he has either taken these Watergate laws and interpreted them way beyond what the Congress originally wanted or just directly challenged their constitutionality, and you're seeing them go up to the Supreme Court right now,' Yoo said.
Still, it was clear long before Trump that some of the most far-reaching Watergate reforms were floundering. The courts struck down several campaign finance rules, for example, saying they violated the First Amendment.
In 1999, Congress chose not to renew its independent counsel law, which was a response to Nixon's notorious 'Saturday Night Massacre.' After Nixon fired Watergate Special Prosecutor Archibald Cox – along with Attorney General Elliot Richardson and his deputy – Congress decreed that a three-judge panel would appoint such prosecutors in the future.
But the system proved unwieldy. The Clinton administration alone faced seven independent counsel probes, many lasting for years or focused on minor allegations. By 1999, lawmakers of both parties were happy to let the statute expire and return to a system of special counsels appointed by the attorney general.
The political culture has clearly shifted in dramatic ways since the late 1970s. Holtzman said her colleagues had hoped the threat of impeachment, which ultimately forced Nixon to resign, would deter future presidents if the new laws did not.
Since then, President Bill Clinton was impeached once and Trump twice. But all three Senate trials resulted in acquittal largely along party lines. And Trump's impeachment did not prevent him from retaking the White House in decisive fashion last year.
'Naively, we thought the impeachment itself would stand as a warning to future presidents, and it hasn't,' Holtzman said.
Rufus Edmisten, who was a deputy chief counsel for the Senate Watergate Committee, said Congress's willingness to assert itself in a bipartisan way has all but evaporated since the hot day in the summer of 1973 when he delivered a congressional subpoena to a sitting president.
'We're right back to another Watergate, except worse,' Edmisten said. 'Having been in the middle of all kinds of things for 10 years, especially Watergate, I cringe when I think how Congress has become a lapdog. It's taken a back seat in the separation of powers order of things. It's almost an afterthought.'
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Japan Times
7 hours ago
- Japan Times
As trade deadline approaches, Japan must draw lines
According to conventional wisdom, a strong national leader will force a weak one, or one with less popular support, to buckle in tough negotiations. By that logic, U.S. President Donald Trump has the whip hand in trade talks with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. Yet, Ishiba has held out, resisting U.S. pressure to sign a quick deal, a position that is strengthened, ironically, by Ishiba's weakness. The prime minister cannot afford to make concessions as the July 20 Upper House election approaches. His spine is stiffened by the failure of the U.S. to make clear its demands and the U.S. president's record of ripping up deals that even he negotiated. Clarity and trust are the essential prerequisites of successful negotiations. Neither exists today. Japan was worried about Trump's return to the White House, fearful that the bilateral relationship would suffer given the 45th and 47th president's long-time animus toward Japan and the absence of a 'Trump whisperer,' former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Yet, in January, Trump described the partnership as 'a friendship like few others,' certain that 'the cherished alliances between our two countries will continue to flourish long into the future!' Sensing opportunity, Ishiba hurried to Washington to meet Trump, a move that some considered unseemly and perhaps unwise, but the resulting summit was a success. When Trump announced that he would impose blanket 10% tariffs on all trade partners, with still greater sanctions on specific sectors like autos, auto parts, steel and aluminum, Japan was one of the first countries to begin negotiations on a deal, its faith in the relationship yielding confidence that an agreement was possible. Since then, Ryosei Akazawa, Japan's chief tariff negotiator, has visited Washington regularly, sometimes weekly, in search of a deal. Despite seven rounds of talks, periodic claims that an agreement was imminent and impressive efforts by Japan to court the mercurial U.S. president — at one point, Akazawa wore a 'Make America Great Again' cap while meeting Trump — the two countries remain at loggerheads. In the last round, held late last month, Akazawa failed to even meet Scott Bessent, U.S. treasury secretary and chief U.S. negotiator, or U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. Worse, when the talks adjourned Trump unloaded on Japan, complaining that the country was 'spoiled' and took no U.S. rice or automobiles. Talking to reporters, he wasn't sure if a deal with Japan was possible, saying 'I doubt it. ... They're very tough.' Trump said that he would be sending Japan 'a letter,' or notice of his intent to impose tariffs on its goods, which would mark 'the end of the trade deal.' In an interview, Trump warned that Japan would 'pay a 25% tariff on your cars,' and later comments hinted it could be as high as a 35% levy. Japan responded with silence. While the current deadline for a deal is July 9, Bessent has indicated that an extension might be possible. There are reports that Akazawa may make yet another trip to Washington for another round of talks. One of the questions he needs answered is what purpose U.S. tariffs serve. If they are intended to raise revenue that facilitates the restructuring of the U.S. tax system, which would imply that they are permanent, then the parameters of a deal are much changed. An agreement is difficult when one side doesn't understand the facts. The charge that Japan imports no U.S. rice is false, as agriculture minister Shinjiro Koizumi explained. 'Rice imports from abroad, including from the U.S., had increased 120 times from a year earlier.' 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Any eventual resolution is more likely to reflect larger political and economic considerations than the specific terms of any document. Fearful of some of the consequences, Trump has been criticized for failing to follow through on his threats and the prospect of an economic slowdown in the U.S. — the perpetual warning of economists when they evaluate his trade policy — could force him to back off again. Trump has also been promising deals for so long and has achieved such meager results — only agreements with Vietnam and the U.K., while a purported pact with China remains unclear — that his administration might settle for something with Japan that is more symbolic than real. If Trump believed that Ishiba would readily submit to his demands, he was mistaken. That error is understandable. The U.S. is central to Japan's economy and critical to its security but the leverage that affords the U.S. president is limited. Growing numbers of Japanese voters oppose gross concessions. One poll shows more than half of voters believe Japan should not make a deal even if it hurts the bilateral relationship. Only 15% agree to concessions to avoid additional tariffs. Most worrisome now is a growing sense among the Japanese public that the U.S. is no longer a reliable partner. After all, in 2019, Trump and Abe released a joint statement after signing a trade pact that said 'While faithfully implementing these agreements, both nations will refrain from taking measures against the spirit of these agreements and this Joint Statement.' Yet here we are again. American credibility is also diminished by constant calls for ever-more defense spending, first to 2% of gross domestic product, then 3% and now 5%. It is not surprising, then, that another recent poll showed that only 22% either greatly (3%) or somewhat (19%) trust the U.S., while 68% somewhat (46%) or entirely (22%) distrust it. An agreement is difficult in these circumstances. Still, it is possible. And Japan has cards to play. It could pledge to increase purchases of crude oil, natural gas and agricultural products to help balance trade accounts. While these are ultimately private sector decisions, the Japanese government could also encourage companies to invest in the U.S. This shouldn't take much effort since it is already occurring. But Japan must also draw lines. While this country needs a good working relationship with the U.S., it must not be at any cost. This country has national interests to protect. They include a thriving security partnership, a stable and growing economy and a rules-based international order. Indulging a mercurial if not arbitrary U.S. president is not among them, especially if it threatens those other concerns. The Japan Times Editorial Board


The Mainichi
8 hours ago
- The Mainichi
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Yomiuri Shimbun
10 hours ago
- Yomiuri Shimbun
Trump Is Set to Cement a Budget-Busting Legacy, Adding to the National Debt
President Donald Trump on Thursday cemented one of the most consequential – and expensive – economic legacies in modern American presidential history, as his Republican allies in Congress approved a second sweeping tax cut that will deepen the nation's fiscal imbalances for years to come. In the president's first term, Trump oversaw a roughly $8 trillion increase in the federal debt, which surged due to his first-term tax cuts and emergency spending approved by Congress during the coronavirus pandemic. Trump's second term began with billionaire Elon Musk in the administration vowing to reduce the federal debt by cutting government spending by more than $1 trillion, following substantial increases to the debt during the Biden administration. But those efforts fizzled as Musk has left the administration, and the second Trump tax cuts are projected to add more than $4 trillion to the national debt, once interest costs and likely policy extensions are accounted for. Taken together, the Trump tax laws mark one of the most significant fiscal expansions in peacetime U.S. history. Economists disagree about the extent to which Trump has exceeded the deficit binge of his predecessors, in part because nobody knows how much revenue the White House will ultimately raise in new tariff revenue. But the One Big Beautiful Bill, which centers on trillions in tax cuts across income brackets, represents the biggest component thus far of the president's deficit-increasing policies. When interest costs and likely extensions are included, the legislation is more expensive than the combined cost of Trump's first-term tax law, the 2020 covid stimulus package, and President Joe Biden's 2021 stimulus plan, said Jessica Riedl, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, a center-right think tank. Riedl said that Trump's deficit increases surpass all prior presidents since at least Lyndon B. Johnson, in the 1960s. Other economists, including former Obama official Jason Furman, said George W. Bush probably added more to the deficit overall, though Furman also pointed out that Bush did so while inheriting a budget surplus – whereas Trump took office while deficits were already high. Already, the national debt as a share of the economy was larger last year than it was anytime outside of World War II, the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis or the covid pandemic. Deficit concerns contributed to Moody's downgrading of the U.S. credit rating in May – the third major credit agency to do so – over lack of progress on deficits. 'President Trump has added more red ink than any president since at least LBJ, and he is doing it on top of deficits that had already been soaring,' Riedl said. Biden also added to the national debt, primarily with a $1.9 trillion stimulus package during the first year of his administration. Biden also attempted to cancel roughly $400 billion in student debt, though that effort was later blocked by the Supreme Court. The White House has adamantly rejected economists' criticisms, arguing that the new tax bill does not worsen the nation's fiscal outlook and that the administration's agenda overall improves it. A White House memo last month pointed to more than $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid and other programs in the legislation, which amount to the largest spending reductions on the U.S. safety net in modern history. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and other officials have also pointed to the administration's broader strategy, which includes higher tariff revenue, cuts to federal regulations they say will unlock growth, and other spending cuts not yet approved. In total, the White House memo says, these measures will reduce federal deficits by up to $6.9 trillion over 10 years. The memo also contends that the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office's projections of the deficit impact of the bill are misleading, because they assume the expiration of the 2017 Trump tax cuts. The administration says that assumption isn't politically realistic. On its own, the memo claims, the new tax bill actually reduces projected deficits by over $1.4 trillion over the next decade, in part by spurring additional growth. Budget experts on the left, center and right, as well as on Wall Street, have strongly disputed these claims. Trump's tax law locks in trillions of dollars in revenue losses without equivalent spending cuts, widening structural deficits at a time when the nation's debt is already historically high, these analysts say. While the administration says factoring for economic growth decreases the bill's price tag, the legislation could also cause the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates higher in response to the fiscal stimulus, which would in turn slow the economy. When factoring in economic growth, the Penn Wharton budget model, the Yale Budget Lab and the CBO all found that the House tax bill would become more, not less, expensive. 'This bill is very clear: There are a certain number of tax cuts, there are a certain amount of spending cuts, and they don't offset each other,' said Martha Gimbel, executive director and co-founder of the Budget Lab at Yale. 'No amount of assumptions about the amount of growth we'll get will overcome the reality on the ground.' The implications of these decisions will be felt long after Trump leaves office. Larger deficits will probably constrain the government's ability to respond to future emergencies and place pressure on core federal programs like Social Security and Medicare. With baby boomers retiring and health costs rising, the fiscal space consumed by these tax cuts could crowd out other policy options for years. Under the legislation, the interest payments on the debt will rise to $2 trillion per year, according to the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Furman, who served as chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Barack Obama, pointed out that the Trump tax bill could also make it harder for lawmakers to rein in the debt. In the aftermaths of the Bush tax cuts and those from Trump's first terms, Democrats largely sought to roll back breaks for the wealthy and reallocate some of the savings to deficit reduction or new programs. By contrast, Democrats will want to respond to this new legislation by restoring Medicaid funding, clean energy incentives and other policies repealed by Trump's bill. Those efforts will cost more than the legislation's cut for the rich and corporations, Furman said. Trump's tax bill not only extends existing policies with bipartisan support – a higher Child Tax Credit; a larger standard deduction – but it includes new populist giveaways, including a provision to end taxes on tips and a $6,000 tax deduction for millions of seniors. If those measures are extended, as seems likely, the nation's fiscal imbalance will only grow beyond the bill itself. 'The next Democratic administration will want to make this in some ways fiscally better, but in more ways want to make it fiscally worse,' Furman said. 'It is both worse than current policy and will prove hard to undo.'