logo
The charts show this cruise stock is going through a 'double top breakout'

The charts show this cruise stock is going through a 'double top breakout'

CNBC5 days ago
Shares of Royal Caribbean (RCL) broke out to all-time highs this week, driven by renewed optimism in the summer months. Our deep dive into the technical analysis evidence suggests this could be just the beginning for this cruise line stock. Let's review the key evidence based on price and volume trends and also see what one of the classic charting methodologies can tell us about price dynamics. The daily chart of RCL features a pattern I call "moving averages proper order," where three moving averages are aligned to confirm an uptrend phase. The 20-day exponential moving average is above the 50-day simple moving average, and the 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average. All three moving averages are sloping higher, confirming that price is in a fairly consistent uptrend. With the move to new highs this week, Royal Caribbean was able to break above a key resistance level around $275. This level was first reached back in January and then was retested earlier this month. The push above $275 came after a pullback to the 20-day exponential moving average, providing a springboard for the current upswing. The relative strength tells the real story here, as it shows that RCL has outperformed the S & P 500 since the April market low. So not only has the stock been appreciating in absolute terms, it's also been able to outperform the benchmark during that period. With strong momentum readings and improving relative strength, the daily chart appears to be firing on all cylinders. Now let's review the volume trends to determine whether the recent upswing has been supported by additional buying power. Here we can see the On Balance Volume has been sloping higher since the April low, implying stronger volume on up days than down days. As long as the OBV keeps trending higher, that would suggest further volume support for the uptrend phase. In the bottom panel, the Chaikin Money Flow uses daily volume readings compared with price moves to determine whether a stock is in a period of accumulation or distribution. This indicator moved slightly below the zero level in early April, then popped back above zero where it has remained through this week. This consistently high reading for the CMF indicator implies that the stock is in a clear accumulation phase with definitive volume support. Finally, let's go old school technical analysis with a point & figure chart. Point & figure charts thrived in the trading pits of the Chicago exchanges, where traders would hand draw charts based on the daily trading activity. A column of X's represents an uptrend where the highs are getting higher, and a column of O's confirms a downtrend where the lows are getting lower. Traders value this charting style as it focuses on signal over noise, eliminating the noise of daily price bars to simply analyze uptrends and downtrends. Right in the middle of the chart, you'll see a number 4 which represents April 1. Soon after, a column of O's dropped significantly as RCL approached a major price low in early April. This down move is known as a "low pole warning" as the price has driven lower with no real pause in the trend. That next column of X's represents a "low pole reversal" where the downtrend has been alleviated and traders should anticipate further upside as a result. More recently, we can observe a "double top breakout" where a column of X's breaks above the previous column of X's. This breakout pattern is the most basic buy signal in the point & figure methodology, signifying that a new uptrend has broken above the upper bounds of the previous uptrend phase. Given this recent double top breakout, combined with improving volume and relative strength characteristics, Royal Caribbean appears to be sailing onward and ever upward. -David Keller, CMT marketmisbehavior.com DISCLOSURES: None. All opinions expressed by the CNBC Pro contributors are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, their parent company or affiliates, and may have been previously disseminated by them on television, radio, internet or another medium. THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL'S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. THE ABOVE CONTENT MIGHT NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR. Click here for the full disclaimer.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Asian shares are mixed, tracking Wall Street split as momentum slows and Tesla drops
Asian shares are mixed, tracking Wall Street split as momentum slows and Tesla drops

San Francisco Chronicle​

time9 minutes ago

  • San Francisco Chronicle​

Asian shares are mixed, tracking Wall Street split as momentum slows and Tesla drops

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — Asian shares were mixed on Wednesday following a similar drift overnight on Wall Street as losses for Tesla and other technology shares put a brake on the momentum of recent record highs. U.S. futures edged higher and oil prices were little changed. Shares fell in Japan, hit by jitters over a lack of progress in trade talks with the U.S., but they recovered much of their lost ground, trading 0.3% lower at 39,874.33. Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, pointed to President Donald Trump's declaration that there will be no extension of his tariff pause, which ends on July 9. 'The message was blunt: if Tokyo won't yield, it will pay. Tariffs of 30%, 35% or 'whatever number we determine' are now openly back on the table,' he said. 'The negotiating table just became a pressure cooker.' Hong Kong's Hang Seng advanced 0.6% to 24,220.65 and the Shanghai Composite index was down just over 1 point at 3,456.51. Australia's S&P ASX 200 edged up 0.4% to 8,580.70. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 dipped 0.1% to 6,198.01 for its first loss in four days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% to 44,494.94, and the Nasdaq composite fell 0.8% to 20,202.89. Tesla tugged on the market as the relationship between its CEO, Elon Musk, and President Donald Trump soured even further. Once allies, the two have clashed recently, and Trump suggested there's potentially 'BIG MONEY TO BE SAVED' by scrutinizing subsidies, contracts or other government spending going to Musk's companies. Tesla fell 5.3%. It has lost just over a quarter of its value so far this year, 25.5%, in large part because of Musk's and Trump's feud. Drops for several darlings of the artificial-intelligence frenzy also weighed on the market. Nvidia's decline of 3% was the heaviest weight on the S&P 500. But more stocks within the index rose than fell, led by several casino companies. They rallied following a report showing better-than-expected growth in overall gaming revenue in Macao, China's casino hub. Las Vegas Sands gained 8.9%, Wynn Resorts climbed 8.8% and MGM Resorts International rose 7.3%. Automakers outside of Tesla were also strong, with General Motors up 5.7% and Ford Motor up 4.6%. The U.S. stock market has made a stunning recovery from its springtime sell-off of roughly 20%. But challenges still lie ahead for Wall Street, with one of the largest being the continued threat of Trump's tariffs. Many of Trump's stiff proposed taxes on imports are currently on pause, and they're scheduled to kick into effect in about a week. Depending on how big they are, they could hurt the economy and worsen inflation. Washington is also making progress on proposed cuts to tax rates and other measures that could send the U.S. government's debt spiraling higher, which could raise inflation. That in turn could mean higher interest rates, which would hurt prices for bonds, stocks and other investments. Despite such challenges, strategists at Barclays say they see signals of euphoria among some investors. The strategists say a measure that tries to show how much 'excess optimism' is in the market is not far from the peaks seen during the 'meme stock' craze that sent GameStop to market-bending heights or to the dot-com bubble at the turn of the millennium. In other dealings early Wednesday, benchmark U.S. crude gained 1 cent to $65.46 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, rose 5 cents per barrel to $67.16.

Asian shares are mixed, tracking Wall Street split as momentum slows and Tesla drops

time14 minutes ago

Asian shares are mixed, tracking Wall Street split as momentum slows and Tesla drops

MANILA, Philippines -- Asian shares were mixed on Wednesday following a similar drift overnight on Wall Street as losses for Tesla and other technology shares put a brake on the momentum of recent record highs. U.S. futures edged higher and oil prices were little changed. Shares fell in Japan, hit by jitters over a lack of progress in trade talks with the U.S., but they recovered much of their lost ground, trading 0.3% lower at 39,874.33. Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, pointed to President Donald Trump's declaration that there will be no extension of his tariff pause, which ends on July 9. 'The message was blunt: if Tokyo won't yield, it will pay. Tariffs of 30%, 35% or 'whatever number we determine' are now openly back on the table,' he said. 'The negotiating table just became a pressure cooker.' Hong Kong's Hang Seng advanced 0.6% to 24,220.65 and the Shanghai Composite index was down just over 1 point at 3,456.51. South Korea's KOSPI fell 1.2% to 3,053.39 as inflation rose in June. Australia's S&P ASX 200 edged up 0.4% to 8,580.70. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 dipped 0.1% to 6,198.01 for its first loss in four days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% to 44,494.94, and the Nasdaq composite fell 0.8% to 20,202.89. Tesla tugged on the market as the relationship between its CEO, Elon Musk, and President Donald Trump soured even further. Once allies, the two have clashed recently, and Trump suggested there's potentially 'BIG MONEY TO BE SAVED' by scrutinizing subsidies, contracts or other government spending going to Musk's companies. Tesla fell 5.3%. It has lost just over a quarter of its value so far this year, 25.5%, in large part because of Musk's and Trump's feud. Drops for several darlings of the artificial-intelligence frenzy also weighed on the market. Nvidia's decline of 3% was the heaviest weight on the S&P 500. But more stocks within the index rose than fell, led by several casino companies. They rallied following a report showing better-than-expected growth in overall gaming revenue in Macao, China's casino hub. Las Vegas Sands gained 8.9%, Wynn Resorts climbed 8.8% and MGM Resorts International rose 7.3%. Automakers outside of Tesla were also strong, with General Motors up 5.7% and Ford Motor up 4.6%. The U.S. stock market has made a stunning recovery from its springtime sell-off of roughly 20%. But challenges still lie ahead for Wall Street, with one of the largest being the continued threat of Trump's tariffs. Many of Trump's stiff proposed taxes on imports are currently on pause, and they're scheduled to kick into effect in about a week. Depending on how big they are, they could hurt the economy and worsen inflation. Washington is also making progress on proposed cuts to tax rates and other measures that could send the U.S. government's debt spiraling higher, which could raise inflation. That in turn could mean higher interest rates, which would hurt prices for bonds, stocks and other investments. Despite such challenges, strategists at Barclays say they see signals of euphoria among some investors. The strategists say a measure that tries to show how much 'excess optimism' is in the market is not far from the peaks seen during the 'meme stock' craze that sent GameStop to market-bending heights or to the dot-com bubble at the turn of the millennium. In other dealings early Wednesday, benchmark U.S. crude gained 1 cent to $65.46 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, rose 5 cents per barrel to $67.16. The U.S. dollar rose to 143.58 Japanese yen from 143.41 yen. The euro slid to $1.1798 from $1.1808. ___

Why Nike Stock Raced Ahead Today
Why Nike Stock Raced Ahead Today

Yahoo

time36 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Why Nike Stock Raced Ahead Today

The company earned a post-earnings recommendation upgrade from an analyst. For him, it's now a buy with 15% potential upside. 10 stocks we like better than Nike › Athletic apparel and footwear star Nike (NYSE: NKE) notched a stock market victory for its investors on Tuesday with a more than 3% increase in share price. That was due in no small part to an analyst upgrade, accompanied by some rather bullish commentary. Nike's lift was in contrast to the performance of the S&P 500 index, which slumped by 0.1% on the day. Well before market open, John Staszak of Argus changed his Nike recommendation to buy (from his previous neutral) at a price target of $85 per share. That anticipates upside of more than 15% on the stock's most recent closing price. Staszak is convinced that Nike's present turnaround plan is having positive effects, according to reports, and it should help the company recover. The analyst wrote in his new note on Nike that it had success clearing its inventory in the second half of its fiscal 2025, and its current product lineup is up to date and bringing in customers. In Staszak's view, with these tailwinds at its back, Nike should continue to be a powerful force in the always-competitive athleticwear space. He waxed bullish in particular about its strength in high-end athletic footwear. The latter, he believes, is well supported by effective marketing and the many athlete endorsements it's managed to collect. Nike stock has been on quite a tear since the company published its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results last Thursday after market close. Revenue and headline net income were both down on a year-over-year basis, but they beat analyst expectations. Despite that, to me, those declines are concerning, and I'm not yet as convinced as Staszak that Nike is undoubtedly on the road to recovery. I'd be more hesitant to buy the stock than he is. Before you buy stock in Nike, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Nike wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $722,181!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $968,402!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,069% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 177% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join . See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025 Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nike. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Why Nike Stock Raced Ahead Today was originally published by The Motley Fool

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store