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With unique contract structures, Rockets working to mitigate 2027-28 financial crunch

With unique contract structures, Rockets working to mitigate 2027-28 financial crunch

USA Today2 days ago
As details for the new Dorian Finney-Smith and Jabari Smith Jr. contracts come in, it's clear the Rockets have 2027-28 payroll considerations in mind.
As they navigate various luxury-tax and apron thresholds under the NBA's latest Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA), the Houston Rockets are bracing for an expensive payroll in the 2027-28 season.
That future season is particularly tricky for the Rockets, since it's likely to be the first year of a maximum-salaried contract extension for Amen Thompson and the final season of a seemingly inevitable two-year extension for Kevin Durant.
So, led by general manager Rafael Stone and assistant general manager Eli Witus, Houston is already making preparations — and that's increasingly evident based on the contract structures of the team's recent deals in the 2025 offseason.
HoopsHype's Michael Scotto reported Monday that both of the final two seasons of Dorian Finney-Smith's four-year contract with the Rockets are non-guaranteed, starting with the aforementioned 2027-28 season.
And the five-year extension for Jabari Smith Jr., per Mike Vorkunov of The Athletic, contains an even more curious structure to prioritize 2027-28 flexibility.
Vorkunov writes:
That five-year rookie extension they gave Smith is a rollercoaster deal (my patent pending). It starts at $23.64 million in the first year, then dips to $21.75 million in year two before escalating back up to $23.64 million in year 3 and continuing on the upswing to $27.43 million in the final year. That comes after the Rockets signed Dorian Finney-Smith to what HoopsHype reported is a four-year deal with only the first two years fully guaranteed.
The dip in Smith's second season, 2027-28, should help the Rockets because it will be the second season of Kevin Durant's potential new contract and the first year of Amen Thompson's rookie extension. Every dollar will count for Houston that season as they likely navigate an apron of some sort, let alone the luxury-tax implications.
But the Rockets have a smart front office and thought ahead.
As for the 2028 offseason and beyond, Durant turns 39 years old that September. So, the odds would suggest that he's likely to either retire or be on a downward career trajectory by that time, which would lead to the future Hall of Famer either coming off Houston's salary books entirely or playing at a much-reduced rate.
In turn, that would alleviate much of the financial pressure on the total payroll, which explains why the 2028-29 season is when Smith's deal starts to go back up.
And if Durant somehow defies the usual aging curve and is still producing at an All-Star level at 39 years old, that's a good problem to have — and one the Rockets are happy to worry about in 2028, should it occur.
For now, they're doing their financial planning based on more realistic scenarios.
More: Shams: Rockets, Kevin Durant plan to end his NBA career in Houston
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Your guide to 2025 MLB All-Star week in Atlanta
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Pierce is already 19, which may make some clubs shy away, but still has significant offensive upside and fits in what will be the first pick under the Buster Posey regime. 14. Tampa Bay Rays: Steele Hall, SS, Hewitt-Trussville (Ala.) HS We'll stick with Hall here, possessing the power upside and versatility the Rays value as the prep shortstop pool thins a bit. 15. Boston Red Sox: Gavin Kilen, INF, Tennessee A Red Sox draftee out of high school, Kilen will do much better than the 13th round this time, with a strong offensive profile that saw him strike out just 27 times in 245 plate appearances, most of those against SEC pitching. 16. Minnesota Twins: Marek Houston, SS, Wake Forest The question is whether Houston's very sturdy defense and developing but incomplete offensive profile slots him higher than the prep stars slated to go before him. It's hard to see him dropping any further than the Twins. 17. 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Fischer slammed 25 homers with a 1.205 OPS in an exuberant platform season, and is versatile enough defensively to move around some if the power doesn't support a first base profile. 21. Houston Astros: Jace Laviolette, OF, Texas A&M He's going to be a great value somewhere, probably, as Laviolette faded from top three talk after a season slowed by contact issues, slumps and health. Wouldn't be surprising if someone jumped on him sooner thanks to his elite raw power. 22. Atlanta Braves: Kruz Schoolcraft, LHP, Sunset (Ore.) HS Quite a talent to land here, as the 6-8 prep lefty with a fastball that reached 97 mph gives them a daunting 1-2 punch with Cam Caminiti, currently thriving in low A one year after going 24h overall. 23. Kansas City Royals: Gavin Fien, INF, Great Oak (Calif.) HS The prep version of Laviolette, in that someone may jump on him sooner based on equity already banked as opposed to an uneven platform year. 24. Detroit Tigers: Xavier Neyens, INF, Mt. Vernon (Wash.) HS Big frame and potential big power in a nimble and athletic 6-4 package. In terms of offense, one of the top prep lefty bats available. 25. San Diego Padres: Sean Gamble, INF/OF, IMG (Fla.) Academy Versatile and projectable, Gamble – at 6-foot-1, 190 – leveled up from Iowa to IMG Academy and is a potential impact player in the middle of the diamond. 26. Philadelphia Phillies: Slater de Brun, OF, Summit (Ore.) HS The run of late-round high school players takes a few Philly targets off the board but they can still fulfill their prep preference with de Brun, a potential center fielder of the future whose speed will likely always trump his power. 27. Cleveland Guardians: Caden Bodine, C, Coastal Carolina The Guardians opt for Contact King, as Bodine finished the season with an absurd 24 strikeouts in 313 plate appearances while churning out a .915 OPS. As the Chanticleers reeled off 26 consecutive wins to reach the College World Series finals, Bodine's stock rose along with it. 28. Kansas City Royals*: Luke Stevenson, C, North Carolina Paired with Fien, this should be a bonus pool-friendly pick as the Royals opt for the steady Stevenson, two years after making prep catcher Blake Mitchell the eighth overall pick. 29. Arizona Diamondbacks**: Brendan Summerhill, OF, Arizona Would be a coup getting Summerhill this late, as he can man all three outfield positions and put up a .343/.459/.556 line to lead Arizona to the College World Series. 30. Baltimore Orioles**: Alex Lodise, SS, Florida State The Dick Howser Trophy winner and ACC player of the year, Lodise is a solid defender who hit 19 home runs and should develop above-average pro power and likely stick at shortstop. *- Prospect promotion incentive pick**- Free agent compensation pick Note: The Mets, Yankees and Dodgers each received a 10-pick penalty on their first picks for exceeding the second surcharge threshold of the competitive balance tax and their first picks will be 38th, 39th and 40th overall, respectively. The USA TODAY app gets you to the heart of the news — fast. Download for award-winning coverage, crosswords, audio storytelling, the eNewspaper and more.

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