logo
Letter to Mahlamba Ndlopfu: This wasn't just a diplomatic win, it was a geopolitical masterclass

Letter to Mahlamba Ndlopfu: This wasn't just a diplomatic win, it was a geopolitical masterclass

Daily Maverick23-05-2025
Ah, Chief Dwasaho! I wish I were a fly on the wall watching you, son of Soweto, hailing from the shithole known as South Africa, coming face to face with the former US Landlord-in-Chief turned 47th US President, Donald 'Mr Tariffs' Trump.
Novice political pundits billed the match as the grand finale with a predetermined outcome: President Trump would pull a Zelensky on you.
For the uninitiated in geopolitics, President Trump, on live television, belittled, demeaned, derided, humiliated, mocked, scolded, embarrassed, ridiculed, chastised and undermined Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The UK Guardian called the incident 'one of the greatest diplomatic disasters in modern history'.
But for me, this was always gonna be the Ramaphosa show, the master negotiator who outsmarted, outwitted, outflanked, and outmanoeuvred the then-National Party chief negotiator, Roelf Meyer.
With convenient amnesia, some forget how you, my leader, took the mining industry to the cleaners. In 1987, as the founding General Secretary of the National Union of Mineworkers (NUM), you led the largest and longest strike in South African mining history involving more than 300,000 workers that halted production in the gold and coal sectors.
You, Matamela, taught Big Capital and the apartheid apparatus crucial lessons: their wealth was built on black labour, the same people they treated as second-class citizens. The mining industry lost more than $100-million in pretax profits due to the strike. You emerged as a shrewd, deft, and masterful negotiator.
Fast forward to just under a year ago: you were at it again, cobbling together an 11-party Government of National Unity in just 12 days. You outfoxed, outplayed, outmanoeuvred and politically outclassed the Democratic Alliance's Helen Zille.
Pre-qualifier
So, the Trump opener wasn't a grand finale but a pre-qualifier for the real tournament: the Presidential World Cup Games, to be played over four gruelling seasons of the Trump Administration. To win the opening round, you fielded what many dismissed as fringe players, yet they emerged as polished performers with transactional flair to match Trump's own.
Your Trump card? A midfield commanded by Johann Rupert, the Richemont and Remgro boss, carrying the business brief with quiet authority and a rapport with the American skipper.
Up front, Ernie Els and Retief Goosen provided finesse, not with a ball but a golf club, exploiting Trump's notorious soft spot for the green. On the flank, DA leader John Steenhuisen — now Minister of Agriculture — brought his boots to the food security pitch, no stranger to the political dungeon.
Across the halfway line, the US bench featured hopefuls from the lower leagues — fresh boots, shiny kits, light on caps. Only Trump had prior appearances in the World Cup of Power, now returning with a point to prove — and a red cap in hand.
Vice-President JD Vance, the midfield orchestrator, brought populist grit and vision, aiming to control the tempo of foreign policy and trade. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, the centre-back, focused on security and defence, embodying the 'peace through strength' mantra.
Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, the dynamic winger, drove trade negotiations with Wall Street precision. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau, the seasoned right-back, ensured smooth diplomatic transitions, drawing on ambassadorial experience.
Together, this ensemble moved to navigate the geopolitical pitch with precision, each player bringing their skills to Trump's evolving but chaotic strategy.
Halftime report: the Trump-Ramaphosa derby
The match was deadlocked at the break — a tense 0-0, though political tackles flew. The sticking point? A contentious VAR (Video Assistant Referee) review involving 49 Afrikaner 'refugees' seeking asylum in the US, with Trump's camp pushing the tired 'white genocide' narrative.
But, in classic Cyril Ramaphosa fashion — calm under pressure — you scored against the run of play.
Early in the second half, the breakthrough came via Johann Rupert — the seasoned centre-back with commercial pedigree — who volleyed one home by affirming his Afrikaner heritage and the uncomfortable truth of his wealth's origins. A goal was made in Stellenbosch, and it was finished in Washington.
He reminded all that the Constitution — drafted and defended under the African National Congress (ANC) — now guards both his wealth and white minority rights and that referees on this pitch include not only the ANC but also the DA and Freedom Front Plus (FF+), who double as strikers and linesmen when the political ball demands creative positioning.
Trump's team looked rattled — their midfield lost structure, their narrative crumbling. VAR ruled: Afrikaners are free to migrate, and the US may extend courtesies as it pleases, but South Africa remains a sovereign trading partner — now with a fresh bilateral deal in the making: a clean strike, bottom corner.
The deal? Open lanes to US markets in exchange for uninterrupted flows of South Africa's prized minerals. That's when the real substitutions came in. Comrade Leadership, you emptied the bench and brought in the big guns — tactical switches that flipped the momentum.
Second-half line-up: Team Mineral XI
Platinum donned the armband — the undisputed number 10 — controlling 90% of global reserves and 91% of output; it controlled the midfield, powering hydrogen fuel cells, electronics, and cars like a seasoned playmaker. Palladium pressed high up the pitch, commanding 35% of global supply, breaking up emissions and fuelling catalytic converters.
Rhodium, the pacey winger with 80% of the worldwide share, tore down the flanks, running the hydrogen line and emission controls. Manganese held the centre with 80% of reserves under South African boots, anchoring steel production and battery technology.
Chromium kept the backline firm, the steel spine of the squad, commanding 72% of the world reserves. Vanadium (third largest producer behind Russia and China) sat deep, low key yet vital, threading passes into energy storage and steel alloys. Titanium, the left-back, strong and nimble, surged forward from the aerospace and machinery wings.
And guarding the posts, Zirconium, calm and steady, shielding the nuclear core in ceramic gloves.
According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), all these minerals are on Washington's Critical Minerals List — essential for maintaining US economic and national security dominance in the 21st century.
With the second-half performance powered by mineral muscle, the match tilted irreversibly in favour of Team Ramaphosa. The decisive play? A blistering counter-attack powered by South Africa's deep bench of critical minerals, each one a Champions League regular in global supply chains.
The new bilateral deal in the making was the match-winner. And just like that, South Africa was back in the global power league — not just as a player, but as the one holding the golden boot, leading the stats table for strategic relevance.
With you, Matamela, pulling the strings from behind the midfield, this wasn't just a diplomatic win but a geopolitical masterclass.
While the main pitch in Washington hosted the Trump-Ramaphosa showdown, the Israel-Palestine fixture was relegated to a warm-up match — a frustrating 3-a-side clash with no referees and too many own goals.
Ramaphosa, speaking from the mixed zone, called for a reset — not just of peace talks but the entire fixture list. His suggestion? A rotating neutral venue, a ceasefire by penalty shootout, and a truth commission as post-match analysis.
Coin toss
Meanwhile, both sides refused to leave the tunnel in the Ukraine-Russia derby, still arguing over the coin toss. But here's the kicker: South Africa offered to co-captain a new peace formation alongside the United States — an unlikely 4-4-2 of diplomacy, trade, mediation, and minerals.
With BRICS+ strikers restless on the bench and Nato defenders overcommitted to high lines, the Ramaphosa proposal to reset the game plan was met with cautious applause from the gallery.
You, President Cyril Ramaphosa, calm, clinical, and quietly ruthless, played the long game like a pro. You danced through the chaos in titanium boots. The Presidential World Cup Games move into the knockout stage, with Ramaphosa Men set to meet Team Brussels, Beijing, and possibly Team Moscow.
But with platinum reserves as your midfield and a manganese-titanium spine, you're heading into the next match with confidence and composure.
My leader, you didn't just win a match, you rewrote the fixtures, watered the pitch, and sent the fans home dreaming of a new world order — where South Africa wins not by chance but by calculation. If our courts, not the US Court of Political Opinion, decide, we will keep the equity and expropriation laws with minor tweaks.
Till next week, my man — send me to the next derby, and a front row seat will do. DM
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Trump's Tariffs Must Sow the Seeds for a National Reawakening
Trump's Tariffs Must Sow the Seeds for a National Reawakening

The Star

time4 hours ago

  • The Star

Trump's Tariffs Must Sow the Seeds for a National Reawakening

Zamikhaya Maseti | Published 9 hours ago Zamikhaya Maseti On August 1, 2025 , South Africa will enter a zone of strategic economic pain, engineered not by global market fluctuations, but by the vengeful hands of conservative economic nationalism. The United States, under the reins of Donald J. Trump, will impose a 30 per cent tariff on all goods and products exported from South Africa to the American markets. This is not a policy of trade readjustment; it is a geoeconomic act of hostility. The justification, wrapped in the language of " reciprocity, " is in reality a strategic blow aimed at disciplining South Africa's geopolitical posture and diplomatic boldness. Trump's economic nationalism, which sits at the ideological centre of Conservative Republicanism, is not merely inward-looking. It is punitive, retaliatory, and profoundly regressive. It has shaken the global trade architecture, not to recalibrate it, but to bend it in favour of America's new mercantilist order. This doctrine does not merely target trade imbalances; it punishes defiance. South Africa is now paying the price for standing on principle, particularly for its posture on Palestine and its landmark case against Israel at the International Court of Justice. It is clear, painfully so, that South Africa is being economically strangled not for what it trades, but for what it believes. Some Western analysts, ever keen to defend the status quo, will dispute this. They will search for economic rationality in an act that is blatantly political. Let them continue their intellectual gymnastics. This moment calls for clarity, not politeness. The truth is that Trump's worldview is transactional and tribal, and in that logic, South Africa has become collateral. That South Africa is seen as an irritant in Washington's new world order is not coincidental; it is structural. And let it be said without fear, Trump's policy on South Africa is influenced not only by economic calculations but by the mythologies peddled by actors like AfriForum and Elon Musk, who have exported the lie of white genocide into America's political bloodstream. But this is not the time for victimhood, nor is it the moment for diplomatic lamentation. It is time for South Africa to do some difficult thinking and embrace a new, muscular pragmatism . Diplomatic efforts, however noble, are unlikely to change Trump's position. Minister Parks Tau and his diplomatic team may work tirelessly, but they are facing a political machine that does not respond to nuance. Trump's narrative is fixed , and in that narrative, South Africa is an unfriendly trading partner whose tariffs harm American interests. He argues, correctly or not, that South African import duties and market access protocols are unfavourable to US goods. That argument, however flawed, resonates with his domestic base, and therefore it will stand. The United States will not blink , and it will not backtrack . Thus, it is not sufficient for South Africa to hope against hope; it must respond. Minister Parks Tau, trade envoys, and industrial leaders must now do the hard intellectual and strategic labour of repositioning the country's economic posture. Nowhere is this urgency more pressing than in the automotive sector, a critical node of South Africa's manufacturing ecosystem. This sector is not only a source of direct jobs; it sustains a complex web of downstream industries, from component manufacturing and logistics to retail and after-market services. It is here that the 30 per cent tariff will hit hardest, and it is here that innovation, not inertia, must be summoned . The sector must accept that the American market , for the foreseeable future, has lost ground. The time has come for South Africa to pivot decisively toward other markets, especially those aligned with its economic diplomacy ambitions. The first option lies in the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), the single largest integrated market on the continent , and the largest globally by number of countries. With over 1.3 billion people and a combined GDP exceeding $3.4 trillion, the AfCFTA offers South Africa a natural and politically friendly trading space. Sub-Saharan Africa, in particular, presents high-value demand for affordable, durable automotive products, especially among its emerging middle classes and youthful populations. Research shows that more than 60 per cent of the region's population is under the age of 25, representing a long-term demand curve that is not speculative, but empirically grounded. Yet, South African companies have been slow to leverage this opportunity. There remains an unhealthy fog of Afro-pessimism and the lingering delusion of South African exceptionalism. These intellectual blindfolds must be cast aside . Africa is not a dumping ground; it is a destination for growt h. The automotive industry must shift from waiting for trade to come to it and instead begin creating strategic partnerships in East, West, and Central Africa. This includes setting up joint ventures, service hubs, and low-cost satellite assembly plants across regional economic communities. The second and equally strategic option lies in a new industrial partnership with China. The presence and popularity of Chinese-made vehicles in the South African domestic market has reached a saturation point. They are competitively priced, technologically competent, and now represent a serious challenge to traditional brands. But if left unmanaged, this trend could lead to the hollowing out of South Africa's manufacturing base. South Africa must use its BRICS membership as a strategic lever. China must be persuaded to localise the manufacturing of its automotive brands in South Africa. This is not a charity request; it is a strategic proposal. Chinese companies should be invited to co-invest in high-tech manufacturing and assembly infrastructure in Eastern Cape, Gauteng, and KwaZulu-Natal. This could take the form of co-assembled production alongside legacy OEMs like Mercedes-Benz SA, which now face looming layoffs. The South African government must incentivise this localisation through targeted industrial policy, special economic zones, and technology-sharing frameworks. In this regard, the principle of ' South Africa Inc ' must be revived with urgency. Under President Cyril Ramaphosa, South Africa Inc refers to the coordinated use of economic diplomacy, government strategy, and business networks to advance national economic interests abroad. Its objectives are to integrate South African companies into key markets, attract strategic investment, and drive regional industrialisation. In Southern Africa, this approach has already delivered notable success, such as increased South African corporate presence in Zambia, Namibia, and Mozambique, particularly in retail, finance, and energy sectors. Now is the time to bring the automotive sector under this umbrella. South African diplomatic missions across Africa and Asia must be tasked explicitly with facilitating market entry, assembling policy frameworks, and brokering industrial partnerships for local manufacturers. This is not merely export promotion; it is the safeguarding of South Africa's industrial sovereignty. In conclusion, the Trump tariffs should not be seen as the end of a trade relationship, but as the beginning of a deeper national reawakening. The South African government must retool its economic diplomacy, its industrial incentives, and its regional vision. The automotive sector, in particular, must abandon old comfort zones and rise to this moment with the courage of imagination and the rigour of strategy. What is at stake is more than exports; it is the future of South Africa's industrial identity. * Zamikhaya Maseti is a Political Economy Analyst with a Magister Philosophiae (M. PHIL) in South African Politics and Political Economy from the University of Port Elizabeth (UPE), now known as the Nelson Mandela University (NMU). ** The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of IOL, Independent Media or The African.

Trump, EU chief seek deal in transatlantic tariffs standoff
Trump, EU chief seek deal in transatlantic tariffs standoff

eNCA

time5 hours ago

  • eNCA

Trump, EU chief seek deal in transatlantic tariffs standoff

US President Donald Trump and EU chief Ursula von der Leyen prepared to meet Sunday in Scotland in a push to resolve a months-long transatlantic trade standoff that is going down to the wire. Trump has said he sees a 50-50 chance of reaching a deal with the European Union, having vowed to hit dozens of countries with punitive tariffs unless they hammer out a pact with Washington by August 1. The EU is currently facing the threat of an across-the-board levy of 30 percent from that date. Von der Leyen's European Commission, negotiating on behalf of the EU's member countries, has been pushing hard for a deal to salvage a trading relationship worth an annual $1.9 trillion in goods and services. Any deal with the United States will need approval by all 27 member states. EU ambassadors, on a visit to Greenland, were to meet Sunday morning to discuss the latest negotiations -- and again after any accord. Sunday's sit-down between Trump and the EU chief was to take place at 4:30 pm (1530 GMT) in Turnberry, on Scotland's southwestern coast, where Trump owns a luxury golf resort. The 79-year-old American leader said Friday he hoped to strike "the biggest deal of them all" with the EU. "I think we have a good 50-50 chance" of a deal, the president said, citing sticking points on "maybe 20 different things". He praised von der Leyen as "a highly respected woman" -- a far cry from his erstwhile hostility in accusing the EU of existing to "screw" the United States. But late-night EU talks with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on Saturday to hammer out the final details were "combative at times," The Financial Times reported. As of Saturday evening, there were "still quite a few open questions" -- notably on pharmaceutical sector tariffs, said one EU diplomat. Tariff levels on the auto sector were also crucial for the Europeans -- notably France and Germany -- and the EU has been pushing for a compromise on steel that could allow a certain quota into the United States before tariffs would apply. - Baseline 15 percent - According to European diplomats, the deal on the table involves a baseline levy of around 15 percent on EU exports to the United States -- the level secured by Japan -- with carve-outs for critical sectors including aircraft, lumber and spirits excluding wine. The EU would commit to ramp up purchases of US liquefied natural gas, along with a series of investment pledges. AFP/File | ROMAIN PERROCHEAU Hit by multiple waves of tariffs since Trump reclaimed the White House, the EU is currently subject to a 25-percent levy on cars, 50 percent on steel and aluminium, and an across-the-board tariff of 10 percent, which Washington threatens to hike to 30 percent in a no-deal scenario. The EU has focused on getting a deal with Washington to avoid sweeping tariffs that would further harm its sluggish economy, with retaliation as a last resort. While 15 percent would be much higher than pre-existing US tariffs on European goods -- at 4.8 percent -- it would mirror the status quo, with companies already facing an additional flat rate of 10 percent. Should talks fail, EU states have greenlit counter tariffs on $109 billion (93 billion euros) of US goods including aircraft and cars to take effect in stages from August 7. Brussels is also drawing up a list of US services to potentially target. Beyond that, countries like France say Brussels should not be afraid to deploy a so-called trade "bazooka" -- EU legislation designed to counter coercion through trade measures which involves restricting access to its market and public contracts. But such a step would mark a major escalation with Washington. - Ratings dropping - Trump has embarked since returning to power on a campaign to reshape US trade with the world. But polls suggest the American public is unconvinced, with a recent Gallup survey showing his approval rating at 37 percent -- down 10 points from January. Having promised "90 deals in 90 days," Trump's administration has so far unveiled five, including with Britain, Japan and the Philippines. Early Sunday, ahead of his meeting with Von der Leyen, Trump was out again on the golf course, having spent most of Saturday playing at Turnberry amid tight security. AFP | ANDY BUCHANAN The trip to Scotland has put physical distance between Trump and the scandal around Jeffrey Epstein, the wealthy financier accused of sex trafficking who died in prison in 2019 before facing trial. In his heyday, Epstein was friends with Trump and others in the New York jet-set, but the president is facing backlash from his own MAGA supporters demanding access to the Epstein case files. With the uproar refusing to die down, a headline agreement with the EU -- in addition to bolstering Trump's dealmaker credentials -- could bring a welcome distraction.

Zim activist Duke Maplanka Atterbell criticises South Africa's treatment of foreign nationals
Zim activist Duke Maplanka Atterbell criticises South Africa's treatment of foreign nationals

IOL News

time6 hours ago

  • IOL News

Zim activist Duke Maplanka Atterbell criticises South Africa's treatment of foreign nationals

Zimbabwean Activist Duke Maplanka Atterbell denounces rising xenophobia in South Africa, accusing the government of silence and neglect. He vows international legal action if systemic discrimination against foreign nationals continues unchecked. Image: March and March/Facebook Zimbabwean activist Duke Maplanka Atterbell says the South African government is complicit in systemic discrimination against foreign nationals and has failed to act in the face of escalating xenophobic violence and medical exclusion. In a formal letter dated 27 July 2025, addressed to President Cyril Ramaphosa, Minister of health, Minister of home affairs and the South African Human Rights Commission, Atterbell accused the state of both silence and active neglect, warning of formal complaints to African and international human rights bodies if urgent action is not taken. "I write this letter as both a concerned African citizen and a representative voice of thousands of foreign nationals, especially Zimbabweans, living in South Africa," Atterbell said. He described a worsening situation where 'foreign nationals are being chased out of hospitals, clinics, and even maternity wards. Others are beaten in the streets, publicly humiliated, or threatened by vigilantes emboldened by government silence.' His letter denounced what he calls a double standard in South Africa's global human rights stance, referencing Pretoria's condemnation of injustice abroad while allegedly turning a blind eye at home. 'How can South Africa claim the mantle of human rights defender abroad, while at home it presides over de facto ethnic cleansing through economic and medical exclusion? This hypocrisy is staggering,' he said. Atterbell warned that if no action is taken, he will escalate the matter by filing complaints with the African Commission on Human and Peoples' Rights, the UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Health, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination, and the South African Human Rights Commission. He also promised to engage in public advocacy and international media exposure. 'This is not governance, it is abandonment,' he wrote. 'This is not the South Africa that the continent stood behind during the anti-apartheid struggle. This is not Ubuntu.' Atterbell's appeal comes amid rising tensions in the country over undocumented migration, especially concerning access to jobs and healthcare. In March 2024, radio personality Jacinta Ngobese-Zuma launched March and March, a non-governmental organisation that actively campaigns against the employment and public healthcare access of undocumented foreign nationals in South Africa. What began in KwaZulu-Natal has now spread nationally, with March and March volunteers stationed at entrances of hospitals including Addington Hospital, RK Khan Hospital, and various Gateway Clinics across the province. The group screens patients before entry, turning away those unable to produce South African ID documents. 'We operate where the government has failed,' the group has said. While critics have labelled it a vigilante operation targeting vulnerable people, the organisation continues to draw strong support from South Africans who believe hospitals are being overrun by foreigners. Responding to Atterbell's letter, Ngobese-Zuma posted on Facebook: 'He is Zimbabwean and writes to OUR President and not HIS… Kshuthi ngampela they believe they are South African‼️ Kshuthi we owe them‼️ Kshuthi we must intensify our fight because mentally these ppl don't think that we are serious.'' (Translated : He is Zimbabwean and writes to OUR President and not HIS… Maybe, seriously, they believe they are South African! Maybe we owe them! Maybe we must intensify our fight because mentally these people don't think that we are serious.'') Atterbell was quick to respond addressing Ngobese-Zuma in defiant terms. 'When Dudula royalty thinks they can intimidate you,' he said, in reference to her association with nationalist movements. 'Jacinta Zinhle MaNgobese Zuma, let's get one thing straight. I am not here to bow before self-appointed foot soldiers of hate. ''I am an enigma, not because I hide, but because I refuse to allow you to spread your bitter view of patriotism unchecked. I am a fearless advocate for human rights, not because it's easy, but because people like you have made silence a weapon. And yes, I am a hater of bigotry — proudly, loudly, and unapologetically.' He continued, accusing Ngobese-Zuma of masking fear as nationalism: 'You walk around with your chest puffed out like you're some gatekeeper of South Africa's soul. But what you really are is a loud emblem of fear, disguised as pride. You lead mobs, I lead with conscience. You shout in mobs, I speak in truth. You weaponise suffering, I document it.' Addressing her direct challenge, Atterbell wrote: 'You asked, 'Who are you?' Let me answer clearly: I am the one your hate cannot reach and your intimidation cannot shake. ''I am the storm you didn't see coming, and the voice you'll wish you hadn't tried to silence. Because while you scream for borders, I fight for bridges. While you hunt the vulnerable, I summon accountability. And while you wave your flag with fury, I carry the Constitution with fire.' 'So no, MaNgobese. I won't be quiet. Not now. Not ever,'' said Atterbell. Atterbell, however, insists that the fight is not against South Africa, but for human dignity. 'If your government fails to act, history, and international law, will remember it not for its silence, but for its complicity.' Get your news on the go, click here to join the IOL News WhatsApp channel. IOL News

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store