A Chinese research vessel returns to Arctic waters — and Canada is watching
Data compiled by an independent researcher and ship tracker, Steffan Watkins, shows a Canadian air force CP-140 surveillance plane was flying in the vicinity of the Xue Long (Snow Dragon) 2 as it exited the Bering Strait on Sunday.
The aircraft, according to Watkins's research, relocated to Anchorage, Alaska, from its base in Comox, B.C., on July 9. It has conducted four patrols since then, including the most recent one involving the vessel, which is China's first domestically built polar research ship.
Despite publicly available flight tracking showing the CP-140's patrol route, the Department of National Defence would not confirm on Monday the presence of the aircraft.
On Tuesday, the military released a statement.
"We will continue to conduct activities needed to detect, deter and defend against potential threats in, over and approaching Canada," said Maj. Alexander Naraine, a spokesperson for the military's joint operations centre.
"The vessel, Xue Long 2, is not currently in Canadian territorial waters. The Canadian Joint Operations Command is actively monitoring the vessel Xue Long 2 with a CP-140 Aurora aircraft, based out of Alaska."
He said that monitoring will continue "so long as it continues to operate near Canadian territorial waters."
Naraine said competitor nations are exploring Arctic waters and the sea floor, "probing our infrastructure, and collecting intelligence using dual-purpose research vessels and surveillance platforms."
Coast guard says it's monitoring illegal fishing
The air force appears to have picked up where the Canadian Coast Guard left off.
The Chinese ice ship left Shanghai on July 6 and passed close to Japan a few days later, before heading north into Russian waters.
"Shadowing the Xue Long 2 all of the way from Japan was CCGS Sir Wilfrid Laurier, which unmistakably paralleled their transit, staying in international waters," Watkins wrote in his latest post, which included ship-tracking data.
The coast guard ship, the data shows, stuck with the Xue Long 2 until it crossed into the Bering Strait, between Alaska and Russia.
Asked about the mission of the Sir Wilfrid Laurier, the coast guard at first provided a circumspect response and pointed CBC News to a June 9 media release which said the ship would be conducting high seas patrols in the North Pacific to counter "illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing."
Then late Monday, the agency denied it was shadowing the Xue Long 2.
The stated mission of the coast guard ship was to focus on "migratory routes for key species like Pacific salmon," it said.
However, when ship-tracking data is overlaid with publicly available data on salmon migration routes, only one-third of the recent voyage involved known salmon paths.
The ship's helicopter was also slated to conduct patrols with Canadian fishery officers in Japan to "monitor fishing vessels and support partner countries to ensure compliance with international law," according to the statement.
Prime Minister Mark Carney pledged to expand the reach, security mandate and abilities of the Canadian Coast Guard as part of the Liberal government's plan to beef up the country's defences. Eventually, the federal government intends to integrate the civilian agency, currently under the Fisheries Department, into Canada's NATO defence capabilities to, as Carney put it last June, "better secure our sovereignty and expand maritime surveillance."
Last summer, the Royal Canadian Navy dispatched a frigate to monitor the Xue Long 2 during its voyage to the Arctic — a mission the Department of National Defence took more than a week to acknowledge.
WATCH | Canada plots military expansion in the North:
University of British Columbia Arctic expert Michael Byers said he believes Canadian officials need to be more forthcoming about the security threat they believe the vessel poses.
"One has to actually do a proper threat assessment," Byers told CBC News in an interview.
Military experts have described the Chinese ice research ship as a dual-use vessel — suggesting it has a military or defence capacity.
Byers acknowledged the ship could be collecting data that's militarily relevant, but he questions if the term "dual-use" is relying on assumptions rather than evidence.
Relations with China continue to be strained and Byers said statements that are "potentially escalatory" about what the Chinese are — and are not — doing in the Arctic need to be examined carefully.
Having said that, he fully supports the military and coast guard's monitoring activities.
"We're very concerned as a country about China as a rising military power, and obviously China is very strongly supporting Russia with regards to its invasion of Ukraine," Byers said.
"So yes, if a Chinese government vessel is sailing anywhere close to the United States or to Canada, then yeah, we would be monitoring it."
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00:00 We know the innovation cycle in Chinese A.I. has been very fast. Yeah. Yeah, but what happens if that slows down? I mean, sometimes people are hearing concerns. For instance, Deep Sea hasn't released a second reasoning model. Is that something that you need to be worried about? Uh, let's see. I would say as just a single organization or a single person, you really cannot go there fast for one time. Okay? You know, you're you're kind of like, you know, I can work in, like, for three days and without any sleep, but. But not anymore. Okay, Not anymore. And you have to. You can not, like, work 30 days and to have any sleep, okay? There's no way you could do that Work ethic in China. Yeah. Yeah. But I would say collectively, we can have an A very fast data ratio. Okay. Like. So that's why I really like a start. Would start with a mindset. So basically, you know, like deep sea could do something very fast. Okay. And, and then, like, we also have. Okay. Mm hmm. And then, like me. Okay. 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