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Yen steadies on inflation data after previous plunge

Yen steadies on inflation data after previous plunge

The yen bounced to 148.7 in early trade as investors digested June inflation, which eased to 3.3% but stayed above the BoJs 2% target for the 39th month, keeping rate hike bets alive. Japans trade surplus narrowed with exports falling again, while fresh 25% US tariffs from August 1 add pressure. Meanwhile, the US dollar slipped to 98.1 yet remains on track for a second straight weekly gain. All eyes now turn to Japans Upper House election on July 20.
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Recovery amount at Rs 338 crore: Govt raised tax demand of Rs 35,104 crore under foreign black money law over last 10 years
Recovery amount at Rs 338 crore: Govt raised tax demand of Rs 35,104 crore under foreign black money law over last 10 years

Indian Express

time16 hours ago

  • Indian Express

Recovery amount at Rs 338 crore: Govt raised tax demand of Rs 35,104 crore under foreign black money law over last 10 years

The government has raised tax demand of Rs 35,104 crore under the Black Money (Undisclosed Foreign Income and Assets) and Imposition of Tax Act, 2015 over the last decade, Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary said in Rajya Sabha on Tuesday. However, recovery amount in the form of tax, penalty and interest demand under the Act has been much lower at Rs 338 crore during July 1, 2015 to March 31, 2025 along with 163 prosecution complaints filed till March 31, 2025, data shared in the Upper House showed. In a written response to a question by CPI(M) MP John Brittas, wherein he asked about details of international deposits, Chaudhary said tax demand of Rs 21,719 crore has been created as a result of completed assessments under the Black Money (Undisclosed Foreign Income and Assets) and Imposition of Tax Act, 2015 during July 1, 2015 to March 31, 2025. In addition, tax demand of Rs 13,385 crore has been raised till March 31, 2025 on account of penalties imposed under various sections of the Act. On the question of whether Indian-linked funds in Swiss banks surged more than three times the previous year's amount, Chaudhary said there are some media reports based on Swiss National Bank (SNB) statistics which mention that Indian linked funds in Swiss banks have risen in 2024 as compared to previous year's amount. However, Chaudhary, pointed out that as per Swiss authorities, the data in respect of SNB statistics includes, inter alia, amounts due in respect of customer deposits (including in foreign branches of Swiss Banks located in any country), other liabilities as well as amounts due to banks. 'The Swiss authorities have also clarified that the SNB annual banking statistics should not be used for analysing deposits held by residents of India in Switzerland,' he said. Indian money in Swiss banks more than tripled in 2024 to 3.5 billion Swiss francs (CHF), or approximately Rs 37,600 crore on the back of a huge jump in funds held through local branches and other financial institutions, news agency PTI had reported last month. On the query to provide details of outstanding tax demand raised from the data shared with India via Automatic Exchange of Information under India-Switzerland tax agreement, the Minister said there is no centralised data for the specific query on country-wise undisclosed foreign income and the action taken. 'Tax demand arising in cases of undisclosed foreign income or assets can pertain to multiple jurisdictions. Country-wise bifurcation of such demand is not maintained centrally,' Chaudhary said. For details and status of enquiries conducted regarding Swiss holdings, the Minister said such enquiries are conducted on a case-by-case basis by the jurisdictional authorities. 'Whenever any instance of tax evasion is detected, appropriate action under Direct Tax Laws, including searches, surveys, enquiries, assessment of income, levy of taxes, penalties, as well as filing of prosecution complaints in criminal courts, as may be applicable, is taken,' he said. Replying to the question about the steps taken to recover unpaid taxes, penalties, or interest by Indian citizens or entities holding Swiss deposits, Chaudhary said the Income Tax Department has established a mechanism for recovery of demand that consists of outstanding tax, penalty and interest as per the provisions of the Black Money (Undisclosed Foreign Income and Assets) and Imposition of Tax Act, 2015, which apply to cases of undisclosed foreign income and assets in any country abroad. Such taxes, penalties and interest form part of the total tax liability of each assessee and is recovered in accordance with law, he said. Aanchal Magazine is Senior Assistant Editor with The Indian Express and reports on the macro economy and fiscal policy, with a special focus on economic science, labour trends, taxation and revenue metrics. With over 13 years of newsroom experience, she has also reported in detail on macroeconomic data such as trends and policy actions related to inflation, GDP growth and fiscal arithmetic. Interested in the history of her homeland, Kashmir, she likes to read about its culture and tradition in her spare time, along with trying to map the journeys of displacement from there. ... Read More

Yen hits 2-week high as US-Japan trade deal boosts sentiment
Yen hits 2-week high as US-Japan trade deal boosts sentiment

Business Standard

time6 days ago

  • Business Standard

Yen hits 2-week high as US-Japan trade deal boosts sentiment

The Japanese yen climbed past 146 per dollar on Thursday, marking a two-week high as optimism over the new US-Japan trade deal spurred demand. The agreement includes a reduced 15% tariff on Japanese exports, down from the 25% previously threatened by President Trump, fueling stronger market confidence. Broader sentiment was lifted by progress in US-EU trade talks, while the US dollar index slipped toward 97, nearing a three-week low. Domestically, Japans private sector growth remained stable in July, supported by solid services activity, though manufacturing activity slipped into contraction.

How decline of PM Ishiba's LDP reflects ‘Trump effect' on Japan
How decline of PM Ishiba's LDP reflects ‘Trump effect' on Japan

First Post

time6 days ago

  • First Post

How decline of PM Ishiba's LDP reflects ‘Trump effect' on Japan

The Trump effect—embodied in both American policy and its global ideological footprint—has found fertile ground in Japan's political soil read more The ruling coalition in Japan, comprising the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its junior partner, Komeito, suffered a significant political setback in the recent Upper House elections, reducing them to a minority status. This follows their earlier disappointing performance in the October 2024 Lower House elections, which had already cost them a majority. As it stands, the coalition now finds itself in the minority in both chambers of the National Diet, a rare and politically precarious position that may foreshadow deeper shifts in Japan's political landscape. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Of the 125 Upper House seats contested, 124 were regular seats, while one was a by-election. The electoral system gives voters two votes: one for a candidate in their local constituency and another for a political party through proportional representation. Fifty of the seats were filled via the latter method, with the remaining 75 chosen by direct constituency vote. Prior to the election, the LDP-Komeito coalition held 75 uncontested seats. Their target was modest: secure at least 50 seats out of the 125 up for grabs, enough to maintain a slim majority. However, the results fell short. The coalition won only 47 seats, three fewer than needed for a majority. The LDP, under Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, lost 13 seats, while Komeito dropped six. Meanwhile, the opposition bloc made substantial gains, securing a combined total of 78 seats. Rising Discontent and Economic Anxiety Much of the disillusionment with the ruling coalition centres around economic frustrations. Inflation, long dormant in Japan, has resurfaced, now hovering above 3 per cent. The cost of basic necessities such as rice has doubled in the past year, and a consumption tax of 10 per cent continues to weigh heavily on consumers. Wages, by contrast, have remained stagnant, leaving many Japanese citizens struggling to maintain their standard of living. This economic squeeze has particularly affected young voters and families, prompting questions about the government's ability to manage the economy. Amid rising living costs and growing inequality, the LDP's campaign promises appeared out of touch with the daily realities of many voters. The economic unease also intersected with cultural and social anxieties, particularly regarding Japan's increasing reliance on foreign labour. The number of foreign workers has surged to around 3.8 million, roughly 3 per cent of the population, driven largely by the country's ageing demographics and labour shortages. While some view this influx as a necessary adaptation, others see it as a threat to national identity and social cohesion. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Rise of Sanseito and Populist Nationalism In this climate of dissatisfaction and uncertainty, smaller and newer political parties gained ground. One of the most striking developments in the election was the rise of the right-wing populist party Sanseito. Founded only a few years ago, Sanseito increased its representation from a single seat to 15 in the Upper House, marking a major breakthrough for Japan's radical right. Sanseito's success was built on a staunchly nationalist and anti-globalist platform. Its leader, Sohei Kamiya, frequently invoked the rhetoric and political strategies of US President Donald Trump. He called for a halt to immigration, restrictions on foreign workers, and an economic policy that would put 'Japan First'. His campaign framed foreign labour not as a solution to economic issues but as a scapegoat for them, blaming multinational corporations and globalist elites for Japan's domestic struggles. In addition to opposing immigration, Kamiya has proposed a fully independent Japanese defence force, free from US military dependency, and called for resisting American trade demands, especially in sensitive sectors like rice, beef, and automobiles. Ironically, while he borrows heavily from Trump's playbook, Kamiya positions himself as a defender of Japanese sovereignty against Trump policies that have been seen as exploitative or unfair toward Japan. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The appeal of Sanseito's messaging, particularly among younger voters, reflects growing frustration with the LDP's perceived ineffectiveness and over-accommodation of foreign pressures. Disenchanted by stagnant wages, mounting taxes, and a sense that their voices are not heard, many young people turned away from the political mainstream and toward populist alternatives. 'Trump Effect' A key question arising from the election results is whether the so-called 'Trump effect' played a role in undermining Prime Minister Ishiba's leadership. While Ishiba has not openly opposed US influence, he has had to walk a diplomatic tightrope in recent months. His administration has faced increasing pressure from the Trump administration to increase Japan's defence spending beyond 3.5 per cent of GDP, a highly sensitive topic for many Japanese voters. Although Japan has already boosted its military budget, purchased American defence equipment, and increased its contributions to US bases on Japanese soil, the Trump administration has continued to impose punitive trade tariffs. Japan, alongside South Korea, is subject to a 25 per cent tariff bracket under Trump's trade regime, based on claims that Japan has not sufficiently opened its domestic markets, particularly in agriculture and automobiles. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD In a notable diplomatic rebuke, Japan recently cancelled a scheduled '2+2' security dialogue with the US. While Foreign Minister Iwaya Takeshi did attend a Quad summit in Washington, the Ishiba administration had hoped that a strong showing in the Upper House elections would enhance its leverage in ongoing trade negotiations with both the US and EU. That hope, however, now appears dashed. Post elections, Ishiba said regarding the tariff negotiations with the US, he wanted to talk in person with President Donald Trump as soon as possible to realise an agreement that is mutually beneficial. A Crisis of Confidence Public confidence in Ishiba's ability to manage relations with the US and restore Japan's economic vitality has deteriorated. A recent national poll revealed that 70 per cent of Japanese citizens lack faith in Tokyo's ability to secure favourable outcomes in its negotiations with Washington. Only 22 per cent remain optimistic. This broader sense of unease has translated into declining approval ratings for the prime minister. Ishiba's approval dropped by 6.2 percentage points in July to just 20.8 per cent, the lowest since he assumed office in October. Meanwhile, his disapproval rating climbed to 55 per cent, the highest of his tenure. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Political analysts argue that the rise of Sanseito, and other, more moderately nationalist parties is part of a larger shift in Japanese politics. Since the assassination of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe three years ago, Japan's nationalist right has lacked a unifying figure. Abe had long acted as a buffer between Japan's pragmatic conservatism and its more radical nationalist fringes. In his absence, political space has opened for new actors to challenge the traditional dominance of the LDP. These parties, while varying in extremity, often focus on a similar set of grievances: inflation, declining real incomes, tax burdens on the young to support an ageing population, and an increasingly lopsided alliance with the United States. Sanseito, in particular, has captured this mood of discontent and used it to craft a narrative that resonates with disillusioned voters. The party's momentum appears to be growing. Last month, it gained an additional seat when a member of another opposition party defected. It had also won three Lower House seats in a by-election in Tokyo last year, further solidifying its presence on the national stage. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Looking Ahead While the ruling coalition lost its majority, the LDP remains the largest political force with a total of 101 seats. 'We must understand the responsibility as the leading party and the one we have to fulfil for the nation,' Ishiba said. He also signalled his intention to keep his position after the election, saying, 'I am keenly aware of [my] responsibilities.' Japan's political future is now uncertain. The ruling coalition's dual minority status will complicate legislative efforts and make it harder to implement any coherent agenda. Ishiba's government will likely face increasing internal dissent, coalition instability, and challenges from both the left and right. Whether this leads to early elections, leadership change, or further fragmentation of Japan's political landscape remains to be seen. But one thing is clear: the 'Trump effect'—embodied in both American policy and its global ideological footprint—has found fertile ground in Japan's political soil. As Japan moves forward, the electorate's shift toward populism, nationalism, and economic protectionism may redefine the country's political trajectory—and its place in the world. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The author is a former ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, ASEAN and the African Union. He tweets @AmbGurjitSingh. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost's views.

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