Russia's Yandex rebounds from loss to post Q2 profit growth
Yandex said its board of directors would consider a management proposal to pay dividends for the first half of 2025 of 80 roubles per share.
($1 = 81.1500 roubles)
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Business Times
3 hours ago
- Business Times
Opec+ makes another large oil output hike in market share push
[LONDON] Opec+ agreed on Sunday (Aug 3) to raise oil production by 547,000 barrels per day for September, the latest in a series of accelerated output hikes to regain market share, as concerns mount over potential supply disruptions linked to Russia. The move marks a full and early reversal of Opec+'s largest tranche of output cuts plus a separate increase in output for the United Arab Emirates amounting to about 2.5 million bpd, or about 2.4 per cent of world demand. Eight Opec+ members held a brief virtual meeting, amid increasing US pressure on India to halt Russian oil purchases – part of Washington's efforts to bring Moscow to the negotiating table for a peace deal with Ukraine. President Donald Trump said he wants this by Aug 8. In a statement after the meeting, Opec+ cited a healthy economy and low stocks as reasons behind its decision. Oil prices have remained elevated even as Opec+ has raised output, with Brent crude closing near US$70 a barrel on Friday, up from a 2025 low of near US$58 in April, supported partly by rising seasonal demand. 'Given fairly strong oil prices at around US$70, it does give Opec+ some confidence about market fundamentals,' said Amrita Sen, co-founder of Energy Aspects, adding that the market structure was also indicating tight stocks. The eight countries are scheduled to meet again on Sep 7, when they may consider reinstating another layer of output cuts totalling around 1.65 million bpd, two Opec+ sources said following Sunday's meeting. Those cuts are currently in place until the end of next year. Opec+ in full includes 10 non-Opec oil producing countries, most notably Russia and Kazakhstan. The group, which pumps about half of the world's oil, had been curtailing production for several years to support oil prices. It reversed course this year in a bid to regain market share, spurred in part by calls from Trump for Opec to ramp up production. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up The eight began raising output in April with a modest hike of 138,000 bpd, followed by larger-than-planned hikes of 411,000 bpd in May, June and July, 548,000 bpd in August and now 547,000 bpd for September. 'So far the market has been able to absorb very well those additional barrels also due to stockpiliing activity in China,' said Giovanni Staunovo of UBS. 'All eyes will now shift on the Trump decision on Russia this Friday.' As well as the voluntary cut of about 1.65 million bpd from the eight members, Opec+ still has a 2-million-bpd cut across all members, which also expires at the end of 2026. 'Opec+ has passed the first test,' said Jorge Leon of Rystad Energy and a former Opec official, as it has fully reversed its largest cut without crashing prices. 'But the next task will be even harder: deciding if and when to unwind the remaining 1.66 million barrels, all while navigating geopolitical tension and preserving cohesion.' REUTERS
Straits Times
9 hours ago
- Straits Times
Trump is winning his trade war, but Americans will pay the price
Sign up now: Get ST's newsletters delivered to your inbox All indications are that Americans will pay more for nearly all the goods they consume when the effects of all of US President Donald Trump's tariffs kick in. - Judging from the air of concession wafting across world capitals from Tokyo to Brussels, United States President Donald Trump is prevailing in his trade war. The White House is in a celebratory mood. Almost every day, press conferences and statements catalogue the many supposed benefits flowing from Mr Trump's strategy. The strategy has brought trade partners to the negotiating table, is catalysing trillions in foreign investment commitments, protecting America's strategic industries and generating billions in revenue. So much winning, in Trump-speak. If success, however, means more jobs, more trade and a stronger economy, the evidence is more suspect. All indications are that Americans will pay more for nearly all the goods they consume when the effects of all the tariffs kick in. The universal baseline tariffs of 10 per cent have already been in effect since April and will remain in place for around 100 nations with no trade deficits with the US, like Singapore and Australia. Effective from Aug 7, more than 70 nations will face 'reciprocal' tariffs , ranging from 10 to 50 per cent. The concept of reciprocity seems questionable as Mr Trump's strategy from the start has been to exert pressure on trade partners rather than strictly mirror their tariffs. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Singapore LTA, Singapore bus operators reviewing Malaysia's request to start services from JB at 4am Singapore Despite bag checks and warnings, young partygoers continue to vape in clubs in Singapore Singapore President Tharman meets migrant workers who saved driver of car that fell into sinkhole Singapore Now flying solo, Acres CEO Kalaivanan Balakrishnan presses ahead with wildlife rescue efforts Opinion The charm – and drawbacks – of living in a time warp in Singapore Business UMS Integration becomes first SGX company with secondary listing in Malaysia Singapore Ong Beng Seng to plead guilty on Aug 4, more than 2 years after trip to Qatar with Iswaran Business Decoupling to save on tax? You may lose right to property if ties go awry For those nations running a trade surplus with the US, the rate is at least 15 per cent. It is higher still for others, where geopolitics and personal vendettas sharpen the blade. Brazil, for instance, has no trade surplus with the US. Nevertheless, it has been slapped with a rate of 50 per cent at least partly because Mr Trump has an issue with the government prosecuting former president and Trump ally Jair Bolsonaro on coup charges. India, at a 25 per cent rate , also faces an unspecified penalty for its import of Russian energy and arms. The US has also caught on to transshipping, the sly rerouting of goods through lower-tariff nations. This practice now invites a 40 per cent penalty. More deals are to come, if the President wants them, according to Trade Representative Jamieson Greer in an Aug 1 TV interview. It is not clear what kind of deal will be struck with America's near peer rival . China poses a peculiar problem and the US is still alternating between confrontation and pressing for an advantage. 'Their economy and ours are like a square peg and a round hole, they don't really fit together very well,' Mr Greer said. But what is crystal clear is that America has just executed a major turn, reshaping the post-World War II economy to reflect Mr Trump's priorities of preserving American dominance in all spheres, from military might and manufacturing to energy. And the man is just six months into the job. Costs are more tangible than benefits As Mr Trump is never tired of pointing out, the threat of tariffs has persuaded the European Union and Japan to commit to investing US$600 billion (S$774 billion) and US$550 billion in the US, respectively. Combined with earlier investment commitments, including from Saudi Arabia, Mr Trump has touted the figure of US$12 trillion. Tariff revenues now make up 5 per cent of federal revenues, much higher than the historical average of 2 per cent. The figures are impressive – US$150 billion was collected in mere months, with projections of 'several hundred billions' by the year end. And American companies can now sell their goods – beef, rice, cars and other items – with zero tariffs in many more nations. Key American industries are sheltered through sectoral tariffs enacted in auto, steel, aluminium and copper industries. Pharmaceuticals and semiconductors are next in line. But plenty of fine print applies. Analysts caution that many pledges from foreign partners may be delayed, only partially fulfilled, or merely symbolic. Foreign investments in the US usually flow in tandem with dollars earned by companies from exports to the US. If tariffs penalise these exports, investing more dollars is challenging. The actual inflow of foreign investment will likely surpass the levels seen in recent years, say analysts at the Peterson Institute of International Economics (PIIE) in Washington. Just not, they add, by the large margins claimed publicly by Mr Trump. Dr Marcus Noland, an international trade economist at PIIE, found a clear example of the impact of Mr Trump's tariffs right in his own kitchen. The granola he has for breakfast is made by an American company with a plant in Ontario, Canada. Due to higher tariffs, the price of this granola has risen more than 40 per cent. 'Shortages and higher prices, there's no good here,' he maintains. Experts have tallied the costs. The average US tariff rate in the first quarter was 2.4 per cent, but climbed to 10 per cent in June. The latest levy announcements are set to bring that to more than 18 per cent, according to analysts at Gavekal Research. The median US household stares down an extra US$1,270 in expenses for 2025, a number projected to reach US$1,619 next year. Economic growth slowed from near 3 per cent in 2024 to about 1.2 per cent over the first half of 2025 and may be zero for the rest of the year. Some models predict wages will fall and leave scars that will stay raw for a generation. A recession now appears 'very, very likely', to quote Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi, who has been warning of this outcome since Mr Trump made his 'Liberation Day' tariffs announcement in early April. Corporate bottom lines tell a similar story. Apple's June quarter results dazzled, but only because buyers rushed to beat tariffs. The 25 per cent levy on India – where the company now produces its smartphones for the US market – darkens the next quarter. Amazon says inventories are its buffer now. But the future is 'impossible to know', says its chief executive Andy Jassy as supply chains in China, where the e-commerce giant sources its vast array of products, are in the crosshairs. Manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers increasingly report paying higher prices for the goods and services they buy and are slowly beginning to raise the prices they charge their customers, says the US Chamber of Commerce. Higher tariffs will directly punish the domestic manufacturing industry given that approximately 56 per cent of US imports are composed of raw materials and intermediary and capital goods. These will especially hit the small businesses which operate on thin margins and will find it harder to absorb the tariffs. Defined as those with fewer than 500 employees, they account for over 40 per cent of the country's economic activity. Industry insiders are also sceptical of Mr Trump's push to expand access for American products. 'I don't know that we wanted zero tariffs on American goods,' said an analyst who advises American businesses operating in South-east Asia. 'The more important things are the non-tariff barriers.' Hoover Institution economist David Henderson narrowed in on the impact of tariffs on the most important actor in the US economy – the consumer. 'For some countries, notably those in the European Union, tariff rates will be lower than they were before Trump began. That is a victory. But we should be clear about whom it's a victory for,' he noted in a July 31 commentary. 'The main gainers are European consumers, and the secondary gainers are US exporters. The big losers, though, from the high US tariffs, are US consumers and producers who use the tariffed items as inputs, and the secondary losers are foreign exporters,' he said. He noted that while US consumers will pay a 19 per cent tariff rate on goods from the Philippines and Indonesia, and a 20 per cent on those from Vietnam, their consumers will pay a zero per cent tariff on imports from the US. 'Don't get me wrong. I'm glad that people in those three countries, almost all of whom are poorer than the average American, will get the benefits of one-way free trade,' he said. 'But I feel bad for Americans, who will pay higher taxes,' he said. The deals, although heralded as victories by the Trump Administration, have not been struck in the traditional way. No formal texts bind them; and there seem to be differences in how they are regarded in Washington and overseas. In his quest for a 'good' deal, nation by nation, Mr Trump may have squeezed out some advantages. But will a refusal to consider the reality of an interdependent world come back to bite America in ways not yet apparent? And no monetary or symbolic victory can be counted as a 'good deal' if it results in squandering a precious asset that took the US years to earn – global goodwill. Can America afford to arm-twist the very same countries whose help it needs in its geopolitical rivalry with China? And if tariffs continue to be applied in purely mercantilistic terms, they may have the effect of transforming America First into America Alone.
Business Times
10 hours ago
- Business Times
Opec+ agrees in principle another large oil output hike: sources
OPEC+ agreed in principle to boost oil output by 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) in September, two Opec+ sources said on Sunday (Aug 3), as the group finishes unwinding its biggest tranche of production cuts amid fears of further supply disruptions from Russia. A decision is expected at a meeting scheduled to begin at 11 am GMT, amid fresh US demands for India to stop buying Russian oil as Washington seeks ways to push Moscow for a peace deal with Ukraine. Fresh European Union sanctions have also pushed Indian state refiners to suspend Russian oil purchases. Opec+, which consists of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and its allies, pumps about half of the world's oil. It has been curtailing production for several years to support the market. But it reversed course this year to regain market share, and as US President Donald Trump demanded Opec pump more oil. Opec+ began output increases in April with a modest hike of 138,000 bpd, followed by larger hikes of 411,000 bpd in May, June and July and 548,000 bpd in August. If the group agrees to the 548,000 bpd September increase, it will have fully unwound its previous production cut of 2.2 million bpd, while allowing the United Arab Emirates to raise output by 300,000 bpd. Opec+ still has in place a separate, voluntary cut of about 1.65 million bpd from eight members and a two million bpd cut across all members, which expire at the end of 2026. Sources have said previously the group had no plans to discuss other tranches of cuts on Sunday. REUTERS
