Red Sox at Phillies Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 22
The Phillies won the series opener, 3-2, in extra innings on walk-off catchers interference call with the bases loaded. Talk about dramatic.
Boston is 1-3 since the All-Star break, while Philadelphia is 2-2 — both losing the first series of the second-half. The Red Sox have scored three total runs in their three losses and six in their lone win during this stretch.
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Red Sox at Phillies
Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025
Time: 6:45PM EST
Site: Citizens Bank Park
City: Philadelphia, PA
Network/Streaming: NESN, NBCSP, TBS
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Red Sox at the Phillies
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
Moneyline: Red Sox (+168), Phillies (-204)
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Red Sox at Phillies
Pitching matchup for July 22, 2025: Richard Fitts vs. Cristopher Sánchez
Red Sox: Richard Fitts, (1-3, 4.28 ERA)
Last outing: 5.2 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 6 StrikeoutsPhillies: Cristopher Sánchez, (8-2, 2.50 ERA)
Last outing: 7.1 Innings Pitched, 1 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts
Red Sox: Richard Fitts, (1-3, 4.28 ERA)
Last outing: 5.2 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts
Phillies: Cristopher Sánchez, (8-2, 2.50 ERA)
Last outing: 7.1 Innings Pitched, 1 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Red Sox and the Phillies
'Boston has the third-toughest remaining strength of schedule (.516 winning %). Let's look at the first 15 games of the second half for Boston:
3 road games at the Cubs (1-2 record)
3 road games at the Phillies (0-1 record)
3 home games vs the Dodgers
3 road games at the Twins
3 home games vs the Astros
That schedule alone could put them behind and make a +105 to -115 bet became -200 to -300 quickly. During the All-Star break, I played Boston at plus-money to miss the postseason and think it's still a good bet after losing three of four after the break.'
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Red Sox and the Phillies:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Boston Red Sox at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Red Sox at Phillies
Philly is 14-5 when Sanchez pitches this season
Boston is 2-6 when Fitts pitches this season but won the last two
The Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 matchups against AL East teams
The Under is 4-1 in the Red Sox's last 5 games
The Phillies have failed to cover in their last 3 games against the Red Sox
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)
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