Mets at Padres prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 28
Frankie Montas is slated to take the mound for New York against Dylan Cease for San Diego.
The Mets rallied last night against the Giants to win 5-3 and sweep the three-game series. New York has now won a season-high seven in a row. Ronny Mauricio paced the attack with four hits for the Mets who now lead the National League East by 1.5 games.
The Padres won Sunday against the Cardinals, 9-2 to earn a split of their four-game series. Manny Machado picked up four of San Diego's 16 hits on the afternoon. The Padres have rallied to pull to within four games of the Dodgers in the National League West.
Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Mets at Padres
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Time: 9:40PM EST
Site: Petco Park
City: San Diego, CA
Network/Streaming: SNY, SDPA, MLBN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Mets at the Padres
The latest odds as of Monday:
Moneyline: Mets (+114), Padres (-136)
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Mets at Padres
Pitching matchup for July 28, 2025: Frankie Montas vs. Dylan Cease
Mets: Frankie Montas (3-1, 4.62 ERA)
Last outing: July 22 vs. Angels - 3.18 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 6 StrikeoutsPadres: Dylan Cease (3-10, 4.59 ERA)
Last outing: July 23 at Miami - 3.60 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
Mets: Frankie Montas (3-1, 4.62 ERA)
Last outing: July 22 vs. Angels - 3.18 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts
Padres: Dylan Cease (3-10, 4.59 ERA)
Last outing: July 23 at Miami - 3.60 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets at Padres
The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games on the road
Manny Machado is riding a 5-game hitting streak with multiple hits in each of the 5 games (13-21)
Dylan Cease has struck out 27 opposing hitters in just 22.1 innings in July
Juan Soto homered Sunday for the first time since July 18 against Cincinnati
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Mets and the Padres
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Mets and the Padres:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the New York Mets at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
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Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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