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Sensex, Nifty open lower amid concerns over US tariffs from Aug 1

Sensex, Nifty open lower amid concerns over US tariffs from Aug 1

Hans Indiaa day ago
Mumbai: The Indian frontline equity indices opened in the red on Thursday after US President Donald Trump announced to slap a steep 25 per cent tariff on imports from the country.
At 9:27 am, Sensex was down 487 points or 0.60 per cent at 80,994 and Nifty was down 140 points or 0.57 per cent at 24,717.
Selling pressure was also seen in midcap and smallcap stocks. Nifty midcap 100 index was down 457 points or 0.79 per cent at 57,484 and Nifty smallcap 100 index was down 100 points or 0.55 per cent at 18,037.
"From the investor perspective, it is important to understand that the 25 per cent tariff will come down after the negotiations which start in mid-August. Tariff imposed on India is far higher than the rates reached in trade deals with other countries," said Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments Limited.
This is the typical "Trumpian strategy" to get better deals from India in other areas and finally settle at a tariff rate around 20 per cent or less.
"Nifty is unlikely to go below the support level of 24,500. Investors can buy the dip focusing on domestic consumption themes, particularly segments like leading private sector banking names, telecom, capital goods, cement, hotels and select autos which have done well in Q1," he added.
Almost all sectoral indices turned red in morning trade. Auto, energy, pharma, PSU Bank, financial services, metal, realty and PSE were top laggards.
In the Sensex pack, M&M, Bharti Airtel, Reliance, Infosys, HCL Tech, Titan, SBI, TCS, ICICI Bank, Trent, L&T, HDFC Bank and NTPC were top losers. Eternal, Power Grid, Tata Steel, ITC and HUL were top gainers.
In terms of institutional activity, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) extended their selling streak for the eighth consecutive session on July 30, offloading equities worth Rs 850 crore. Conversely, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) maintained their buying momentum for the 18th straight session, purchasing equities worth Rs 1,829 crore on the same day.
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Trump's 25% tariff on India could drag down GDP growth by 50-60 basis points, say analysts
Trump's 25% tariff on India could drag down GDP growth by 50-60 basis points, say analysts

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Trump's 25% tariff on India could drag down GDP growth by 50-60 basis points, say analysts

US President Donald Trumps' 25% tariff on India could slash India's projected GDP growth by 50-60 basis points, dragging it below the 6%-mark. Currently, the Reserve Bank has projected the GDP growth for this year at 6.5%. read more US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi shake hands as they attend a joint press conference at the White House in Washington, on, February 13. Reuters US President Donald Trump could deliver a hit of 50-60 basis points to the Indian GDP growth with tariffs and penalties, according to analysts. Trump on Thursday formally imposed 25 per cent tariff on India. He has also previously threatened additional penalties over India's trade with Russia. Previously, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.5 per cent in 2025-26. The Union Finance Ministry had projected the economy to grow in the 6.3-6.8 per cent range. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD With Trump's 25 per cent tariff, and any additional penalties, the GDP growth could fall to 6.1 per cent and even below the 6 per cent-mark, as per analysts. Trump's tariff could slash GDP growth by 50-60 basis points, exports by 12.5% The State Bank of India (SBI) has said that a 20 per cent tariff could slash as much as 50 basis points (0.5 per cent) from India's GDP, according to CNBC-TV18. At 25 per cent tariff, this would mean a cut of around 62 basis points, dragging down India's GDP growth to around 5.87 per cent. The SBI study further said that any 1 per cent rise in tariff may lead to a 0.5 per cent decline in export volumes'. At 25 per cent tariff, this would mean 12.5 per cent decline in export volume. This could have massive implications for the Indian economy as the United States in India's largest export destination. Other analysts said that the tariff's effect could be in the range of 40-50 basis points. ANZ economists Dhiraj Nim and Sanjay Mathur said if 25 per cent tariff remained in place for the remainder of 2025-26, 'it could subtract 40 basis point from GDP growth', according to The Indian Express. Separately, Barclays has projected a hit of 30 basis points and Nomura has projected a hit of 20 basis points. 'Taking into account the sectoral exemptions, we estimate the effective tariff rate (for India) at ~20 per cent. The announced reciprocal tariff rate of 25 per cent, however, may be temporary, and might settle lower, as negotiations will continue after August 1. However, the best-case outcome would still be tariffs in the 15-20 per cent range, which is disappointing, considering India's more advanced stage of negotiations,' noted Nomura, as per Financial Express. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

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