logo
Europe's cannabis pharmaceuticals market matures amid cautious investment

Europe's cannabis pharmaceuticals market matures amid cautious investment

Yahoo9 hours ago
Europe's cannabis pharmaceutical market is far from a gold rush, yet it is emerging as one of the more strategic long-term plays available today.
Unlike traditional drug development, which often starts with costly preclinical trials and faces high failure rates, cannabinoid medicines benefit from a rare advantage: millions of patients worldwide already use cannabinoids. This growing body of real-world evidence is helping companies to mitigate early-stage risks and design more efficient clinical trials.
GW Pharmaceuticals, acquired by Jazz Pharma for $7.2 billion, is widely cited as a blueprint for end-to-end cannabinoid drug development. The British firm's success with Epidiolex, a CBD-based epilepsy treatment, demonstrated the feasibility of progressing from cultivation through to regulatory approval.
In 2024, it raked in about $972.4 million in sales, and GlobalData analysis shows therapy sales may continue their upward trajectory and pull in over $1.3bn by 2030.
Today, new entrants can access many of the foundational assets - active pharmaceutical ingredients, regulatory dossiers, manufacturing partnerships that GW painstakingly built, significantly lowering barriers to entry.
Emerging players such as MMJ International Holdings and Zynerba Pharmaceuticals are also carving out a niche in cannabinoid-based therapies, targeting neurological disorders.
Yet despite clear clinical opportunities across central nervous system (CNS) disorders, chronic pain, multiple sclerosis and cancer, capital remains a sticking point. Public markets remain cautious, and institutional investors largely absent.
Instead, growth is being fuelled by family offices and strategic high-net-worth individuals drawn to de-risked licensing models, where companies out-license cannabinoid drugs to big pharma after Phase II or III trials.
Some industry experts suggest the future lies in dual-track models that combine rigorous clinical research with the agility afforded by real-world data. A notable shift is underway: as US companies with consumer marketing expertise enter drug development, the blending of consumer branding with pharmaceutical discipline could create enduring competitive advantages.
'We don't have to start from scratch anymore,' said Melissa Sturgess, CEO of Ananda Pharma, during a panel discussion at Cannabis Europa 2025. 'The science is known. The data is building. Now it's about execution.'
Lessons from the US: slow growth as a strategic advantage
North American investors watching Europe's cannabis sector are bringing with them lessons learned through a market boom-and-bust cycle. Their cautious optimism signals that this next phase will be defined less by hype and more by discipline.
'Europe is five to six years behind the US, and that's actually a good thing,' said Anthony Coniglio, CEO and President of New Lake, a cannabis net lease real estate investment trust. 'It means there's still a chance to do things right.'
The US market's rapid growth in the late 2010s, driven by celebrity-backed brands and aggressive retail expansion, also left a trail of bankruptcies and disappointed investors. Europe's more measured pace - built on pharmaceutical-grade standards, medical infrastructure and tighter regulation offers a foundation for long-term stability, though it may try the patience of entrepreneurs.
Nonetheless, significant challenges remain. Experts highlighted three key reasons for investor caution: regulatory instability, with shifting rules that complicate long-term planning; ongoing uncertainty around pricing, patient access and supply-demand dynamics; and competition from more established sectors offering superior risk-adjusted returns, especially in today's high-interest rate environment.
'Cannabis doesn't operate in a vacuum,' said Tristan Gervais, managing director of investment firm T Capital. 'We're not just comparing cannabis companies to each other. We're comparing them to every other investment in the portfolio.'
The tone of the discussion underscored a market correction: the era of raising capital on a pitch deck and a promise is over. Investors now demand evidence of financial discipline.
'Cash flow is everything,' stressed John Pinto, Soje Capital. 'You have to demonstrate that you can either reach profitability or survive long enough to get there.'
This shift reflects a broader recalibration. Cannabis start-ups that once relied on successive funding rounds to fuel rapid growth must now show how they will operate lean, build resilient infrastructure and reduce reliance on external capital.
It is no longer about brands or packaging - nor cannabis in the traditional sense. Investors are increasingly drawn to asset-light models focused on technology, logistics, and services rather than cultivation or retail, as well as non-plant-touching infrastructure such as real estate, supply chains, and pharmaceutical compliance.
Experts also singled out hemp-derived, low-dose consumer products as an area of interest, particularly those that navigate restrictive THC laws while appealing to wellness-focused consumers.
Crucially, companies must present themselves as well-run businesses operating in the cannabis sector, not simply 'cannabis companies.'
The investor view
For those seeking investment, investors offered a clear checklist:
Clarity of purpose: What core problem are you solving, and why now?
Operational discipline: Can you demonstrate governance, financial controls, and professional leadership?
Scalable model: Is there a path to profitability without overreliance on volatile capital markets?
Regulatory compliance: Are you GMP-certified, pharmaceutical-grade, and built for longevity?
Capital strategy: Do you have access to future funding, or better yet, can you sustain without it?
'Without answers to these questions, you're not investable right now,' warned William Muecke, Chief Investment Officer of Artemis Growth Partners.
Despite the hurdles, the consensus was clear: for those with the right approach, this remains one of the most promising moments in cannabis history.
'If you're raising money, it's tough out there,' Muecke concluded. 'But if you have money, this might be the best time to deploy it. The winners in Europe will be those who build methodically, understand regulation, and treat capital as a precious resource - not a lifeline.'
"Europe's cannabis pharmaceuticals market matures amid cautious investment" was originally created and published by Pharmaceutical Technology, a GlobalData owned brand.
The information on this site has been included in good faith for general informational purposes only. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely, and we give no representation, warranty or guarantee, whether express or implied as to its accuracy or completeness. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW): A Bull Case Theory
Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW): A Bull Case Theory

Yahoo

time25 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Sibanye Stillwater Limited on by walter99. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on SBSW. Sibanye Stillwater Limited's share was trading at $9.24 as of July 25th. SBSW's trailing and forward P/E were 4.67 and 10.94, respectively according to Yahoo Finance. A mine entrance, showcasing the precious metals and minerals that this company produces. Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW), a major producer of platinum group metals (PGMs)—platinum, palladium, and rhodium—offers a leveraged play on a sector where years of underinvestment and misjudged demand forecasts have created the setup for an extended upcycle. PGMs are essential for automotive catalysts and jewelry, with catalytic converters alone accounting for 43% of platinum and 84% of palladium demand. Market pessimism has been fueled by overestimates of battery electric vehicle (BEV) penetration, but BEV sales growth in the U.S. and Europe flatlined in 2024, suggesting that internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicle demand—and thus PGM demand—will remain resilient. Supply is structurally constrained: South African PGM miners underspent by ~$18 billion over the last decade, 40% of global supply operates at or below cash costs, and production is forecast to decline through 2029. With long lead times for new supply, a persistent deficit projected by the World Platinum Investment Council, and palladium in deficit until at least 2028, any uptick in demand can drive a sharp price response. Recycling, a secondary supply source, remains depressed post-COVID, adding to market tightness. SBSW's profits, crushed by low PGM prices in 2024, have substantial torque to higher prices, as shown in 2020–2021 when the stock hit $20 on elevated metal prices. Today, at $7, platinum's rebound to $1,250 suggests early signs of a cyclical turn. Risks include economic weakness, faster BEV adoption, and rising recycling supply, but with constrained production, a decade of underinvestment, and platinum already rallying, SBSW presents asymmetric upside if PGM prices sustain an upcycle. Previously, we covered a on Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) by Hugo Navarro in February 2025, highlighting its diversified asset base in PGMs, gold, lithium, and recycling, with growth levers despite weak PGM prices. The stock has appreciated by about 130% as PGM prices rebounded. The thesis still stands, and Walter99 shares a similar view but emphasizes SBSW's leverage to a sustained PGM upcycle. Sibanye Stillwater Limited is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 20 hedge fund portfolios held SBSW at the end of the first quarter which was 18 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of SBSW as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Biogen Inc. (BIIB): A Bull Case Theory
Biogen Inc. (BIIB): A Bull Case Theory

Yahoo

time25 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Biogen Inc. (BIIB): A Bull Case Theory

We came across a bullish thesis on Biogen Inc. on r/Valueinvesting subreddit by U/Lobyous. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on BIIB. Biogen Inc.'s share was trading at $131.52 as of July 25th. BIIB's trailing and forward P/E were 13.00 and 8.85 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. A scientist in a lab, researching for a breakthrough treatment for Alzheimer's disease, diabetes nephropathy, asthma, COPD, NASH, and Type 1 Diabetes. Biogen (BIIB) remains deeply unloved by the market, largely due to its missteps with the FDA on Alzheimer's drug Aduhelm, yet it continues to generate substantial and durable cash flows from its existing portfolio, with visibility for at least the next 5–10 years. The company's legacy blockbusters Tecfidera and Tysabri face erosion from generics, but overall revenue has proven more resilient than expected, while growth drivers like Leqembi are set to gain traction, potentially contributing over $5 billion in revenue over the next four years. Management has sought to bolster its relatively thin pipeline through acquisitions, most notably Reata Pharmaceuticals and its drug Skyclarys, and now has six Phase III candidates, with at least two—Tofersen and Felzartamab—showing strong prospects to become blockbusters by 2030. Despite recent challenges, Biogen delivered $2.72 billion in 2024 free cash flow, equating to a compelling 16% yield at the current market cap, with even a conservative forecast—assuming a 3% annual revenue decline through 2030 and excluding any pipeline or acquisition upside—suggesting a 10% margin of safety. Broader market conditions may also work in Biogen's favor, as the healthcare sector trades at historically low valuations, and a shift in sentiment could re-rate the stock. Near-term catalysts include stronger Leqembi uptake and one to two solid quarters that could draw institutional investors back. With shares trading in the $115–$130 range, Biogen offers an asymmetric risk/reward profile, and at sub-$115 levels appears highly attractive given its durable cash flows, undervalued pipeline, and potential for sector-wide recovery. Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) by Disruptive Analytics in February 2025, which highlighted resilience in profitability despite headwinds from the Inflation Reduction Act, currency impacts, and declining COVID sales. The company's stock price has appreciated by approximately 11.64% since our coverage, as the thesis played out. The thesis still stands as Gilead's fundamentals remain intact. u/Lobyous shares a similar view but emphasizes Biogen's undervaluation and catalysts from Leqembi. Biogen Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 52 hedge fund portfolios held BIIB at the end of the first quarter which was 52 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of BIIB as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Sign in to access your portfolio

Ex-Google exec's shocking warning: AI will create 15 years of ‘hell' — starting sooner than we think
Ex-Google exec's shocking warning: AI will create 15 years of ‘hell' — starting sooner than we think

New York Post

time26 minutes ago

  • New York Post

Ex-Google exec's shocking warning: AI will create 15 years of ‘hell' — starting sooner than we think

A former Google executive warned that artificial intelligence will plunge society into more than a decade of severe disruption and hardship as it eliminates many white-collar jobs — and the 'hell' will begin as early as 2027. Mo Gawdat, who left Google X as its chief business officer in 2018 and has become a popular author and public speaker, painted a grim picture of widespread job losses, economic inequality and social chaos from the AI revolution. 'The next 15 years will be hell before we get to heaven,' Gawdat told British entrepreneur Steven Bartlett on his 'Diary of a CEO' podcast on Monday. 4 Mo Gawdat, a former Google executive, warns that AI could trigger over a decade of upheaval, wiping out white-collar jobs and fueling social unrest. YouTube / The Diary Of A CEO Gawdat, 58, pointed to his own startup, which builds emotional and relationship-focused artificial intelligence. It is run by three people. 'That startup would have been 350 developers in the past,' he told Bartlett in the interview, first reported by Business Insider. 'As a matter of fact, podcaster is going to be replaced.' Gawdat specifically warned that 'the end of white-collar work' will begin by the late 2020s, representing a fundamental shift in how society operates. Unlike previous technological revolutions that primarily affected manual labor, he argues this wave of automation will target educated professionals and middle-class workers who form the backbone of modern economies. The Egyptian-born tech whiz, who was a millionaire by age 29, believes this massive displacement will create dangerous levels of economic inequality. Without proper government oversight, AI technology will channel unprecedented wealth and influence to those who own or control these systems, while leaving millions of workers struggling to find their place in the new economy, according to Gawdat. Beyond economic concerns, Gawdat anticipates serious social consequences from this rapid transformation. 4 Gawdat says rapid advances in AI technology will soon threaten even highly skilled professions once thought immune from automation. Nina Lawrenson/ – Gawdat said AI will trigger significant 'social unrest' as people grapple with losing their livelihoods and sense of purpose — resulting in rising rates of mental health problems, increased loneliness and deepening social divisions. 'Unless you're in the top 0.1%, you're a peasant,' Gawdat said. 'There is no middle class.' Despite his gloomy predictions, Gawdat said that the period of 'hell' will be followed by a 'utopian' era that would begin after 2040, when workers will be free from doing repetitive and mundane tasks. 4 The rapid advancements in AI have been demonstrated in products such as OpenAI's ChatGPT. Ascannio – Instead of being 'focused on consumerism and greed,' humanity could instead be guided by 'love, community, and spiritual development,' according to Gawdat. Gawdat said that it is incumbent on governments, individuals and businesses to take proactive measures such as the adoption of universal basic income to help people navigate the transition. 'We are headed into a short-term dystopia, but we can still decide what comes after that,' Gawdat told the podcast, emphasizing that the future remains malleable based on choices society makes today. He argued that outcomes will depend heavily on decisions regarding regulation, equitable access to technology, and what he calls the 'moral programming' of AI algorithms. 'Our last hurrah as a species could be how we adapt, re-imagine, and humanize this new world,' Gawdat said. Gawdat's predictions about mass AI-driven disruption are increasingly backed by mainstream economic data and analysis. 4 Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, has warned of a 'white-collar bloodbath.' AP Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has warned of a 'white-collar bloodbath,' predicting that up to half of all entry-level office jobs could vanish within five years. The World Economic Forum says 40% of global employers expect to reduce staff due to AI, and Harvard researchers estimate that 35% of white-collar tasks are now automatable. Meanwhile, Challenger, Gray & Christmas reports that over 27,000 job cuts since 2023 have been directly attributed to AI, with tens of thousands more expected. Goldman Sachs and McKinsey project a multi-trillion-dollar boost to global GDP from AI, but the IMF cautions that these gains may worsen inequality without targeted policy responses. Analysts from MIT and PwC echo Gawdat's fears of wage collapse, wealth concentration, and social unrest — unless governments act swiftly to manage the transition.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store