Bayes Market Launches New Social Prediction Platform, Transforming Human Insight into Tradable Asset
In an era marked by AI, deglobalization, and geopolitical uncertainty, Bayes Market opens a fresh arena beyond traditional asset—a platform where insights about the future can be priced, traded, and monetized.
Trading on Probability, Filling Gaps in Traditional Finance
Bayes Market operates as a prediction market not relying on a single underlying asset, but around information. Users of prediction market trade on probabilities of events from geopolitics, climate to K-pop group comebacks base on their own believes.
Each contract's price reflects the market's collective assessment of an event's probability. Instead of forcing investors to hedge indirectly via ETFs or options, Bayes Market offers a direct hedge on the event itself, addressing a critical blind spot. Users can turn tomorrow's uncertainty into today's actionable trade, in a granular way.
Asian Dynamic Meets AMM
Bayes Market employs an Automated Market Maker (AMM) to deliver low‑slippage, high‑transparency trading experience. At the same time, the platform focuses on long‑tail events, making prediction approachable, diverse, and culturally relevant especially in Asia.
The team believes that everyone should be able to trade and create events that of their own interest. Bayes Market covers entertainment, pop culture, and social issues beyond macroeconomics and politics, embedding prediction in our daily lives. This unlocks the mass market adoption beyond crypto users.
Decentralized Market Creation
Bayes Market will soon let users initiate their own prediction events, whether it is a dating reality show or inflation. This challenges the existing paradigm where centralized institutions define tradable markets, turning prediction markets into a grassroots catalyst of shared reality. Stay tuned for Bayes Market's next version update.
An Ecosystem for a 'Cognition‑as‑Value' Market Economy
Bayes Market is now officially launched, supporting Bayes Points and USDC, with Points incentive programs. The platform invites data providers, content platforms, communities, and Web3 innovators to co‑create an ecosystem where cognition itself becomes a new type of value.
About Bayes Market
Bayes Market is founded by a cross‑disciplinary team specializing in market design, digital media, algorithmic modeling, and decentralized finance, dedicated to building a fairer and smarter information market.
Official Website: https://bayes.market
Contact: Chengcai Ji, [email protected]
View original content to download multimedia: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/bayes-market-launches-new-social-prediction-platform-transforming-human-insight-into-tradable-asset-302509375.html
SOURCE Bayes Labs
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
5 minutes ago
- Yahoo
COE prices for Cat A unchanged at $101,102, Commercial vehicle premiums up 2.9%
SINGAPORE — Certificate of Entitlement (COE) premiums for Category A, which covers smaller and less powerful cars and EVs (up to 1,600cc and 130bhp and electric vehicles up to 110kW), remained unchanged at $101,102 in July's second bidding round on Wednesday (23 July). It had previously jumped 3% in the first bidding exercise on 9 July. Category B premiums, for larger vehicles, experienced only a slight decrease of $499 to end the bidding exercise at $119,101. However, there were slight increases across all premiums in Categories C, D and E. COEs for commercial vehicles and buses (Category C) rose 2.9% from $66,689 to $68,600 while premiums in the 'open' category (Category E) saw an increase of 1.3% to finish at $120,000. Motorcycle COEs (Category D) are at $9,511 which was only $122 more than the figure in the previous bidding exercise. What is COE? The COE gives the owner the right to register and use a vehicle in Singapore for 10 years. It can be obtained through an online open auction conducted twice a month. Bidding exercises usually start at 12pm on the first and third Monday of the month, and last for three working days. Each bidding will end at 4pm on Wednesday, if there is no public holiday in between. The vehicle quota in each category will be announced before the start of each bidding exercise. After 10 years, when the COE expires, an owner can choose to de-register the vehicle or renew the COE. How is the COE quota counted? Since 1 February 2023, the number of COEs available for bidding in the corresponding vehicle category in each quarter is the rolling average of the number of vehicles deregistered over the previous four quarters. Will the COE price drop? COE prices, of course, can drop – it is dependent on supply and demand. Since 2017, the Ministry of Transport has been freezing vehicle population growth for all categories except Category C for goods vehicles and buses. The current rates will be maintained until 31 January 2028. Singapore is one of the costliest places in the world to buy a car – in fact, in 2022, the Global Wealth and Lifestyle Report 2022, released by Swiss private bank Julius Baer, found Singapore cars were the most expensive globally.
Bloomberg
8 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Japan's Market Milestones After Tariffs Cuts, Ishiba's Exit Buzz
Japanese markets went into hyperdrive on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump announced lower tariffs on imports from Japan and after reports — later denied by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba — that he planned to resign. Here are some of Wednesday's most notable moves:
WIRED
8 minutes ago
- WIRED
South Korea Plans to Build a Base on the Moon
Jul 23, 2025 5:00 AM The country's newly formed space agency wants to establish a lunar base by 2045. An artist's illustration of a lunar base. Illustration:China, India, and Japan are not the only countries on the Asian continent looking to establish themselves in the fledgling space economy. South Korea also wants to be in the space race, and even plans for a presence beyond Earth's orbit, with ambitions to create its own lunar base within 20 years. At a public meeting held at the National Research Foundation of Korea on July 17, the South Korean AeroSpace Administration (KASA) released a roadmap proposing 'five core missions, including low-Earth orbit and microgravity exploration, lunar exploration, and solar and space science missions,' The Korean Times has reported. KASA had already proposed placing a robotic lander on the lunar surface by 2032, but the new master plan is much more ambitious, including the development of a new lunar lander by 2040, as well as the construction of a lunar economic base by 2045. The Republic of Korea is not starting from scratch in the field of lunar exploration. In mid-2022, the country launched Danuri, its first lunar probe, aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket. Danuri reached lunar orbit later that year and is still in operation, studying the moon's natural resources with its suite of instruments. It is also intended to test space technology that will be used by KASA on future missions. This mission was part of the first phase of the Korean Lunar Exploration Program. Phase two includes the launch in 2032 of the aforementioned robotic module, as well as another lunar orbiter and a rover weighing 20 kilograms. This second phase will no longer rely on a SpaceX rocket or even a pad on US soil; rather, the mission will be launched using the country's KSLV-III rocket, which is still under development, from the Naro Space Center, located on the Republic of Korea's southern coast. The Korea Institute of Geosciences and Mineral Resources is assisting with preparations by deploying prototype lunar rovers in abandoned coal mines to evaluate technologies that could be used in upcoming space mining tasks. My KASA Is Your NASA KASA was created only recently, in May 2024, by the South Korean government, as a domestic version of NASA. It now oversees the Korea Aerospace Research Institute (KARI), which has handled development of the country's aerospace technologies since its establishment in 1989. Both KARI and the republic's national space research organization, the Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, are now sub-agencies of KASA. With its new special agency and the backing of the private sector, South Korea is seeking to position itself among the top five countries in the field of space exploration. KASA also envisions landing a module on Mars in 2045, as well as the development of probes to monitor solar activity and improve space security, including, by 2035, the deployment of a solar observation satellite at the L4 Lagrange point (a stable position in space where small objects are held in place by the gravitational forces of the sun and Earth). South Korea, of course, is not the only country looking to build a lunar base by the middle of this century or to develop space economy infrastructure. Through the Artemis program, NASA intends to establish a lunar base within the next decade—if political conflicts do not derail that project. China, in collaboration with Russia and other countries, has also set a goal of building a lunar base by 2045. India also has its sights set on the moon, with plans for its own base on the surface by 2047. This story originally appeared on WIRED en Español and has been translated from Spanish.
