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The global supply chain is more fragile than you think. That comes at a cost

The global supply chain is more fragile than you think. That comes at a cost

While recent tensions in the Middle East were a fresh reminder of how quickly geopolitical conflicts can escalate, they also cast a renewed spotlight on the fragility of the global supply chain and just how reliant the shipping industry is on a handful of key trade corridors.
It's likely that until last week, most Australians had no idea where the Strait of Hormuz was located, nor realised its crucial role in the transportation of the world's oil.
The Strait is the only sea passage for oil and gas shipments out of the Persian Gulf, moving an estimated 20 million barrels of oil daily, and threats to close it triggered significant global concern.
While the closure didn't come to fruition, it was yet another reminder of the vulnerabilities that exist within the global supply chain, and the severe disruption that can result from just one incident.
It's a situation we've seen play out in the past.
In 2021, the container ship Ever Given blocked the Suez Canal for six days, holding up billions of dollars' worth of goods and causing global shipping congestion, delays and container shortages that took months to fully resolve.
Other significant routes include the Strait of Malacca, Panama Canal and Strait of Singapore, where a major disruption would have significant global ramifications.
Australia is particularly vulnerable due to our heavy reliance on imported goods and the fact that we remain a relatively small player in terms of global trade.
Routes to Australia are often not as lucrative or as high a priority for the shipping lines as routes to and from Europe and the US, for example.
Experience tells us that when all aspects of the supply chain are operating smoothly, global shipping is generally a fast and efficient process.
However, efficiency and productivity within the industry has arguably been maximised to such a point that there is no longer any room for error or disruption.
Advances in technology mean schedules and estimated delivery times are now monitored to the minute, operating on a best-case scenario that requires all elements to be functioning correctly and as expected.
These efficiencies have been driven both by industry and the consumer, with global connectivity and the instant-gratification nature of our increasingly digital world raising expectations when it comes to delivery and shipment times.
It means that when disruption hits the supply chain - whether that be geopolitical tension, a significant weather event or another unforeseen incident - the knock-on effect is often far more widespread, with the economic and social impacts lingering for weeks or months after the initial issue is resolved.
Unfortunately, the next disruption is a matter of when and not if.
But, by understanding the interconnected nature of the global supply chain, and expecting the unexpected, industry stakeholders hope to mitigate potential impacts and avoid pandemic-style pictures of empty shelves in the future.
While recent tensions in the Middle East were a fresh reminder of how quickly geopolitical conflicts can escalate, they also cast a renewed spotlight on the fragility of the global supply chain and just how reliant the shipping industry is on a handful of key trade corridors.
It's likely that until last week, most Australians had no idea where the Strait of Hormuz was located, nor realised its crucial role in the transportation of the world's oil.
The Strait is the only sea passage for oil and gas shipments out of the Persian Gulf, moving an estimated 20 million barrels of oil daily, and threats to close it triggered significant global concern.
While the closure didn't come to fruition, it was yet another reminder of the vulnerabilities that exist within the global supply chain, and the severe disruption that can result from just one incident.
It's a situation we've seen play out in the past.
In 2021, the container ship Ever Given blocked the Suez Canal for six days, holding up billions of dollars' worth of goods and causing global shipping congestion, delays and container shortages that took months to fully resolve.
Other significant routes include the Strait of Malacca, Panama Canal and Strait of Singapore, where a major disruption would have significant global ramifications.
Australia is particularly vulnerable due to our heavy reliance on imported goods and the fact that we remain a relatively small player in terms of global trade.
Routes to Australia are often not as lucrative or as high a priority for the shipping lines as routes to and from Europe and the US, for example.
Experience tells us that when all aspects of the supply chain are operating smoothly, global shipping is generally a fast and efficient process.
However, efficiency and productivity within the industry has arguably been maximised to such a point that there is no longer any room for error or disruption.
Advances in technology mean schedules and estimated delivery times are now monitored to the minute, operating on a best-case scenario that requires all elements to be functioning correctly and as expected.
These efficiencies have been driven both by industry and the consumer, with global connectivity and the instant-gratification nature of our increasingly digital world raising expectations when it comes to delivery and shipment times.
It means that when disruption hits the supply chain - whether that be geopolitical tension, a significant weather event or another unforeseen incident - the knock-on effect is often far more widespread, with the economic and social impacts lingering for weeks or months after the initial issue is resolved.
Unfortunately, the next disruption is a matter of when and not if.
But, by understanding the interconnected nature of the global supply chain, and expecting the unexpected, industry stakeholders hope to mitigate potential impacts and avoid pandemic-style pictures of empty shelves in the future.
While recent tensions in the Middle East were a fresh reminder of how quickly geopolitical conflicts can escalate, they also cast a renewed spotlight on the fragility of the global supply chain and just how reliant the shipping industry is on a handful of key trade corridors.
It's likely that until last week, most Australians had no idea where the Strait of Hormuz was located, nor realised its crucial role in the transportation of the world's oil.
The Strait is the only sea passage for oil and gas shipments out of the Persian Gulf, moving an estimated 20 million barrels of oil daily, and threats to close it triggered significant global concern.
While the closure didn't come to fruition, it was yet another reminder of the vulnerabilities that exist within the global supply chain, and the severe disruption that can result from just one incident.
It's a situation we've seen play out in the past.
In 2021, the container ship Ever Given blocked the Suez Canal for six days, holding up billions of dollars' worth of goods and causing global shipping congestion, delays and container shortages that took months to fully resolve.
Other significant routes include the Strait of Malacca, Panama Canal and Strait of Singapore, where a major disruption would have significant global ramifications.
Australia is particularly vulnerable due to our heavy reliance on imported goods and the fact that we remain a relatively small player in terms of global trade.
Routes to Australia are often not as lucrative or as high a priority for the shipping lines as routes to and from Europe and the US, for example.
Experience tells us that when all aspects of the supply chain are operating smoothly, global shipping is generally a fast and efficient process.
However, efficiency and productivity within the industry has arguably been maximised to such a point that there is no longer any room for error or disruption.
Advances in technology mean schedules and estimated delivery times are now monitored to the minute, operating on a best-case scenario that requires all elements to be functioning correctly and as expected.
These efficiencies have been driven both by industry and the consumer, with global connectivity and the instant-gratification nature of our increasingly digital world raising expectations when it comes to delivery and shipment times.
It means that when disruption hits the supply chain - whether that be geopolitical tension, a significant weather event or another unforeseen incident - the knock-on effect is often far more widespread, with the economic and social impacts lingering for weeks or months after the initial issue is resolved.
Unfortunately, the next disruption is a matter of when and not if.
But, by understanding the interconnected nature of the global supply chain, and expecting the unexpected, industry stakeholders hope to mitigate potential impacts and avoid pandemic-style pictures of empty shelves in the future.
While recent tensions in the Middle East were a fresh reminder of how quickly geopolitical conflicts can escalate, they also cast a renewed spotlight on the fragility of the global supply chain and just how reliant the shipping industry is on a handful of key trade corridors.
It's likely that until last week, most Australians had no idea where the Strait of Hormuz was located, nor realised its crucial role in the transportation of the world's oil.
The Strait is the only sea passage for oil and gas shipments out of the Persian Gulf, moving an estimated 20 million barrels of oil daily, and threats to close it triggered significant global concern.
While the closure didn't come to fruition, it was yet another reminder of the vulnerabilities that exist within the global supply chain, and the severe disruption that can result from just one incident.
It's a situation we've seen play out in the past.
In 2021, the container ship Ever Given blocked the Suez Canal for six days, holding up billions of dollars' worth of goods and causing global shipping congestion, delays and container shortages that took months to fully resolve.
Other significant routes include the Strait of Malacca, Panama Canal and Strait of Singapore, where a major disruption would have significant global ramifications.
Australia is particularly vulnerable due to our heavy reliance on imported goods and the fact that we remain a relatively small player in terms of global trade.
Routes to Australia are often not as lucrative or as high a priority for the shipping lines as routes to and from Europe and the US, for example.
Experience tells us that when all aspects of the supply chain are operating smoothly, global shipping is generally a fast and efficient process.
However, efficiency and productivity within the industry has arguably been maximised to such a point that there is no longer any room for error or disruption.
Advances in technology mean schedules and estimated delivery times are now monitored to the minute, operating on a best-case scenario that requires all elements to be functioning correctly and as expected.
These efficiencies have been driven both by industry and the consumer, with global connectivity and the instant-gratification nature of our increasingly digital world raising expectations when it comes to delivery and shipment times.
It means that when disruption hits the supply chain - whether that be geopolitical tension, a significant weather event or another unforeseen incident - the knock-on effect is often far more widespread, with the economic and social impacts lingering for weeks or months after the initial issue is resolved.
Unfortunately, the next disruption is a matter of when and not if.
But, by understanding the interconnected nature of the global supply chain, and expecting the unexpected, industry stakeholders hope to mitigate potential impacts and avoid pandemic-style pictures of empty shelves in the future.
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Australia news LIVE: RBA keeps rates on hold in stun to markets; Erin Patterson found guilty in Victorian mushroom trial
Australia news LIVE: RBA keeps rates on hold in stun to markets; Erin Patterson found guilty in Victorian mushroom trial

Sydney Morning Herald

time16 minutes ago

  • Sydney Morning Herald

Australia news LIVE: RBA keeps rates on hold in stun to markets; Erin Patterson found guilty in Victorian mushroom trial

Latest posts Latest posts 2.39pm Chalmers to front the media shortly By Broede Carmody Treasurer Jim Chalmers is due to speak to the media at 3pm AEDT. Stay tuned for that press conference. In the meantime, the Labor frontbencher has released the following statement in which he acknowledges the disappointment among the country's mortgage holders: Today the independent Reserve Bank left interest rates on hold at 3.85 per cent. It's not the result millions of Australians were hoping for or what the market was expecting. We have made substantial and sustained progress on inflation which is why interest rates have already been cut twice in five months this year. We've seen elsewhere that when central banks cut rates, they don't always cut at every meeting. ... We recognise that people are still under pressure and there's more work to do in our economy and that's why the cost-of-living relief that we're rolling out right now is so important. The global economy is uncertain and unpredictable but the progress we've made together means we're well placed and well prepared to weather the storm. We are managing this difficult global environment at the same time as we are building a more sustainable, productive and resilient economy. 2.31pm RBA keeps rates on hold By Shane Wright The Reserve Bank has stunned financial markets and economists by holding official interest rates steady at 3.85 per cent following its two-day meeting. In the face of ongoing uncertainty around the global economy, caused largely by US President Donald Trump's latest move on tariffs, the bank's monetary policy board decided to wait to see if local inflation pressures will continue to ease. 2.12pm Shares seesaw ahead of Reserve Bank decision The local share market has been gyrating between positive and negative territory amid tariff uncertainty and as traders wait for the latest Reserve Bank decision on interest rates. The ASX200 began trading on Tuesday with a 17-point fall, then climbed 20.7 points into the green in the second hour of trading before sinking back slightly into the red. At noon the benchmark S&P/ASX200 index was down 7.3 points, or 0.08 per cent, to 8582.2, while the broader All Ordinaries was down 4.5 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 8821.9. analyst Kyle Rodda said markets had received a 'quick punch in the guts' as Wednesday's US trade deal deadline approached. Loading Closer to home, it is widely expected that the Reserve Bank will announce later on Tuesday afternoon that it is cutting the cash rate from 3.85 per cent. Seven of the ASX's 11 sectors were lower at midday, with consumer discretionary, financials, telecommunications and telecommunications higher. Consumer staples was the biggest mover, dropping 1.1 per cent as Coles subtracted 1.0 per cent and A2 Milk retreated 3.3 per cent. In financials, three of the four big banks were higher. CBA had added 0.3 per cent, NAB was up 0.5 per cent and ANZ had advanced 0.4 per cent, while Westpac was down 0.4 per cent. In currency, the Australian dollar was trading for 65.15 US cents, from US65.24¢ on Monday. AAP 1.55pm Former Gold Coast politician accused of murder to stand trial By Cloe Read A former Gold Coast politician accused of murdering his stepfather by putting him in a chokehold had searches on his phone the day before the death relating to escaping domestic violence, a court has heard. Ryan Bayldon-Lumsden, 32, was committed to stand trial on Tuesday over the alleged murder of Robert Lumsden, 58, at the family's Arundel home in 2023. At the time of his arrest, Bayldon-Lumsden had been the councillor for Division 7 on the Gold Coast, representing the city's inner northern suburbs. The former politician had been on bail since he was released in 2023. Further details on this case can be found here. 1.33pm Urgent biosecurity warning for Sydney's iconic trees By Angus Dalton Sydney's majestic Moreton Bay and Port Jackson figs could be decimated along with up to 4000 plane trees casting shade and greenery along the city's streets if an invasive tunnelling beetle hitches a ride across the Nullarbor from its stronghold in Perth. Last month, the Western Australian government admitted it had lost a multimillion-dollar fight to eradicate the polyphagous shot-hole borer, a tiny beetle originally from South-East Asia that has devastated 4500 trees in Perth, including 20 towering much-loved figs that were chainsawed and mulched. Now plant pathologist and chief scientist of the Royal Botanic Gardens, Professor Brett Summerell, has sounded the alarm over the urgent biosecurity threat the beetle poses to Sydney. 1.18pm This afternoon's headlines at a glance By Broede Carmody Good afternoon and thanks for reading today's live coverage. I'm Broede Carmody and I'll be anchoring the national news blog for the rest of the afternoon. Here's what you need to know if you're just joining us. We're about an hour away from learning whether the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates. Erin Patterson is spending her first full day in prison after a jury found her guilty of the murders of Don Patterson, Gail Patterson and Heather Wilkinson, and the attempted murder of Ian Wilkinson. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has brushed off calls for a national cabinet to address antisemitism, arguing Australians want 'action' instead of more meetings. Opposition Leader Sussan Ley has supported calls for a national cabinet to tackle antisemitism. In Queensland, it's been revealed that the woman recently mauled by a lion had visited the predators about 80 times before she lost her arm. In international news, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said US President Donald Trump should be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. And hopes are fast fading in the search for additional survivors in the Texas flash flooding disaster. 12.55pm How a photographer made a 'bizarre' contraption to snap mushroom killer By Cassandra Morgan, Marta Pascual Juanola and Jason South They are the pictures purchased by media outlets across the world, splashed on front pages. Erin Patterson, in a prison van, mid-meltdown. Now, we have the inside story of how photographer and journalist Martin Keep managed to capture the defining images of the high-profile trial. Patterson believed the confines of her prison van would shield her from the media's relentless gaze – but she was wrong. On Monday, May 12 – two weeks into Erin Patterson's trial in the usually quiet Victorian country town of Morwell – most of the photographers and journalists covering the murder trial were taking the opportunity of a jury-free day to get some well-earned rest. 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'We haven't really pressed for answers as to what she was doing and how this happened,' he said. Robinson said at the time of the incident, which was 'over in a split second', the woman was with her sister – Robinson's wife and co-owner Stephanie Robinson – and the zoo's carnivore keeper. 11.10am Hopes fade for Texas flood survivors as death toll passes 100 By Emily Kowal The death toll from catastrophic flooding in Texas has surpassed 100, as hopes fade of finding survivors. At least 104 people have died after an eight-metre wall of water demolished a number of counties in central Texas at the weekend. In hard-hit Kerr County, home to Camp Mystic and several other summer camps for children, searchers have found the bodies of 84 people, including 28 children, according to Kerr County officials. Deaths in nearby counties brought the total number of deaths to at least 104. Loading Ten girls and a counsellor were still unaccounted for at Camp Mystic, a Christian summer camp along the river. As the death toll increased, officials in Kerr County have revealed little about what, if any, actions they took to safeguard residents, tourists and visitors in an area known as 'flash-flood alley'. Kerr County officials have deflected a series of pointed questions about preparations and warnings as forecasters warned of life-threatening conditions. 'Today's not the day and now's not the time to discuss the warnings, who got them, who didn't got them. Right now I'm only worried about public safety,' Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha said during an emergency session of the county commissioners court. Survivors have described the floods as a 'pitch-black wall of death' and said they received no emergency warnings. With AAP, AP, Reuters 10.41am 'You should get it': Netanyahu nominates Trump for Nobel Peace Prize By Emily Kowal Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu believes US President Donald Trump should be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. Netanyahu nominated Trump for the prestigious award, and handed the president a nomination letter during a meeting at the White House. 'He's forging peace as we speak,' Netanyahu said. 'In one country and one region after the other. So I want to present to you, Mr President, the letter I sent to the Nobel Prize Committee. It's nominating you for the Peace Prize, which is well deserved, and you should get it.'

A split Reserve Bank holds rates steady
A split Reserve Bank holds rates steady

Sydney Morning Herald

time16 minutes ago

  • Sydney Morning Herald

A split Reserve Bank holds rates steady

The Reserve Bank has stunned financial markets and economists by holding official interest rates steady at 3.85 per cent following its two-day meeting. In a split result, with three members of the bank's monetary policy board voting to cut rates, the Reserve argued it could afford to wait a little longer before moving to take rates lower. Financial markets had fully priced in a rate cut, while almost all economists believed the bank would cut the cash rate by a further quarter of a percentage point. In its statement explaining the decision, the bank said it could hold rates steady 'for a little more information to confirm that inflation remains on track to reach 2.5 per cent on a sustainable basis'. '(The board) noted that monetary policy is well-placed to respond decisively to international developments if they were to have material implications for activity and inflation in Australia,' it said. This is the first time in the bank's history that a vote on its decision has been made public, part of reforms introduced by Treasurer Jim Chalmers. It is also the first time a split in the bank about rate settings has been revealed. In a statement, Chalmers said the decision was 'not the result millions of Australians were hoping for or what the market was expecting'. He said the May inflation data showed both headline and underlying inflation were in the bottom half of the RBA's 2-3 per cent target band for the first time since August 2021.

A split Reserve Bank holds rates steady
A split Reserve Bank holds rates steady

The Age

time17 minutes ago

  • The Age

A split Reserve Bank holds rates steady

The Reserve Bank has stunned financial markets and economists by holding official interest rates steady at 3.85 per cent following its two-day meeting. In a split result, with three members of the bank's monetary policy board voting to cut rates, the Reserve argued it could afford to wait a little longer before moving to take rates lower. Financial markets had fully priced in a rate cut, while almost all economists believed the bank would cut the cash rate by a further quarter of a percentage point. In its statement explaining the decision, the bank said it could hold rates steady 'for a little more information to confirm that inflation remains on track to reach 2.5 per cent on a sustainable basis'. '(The board) noted that monetary policy is well-placed to respond decisively to international developments if they were to have material implications for activity and inflation in Australia,' it said. This is the first time in the bank's history that a vote on its decision has been made public, part of reforms introduced by Treasurer Jim Chalmers. It is also the first time a split in the bank about rate settings has been revealed. In a statement, Chalmers said the decision was 'not the result millions of Australians were hoping for or what the market was expecting'. He said the May inflation data showed both headline and underlying inflation were in the bottom half of the RBA's 2-3 per cent target band for the first time since August 2021.

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