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OPEC+ may further accelerate oil output hikes on Saturday, sources say

OPEC+ may further accelerate oil output hikes on Saturday, sources say

CNA15 hours ago
LONDON :OPEC+ may make an increase in oil output for August at its meeting on Saturday that is larger than the 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) hikes it made for May, June and July, three sources familiar with OPEC+ talks told Reuters.
Eight members of the group - Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Kazakhstan and Algeria - are scheduled to meet online on Saturday to decide their oil output policy for August.
OPEC+ made a radical change in policy this year when the eight members started to unwind their most recent output cut of 2.2 million bpd starting in April. They then accelerated the hikes in May, June and July to 411,000 bpd for each month, despite the extra supply weighing on crude prices.
Earlier on Friday, other sources told Reuters the group was expected to agree to an increase of 411,000 bpd for August, which remains a possible outcome of Saturday's meeting. All sources declined to be identified by name due to the sensitivity of the matter.
The acceleration of the output hikes came after some OPEC+ members, such as Kazakhstan, produced way over their targets, angering other members that were sticking more closely to agreed cuts.
Kazakh output returned to growth last month and matched an all-time high, as the Chevron-led Tengiz field ramped up, a source familiar with the data told Reuters this week.
OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, is looking to expand its market share against the backdrop of growing supplies from other producers like the United States.
The group pumps about half of the world's oil. As of their decision for July output, the OPEC+ eight have made or announced production increases of 1.37 million bpd. This is 62 per cent of the production cut of 2.2 million bpd that they are unwinding.
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OPEC+ set to further speed up output hikes, sources say
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CNA

time2 hours ago

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OPEC+ set to further speed up output hikes, sources say

LONDON :OPEC+ will likely agree to further accelerate oil output increases on Saturday at its first meeting since oil prices jumped, and then retreated, following Israeli and U.S. attacks on Iran. The group, which pumps about half of the world's oil, has been curtailing production since 2022 to support the market. But it has reversed course this year to regain market share and as U.S. President Donald Trump demanded the group pumped more to help keep gasoline prices lower. The group may agree to raise output by as much as 550,000 barrels per day in August, up from monthly increases of 411,000 bpd it approved for May, June and July, and 138,000 bpd in April, two sources familiar with the discussions said. Eight members of the group - Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Kazakhstan and Algeria - are due to meet online on Saturday at 0900 GMT to decide policy for August. The eight began unwinding their most recent output cut of 2.2 million bpd in April. They then accelerated the hikes in May, June and July, despite the extra supply weighing on crude prices. The acceleration came after some OPEC+ members, such as Kazakhstan and Iraq, produced above their targets, angering other members that were sticking to cuts. Kazakh output returned to growth last month and matched an all-time high. OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, is looking to expand its market share against the backdrop of growing supplies from other producers like the United States, sources have said. So far, OPEC+ has announced production increases of 1.37 million bpd between April and July, representing 62 per cent of the production cut of 2.2 million bpd that it is unwinding.

Opec+ considers adding more than 411,000 barrels on Saturday
Opec+ considers adding more than 411,000 barrels on Saturday

Business Times

time11 hours ago

  • Business Times

Opec+ considers adding more than 411,000 barrels on Saturday

[PARIS] Opec+ is considering accelerating its oil production revival even more rapidly than expected during a virtual meeting on Saturday (Jul 5), delegates said. Saudi Arabia has guided the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) to increase supplies by 411,000 barrels a day over the past three months, and the group is now weighing an even bigger boost in August. The assertive strategy, allowing the group to reclaim market share from non-Opec+ producers, comes despite the risk of a global oversupply that could further pressure prices. Oil's recent decline offers a win for US President Donald Trump, who sees lower prices as a way to ease costs for inflation-hit consumers. Eight key alliance members are now weighing a boost of over 500,000 barrels per day, according to one delegate. That would allow Opec+ to complete the return of 2.2 million barrels a day of previously halted output by September, earlier than originally planned, another said. They requested anonymity as the discussions are private. Brent futures hovered near US$68 a barrel in London on Friday, down 13 per cent over the past two weeks. A shift from open conflict between Israel and oil heavyweight Iran to a fragile truce has left Middle Eastern energy exports largely unaffected. 'With Opec+ having pivoted to a market share over a price defence strategy, it may be pointless to keep a notional voluntary cut in place,' said Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx Capital Group. 'It could be best to get it over faster, and simply move on.' BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up Since April, Opec and its partners have pivoted from years of output restraint to reopening the taps, surprising crude traders and raising questions about the group's long-term strategy. Saturday's video conference was moved up by a day for scheduling reasons. Delegates cited a range of motivations for the shift: accommodating peak summer fuel demand, curbing overproduction by some members, and clawing back market share from rivals like US shale producers. Officials say Riyadh is especially eager to restart idled output as quickly as possible. The additional barrels may be welcomed by President Trump, who has consistently pushed for lower oil prices to support the US economy and tame inflation, while pressuring the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates. Still, the ramp-up risks deepening a developing supply surplus, potentially driving prices to levels that could financially strain producers. Global oil inventories have been rising at a pace of about one million barrels per day in recent months, as Chinese demand cools and production climbs across the Americas-from the US and Guyana to Canada and Brazil. The International Energy Agency projects a sizeable market surplus later this year. Wall Street firms including JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs forecast that prices may drop to US$60 a barrel, or lower, by the fourth quarter. Opec+is considering accelerating its oil production revival even more rapidly than expected during a virtual meeting on Saturday, delegates said. BLOOMBERG

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