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Why Gen-Z is voting differently and what it means for global politics

Why Gen-Z is voting differently and what it means for global politics

Khaleej Times30-05-2025
South Korea's young women are expected to lead a broad political backlash against the main conservative party during the presidential elections on June 3‭, ‬punishing it for months of chaos‭.‬
Multitudes of young men‭, ‬though‭, ‬are unlikely to join them‭.‬
In democracies worldwide‭, ‬a political gender divide is intensifying among Gen Z voters‭, ‬with young men voting for right-wing parties and young women leaning left‭, ‬a break from pre-pandemic years when both tended to vote for progressives‭.‬
Recent elections spanning North America‭, ‬Europe‭, ‬and Asia show this trend is either consolidating or accelerating‭, ‬with angry‭, ‬frustrated men in their 20s breaking to the right‭.‬
First-time South Korean voter Lee Jeong-min is one of them‭.‬
He says he will vote for the right-wing Reform Party's candidate‭, ‬Lee Jun-seok‭, ‬on June 3‭. ‬The candidate vows to shut down the ministry of gender equality‭, ‬speaking to an issue that‭ ‬resonates with men like Lee‭, ‬who particularly resents that only men have to do military service‭.‬
'As a young man‭, ‬I find this to be one of the most unfair realities of living in Korea‭. ‬At the prime of their youth‭ ‬—‭ ‬at 21‭ ‬or 22‭ ‬years old‭ ‬—‭ ‬young men‭, ‬unlike their female peers‭, ‬are unable to fully engage in various activities in society because they have to serve 18‭ ‬months in the military‭.‬'
In South Korea‭, ‬almost 30‭ ‬per cent of men aged 18-29‭ ‬plan to back the Reform Party compared with just 3‭ ‬per cent of young women‭,‬‭ ‬according to a Gallup Korea poll this month‭.‬
Overall‭, ‬more than half of the men back right-wing parties while almost half the women want the left-wing Democratic Party candidate to win‭. ‬The divergence shrinks for older age groups‭.‬
Political economist Soohyun Lee‭, ‬of King's College London‭, ‬said many young South Korean men felt unable to meet society's expectations‭: ‬find a good job‭, ‬get married‭, ‬buy a home‭, ‬and start a family‭.‬
And they blame feminism‭, ‬many believing that women are preferred for jobs‭. ‬With negligible immigration in South Korea‭, ‬Lee said‭,‬‭ ‬'women become the convenient scapegoat'‭.‬
ANGRY YOUNG MEN
In South Korea and other democracies‭, ‬Gen Z men are seeing an erosion of their relative advantage‭, ‬especially since the pandemic‭ ‬—‭ ‬to the point where in a few countries the gender pay gap among 20-somethings favours young women‭.‬
European Union‭ (‬EU‭) ‬data shows one of them is France‭, ‬where men aged 18-34‭ ‬voted in larger numbers for Marine le Pen's far-right party than women in last year's legislative elections‭.‬
In the UK‭, ‬where more young men than women vote conservative‭, ‬males aged 16-24‭ ‬are more likely to be neither employed nor in education than their female counterparts‭, ‬official data shows‭.‬
In the West‭, ‬young men blame immigration as well as diversity programmes for job competition‭.‬
In Germany's general election in February‭, ‬the anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany‭ (‬AfD‭) ‬won a record 20.8‭ ‬per cent of the vote‭, ‬tugged‭ ‬along by an undercurrent of support from young men‭ ‬—‭ ‬though the leader of the party is a woman‭.‬
Men aged 18-24‭ ‬voted 27‭ ‬per cent for the AfD while young women ran to the other end of the political spectrum‭, ‬voting 35‭ ‬per cent for the far-left Linke party‭, ‬according to official voting data‭.‬
'A lot of young men are falling for right-wing propaganda because they're upset‭, ‬they have the feeling they're losing power‭,‬'‭ ‬said 18-year-old Molly Lynch‭, ‬a Berliner who voted for Linke‭, ‬drawn by its stand on climate change and economic inequality‭.‬
'But‭, ‬it's actually losing power over women that wasn't actually equal in the first place‭.‬'
The gender divide is not restricted to Gen Z‭, ‬voters born since the mid-to-late 1990s‭. ‬Millennials‭, ‬who are in their 30s and early 40s‭, ‬have felt the winds of change for longer‭.‬
In Canada last month‭, ‬men aged 35-54‭ ‬voted 50‭ ‬per cent for opposition conservatives in an election turned upside down by US President Donald Trump's tariffs on his northern neighbour‭. ‬The Liberals‭, ‬who had been braced for defeat‭, ‬rode an anti-Trump wave back to power‭, ‬thanks‭ ‬in large part to women voters‭.‬
'It tends to be men who have a bit more life experience and are now in that situation where they're saying‭, ‬'This isn't working out for me and I want change'‭,‬'‭ ‬said Darrell Bricker‭, ‬global chief executive of public affairs at polling firm Ipsos‭.‬
Nik Nanos‭, ‬founder of Canadian polling outfit Nanos Research‭, ‬agreed‭, ‬saying social media was accelerating democracy's‭ ‬'angry young men symptom'‭, ‬especially in areas where blue collar jobs have dried up‭.‬
A FOREVER WAR‭?‬
Trump's 2024‭ ‬presidential campaign‭, ‬which promised a manufacturing renaissance and attacked diversity programmes‭, ‬also resonated with‭ ‬young white and Hispanic men‭, ‬but turned off young women‭, ‬fuelling the country's big political gender gap‭.‬
Roughly half of men aged 18-29‭ ‬voted for Trump‭, ‬while 61‭ ‬per cent of young women went for his opponent‭, ‬Kamala Harris‭. ‬Young Black voters of both genders still overwhelmingly backed Harris‭.‬
In Australia‭, ‬which went to the polls this month‭, ‬the Gen Z war did not play out at the ballot box‭. ‬There was no clear divergence‭, ‬with compulsory voting perhaps helping to explain why radicalised gender politics have not taken root‭. ‬'It tends to iron out extreme ideas‭, ‬ideologies‭,‬'‭ ‬said political scientist Intifar Chowdury of Australian National University‭.‬
So how does the Gen Z war end‭?‬
Pollsters said it could drag on unless governments addressed core issues such as home affordability and precarious employment‭. ‬One cited young men's health as another policy challenge‭, ‬especially high suicide rates‭.‬
Lee‭, ‬of King's College‭, ‬said the divide could make consensus on over-arching tax and welfare reforms harder to achieve‭.‬
'If the future generation is ever so divided along the lines of gender and then refuses to engage with each other to build social‭ ‬consensus‭, ‬I do not think we can successfully tackle these huge issues‭,‬'‭ ‬she said‭. ‬ —‭ ‬Reuters
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