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Winnipeg Free Press
19 minutes ago
- Winnipeg Free Press
Trump branded, browbeat and prevailed. But his big bill may come at a political cost
WASHINGTON (AP) — Barack Obama had the Affordable Care Act. Joe Biden had the Inflation Reduction Act. President Donald Trump will have the tax cuts. All were hailed in the moment and became ripe political targets in campaigns that followed. In Trump's case, the tax cuts may almost become lost in the debates over other parts of the multitrillion-dollar bill that Democrats say will force poor Americans off their health care and overturn a decade or more of energy policy. Through persuasion and browbeating, Trump forced nearly all congressional Republicans to line up behind his marquee legislation despite some of its unpalatable pieces. He followed the playbook that had marked his life in business before politics. He focused on branding — labeling the legislation the 'One Big, Beautiful Bill' — then relentlessly pushed to strong-arm it through Congress, solely on the votes of Republicans. But Trump's victory will soon be tested during the 2026 midterm elections where Democrats plan to run on a durable theme: that the Republican president favors the rich on tax cuts over poorer people who will lose their health care. Trump and Republicans argue that those who deserve coverage will retain it. Nonpartisan analysts, however, project significant increases to the number of uninsured. Meanwhile, the GOP's promise that the bill will turbocharge the economy will be tested at a time of uncertainty and trade turmoil. Trump has tried to counter the notion of favoring the rich with provisions that would reduce the taxes for people paid in tips and receiving overtime pay, two kinds of earners who represent a small share of the workforce. Extending the tax cuts from Trump's first term that were set to expire if Congress failed to act meant he could also argue that millions of people would avoid a tax increase. To enact that and other expensive priorities, Republicans made steep cuts to Medicaid that ultimately belied Trump's promise that those on government entitlement programs 'won't be affected.' 'The biggest thing is, he's answering the call of the forgotten people. That's why his No. 1 request was the no tax on tips, the no tax on overtime, tax relief for seniors,' said Rep. Jason Smith, R-Mo., chairman of the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee. 'I think that's going to be the big impact.' Hard to reap the rewards Presidents have seen their signature legislative accomplishments unraveled by their successors or become a significant political liability for their party in subsequent elections. A central case for Biden's reelection was that the public would reward the Democrat for his legislative accomplishments. That never bore fruit as he struggled to improve his poll numbers driven down by concerns about his age and stubborn inflation. Since taking office in January, Trump has acted to gut tax breaks meant to boost clean energy initiatives that were part of Biden's landmark health care-and-climate bill. Obama's health overhaul, which the Democrat signed into law in March 2010, led to a political bloodbath in the midterms that fall. Its popularity only became potent when Republicans tried to repeal it in 2017. Whatever political boost Trump may have gotten from his first-term tax cuts in 2017 did not help him in the 2018 midterms, when Democrats regained control of the House, or in 2020 when he lost to Biden. 'I don't think there's much if any evidence from recent or even not-so-recent history of the president's party passing a big one-party bill and getting rewarded for it,' said Kyle Kondik, an elections analyst with the nonpartisan University of Virginia's Center for Politics. Social net setbacks Democrats hope they can translate their policy losses into political gains. During an Oval Office appearance in January, Trump pledged he would 'love and cherish Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid.' 'We're not going to do anything with that, other than if we can find some abuse or waste, we'll do something,' Trump said. 'But the people won't be affected. It will only be more effective and better.' That promise is far removed from what Trump and the Republican Party ultimately chose to do, paring back not only Medicaid but also food assistance for the poor to make the math work on their sweeping bill. It would force 11.8 million more people to become uninsured by 2034, according to the Congressional Budget Office, whose estimates the GOP has dismissed. 'In Trump's first term, Democrats in Congress prevented bad outcomes. They didn't repeal the (Affordable Care Act), and we did COVID relief together. This time is different,' said Sen. Brian Schatz, D-Hawaii. 'Hospitals will close, people will die, the cost of electricity will go up, and people will go without food.' Some unhappy Republicans Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., repeatedly argued the legislation would lead to drastic coverage losses in his home state and others, leaving them vulnerable to political attacks similar to what Democrats faced after they enacted 'Obamacare.' With his warnings unheeded, Tillis announced he would not run for reelection, after he opposed advancing the bill and enduring Trump's criticism. 'If there is a political dimension to this, it is the extraordinary impact that you're going to have in states like California, blue states with red districts,' Tillis said. 'The narrative is going to be overwhelmingly negative in states like California, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey.' Even Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, who eventually became the decisive vote in the Senate that ensured the bill's passage, said the legislation needed more work and she urged the House to revise it. Lawmakers there did not. Monday Mornings The latest local business news and a lookahead to the coming week. Early polling suggests that Trump's bill is deeply unpopular, including among independents and a healthy share of Republicans. White House officials said their own research does not reflect that. So far, it's only Republicans celebrating the victory. That seems OK with the president. In a speech in Iowa after the bill passed, he said Democrats only opposed it because they 'hated Trump.' That didn't bother him, he said, 'because I hate them, too.' ___ Associated Press writer Joey Cappelletti contributed to this report.


Toronto Star
35 minutes ago
- Toronto Star
Canada's now-abandoned digital services tax was never enough to begin with
Days after U.S. President Donald Trump broke off trade talks with Canada, Ottawa suddenly rescinded its new three per cent digital services tax (DST). We all knew bargaining with Trump would be full of drama, threats and bluster. But Canadians had their elbows up. Abandoning the DST so quickly, weeks before the July 21 deadline for a deal, is a worrying sign. What will Trump demand next? At any rate, given Trump's deals with other countries (which are not binding, and leave U.S. tariffs in place), it's not clear any deal (if reached) will be worth the paper it's printed on. Opinion articles are based on the author's interpretations and judgments of facts, data and events. More details


Canada Standard
37 minutes ago
- Canada Standard
Minnesota returns key pieces, aims to continue road success at Dallas
(Photo credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images) Minnesota United will be at near full-strength when they meet banged-up FC Dallas for a special Independence Day match on Friday in Frisco, Texas. The Loons (9-4-7, 34 points) settled for a 2-2 draw on the road against the New York Red Bulls on Saturday. Kelvin Yeboah and Anthony Markanich scored goals for Minnesota, with third-string goalkeeper Alec Smir making five saves in relief of starter Wessel Speel, who went down with a right shoulder injury 20 minutes into the match. 'As always, I looked at the draw with New York as objectively as possible,' Minnesota coach Eric Ramsay said. 'There is a lot of that we were really pleased about and that we can take forward from the match.' Minnesota is 5-2-3 over its past 10 matches and sits third in the Western Conference. The Loons are 4-2-4 on the road this season and expect to have leading goal-scorer Tani Oluwaseyi and No. 1 goalkeeper Dayne St. Claire back from international duty. The duo has been playing for Canada at the Gold Cup the past few weeks. Oluwaseyi has produced eight goals and five assists in 14 starts for the Loons this season. Dallas (5-8-6, 21 points) is 11th place in the conference entering the weekend. The Toros fell 3-2 at home to San Diego FC on Saturday, conceding the game-winner six minutes into added time after allowing the game-tying goal in the 77th minute. Petar Musa and Sebastian Lletget scored in the loss as Dallas fell to 1-5-3 over its past nine MLS outings. The Toros are just 1-6-2 on their home pitch this season; their six losses at home are tied with Houston for most in the West. 'The effort was there,' Dallas manager Eric Quill said. 'It's not like I'm watching a team that's not giving effort -- and we had chances. We are where we are because we don't play an entire 95-plus minutes in every game. But we're toe to toe with everybody, and we just have moments where we switch off.' Dallas forward Bernard Kamungo and midfielder/defender Nolan Norris both left the San Diego game with apparent ankle injuries and are doubtful for Friday's match, as are defender Osaze Urhoghide and forward Anderson Julio. --Field Level Media