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Vertical Aerospace Announces Launch of Proposed Underwritten Public Offering

Vertical Aerospace Announces Launch of Proposed Underwritten Public Offering

Globe and Mail3 days ago
Vertical Aerospace (Vertical) (NYSE: EVTL) ("Vertical' or the 'Company'), a global aerospace and technology company that is pioneering electric aviation, today announced that it has commenced an underwritten public offering of $60 million of the Company's ordinary shares (the "Offering'). In connection with the Offering, the Company has granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional $9 million of ordinary shares. The Offering is subject to market and other conditions, and there can be no assurance as to whether or when the Offering may be completed, or as to the actual size or terms of the Offering.
Deutsche Bank Securities and William Blair are acting as joint bookrunners for the proposed Offering.
Vertical intends to use the net proceeds from the Offering to fund its research and development expenses as Vertical continues to develop its aircraft and its expenditures in the expansion of its testing and certification capacities, as well as for general working capital and other general corporate purposes.
The Company's ordinary shares trade on the NYSE under the symbol 'EVTL'.
The proposed Offering will be made only by means of a preliminary prospectus supplement to the Company's registration statement on Form F-3 (File No. 333-287207) previously filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the 'SEC') on May 13, 2025 and declared effective by the SEC on May 16, 2025. Copies of the preliminary prospectus supplement and an accompanying prospectus relating to the proposed Offering will be available upon filing on the SEC's website located at www.sec.gov, or by contacting: Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., Attention: Prospectus Department, 1 Columbus Circle, New York, NY 10019, by telephone at (800) 503-4611, or by email at Prospectus.Ops@db.com; or William Blair & Company, L.L.C., Attention: Prospectus Department, 150 North Riverside Plaza, Chicago, IL 60606, by telephone at (800) 621-0687, or by email at prospectus@williamblair.com.
The final terms of the proposed public offering will be disclosed in a final prospectus supplement to be filed with the SEC. This press release shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
About Vertical Aerospace
Vertical Aerospace is a global aerospace and technology company pioneering electric aviation. Vertical is creating a safer, cleaner and quieter way to travel. Vertical's VX4 is a piloted, four passenger, Electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft, with zero operating emissions. Vertical will also be launching a hybrid-electric variant, offering increased range and mission flexibility to meet the evolving needs of the advanced air mobility market.
Vertical combines partnering with leading aerospace companies, including GKN, Honeywell and Leonardo, with developing its own proprietary battery and propeller technology to develop the world's most advanced and safest eVTOL.
Vertical has c.1,500 pre-orders of the VX4, with customers across four continents, including American Airlines, Japan Airlines, GOL and Bristow. Certain customer obligations are expected to be fulfilled via third-party agreements. Headquartered in Bristol, the epicentre of the UK's aerospace industry, Vertical's experienced leadership team comes from top tier automotive and aerospace companies such as Rolls-Royce, Airbus, GM and Leonardo. Together they have previously certified and supported over 30 different civil and military aircraft and propulsion systems.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that relate to our current expectations and views of future events. We intend such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements as contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the 'Securities Act') and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the 'Exchange Act'). Any express or implied statements contained in this press release that are not statements of historical fact may be deemed to be forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the size and expected gross proceeds from the Offering, completion and timing of the Offering, the anticipated use of proceeds from the Offering and the expectation to grant the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase additional shares, our future results of operations and financial position, our plans for capital expenditures, the design and manufacture of the VX4, our business strategy and plans and objectives of management for future operations, including the building and testing of our prototype aircrafts on timelines projected, certification and the commercialization of the VX4 and our ability to achieve regulatory certification of our aircraft product on any particular timeline or at all, expectations surrounding pre-orders and commitments, the features and capabilities of the VX4, the transition towards a net-zero emissions economy, as well as statements that include the words 'expect,' 'intend,' 'plan,' 'believe,' 'project,' 'forecast,' 'estimate,' 'may,' 'should,' 'anticipate,' 'will,' 'aim,' 'potential,' 'continue,' 'are likely to' and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature. Forward-looking statements are neither promises nor guarantees, but involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, including, without limitation: market conditions and satisfaction of customary closing conditions related to the Offering; our limited operating history without manufactured non-prototype aircraft or completed eVTOL aircraft customer order; our history of losses and the expectation to incur significant expenses and continuing losses for the foreseeable future; the market for eVTOL aircraft being in a relatively early stage; our potential inability to test, produce, certify or launch aircraft in the volumes or timelines projected, including achieving the targets set out in Flightpath 2030; the potential inability to obtain the necessary certifications for production and operation within any projected timeline, or at all; any accidents or incidents involving eVTOL aircraft could harm our business; our dependence on partners and suppliers for the components in our aircraft and for operational needs; the potential that certain strategic partnerships may not materialize into long-term partnership arrangements; development, testing and commercialization of a hybrid-electric vertical take-off and landing variant of the VX4 is subject to significant risks, including technological, regulatory and operational challenges; all of the pre-orders received are conditional and may be terminated at any time and any pre-delivery payments may be fully refundable upon certain specified dates; the inability for our aircraft to perform at the level we expect and may have potential defects; any potential failure to effectively manage our growth; our inability to recruit and retain senior management and other highly skilled personnel, our ability to raise additional funds when we need or want them, or at all, to fund our operations; our limited cash and cash equivalents and recurring losses from our operations raise significant doubt (or raise substantial doubt as contemplated by PCAOB standards) regarding our ability to continue as a going concern; the fact that we have previously identified material weaknesses in our internal controls over financial reporting which if we fail to properly remediate, could adversely affect our results of operations, investor confidence in us and the market price of our ordinary shares; the fact that our preliminary cash position and predicted cash runway toward the middle of 2026 as a result of this Offering represent management's current estimates and are subject to change; the fact that as a foreign private issuer, we follow certain home country corporate governance rules, are not subject to U.S. proxy rules and are subject to Exchange Act reporting obligations that, to some extent, are more lenient and less frequent than those of a U.S. domestic public company; and the other important factors discussed under the caption 'Risk Factors' in our Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on March 11, 2025, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our other filings with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak only as of the date hereof and accordingly undue reliance should not be placed on such statements. We disclaim any obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained in this press release, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than to the extent required by applicable law.
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2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy Before They Soar 150% and 735%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts
2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy Before They Soar 150% and 735%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts

Globe and Mail

time34 minutes ago

  • Globe and Mail

2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy Before They Soar 150% and 735%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts

Key Points Nvidia and Tesla are two of the three best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 since January 2020, notching returns of 2,690% and 1,010%, respectively. Nvidia has a dominant market position in data center GPUs and generative AI networking equipment, and the rise of physical artificial intelligence (AI) should be a major tailwind. Tesla's electric car business is struggling with market share losses, but CEO Elon Musk says the company will dominate the robotaxi market in the future. 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia › Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) rank among the three best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) so far this decade, and artificial intelligence (AI) has been a major tailwind for both companies. Since January 2020, Nvidia shares have added 2,690% due to soaring demand for AI chips. Meanwhile, Tesla shares have added 1,010% due to excitement about self-driving cars and autonomous robots. In both cases, some Wall Street analysts expect more fireworks in the years ahead. Beth Kindig at the I/O Fund thinks Nvidia stock will reach $410 per share by 2030. That implies 150% upside from its current share price of $164. Tasha Keeney at Ark Invest thinks Tesla stock will reach $2,600 per share by 2029. That implies about 735% upside from its current share price of $310. Here's what investors should know about these companies. Nvidia: 150% implied upside Beth Kindig, lead technology analyst at the I/O Fund, thinks Nvidia will trade at $410 per share by 2030, which implies a market value of $10 trillion. The investment thesis centers on rapidly growing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) hardware and software in data centers, as well as edge devices like autonomous cars and robots. Nvidia is best known for its graphics processing units (GPUs), chips also known as artificial intelligence accelerators. It holds over 90% market share in data center GPUs, and analysts at TD Cowen expect the company to maintain the same level of dominance through the end of the decade, with AI chip sales increasing 160% during that period. However, investors need to understand Nvidia is more than a chipmaker. The company also leads the market for generative AI networking gear and it has a burgeoning cloud services business. "We stopped thinking of ourselves as a chip company long ago," CEO Jensen Huang told attendees at the annual shareholder meeting in June. Importantly, while generative AI is currently the largest source of demand for Nvidia AI infrastructure, the company is well positioned to benefit as the physical AI boom unfolds. Physical AI refers to autonomous machines like cars and robots that understand, interact with, and navigate the real world. "We're working toward a day where there will be billions of robots, hundreds of millions of autonomous vehicles, and hundreds of thousands of robotic factories that can be powered by Nvidia technology," Jensen Huang explained to shareholders last month. So, can Nvidia reach $410 per share by 2030? I think so. That implies annual returns of 18%. Grand View Research estimates AI spending will increase at 36% annually through the end of the decade, which means Nvidia could achieve similar annual earnings growth. In that scenario, the stock could hit $410 per share in late 2030 at a reasonable valuation of 22 times earnings. For context, the stock currently trades at 53 times earnings, which itself is a substantial discount to the three-year average of 80 times earnings. Tesla: 735% implied upside Ark Invest analysts led by Tasha Keeney expect Tesla to trade at $2,600 per share by 2029, which implies a market value of $8.3 trillion. Their investment thesis centers on robotaxis, which are expected to account for 63% of revenue by the end of that period. Meanwhile, electric cars (26%), energy storage (10%), and insurance (1%) will comprise the remaining portion. While Alphabet 's Waymo is currently the market leader, Tesla theoretically has an edge in autonomous driving technology. Its full self-driving (FSD) software is powered entirely by computer vision, rather than a costly array of lidar, radar, and cameras like Waymo. For context, Tesla says its dedicated robotaxi (the Cybercab) will cost less than $30,000, but Waymo sensors alone can cost as much as $100,000. Also, Tesla has more camera-equipped vehicles on the road collecting data than every other automaker combined. That data advantage should translate into better AI models. Indeed, Ark Invest says Teslas in FSD mode can drive 3,200 miles per crash on surface streets, which makes them an estimated 16 times safer than an average driver and six times safer than Waymo. Tesla recently started its first autonomous ride-sharing service in Austin, Texas. CEO Elon Musk says robotaxis could be a material source of revenue by late next year, and he thinks Tesla will eventually have 99% market share in what could be a multitrillion-dollar industry. Indeed, Tom Narayan at RBC Capital estimates marketwide robotaxi revenue will reach $1.7 trillion by 2040. While that outcome is plausible, I would be remiss not to mention Tesla's woes. It has lost substantial market share in electric cars in the past year due to its aging product lineup and Elon Musk's political activities. In fact, Tesla deliveries dropped 13% in the first and second quarters, despite a 35% increase in global electric car sales year to date through May, according to Morgan Stanley. So, can Tesla reach $2,600 per share by 2029? I doubt it. While I think autonomous driving technology will be a big catalyst for the company, Ark's target price implies the stock will return 60% annually over the next four-plus years. That means Tesla's earnings would need to increase at 60% annually during the same period just to maintain its already-expensive valuation of 170 times earnings. Should you invest $1,000 in Nvidia right now? Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $674,432!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,005,854!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor 's total average return is1,049% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to180%for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 7, 2025 Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Trevor Jennewine has positions in Nvidia and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Prediction: 2 AI Stocks Will Be Worth More Than Palantir Technologies by Late 2028
Prediction: 2 AI Stocks Will Be Worth More Than Palantir Technologies by Late 2028

Globe and Mail

timean hour ago

  • Globe and Mail

Prediction: 2 AI Stocks Will Be Worth More Than Palantir Technologies by Late 2028

Key Points Palantir Technologies currently has a market capitalization of $335 billion, but Uber and CoreWeave could top that figure by late 2028. Uber has a strong presence in ride-sharing and food delivery, and the company expects the rise of autonomous vehicles to be a tailwind. CoreWeave has distinguished itself as the leading artificial intelligence cloud, and the company's revenue is growing incredibly quickly. 10 stocks we like better than Uber Technologies › Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) shares have advanced 400% over the past year, and the company is currently worth $335 billion. I predict Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER) and CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) will reach $340 billion by late 2028. Here's what that would mean for shareholders: Uber is currently worth $201 billion. If the company achieves a market value of $340 billion by late 2028, the stock will increase 69% to $163 per share. That implies annual returns of roughly 16% over the next three and a half years. CoreWeave is currently worth $63 billion. If the company achieves a market value of $340 billion by late 2028, the stock will increase 440% to $702 per share. That implies annual returns of roughly 62% over the next three and a half years. Here's what investors should know about these artificial intelligence stocks. 1. Uber Technologies Uber leads the U.S. ride-sharing market with 76% share, according to Bloomberg. It also ranks second in the restaurant food delivery market with 24% share. The company is also the leader in ride-sharing services in nine other countries, and the market leader in food-delivery services in eight countries. Finally, Uber has a booming advertising business built on its ability to collect consumer data. Uber reported encouraging first-quarter financial results. Monthly active users rose 14% but total trips climbed 18%, which means the average user is engaging the platform more frequently. In turn, revenue increased 14% to $11.5 billion on strong growth in the mobility and delivery segments, offset by lower sales in the freight segment. Meanwhile, adjusted EBITDA increased 35% to $1.9 billion. Uber may not be an artificial intelligence (AI) stock in the traditional sense, though it does use AI to optimize routes and pricing, and to surface relevant ads within its mobile app. But autonomous vehicles (AVs) represent an inflection point for the ride-sharing industry, and Uber has numerous partners that have either launched or are about to launch robotaxi services, including Alphabet 's Waymo, Motional, Pony AI, and WeRide. Admittedly, some analysts see autonomous driving technology as a potential problem for Uber, particularly if a non-partner like Tesla emerges as the industry leader. But CEO Dana Khosrowshahi sees robotaxis as a likely catalyst. "Uber can deliver the lowest operational costs for our AV partners because we are leaps and bounds ahead on every aspect of the go-to-market capabilities," he recently told analysts. Here's how Uber could top Palantir's current market value by late 2028: The stock currently trades at 16.9 times earnings, but earnings are projected to increase at 26% annually over the next three to five years. In that scenario, Uber could be worth $340 billion by year-end in 2028 at a more reasonable valuation of 12.4 times earnings. That seems plausible given its dominance in ride-sharing and its many autonomous driving partnerships. 2. CoreWeave CoreWeave offers cloud infrastructure and software services for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing (HPC) workloads. The company works closely with Nvidia, so it can often deploy new technologies before other cloud providers. Also, it frequently sets performance records at the MLPerf benchmarks, objective tests measuring AI systems across training and inference use cases. Research firm SemiAnalysis recently ranked CoreWeave as the leading AI cloud, awarding it higher scores than Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Alphabet's Google. Not surprisingly, the company reported dazzling first-quarter financial results. Revenue surged 420% to $981 million and adjusted operating income (which excludes interest payments on debt and stock-based compensation) jumped 550% to $162 million. CoreWeave recently announced plans to acquire data center infrastructure provider Core Scientific in an all-stock transaction. The deal, still subject to regulatory approval, would make CoreWeave more efficient through vertical integration. It would own the data centers rather than leasing them, which would eliminate $10 billion in future lease overhead. Also, management says the deal would let CoreWeave raise debt at a lower cost of capital. "This acquisition accelerates our strategy to deploy AI and HPC workloads at scale," said CEO Michael Intrator in the press release. "Verticalizing the ownership of Core Scientific's high-performance data center infrastructure enables CoreWeave to significantly enhance operating efficiency." Here's how CoreWeave could top Palantir's current market value by late 2028: The stock currently trades at 23 times sales, but revenue is forecast to grow at 69% annually through 2028. In that scenario, CoreWeave at the end of that period could be worth $340 billion at a more reasonable 20 times sales. As a caveat, my CoreWeave prediction is much more aggressive than my Uber prediction. However, I think the scenario I just proposed is plausible because the company is a leader in AI cloud services and its revenue is growing incredibly quickly. Should you invest $1,000 in Uber Technologies right now? Before you buy stock in Uber Technologies, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Uber Technologies wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $674,432!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,005,854!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor 's total average return is1,049% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to180%for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 7, 2025 John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Trevor Jennewine has positions in Amazon, Nvidia, Palantir Technologies, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, Palantir Technologies, Tesla, and Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Forget About Inflation! This Is a Much Bigger Threat to Wall Street.
Forget About Inflation! This Is a Much Bigger Threat to Wall Street.

Globe and Mail

timean hour ago

  • Globe and Mail

Forget About Inflation! This Is a Much Bigger Threat to Wall Street.

Key Points Volatility has been readily apparent for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite since 2025 began. Inflationary fears have been heightened by President Donald Trump's tariff and trade policy, as well as the rapid expansion of M2 money supply. However, there's no bigger threat to the stock market's rally than the earnings quality of Wall Street's most-influential businesses. These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › Over the last century, the stock market has been a surefire moneymaker for patient, long-term-minded investors. Although other asset classes have increased in value over extended periods, including real estate, Treasury bonds, and commodities like gold, silver, and oil, none have come close to matching the annualized return of stocks. But just because the stock market offers a lengthy track record of making long-term investors richer doesn't mean Wall Street is free of volatility. Since the curtain opened for 2025, the benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and growth-focused Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) have both hit new highs. Additionally, the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) and S&P 500 fell into correction territory, with the Nasdaq Composite enduring a short-lived bear market. Volatility tends to be driven by investor uncertainty and emotions. Though there's clear uncertainty at the moment concerning the prevailing rate of inflation and how rising prices might adversely impact stocks moving forward, a strong argument can be made that there's a much bigger threat to Wall Street than inflation. Inflationary fears are mounting on Wall Street Let me preface this discussion by noting that a modest level of inflation is normal, healthy, and expected. When the U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders and expanding, it's expected that businesses will possess some level of pricing power that allows them to charge more for their goods and services. Historically, the Federal Reserve has targeted a prevailing rate of inflation of 2%. What has professional and everyday investors concerned is the potential for two variables to significantly increase the domestic inflation rate, which can have adverse consequences on corporate America, the U.S. economy, and the stock market. The first of these issues is President Donald Trump's tariff and trade policy. Following the close of trading on April 2, Trump unveiled his grandiose plan, which included a 10% sweeping global tariff, as well as higher " reciprocal tariff rates" on dozens of countries that have historically run unfavorable trade imbalances with America. For what it's worth, Trump has paused reciprocal tariffs on most countries until Aug. 1. The implementation of global tariffs comes with a host of potential problems, ranging from worsening trade relations with our allies to the possibility of foreign countries and/or consumers not buying American-made goods. But arguably the biggest worry of all with tariffs is their inflationary impact. Whereas output tariffs are applied to finished products imported into the country, input tariffs are duties assigned to goods used to complete the manufacture of products in America. Input tariffs run the risk of making U.S. goods costlier, and Trump's tariff and trade policy doesn't do a very good job of differentiating between output and input tariffs. An expected increase in the prevailing rate of inflation from Donald Trump's tariff and trade policy has even resulted in something of a " Trump bump" in Social Security's 2026 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) forecast. M2 money supply is expanding at its fastest pace in three years. US M2 Money Supply data by YCharts. The second variable that can cause the inflation rate to accelerate and remain well above the Fed's 2% target is the expansion of U.S. money supply. Similar to the prevailing rate of inflation, money supply is something we want to see growing at a modest rate. Expanding economies require added capital to facilitate transactions. Steady growth in money supply is one of the key markers of a healthy economy. What's specifically worth noting about U.S. money supply is the expansion we're witnessing in M2. This measure of money supply includes cash and coins in circulation, demand deposits in a checking account, money market accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit (CDs) under $100,000. It's money that can be spent, but requires a little effort to get to. Over the trailing year, through May 2025, M2 money supply has increased by precisely 4%. It's the fastest year-over-year expansion in M2 since 2022 -- likely a result of the Fed kicking off a rate-easing cycle and making borrowing rates more attractive -- and it suggests a strong possibility of the U.S. inflation rate remaining stubbornly above 2%. But there's a much bigger downside threat to the stock market than inflation. Earnings from Wall Street's most-influential businesses aren't all they're cracked up to be The surface-scratching red flag for Wall Street is its valuation. When 2025 began, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) Ratio, which is also known as the cyclically adjusted P/E Ratio (CAPE Ratio), was at its third-highest multiple when back-tested 154 years. Based on what history tells us, the previous five times when the S&P 500's Shiller P/E Ratio surpassed 30 and held this multiple for at least two months were eventually followed by declines ranging from 20% to 89% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and/or Nasdaq Composite. In short, the stock market has a track record of struggling when valuation premiums become extended to the upside. When stocks, collectively, trade at aggressive valuation premiums, it's often reflective of investor excitement over a next-big-thing innovation (e.g., artificial intelligence), as well as the result of strong earnings growth. But herein lies the real threat to Wall Street: Earnings growth has been a bit of a smoke-and-mirrors show for some of the stock market's leading businesses. Don't get me wrong -- some of Wall Street's most-influential businesses have blown the doors off of growth expectations with consistency for years. This includes Nvidia and Microsoft. But some of the stock market's top companies aren't nearly as operationally sound as they might appear -- and that's a problem. Electric vehicle (EV) maker Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) serves as a perfect example. On the surface, it's been profitable for five consecutive years and has relied on its first-mover advantages in the EV space, as well as its expansion into energy generation and storage, as a means to grow its sales and profits. But you might be surprised to learn that more than half of Tesla's pre-tax income has consistently derived from unsustainable sources, not from selling EVs or energy generation and storage equipment. In the March-ended quarter, Tesla reported $589 million in pre-tax income, of which $595 million came from selling regulatory automotive credits (which are given to it for free by federal governments) and $309 million in net interest income earned on its cash (less interest expenses). Without regulatory credits and interest earned on its cash, Tesla would have produced a $315 million pre-tax loss for the first quarter. Worse yet, President Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill, which was signed into law on Independence Day (July 4), is getting rid of automotive regulatory credits for EVs. Tesla is about to lose a 100% gross margin line item, which further exposes how poor its earnings quality truly is. Something similar can be said about Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), but for different reasons. Apple's earnings quality comes under significant scrutiny if you back out the impact of its market-leading share buyback program. Since 2013, Apple has repurchased an almost unfathomable $775 billion worth of its common stock and retired in excess of 43% of its outstanding shares. Dividing net income by a shrinking number of outstanding shares has pushed earnings per share (EPS) higher and made the stock more fundamentally attractive to value seekers. But here's the issue: Apple's growth engine has stalled for years, and it's being completely masked by the company's outsized buyback program. In fiscal 2021 (ended Sept. 25, 2021), Apple delivered $94.7 billion in net income. For fiscal 2024 (ended Sept. 28, 2024), net income tallied $93.7 billion. Despite a $1 billion decline in net income over three years, Apple's EPS rose from $5.67 to $6.11, and its stock has rallied 44% since fiscal 2021 ended. In other words, the business has worsened from an income standpoint, but the company has added close to $750 billion in market value, which makes no sense. Therefore, although inflation is a headline story, it's the earnings quality of Wall Street's most-influential businesses that's the unequivocal threat to the stock market. Don't miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you'll want to hear this. On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a 'Double Down' stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you're worried you've already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it's too late. And the numbers speak for themselves: Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you'd have $425,583!* Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you'd have $40,324!* Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you'd have $674,432!* Right now, we're issuing 'Double Down' alerts for three incredible companies, available when you join Stock Advisor, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon. See the 3 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 7, 2025

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