
Non-veg milk a red line in India-US trade talks. Here's why
"Imagine eating butter made from the milk of a cow that was fed meat and blood from another cow. India may never allow that," Ajay Srivastava of Global Trade Research Institute (GTRI), a New Delhi-based think tank, told news agency PTI.Not just for consumption, diary products also form an essential part of everyday religious rituals in India.Meanwhile, Washington DC has termed India's insistence on not budging on dairy and agriculture as an "unnecessary trade barrier". India, the world's top milk producer, stands firm to shield its millions of small dairy farmers.INDIA DRAWS RED LINE ON DAIRY IN TRADE TALKS WITH USAccording to top government sources, India has firmly refused to concede on dairy. The sector feeds more than 1.4 billion people, and employs over 80 million, primarily smallholder farmers."There is no question of conceding on dairy. That's a red line," the senior government source told India Today TV, earlier in July.The position is a result of the cultural and dietary preferences of Indians, particularly among its large vegetarian population, who view the consumption of dairy from cows fed animal by-products as incompatible with religious beliefs.As of now, India imposes high tariffs: 30% on cheese, 40% on butter, and 60% on milk powder, rendering imports from even low-cost producers like New Zealand and Australia unviable, reported The Indian Express.Additionally, India's Department of Animal Husbandry and Dairying mandates veterinary certification for food imports. This ensures that the products, including the ones of dairy, are from animals that are not fed bovine-derived feed, a requirement the US has criticised at the WTO.
That makes dairy not just an economic sector but a lifeline, India's largest agricultural commodity, contributing 2.5–3% to its GDP.
OPENING DAIRY TO US MAY COST INDIA RS 1.03 LAKH CRORE ANNUALLY: SBIThe US, a major dairy exporter with $8.22 billion in global exports last year, is pushing for greater market access to India, which is the world's largest milk producer and consumer.India's dairy sector, now valued at $16.8 billion, accounts for nearly a quarter of global milk production (239 million metric tons) and supports the livelihoods of millions, says a report in The Business Line.Opening the market to US dairy imports could flood it with cheaper products, potentially driving down domestic prices and threatening the economic stability of small-scale farmers."The government needs to make sure we're not hit by cheap imports from other countries. If that happens, the whole industry will suffer, and so will farmers like us," Mahesh Sakunde, a farmer from Maharashtra told news agency Reuters.An analysis by the SBI has estimated an annual loss of Rs 1.03 lakh crore if India opens its dairy sector to US imports, reported news agency ANI.India's dairy industry, integral to its rural economy, contributes approximately 2.5-3% to the national Gross Value Added (GVA), amounting to Rs 7.5-9 lakh crore. The GVA is the total value of goods and services produced in an economy after subtracting the cost of inputs and raw materials.advertisementINDIA SAYS NO TO MILK FROM MEAT-FED COWSWhile the economy and employment may take a major hit for milk and dairy producers in India, concerns for consumers of dairy products are equally crucial if import curbs are to be lifted.There are dietary, cultural and religious sensitivities that complicate the issue of dairy imports from the US, especially when it comes to items derived from animals not raised according to the norms of several Indian communities.Diary products, including milk and ghee (clarified butter), are used in everyday religious rituals in India.
Tied deeply to India's palate and tradition, milk yields several derivatives widely used across households, like, curd, ghee, butter, paneer, buttermilk, khoya, cream, and condensed milk.(AFP Image)
These concerns are deeply rooted and can't be dismissed as mere trade hurdles, as they touch upon dietary restrictions, traditional practices, and faith.advertisement"Cows are still allowed to eat feed that can include parts of pigs, fish, chicken, horses, even cats or dogs... And cattle can continue to consume pig and horse blood for protein, as well as tallow, a hard fat from rendered cattle parts, as a fattening source," noted a report in American daily, The Seattle Times, headlined, 'Cattle feed is often a sum of animal parts'.In some cases, even poultry litter, a mixture of bedding material, spilled feed, feathers, and chicken droppings, is used as a low-cost feed additive.India firmly maintains its ban on importing dairy products from cows fed animal-derived feed, according to the USRT's National Trade Estimate (NTE) Report, reported ANI.Though cow-to-cow feeding, pertaining to some body parts, is banned to prevent mad cow disease, according to the US' Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).India's resistance to opening its dairy sector to US imports, amid trade talks, is not just economic. Opening up the sector to cheap dairy imports from the US also defies the cultural, religious, and dietary convictions of a majority of Indians. As both nations push for a broader deal, this divide over "non-veg milk" is proving to be one of the toughest to bridge.- EndsMust Watch
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Economic Times
30 minutes ago
- Economic Times
Don't peg your expectations from market too high; look for growth stories: Shreyas Devalkar
Shreyas Devalkar, Head-Equity, Axis MF, says the market currently favors established narratives, making them costly. Opportunities arise in sectors experiencing growth, such as manufacturing and import substitution. The government's Make in India initiative is boosting domestic production. Tourism and retail are also performing well. Private sector banks and NBFCs show potential for revival with lower interest rates. ADVERTISEMENT What is your take on the Indian markets because the Street is a bit divided? Some believe that a lot of these positives are already factored in and the valuations are expensive. But some also have the view that a lot of these positives are still to be factored in with respect to RBI rate cut, the tax cut, and India-US trade as well wherein India is expected to be in a sweet spot. Where is the market headed from these levels? Shreyas Devalkar: As far as the market is concerned, wherever there is an established story, it is always expensive. There are pockets where the stories are really established. You spoke of three aspects, the US tariff on India, the credit and the interest rate part and earnings. When it comes to the US tariff part, we have to see how it evolves, especially as it is not only about India versus US, but also India versus China, and other competing countries where they also have a comparative advantage. In such a situation, we need to wait and watch not only the tariff on India, but also on all these countries so that the end game is established. Aditya Khemka on US tariff threat over pharma and what to bet on there The way it looks, as of now, the market has tried to factor in certain gains in some aspects. So when it comes to established stories like electronics, manufacturing, services, there is a shift from China to India. The second part is the Make in India theme where we are trying to build in India and trying to reduce import dependence. It can be in solar, and is actually in multiple parts and sub-parts of even consumer durables. The government has taken multiple steps in that. Another part that is growing very well is manufacturing. Such stories are emerging very nicely and there the valuations definitely remain high. So, these stories are in capital goods, power sector, capex, and EMS, and here we are driving import substitution. On the other hand, in consumption, they are in tourism, travel and retail. Some of the retail stories are doing extremely well. These are the segments which continue to do well and where the valuations are high. We need to bear with it. As long as the growth delivery remains, the valuation may sustain. There are pockets where valuations are not that high and there is expectation of revival and that is one of the aspects which you highlighted on the credit and the lower interest rate. There, the private sector banks' valuation has not got re-rated compared to pre-Covid days. In some cases, there is a de-rating also. Overall, NBFC valuation is broadly similar to pre-Covid days' barring a few cases here and there because of the slowdown in credit growth as well as deposit growth. Obviously these are the reasons why it has happened. Now, with lower interest rates and better transmission, one may see some revival there. ADVERTISEMENT But would you be comfortable putting fresh money to work at this level right now? Shreyas Devalkar: As a long only investor, we end up investing. So, even if you do not end up putting in fresh money, whatever you own is as of yesterday's price. That is the way we look at it. So, from the point of view of the investors, the market has gone up substantially. Over a longer period of time, the market has given returns closer to nominal GDP growth and one should set right expectations from the returns from the equity market rather than expecting too high returns which has been the case in '22, '23 and '24 because there is a substantial re-rating in the stories. So, from that re-rating, a very high return is difficult to expect and on the other hand there are certain segments where we need to see some revival in growth to get a good return. Otherwise, the right return expectation is important here. ADVERTISEMENT In your latest fact sheet, you have mentioned that while our overall macros look good, we are not completely out of the woods yet. In light of the recent CPI numbers which have been much better than what the Street was expecting, overall macros in terms of liquidity are looking good. Where are you still expecting to see some more momentum in order to say that a broad-based recovery in macros is seen? Shreyas Devalkar: As far as overall growth for the economy is concerned, if you take the last two decades, it was on the back of three things. One was monetary policy and that is in favour. As of now, we are seeing interest rates coming down. We are seeing that getting transmitted also by various banks and NBFC. So, its impact will be seen. ADVERTISEMENT The other aspect has been seen at multiple points in time in multiple countries – fiscal expansion. Now, there is fiscal consolidation. So not only India, most other countries are trying to do it. But fiscal consolidation has a certain impact on growth. More importantly, the third aspect is the export growth because for a large part of listed companies, especially in largecaps, there is an element of export directly or indirectly and that is where whenever the global economy is doing very well, there is a positive impact on the Indian economy. So, out of these three factors of growth, monetary policy is definitely in favour, interest rates because of the inflation coming down will also drive better growth for us. But because of the fiscal as well as the global growth not being there, the overall recovery in growth may not be as expected. So one should look at it in a more pragmatic manner as far as growth is concerned. Help us understand what sort of portfolio changes have you made of late because in your fact sheet, I believe you have reduced your weightage in autos while adding a bit more into consumers. How do you manage this positioning right now? Also, any sectors you will closely watch for increasing weightage? Shreyas Devalkar: Wherever there is growth and wherever there is earnings cut, these are the two aspects one ends up trying to predict. So, both auto and auto ancillaries have seen earnings cut both because of the global and local environment. That is where over five-six months, we have reduced our exposure. ADVERTISEMENT At the same time, despite high valuations, some of the capital goods companies, especially in the power space, have done better on the growth front. So, it is not broad-based capex as such, but definitely there are certain segments of that, segments of electronic manufacturing, import substitution, and all these in the overall capital goods space. There are multiple companies here and in that context, we have increased some exposure to that segment. As far as consumption is concerned, exposure to some retail companies was increased over the last five-six months as it is reflected in the fact sheet. (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)


Time of India
38 minutes ago
- Time of India
Govt nominees to quiz Hindustan Zinc management on Vedanta dealings at upcoming board meeting
Government nominees on the Hindustan Zinc Ltd (HZL) board will likely quiz the management on the company's dealings with its promoter Vedanta Ltd and other related parties at the next board meeting on July 17, people aware of the development said. The government had a 27.92 per cent stake in HZL while Anil Agarwal-controlled Vedanta Ltd held 61.84 per cent as of June 30. "The idea (behind asking fresh questions to the HZL management) is not to doubt the company's financial position or cast aspersions but to be reassured of its corporate governance practices and other financial and operational aspects," one of the persons cited above told ET. The move comes in the aftermath of short-seller Viceroy Research accusing Vedanta's parent entity Vedanta Resources this month of being a "parasite" running a "ponzi scheme" that has "pushed the entire group to the brink of insolvency." Vedanta has called the claims a "false propaganda" based on information already available in the public domain and asserted that "the authors have tried to sensationalise the context to profiteer from market reaction." The US-based short-seller has also questioned HZL's payment of about ₹1,560 crore in "brand and strategic services" fees to Vedanta, adding that this was without commercial justification. In response to ET's queries, an HZL spokesperson said "'Vedanta' is a prominent global brand in the natural resources sector and the brand is a registered intellectual property of Vedanta Resources. Vedanta Ltd, HZL and other group companies use the brand under a brand license/sub-license agreement and pay a board-approved brand and strategic services fee for its usage." "This structure reflects a standard intercompany licensing model used globally by diversified groups and is fully compliant with Indian accounting, tax and governance regulations, and follows internationally accepted practices," the spokesperson added. Asked if the company intends to explain its stance on the Viceroy Research report to the government nominees in the July 17 board meeting, the spokesperson said as a policy, the company "does not disclose the agenda or discussion points of upcoming board meetings." "Outcomes of such meetings, as required, will be communicated through appropriate channels post conclusion." Another person said nominees of minority shareholders asking questions at a company's board meeting on emerging issues is a legitimate practice and "there is no reason why the government wouldn't do that." The HZL board has three government nominated directors.


Time of India
an hour ago
- Time of India
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