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Goldman Sachs' Greg Calnon: We expect three cuts, but not in September

Goldman Sachs' Greg Calnon: We expect three cuts, but not in September

CNBC3 days ago
Greg Calnon, co-head of public investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss expectations for the back half of the year, concerns going into earnings, and more.
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Don't Miss: Be part of the breakthrough that could replace plastic as we know it— — no wallets, just price speculation and free paper trading to practice different strategies. This positioning creates an unusual dynamic: strong fundamentals meeting widespread skepticism. 'Most investors are currently underexposed,' Lee notes, suggesting significant upside potential as sentiment eventually catches up to reality. Why the Market Is Cheaper Than You Think Challenging the narrative that stocks have become dangerously overvalued, Lee presents compelling valuation data. Despite enduring what he characterizes as 'six extinction-like events' over the past six years—including COVID-19, supply chain disruptions, inflation surges, aggressive Fed rate hikes, Trump tariffs, and geopolitical tensions—S&P 500 earnings have actually grown. More surprisingly, the equity-weighted S&P multiple has compressed from approximately 17.6 times in 2019 to 16 times currently. This suggests the market has become cheaper even as earnings demonstrated remarkable resilience through unprecedented challenges. Trending: Grow your IRA or 401(k) with Crypto – . Apple's AI Ace in the Hole While much attention focuses on the 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants, Lee offers a contrarian take on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). He believes the iPhone maker has been 'quietly ready to pounce on AI' and will 'surprise people' with its approach. Drawing parallels to Apple's transformative but late entry into smartphones with the 2007 iPhone launch, Lee suggests that when Apple decides to 'play big in AI,' it will 'change the game.' He emphasizes Apple's competitive advantages in safety, privacy, and user experience optimization—particularly valuable if large language models become commoditized. 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The $250K Bitcoin Vision Perhaps Lee's boldest call remains his Bitcoin price target of $200,000 to $250,000, which he maintains 'still makes sense.' His reasoning is straightforward: this would value Bitcoin at just 25% of gold's market size. Looking further ahead, Lee reiterates his belief that Bitcoin 'should be worth over a million per bitcoin' and that this 'could happen in the next few years.' The Bottom Line Lee's message is clear: current market skepticism, combined with resilient fundamentals and emerging technological shifts, creates compelling investment opportunities. Whether through traditional equities trading at compressed multiples, Apple's potential AI breakthrough, or cryptocurrency's institutional adoption wave, patient investors willing to look past short-term noise may find themselves positioned for significant gains. As Lee emphasizes, his goal at Fundstrat remains helping clients 'find good ideas and make money'—and his track record suggests these contrarian insights deserve serious consideration. Read Next: A must-have for all crypto enthusiasts: . Image: Shutterstock This article Wall Street's Tom Lee Says This 'Most Hated' Rally Could Be A Fortune-Maker—And Bitcoin at $250K Isn't Out Of Reach originally appeared on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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