Analyst on Netflix (NFLX): Every Selloff Has Been a ‘Tremendous' Opportunity
Very reasonable. I mean, they're overweight, they go to neutral, still have a $1,220—what is it—1220 price target. Good for them. I mean, this is what the analyst community should be doing. I admire the call and I understand it—valuation, the market, all those different things. But with all that said, I don't think you really run all that far away from Netflix. I mean, every selloff for the last couple years has been a tremendous opportunity. They continue to dominate the space.
JPMorgan recently cut its rating on Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) to Neutral from Overweight.
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Harding Loevner Global Developed Markets Equity Strategy stated the following regarding Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
'During the quarter, we benefited from strong stocks within the Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary sectors. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) was our top relative contributor; the company provided a favorable outlook for subscriber growth in 2025 and made progress in two key areas, live TV and advertising. The streaming service broadcast its first sporting events, including two National Football League games on Christmas, and said that the ad-supported plan it launched two years ago amassed 70 million subscribers, more than investors expected.'
While we acknowledge the potential of NFLX, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NFLX and that has 100x upside potential, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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Tom's Guide
11 minutes ago
- Tom's Guide
This one TV setting is ruining your Netflix shows — here's how to fix it
In a perfect world, we'd all have the time, technology and skills to expertly calibrate our TVs. Unfortunately, even as Tom's Guide's Managing Editor of TVs and AV, I don't have that kind of time (or energy) to do that for every TV in my house. Instead, when I bring one of the best TVs into the house, I focus on changing just one or two main settings to instantly get better picture quality — that's usually all it takes to go from awful to amazing. If you've never changed the settings on your TV and you're feeling like something's off with Netflix, here's the easiest way to fix the picture quality. When I'm watching Netflix at a friend's house, I very rarely feel the need to mess with the settings. If they're happy with the picture, I'm happy with the picture. Unless, of course, I catch that their TV is still set on "Dynamic" picture mode. Dynamic Mode is what TV manufacturers use to catch your attention at big box stores — so it's overly bright and totally oversaturated. Dynamic Mode is what TV manufacturers use to catch your attention at big box stores — so it's overly bright and totally oversaturated. It doesn't enhance the signal, it warps it into something unnatural looking. If your shows and movies look way oversaturated — green grass looks neon, for example — or the bright scenes actually hurt your eyes, then it's probably because your TV's still in the default "Dynamic" picture mode. (Sometimes it's called 'Vivid,' so keep an eye out for that.) Get instant access to breaking news, the hottest reviews, great deals and helpful tips. To change it, just open the settings menu on your TV using the gear icon on your remote, look for Picture Settings and then choose Picture Mode. It's basically the same process on any TV, no matter if you own a cutting-edge OLED or an older HDTV. Depending on where the TV is located in my home and how much ambient light there is, I usually choose either 'Calibrated Light' or 'Calibrated Dark' picture modes. My living room TV that shares a space with huge bay windows is set to 'Calibrated Light,' while my light-controlled basement TV is set to 'Calibrated Dark.' If your TV doesn't have those settings, 'Filmmaker Mode' is the second-best option then 'Movie Mode,' and finally, if neither of those exist, Standard is a fine fallback option. If you're just now turning on Movie Mode for the first time, you'll probably notice that the entire hue shifted to a warmer tone. Don't worry, that's a feature not a bug. That yellow hue that you're seeing (it's really more sepia tone, but we're splitting hairs here) is to more accurately replicate what directors saw through the lens of the camera when they were shooting. It helps mute the over-reddening of skin tones and stops colors from oversaturating. That said, if it looks too yellow to you, you can go into the 'Color' sub-menu of the picture settings and change the 'Color Temperature' from warm back to neutral. This is basically just boosting the blue portion of the RGB color space and will allow you to keep the rest of Movie Mode's preferred settings like turning off motion processing. Speaking of, you can always tweak the motion processing settings (they're usually found under 'Clarity') to make motion smoother if you're having problems with fast-moving objects. Again, these are advanced options that you don't always have to change but are worth tweaking if you're not happy with the default settings. So far, I've been intentionally vague with the exact setting names — the above advice will work on any type of TV from the early 2010s through today. But high-end Sony TVs from the last few years have an extra special feature called Netflix Calibrated Mode that will do almost everything for you. You can find a full list of supported TVs on Sony's website (I can personally vouch for the Sony Bravia 8 and Sony Bravia 9), but Netflix Calibrated Mode is the collaborative product of Hollywood producers and Sony engineers that enables the 'truest intent' of directors. Essentially, Netflix Calibrated Mode is a list of settings that Hollywood prefers. It's not quite as good as a professional calibration, but it's going to provide the most accurate picture if that's what you're looking for. All you have to do is turn it on via the same method listed above if it doesn't kick on automatically and enjoy the show. In the end, how true-to-intent you want to be with your TV is up to you. As long as you're not using Vivid Mode, I won't have to come over and mess with your picture settings while you're sleeping. Follow Tom's Guide on Google News to get our up-to-date news, how-tos, and reviews in your feeds. Make sure to click the Follow button.
Yahoo
3 hours ago
- Yahoo
Netflix Continues to Dominate
In this podcast, Motley Fool host Anand Chokkavelu and contributors Jason Hall and Matt Frankel discuss: Netflix's beat and raise. Interest rate predictions for a year from now. Crypto Week's three bills, including the Genius Act. The best (and worst) big bank earnings. How they invest with their kids. Stocks on their radar. To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy. A full transcript is below. Should you buy stock in Netflix right now? Before you buy stock in Netflix, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Netflix wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $641,800!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,023,813!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,034% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 This podcast was recorded on July 18, 2025. Anand Chokkavelu: Earning season is here. This week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show starts now. It's the Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Anand Chokkavelu. Joining me are two of my favorite fools, Jason Hall and Matt Frankel. Today, we'll talk about the results of Crypto Week. I'll tell you which bank impressed us the most when big banks reported earnings. We'll also make bold earning season predictions, and we'll of course, talk about the stocks on our radar. But first, Netflix reported earnings and did a classic beaten raise. Fills in on the details, Matt. Matt Frankel: You're right. They did report very solid revenue and earnings. Revenue was up 16% year over year. Earnings per share was up 47% year over year. That's really strong, and it was mainly due to the subscription pricing increases that Netflix implemented earlier this year in January. We are seeing the stock under pressure a bit. As you correctly pointed out, it was a beaten raise, they raised their full year revenue guidance. But their new third quarter guidance is projecting operating margins to compress a little bit compared to the second quarter. Now, there's some good reasons for that, Netflix, their original content slate is much heavier in the second quarter of the year. There's a lot more production costs amortized into that number so there are reasons for it, but that is keeping the stock under pressure, despite an otherwise pretty excellent quarter. Jason Hall: A couple of things stood out to me there, Matt. First, even though those pretty strong revenue and earnings growth numbers did happen, total hours streamed was only up 1% in the first half of the year versus the same period year over year. Second, management pointed out that the bulk of its new content was coming out in the second half of the year, but also caution just a little bit, as you were talking about on the impact of operating margins. I don't want to say it's a disconnect, but I do think it's notable, and it also supports a lot of what you're saying that this is getting into that monetization phase versus just the pure growth phase, we're definitely making that transition. Anand Chokkavelu: I think we can say that Netflix has pretty clearly won the streaming wars at this point. It's no longer reporting subscribers each quarter because it's shifting from the massive growth phase to the massive profitability phase. Cracking down on passwords is an example of that that hurt subscribers, but increased profitability or actually, it would help subscribers, but depending on if they cancel or not. In any case, what can we expect out of Netflix the business in the next five years, Matt? Matt Frankel: For starters, I wish they would continue to report subscriber numbers, especially after major price increases, like the one we saw, so we can see if it is or is not having an impact. But I think over the next five years, we'll see a focus on two big things in particular, advertising and their highest value content, and I'll expand on both of those. The Netflix Ad Suite, which is their proprietary ad platform, the roll out was just completed during this past quarter, so it's not a material driver of revenue right now, but it really could be in 2026 and beyond. When I say high value content, in addition to the I mean, Netflix is well known for its TV series, for its movies it's producing, it's really doubling down on live programming and really just desirable content like the Happy Happy Gilmore 2 movie that's coming out. There's the live shows like that Boxing match that's coming up, the Canelo fight that's really. People used to pay $70 to watch that on pay per view, and now it's on Netflix they're going to really double down on this high value content because it makes those increasing subscription prices seem more and more worth it to all of its subscribers. Jason Hall: Matt, you and I actually, we talked about this on the Motley Fool member Livestream Thursday night. Netflix is really in the driver's seat in the streaming world and as you just mentioned with live content, which is extremely valuable for the ads here, but also just as a powerhouse international content producer, I think it may be the best monetizer on a global basis ahead of even Disney, if not in scale, but certainly in the content that it can monetize better than anyone else. Anand Chokkavelu: We also heard management talk about AI in their content. They're testing something out in content in Argentina, their first one, where they're producing some stuff, some scenes with AI. That's in addition to all the personalization and all the care that they take within the Netflix interface that always gives us great recommendations and keeps us sucked into that ecosystem it will be interesting how that evolves over the next five years. But moving on to the stock, we saw that even a beat and raise, Netflix stock fell about 5% as we're taping due the high expectations priced in. Are you buy, sell or index on Netflix stock over the next five years, Matt? Matt Frankel: I'm torn. On one hand, I do think, as you mentioned, this is the clear winner in the streaming business. The fact that growth is being primarily driven by price this year just shows the pricing power of the business with revenue up 16% year over year. But on the other hand, that stocks trading at 43 times forward earnings, it's a relatively mature business in terms of subscriber count anyway. It already has a 25% net profit margin, so it's going to have to grow a lot to justify where it's trading right now. Jason Hall: I think it can still outperform the market over the long term, even though as Matt noted, this is not a cheap stock, and it's a mature business. To me, the two biggest reasons that stand out are even though it's mature, it's still relatively early and fully optimizing how it can monetize advertising, especially as we see more and more of that high value live content coming onto the platform. It's a major player outside of the US, and it's still really tapping that international market and if we think about the utility value, even with the price increases, this is still the streaming service that most people would say it's the last one that they're going to cancel if they have to start canceling these services, and that says a tremendous amount about how deep their pricing power is and the ecosystem that they've built, how strong it really is. Anand Chokkavelu: As a Netflix shareholder myself, every time it's been climbing to new and new heights, the stock, you get nervous. But then I just see how well they're executing and how well they're executing in relation to other streamers and how they can vulture content and make their ecosystem bigger and bigger I think, Jason or one of you was talking about they've got boxing. They've got different events. They've got NFL stuff. I even heard an ad for Happy Happy Gilmore 2 on a podcast, and you think, Well, yeah, you know what? They're making it an event. They want people to come in and subscribe because, hey they want their favorite movie from 30 years ago. They want the sequel, and they can't get that elsewhere. Let's move on to big macro. There is a whole lot of debate about interest rates both within the Fed and outside of the Fed. We've seen President Trump lobby for lower interest rates. We've seen Chairman Powell be a little secretive on what he and the Fed will do and holding the line. We've seen other fed governors speak out split on what they want or what they predict. What are your predictions on interest rates a year from now, Matt? Matt Frankel: First, it's worth pointing out that Jerome Powell will not be chair of the Fed a year from now, most likely. The market's median expectation right now for July 2026, it's for a full percentage point of rate cuts compared to the current level. There'll be a federal funds rate range of 3. 25-3.5%. I think once the Fed starts cutting, it will happen in a more aggressive manner than the market seems to think so I'm going to go out on a limb and say, a total of 1.5% in cuts between now and next July that would put mortgage rates, assuming that mortgage rates and other types of risk free interest, like, the treasury yield and things like that track. I would say mortgage rates are going to be about 5.5% at this point next year. It's a bold prediction, but I think it's completely possible. Jason Hall: Just for clarity's sake, Powell's term expires, I believe, in May of next year. Matt, I think you're right, this is going to be the post Powell period and directionally, if not precisely, I agree with Matt. I'll also note that if interest rates are not lower, that's probably a good thing for the economy and for our portfolios with one gigantic caveat that is that if broad tariffs become a reality, it's a different paradigm because we end up with high inflation because of a combination of both higher prices for goods, but also less supply because it's going to be harder for companies to bring goods into the US with those higher costs on the table. I think that's a very low probability event, and the most likely thing is that we probably will be in a lower interest rate environment because hopefully inflation will continue on its current trajectory of mostly cooling off, and the Fed will start making those moves because it is really holding back major parts of the economy like housing. Matt mentioned interest rates there. But maybe a more important thing to mention, Anand is what I'm doing about what investors maybe should be thinking about doing. In my case, mostly nothing different. I'm not close to retirement I'm not close to paying for a large expense, like sending a kid to college or some other thing I've been saving and investing for so time is still my ally. Now, I have increased the cash that I carry and my bond exposure over the past couple of years as interest rates have gone up. But that as much as anything is because of where I am in again, that paradigm of my investing career. But I'm unlikely to reduce those things, even if we do see rates come down so I think the bigger thing is thinking about where you are as an investor and what makes sense based on your goals and less about trying to get ahead of this as an investor or trading on it. Anand Chokkavelu: Netflix famously disrupted Blockbuster. Pretty impressive. But after the break, talk about the stuff that's trying to disrupt dollars and gold. Say right here, this is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Anand Chokkavelu here with Jason Hall and Matt Frankel. Congress declared it crypto week, and believe it or not, Congress delivered. The first major stand-alone cryptocurrency bill is now passed by both the House and the Senate, and as we're taping, it's ready for the president's signature. It was called the Genius Bill, Jason. But is it a good idea? Jason Hall: Yeah, I think it's definitely a good idea to get a regulatory framework in place for stable coins, and that's what this did. The name is an acronym for guiding and establishing national innovation for US stablecoin. What does it do? In short, it requires stablecoin issuers to hold equivalent dollars in reserve. In other words, for every one dollar in stablecoin that it issues, it must own one dollar in reserve. This doesn't just mean actual dollars in a bank account. It can include things like treasuries, highly liquidure term treasuries. This is a good first step to helping protect both consumers and investors. If we go back to 2022, Terraform Labs TerraUSD was UST is the token, it broke its peg because it wasn't actually backed by the US dollar. That event wiped out I think around $45 billion in investor value in just a few days. Terraform Labs never recovered. Investors never recovered. Terraform Labs actually ended up filing for bankruptcy in early 2024. Now, there's more to it than just the asset backing requirement. There's rules around preventing illegal activities, including money laundering and other things. Now, it's detractors say this soon to be law, we're waiting for the president to sign it doesn't go far enough, but it's a step in the right direction to regulate crypto where it probably intersects with the most people, and that's not where it is as an investment, but as a tool for consumers. Matt Frankel: I don't have that much to add, except that stablecoins do have a lot of utility in terms of, seamless money transferring, cutting down on fees and things like that. But the reason they haven't gained more traction than they have is really because of what this bill just did, because there weren't that many regulatory guidelines. It wasn't that perceived as a safe way to move money around by a lot of investors or just a lot of consumers because like Jason mentioned, the Terraform Labs bankruptcy. There's a lot to like about this from a consumer protection standpoint. It's not really significant for investors, but just in terms of the companies that rely on stablecoins to move money around, it's a big deal. Anand Chokkavelu: Genius Bill is farthest to along, but it was actually just one of three pieces of crypto legislation making its way through the congressional snake. Tell us about the others, Jason. Jason Hall: There's two more that have made it halfway through Congress. The first one I'll talk about is the more forward. It's called the Anti CBDC Surveillance State Act. In short, it prohibits the Federal Reserve from creating a digital currency without explicit authorization from Congress. I don't want to get into the politics of this one. You could easily fall into that. But proponents of it say it's about privacy and protection from government surveillance and control. Detractors say that it limits the tools of the Fed while simultaneously giving too much control of the future of money to a very tightly concentrated group of very private businesses and individuals. I think to some degree, both are probably directionally right, but it's clarity that I think that the market needs. Speaking of clarity, the act that probably matters more is just that it's called the Clarity Act. This is the other one. This is one of the biggest challenges for crypto in the US has been that lack of clarity over which regulatory agency has oversight. I think that's played a massive role in why we've seen grift and fraud over the past decade. But also limited institutional investment because of the risk of not knowing what regulators were going to do. Here's what it does. The Clarity Act puts the SEC, the Securities Exchange Commission in charge of regulatory oversight for things, mostly on the investor side, like regulatory disclosures, capital raises. These are things that the SEC already has expertise in with companies that have to file disclosures and has that existing framework in place to be able to oversee it. Now, the CFTC will have oversight of things like intermediaries and exchanges. This matters a lot for all market participants, whether you're a developer, a crypto developer, a broker dealer, maybe an institutional investor managing billions of dollars in assets or just a retail investor with a few hundred bucks or a few thousand dollars at risk, getting this framework in place so that there is regulation and regulators that have explicit roles, I think is really important. Matt Frankel: I would actually add that the biggest regulatory dues might not be any of these three pieces of legislation. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency or OCC, they clarified in a letter sent back in May that national banks may now act as crypto custodians. That paved the way for, we've seen it with FinTech so far. Like SoFi announced that cryptos coming back to its platform, but it really paves the way for even bigger institutions to add some form of crypto trading or crypto activities to their existing platforms like Bank of America could add it to Merrill Lynch, potentially. There's a lot of implications that that clarification letter could have. Anand Chokkavelu: Well, let's put the rubber where the road is. What are your personal allocations in cryptocurrency, starting with you, Jason? Jason Hall: It's about 2% of my portfolio and like Matt's going to mention in just a second, I have some indirect exposure through financial companies that are going to profit from crypto if it does become more mainstream. Matt Frankel: My current allocation is very low, but it's not zero, but it's very low. I do have a lot of crypto adjacent stocks. Like, I think SoFi stands to benefit if crypto does well. PayPal is a big stable coin issuer, and Block is well known for owning a lot of Bitcoin. I guess I do have a lot of indirect exposure through that, as well. Anand Chokkavelu: I guess I do have indirect exposure. I don't really consider those the crypto, but they are right there indirectly. Three percent of my portfolio is currently Bitcoin and Ethereum. I put a total of about 1% of my portfolio in them around 2020. Since then, they've done really well. I've sold most of it, so the 3% remaining is "earned," For what it's worth, I'd be interested in maybe buying again during the next crypto winter. We know that it's a very volatile segment. Up next, we'll see if JP Morgan is still king of the banking hill. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Anand Chokkavelu. There are six US banks with at least one trillion dollars in assets, and they all reported earnings this week. It's a particularly good week to have Matt and Jason on because they followed banks closely for years now. Matt, it's time to play Best Worst. Which of the six banks had the best quarter? Your choices are JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley. Matt Frankel: Surprisingly, I'm going to have to go with Citigroup, and I think it's the first time I've answered that question when you asked me in that way when you've asked me what bank had the best quarter. Anand Chokkavelu: Very surprising. Matt Frankel: They had strong investment banking results, but that's pretty much industry wide. But they had excellent growth throughout the business, unlike their peers, just to give you a couple examples, Citigroup's revenue grew by 8% year over year, while most peers were about flat year over year. Their efficiency ratio improved by more than 300 basis points year over year. That was rare in the industry this quarter. We're seeing more aggressive buybacks, 8% growth year over year, intangible book value. The intrinsic value of the bank is building. Credit card revenue was up 11%. Citi is one of the biggest credit card issuers. Consumer deposits were up by 5% at the end of the quarter. Most were seeing declining deposit basis. Net interest income grew by 7%, most did not. It just really good numbers compared to the peers. Jason Hall: I'll push back a little bit. I think objectively speaking, JP Morgan Chase probably had the best quarter, shouldn't be a surprise. This continues to be the gold standard. Sure, a little bit of a bleed off in deposits, but mid single digit loan growth and the returns that it generates are absolutely exceptional. But I think through the lens, Matt, that you're probably looking through, and I agree with against expectations. I agree that it's Citi. The expectations have been so low. Even if we look at things that weren't great at Citi, increasing credit loss reserves, it was for a good reason, loan portfolio growth, not concerns about credit quality. Those are real positive things. Now, there is still a long way to go. If you look at the profitability metrics, like, return on equity is still high single digits. You want to see that above 10%. There's progress there, but Jane Fraser CEO. She held firm. Look, this is 10% is still our goal, and that's not the endpoint. That's just the next step on the path a year from now is to get to that double digit level of returns. Jane Fraser I really think she has things headed in the right direction for Citi. Anand Chokkavelu: It sounds like JP Morgan Chase and its CEO Jamie Dimon, still MVP, but most improved player Citigroup, which has been waiting literally more than a decade for that turnaround, getting to two. Let's talk about the worst quarter. Matt, which one had the worst? Matt Frankel: I'd have to go with Wells Fargo, and not necessarily their fault. Investment Banking was really a highlight for all of the banking industry so far this quarter, and Wells Fargo is the only one of those six you mentioned that does not have a strong investment banking operation. It's a very small part of their business. It's not that surprising it would underperform. Also, they lowered their full year forecast for net interest income. They had been previously calling for growth in the 1-3% range. Now they're saying it's going to be roughly flat versus 2024. Wells Fargo, I think, by default, just because they don't have an investment banking division gets it. Jason Hall: I agree with Matt, and as Matt mentioned, I really want to emphasize this. I don't think it's because Wells had a bad quarter. The quarter was fine. The results were good, lacking that investment bank uplift that the others did, as he noted. I also want to point out that I think the lower forecast for net interest income probably says more about the state of the borrowing consumer and small business than it does about the quality of Wells' business. Anand Chokkavelu: Having the banks kick off earning season is somewhat helpful because they give us a macro feel for how the economy overall is doing as we look into future earnings of other companies. What were your takeaways, Matt? Matt Frankel: Yeah, I saw a few somewhat conflicting signals. Generally, across the board, we saw loan defaults, loan delinquencies, trend lower, which is better than expected, especially compared to the expectations of a couple years ago. But savings balances are generally trending lower. I mentioned Citigroup was a big exception. But generally, savings account balances are lower, especially when you consider inflation adjusted terms, and credit card spending volume is driving the bulk of loan growth pretty much throughout the industry, which is a little bit of a concern that consumers might be they're spending freely, but they might be over leveraging themselves a little bit. Jason Hall: The loan mix shifting toward more credit card debt is notable. It's great for bank profits right now, especially you mentioned the delinquencies, all of those things. People are using their credit cards more, but they're still paying them. That's good. But I think if we look a little bit further out, maybe it's maybe a little bit of a yellow flag, if you want to think about it that way. Given looking back kind of at Wells, we did see that loan mix shift from less asset backed loans to more credit card debt on its book, and that affected its loan loss provisions in a way that points toward maybe higher credit losses later this year, just because, again, credit card debt is a riskier debt. You see more defaults, late payments. Again, definitely the most consumer focused of these. But I think probably the biggest take is, I don't think this is necessarily anything that has me any more or less concerned about banks in the near term or the long term, specifically thinking about a Wells Fargo, thinking about its long term prospects, which are way better than they were a year ago since the restriction has been lifted on its ability to grow assets. Under the Trump administration, if we continue to see the lighter hand of regulation and if we do see lower corporate taxes, those are all positive things for bank bottom lines. Jason Hall: At some point, less regulation. Does that lead to some an asset bubble? Maybe it does. But I think at this point, we're not seeing any clear negative signs or things that investors should be super worried about. Anand Chokkavelu: As you all look through the earnings and the conference call transcripts or listen to the conference calls, was there a best quote that stood out, Matt? Matt Frankel: Not one that I can think of off the top of my head. Most bank CEOs, with maybe the exception of Jamie Dimon, sound very optimistic about how things are going and the looser regulation environment, things like that. Jamie Dimon's been really the one sounding the alarm. I don't have a specific quote in front of me, but he's been cautioning about the impacts of tariffs on inflation and things like that for months now. This quarter's report was no exception. Jason Hall: I'll paraphrase a little bit with Jamie Dimon. I'm going to stick with him. He is certainly the most quotable of the big bank CEOs. If you get into some of the smaller banks, there's some pretty outspoken people. But Jamie Dimon has been the most notable anti-crypto bank CEO over the past decade. He's having to begrudgingly accept that JP Morgan Chase needs to participate in crypto. Just to phrase a very simple statement that he made about stablecoin, I think they're real, but why use them? We're all trying to figure that out, Jamie. Anand Chokkavelu: Well, if you all had to buy one of the six, which one are you buying, Matt? Matt Frankel: To be clear, I can make a good buy case for any of the six right now. Jason mentioned the potential corporate tax tailwinds. The president campaigned on a 15% corporate tax rate. Banks would be probably the biggest beneficiary of that in terms of the S&P sectors. Most of these banks you're looking at have effective tax rates in the low 20s. That would be a big boost to their bottom lines. You mentioned Wells Fargo's Asset CAP being lifted, which, although this quarter wasn't the best, that can make things interesting going forward now that they're allowed to grow again in arguably a pretty good growth environment for banks. But if I had to buy one today, I'd say probably Citigroup. It's still very much in turnaround. I have joked, but literally, their turnaround has been going on for about 17 years now. It's been a few CEOs, pretty much ever since the end of the financial crisis. No, well, it's true. It's still very much a turnaround, but it's an excellent value, and the recent numbers make it seem even more so. It trades for about 0.8 times book value. But I give a close second to Bank of America, which is a large bank holding in my portfolio, and I think it's closer in quality to JP Morgan Chase than the market seems to think. Jason Hall: Matt, you're a value investor, and if there's any one thing that I've learned about investing in these large banks, first thing you have to focus on is quality, finding the ones that have good credit quality, great assets that they own with a margin of safety, and the banks on the margins, they're growing at really high rates. A lot of time. It's because they've lower credit quality, which means that they've maybe started the timer on the bomb that's going to blow up. Being mindful of the quality and just as important as valuation. These are enormous institutions. Counting on them to be able to grow into valuations is a great way to buy underperformance. Also, it's also a great way to set yourself up potentially for losses that it may be hard to hold through when we do go through those inevitable downturns, economic periods of a weak economy, recession. To me, that makes it, and maybe this is heresy to say, but JP Morgan Chase, almost unbiable because it has earned a very high valuation. It has earned it because it is the gold standard, but it's hard to see a picture where it's an outperforming stock over the long term from this level of valuation because it is so enormous. I think you have to find pockets of opportunity. Bank of America trades for around 1.3 times book value, about 13 times earnings. That's not cheap, but it's not expensive. You're buying what I think is also just pretty close to JP Morgan Chase in terms of extremely high quality for these really big businesses, extraordinarily well run, very well positioned. If we do see things that could boost its profits like lower interest rates, the lighter regulatory hand help drive its earnings up. But I also think that Matt's right that city, again, I want to be careful about using value. It trades for a discount to its book value, but for a reason, the returns that it's earned off of its assets have been substantially lower than all of its peers for a very long time. There's still a lot of work to do to boost those returns to a level that's even close to its peers. It trades for that cheap book value for a good reason. It's not worth what those other ones are because it doesn't get the return from those assets. But because the turnaround, we have clear signals that the turnaround is working, Jane Fraser is building a more focused business, moving away from markets that have dragged on returns over the long time and hurt profits. Those are all the right things to do. I would say, from a risk reward perspective, city is really compelling as a turnaround. Anand Chokkavelu: You two are braver than me. I'm still once bitten, twice shy on city, but maybe I'll have to take another look. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against. Don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. While personal finance content follows Motley Fool Editorial standards is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only via our Fool advertising disclosure. Please check out our show notes. Up next, we've got stocks on our radar. Stay right here. You'll listen to Motley Fool Money. I'm Anand Chokkavelu, joined again by Jason Hall and Matt Frankel. After years of procrastination and hang ringing, I was wondering how best to get my kids into investing, and I finally did it. I've got my systems in place. Each month, the kids will get a little money from my wife and me. The default is that it'll go into my favorite one-stop index fund. It's the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund. It's VT, for short, the ticker. I explained to the kids that it has close to 10,000 holdings, 10,000 different companies, pretty much has every major company in the world, including ones they'd know, like Roblox, Starbucks, Nintendo, Target, all the kid favorites. The younger one took my default and used that. The older one actually surprised me and lobbied to pick his own stock. He wanted MercadoLibre, since he'd heard me talking about it as the Amazon of South America. He noticed that it wasn't one of the Top 25 holdings in VT. I was trying to bore them with the top holdings, to trying to get them excited, but probably boring them by showing them the companies. He wanted more exposure to Mercado Libre. So far, I'm calling the month one success, experiment, a big success. Do you two have similar setups? I'm curious what you do. Jason Hall: I have an eight-year-old who's far more interested in playing baseball and soccer and playing soccer on his Nintendo Switch, and reading Harry Potter than talking about stocks with the Old Man. At this point, I think it's just been far more important just to have him invested college savings. We have a small trust setup as well. Then for him to know that he's invested. Now, he's starting to become more aware of what I do for work. He told me yesterday, it sounds a little narcissistic, but I picked him up from camp, and I had earlier week episode with Emily and you. We were listening for the Motley Fool Money episode, we were listening to and he's like, listening to me. He says, Dad, I want to listen to you every time you're on the podcast now. It's weird, but if that's the thing that draws him in, I'm totally fine with that. I do think fundamentally the most important thing is that if I can help him build up the muscles of delayed gratification and paying for your future self first, whether he gets the stock picking bug or just indexes his way to a solid financial future is far less important to me. Matt Frankel: I'm making this a priority over the next year, so like Jason. I have a seven-year-old son who I'm not 100% sure knows what I do for a living. But my oldest is about to be 10, my daughter. She gets what I do. I bought her some Disney stock in her portfolio. Generally, so far, I just have allocated money every month or so to a GMA account, a custodial account, and put it in whatever I've been buying. It's built them a nice position in SoFi. But, other than that, I'm going to make this a priority to really get them involved, probably when they hit that 10-year-old mark. Anand Chokkavelu: Let's get to everyone's favorite stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd, is going to hit you with a question, or more likely historically, an amusing comment. Jason, you're up first. What are you looking at this week? Jason Hall: Live Oak Bank shares. Ticker, LOB reports earnings on July 23rd, so that's one that I'm really laser-focused on coming up soon. Anand Chokkavelu: Dan, a question about Live Oak Bank shares? Dan Boyd: Jason, I was looking on Wikipedia here. They're in Wilmington, North Carolina, Live Oak Bank, and they have got looks like at their headquarters, a nice central Oak tree growing. What happens if that tree dies? [laughs] Jason Hall: Their CEO is going to take an acorn from that tree, and he's going to plant another one because he is thinking about what's going to be happening decades down the road and not what happens next quarter. Dan Boyd: Good answer. Anand Chokkavelu: That's a better answer than my dead oak bank shares. [laughs] Matt, what's on your radar? Matt Frankel: Let me start off with a question because I know the three, Jason, Anand, and myself are homeowners, but Dan, are you a homeowner? Dan Boyd: I am, yes. Matt Frankel: Well, I'm looking at Rocket Companies ticker symbol RKT. The reason is because homeowners like us have not been tapping into equity for about four years now, since mortgage rates are elevated. Home prices have been rising, and now American homeowners are sitting on $35 trillion in home equity, the highest level ever. In the 2021 period, rockets loan volume was about four times what it is today. I think if rates start to fall down like I think they will, we could see a refinancing boom that makes the 2021 will actually look small. Anand Chokkavelu: Dan, a question about Rocket Companies? Dan Boyd: Two comments here, Matt. One, when you said RKT, I got excited because I thought you were talking about Rice Krispies treats. It's almost lunchtime here, and I'm starting to feel it a little bit. I refinanced my home in 2020. Right now, we're talking about the old golden handcuffs. They're going to have to drag me out of here, pal. Matt Frankel: It would take a lot for people to start tapping into their equity. I know Anand actually refinanced twice, if I'm not mistaken, during that period. I think he was the one on my friends list that did, but pretty much everyone I know refinanced. Jason Hall: I actually had a mortgage broker tell me to stop calling him. I wanted to refinance so many times. Anand Chokkavelu: Wow. Jason Hall: True story. Anand Chokkavelu: Wow. Dan, which company are you putting on your watch list? Dan Boyd: Just because of the vibes, I think I'm going to go Rocket Companies this time around. It seems like it might be an interesting time for opportunities. Anand Chokkavelu: Excellent. Jason Hall, Matt Frankel, thanks for being here. That's going to do it for this week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Anand Chokkavelu. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next time. Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Anand Chokkavelu, CFA has positions in Amazon, Bitcoin, Block, Ethereum, JPMorgan Chase, MercadoLibre, Netflix, Nintendo, PayPal, Rocket Companies, SoFi Technologies, Starbucks, Target, Vanguard International Equity Index Funds - Vanguard Total World Stock ETF, and Walt Disney. Dan Boyd has positions in Amazon and Walt Disney. Jason Hall has positions in Bitcoin, Live Oak Bancshares, MercadoLibre, SoFi Technologies, Starbucks, and Walt Disney and has the following options: short January 2026 $27 calls on SoFi Technologies and short September 2025 $125 calls on Starbucks. Matt Frankel has positions in Amazon, Bank of America, Block, MercadoLibre, PayPal, Roblox, Rocket Companies, SoFi Technologies, Starbucks, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Bitcoin, Block, Ethereum, JPMorgan Chase, Live Oak Bancshares, MercadoLibre, Netflix, PayPal, Roblox, Starbucks, Target, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends Nintendo and Rocket Companies and recommends the following options: long January 2027 $42.50 calls on PayPal and short September 2025 $77.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Netflix Continues to Dominate was originally published by The Motley Fool Sign in to access your portfolio
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Applied Materials' Quarterly Earnings Preview: What You Need to Know
Santa Clara, California-based Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) is a provider of manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, display, and related industries. With a market cap of $150.1 billion, Applied Materials operates through Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets segments. The tech giant is expected to announce its third-quarter results on Thursday, Aug. 21. Ahead of the event, analysts expect AMAT to report a profit of $2.34 per share, up 10.4% from $2.12 per share reported in the year-ago quarter. Furthermore, the company has surpassed the Street's bottom-line projections in each of the past four quarters. More News from Barchart 2 Recession-Proof Dividend Stocks to Buy for the Second Half of 2025 UnitedHealth Stock Spirals Lower Again. Don't Buy the Dip. Auto Revenue Keeps Plunging at Tesla. Should You Buy the TSLA Stock Dip or Run Far Away? Tired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now! For the full fiscal 2025, analysts expect AMAT's EPS to come in at $9.47, up a notable 9.5% from $8.65 reported in fiscal 2024. In fiscal 2026, its earnings are expected to further grow 5.6% year-over-year to $10 per share. AMAT's stock prices have dropped 8.9% over the past 52 weeks, notably underperforming the S&P 500 Index's ($SPX) 17.3% surge and the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLK) 21.1% returns during the same time frame. Despite delivering record earnings, Applied Materials' stock prices dropped 5.3% in the trading session after the release of its Q2 results on May 15. The company's topline for the quarter increased 6.8% year-over-year to $7.1 billion, falling short of the Street expectations by a small margin, which increased investor skepticism, which was already heightened due to concerns over the impact of potential tariffs on the semiconductor industry. Nonetheless, the company's overall performance remained more than impressive, its adjusted EPS increased 14.4% year-over-year to $2.39, beating the consensus estimates by 3.5%. Further, its operating cash flows surged 12.9% year-over-year to $1.6 billion. The consensus view on AMAT stock is optimistic, with a consensus 'Moderate Buy' rating overall. Of the 34 analysts covering the stock, opinions include 22 'Strong Buys,' three 'Moderate Buys,' and nine 'Holds.' Its mean price target of $205.68 suggests a 9.3% upside potential from current price levels. On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
