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Automakers hopeful that Carney will repeal EV sales mandate

Automakers hopeful that Carney will repeal EV sales mandate

National Observer20 hours ago
The head of an organization representing automakers said he's "cautiously optimistic" after meeting with Prime Minister Mark Carney to urge him to repeal the electric vehicle sales mandate.
Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers' Association CEO Brian Kingston joined the CEOs of Ford Canada, Stellantis Canada and GM Canada in a meeting with the prime minister on Wednesday in Ottawa.
Along with discussing the impact of U.S. tariffs — the primary focus of the meeting — the automakers told Carney there's no way the industry can meet the targets set out in the EV mandate.
The industry has long argued the mandate is unnecessary since Canada already has other policies to meet its emissions-reduction targets.
"Why would you put an EV mandate on top of your existing (greenhouse gas) regulations? It makes absolutely no sense," Kingston told The Canadian Press.
"Now, what's changed since it was designed and came into force is that we've had this collapse in EV sales."
The EV sales mandate requires that 20 per cent of all new light-duty vehicles sold in Canada next year be zero-emission. The target rises annually to 100 per cent by 2035.
The head of an organization representing automakers said he's "cautiously optimistic" after meeting with Prime Minister Mark Carney to urge him to repeal the electric vehicle sales mandate.
The most recent data from Statistics Canada shows EVs accounted for just 7.53 per cent of all new vehicles sold in Canada in April. EV sales peaked at 18.29 per cent in December, the last month before funding ran out of the popular Zero-Emission Vehicles rebate program.
Known as iZev, the rebates offered up to $5,000 off the cost of a new electric vehicle, but the program was suspended in January and that month sales dipped to 11.95 per cent.
Sales further fell to 6.8 per cent in February with the loss of the federal rebate program, and 6.53 per cent in March. They climbed slightly in April after Quebec reintroduced its own provincial rebate, which will be gradually phased out by January 2027.
"If we are going to hit the 2026 mandated target of 20 per cent EV sales, you would have to grow ZEV sales by 180,000 units," Kingston said.
"There is simply no way that that can occur on such a short timeline, given all of the current market forces at play."
While the government has indicated it plans to bring back some form of consumer rebate for electric vehicles, Kingston said making such a promise without a firm timeline for implementation promises to undermine EV sales even further.
Industry Minister Mélanie Joly said in May the government was looking at bringing back "support programs" for EVs. Last month, Environment Minister Julie Dabrusin told The Canadian Press that Ottawa is working on bringing back a rebate program.
The Liberal party's election platform promised to look at ways to "reintroduce a purchase incentive worth up to $5,000."
"Comments from ministers in the public suggesting that an EV incentive is coming back are extremely damaging," Kingston said.
'If the government is going to bring it back, they've got to be clear about that with the plan and the timeline. And it has to be quick because if you tell people it's going to be in three months, then no one will purchase an EV for the next three months.'
Transport Canada is holding consultations on the rebate program. Hyundai Canada CEO Steve Flamand, who has called for the rebate to return, is meeting with department officials to discuss it next week.
"For us, the program worked quite well," Flamand told The Canadian Press.
He added the sudden end of the iZEV program disrupted his company's supply chains.
"Obviously, it needs to be predictable, it needs to be stable, because our business does not shift in a matter of a couple of days," he said. "It pivots in a matter of six-month tranches."
Flamand said his company isn't opposed to the EV mandate, as long as it aligns with market demand.
"We believe in the cause, but right now I think 20 per cent... it's just not realistic. Nobody's going to do that," he said.
"So having an unrealistic mandate without the natural market demand for it is a recipe for a disaster."
Kingston said bringing back the rebate program wouldn't be enough on its own to meet the EV mandate.
"Just to give you a sense of what the cost would be if you were to try and put in place a $5,000 incentive and increase sales by an additional 180,000 vehicles to meet the 2026 target, you'd be talking about nearly a billion dollars in spending," he said.
"That is not a sustainable policy."
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Début du widget Widget. Passer le widget ? Fin du widget Widget. Retourner au début du widget ? When Prime Minister Mark Carney met with automotive sector CEOs Wednesday (new window) about U.S. trade negotiations, one of the key issues the industry said they wished to discuss was the government's zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate. The mandate requires a certain percentage of light duty vehicles (new window) — passenger cars, SUVs and trucks — that are sold to be either fully-electric vehicles or plug-in hybrids, starting with 20 per cent in 2026 and rising to 100 per cent by 2035. Brian Kingston, president and CEO of the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers' Association, told CBC News on the way to the meeting that The targets that have been established cannot be met given current market forces. He later added that Canada already has other policies to meet its greenhouse gas emission targets (new window) . 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The Canadian Climate Institute, a climate policy think-tank partly funded by Environment and Climate Change Canada, modelled 60 potential net-zero scenarios and found that switching to zero-emission vehicles was central to every one. (new window) Arthur Zhang, senior research associate at the institute, said EVs are one of the most reliable technologies we have for reducing emissions in the transportation sector. WATCH | Canada's plan to phase out gas-powered cars and trucks Début du widget Widget. Passer le widget ? Fin du widget Widget. Retourner au début du widget ? Canada's plan to phase out gas-powered car and truck sales by 2035 The federal government is laying out its final plan to phase out new, gas-powered passenger vehicles by 2035, with gradually increasing targets for manufacturers to meet. How would the ZEV mandate increase EV adoption? It aims to solve a few problems. 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The federal government says a new rebate program is in the works (new window) , which consumers are waiting for, and Kingston says that's hurting EV sales right now (new window) . WATCH | Electric vehicles are becoming easier to find in Canada, but not easier to afford Début du widget Widget. Passer le widget ? Fin du widget Widget. Retourner au début du widget ? Electric vehicles are becoming easier to find in Canada, but not easier to afford Electric vehicles are becoming easier to find at Canadian auto dealers, but they are still more expensive than most gas-powered vehicles. EV experts encourage drivers to consider fuel savings and provincial incentives as they mull over their next car purchase. And he said it could also potentially lower the price of EVs, as manufacturers and importers boost the price of gas-burning vehicles relative to EVs and cross-subsidize them in order to meet sales targets. Ross McKitrick, an economics professor at the University of Guelph and an unpaid senior fellow at the Fraser Institute, predicted such a markup of gas vehicles in a recent study modelling the economic impacts of the ZEV mandate (new window) . However, he found that the extra markup from gas-burning vehicles would be offset by lower overall sales due to higher vehicle prices overall (reducing the size of Canada's vehicle fleet by 0.6 per cent by 2050). Manufacturers or importers can also earn credits toward the target by selling more EVs ahead of time, overshooting the target some years, or installing EV charging infrastructure, which could also help boost demand for EVs. However, those who don't meet the targets even with the credits would face penalties. WATCH | The road to EV adoption: Why the experts think the future is still electric Début du widget Widget. Passer le widget ? Fin du widget Widget. Retourner au début du widget ? Road to EV adoption: Why experts think the future is still electric Recent headlines have suggested that consumers are losing interest in electric vehicles, but a closer look at the trends tells a different story. CBC's Nisha Patel breaks down where we're at in the EV transition and why experts say the future is still electric. What impact would the mandate have on emissions? McKitrick's study found that initially, the impact would be modest, as people's cars age slowly before needing replacement. But by 2050, the EV mandate will have cut Canada's greenhouse gas emissions by roughly eight per cent compared to a base scenario without an EV mandate. That's large, considering that passenger vehicles make up 12 per cent of emissions right now, and emissions would already be declining due to some adoption of EVs. McKitrick said scrapping the mandate would mean forgoing that eight per cent cut to emissions. Couldn't other policies cut emissions if the ZEV mandate gets scrapped? 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