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Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Yahoo
Fact check: Trump falsely claims his highly unpopular big bill is the ‘single most popular bill ever signed'
On Friday, before signing his massive domestic policy bill, President Donald Trump proclaimed at the White House that 'it's the most popular bill ever signed in the history of our country,' adding for emphasis that 'this is the single most popular bill ever signed.' That is an up-is-down reversal of reality. The bill is wildly unpopular, poll after poll has found. While polls can be off, this bill wouldn't be popular – let alone the most popular US bill ever signed – even with a massive and widespread polling error. In a Fox News poll in mid-June, 59% of registered voters said they opposed the bill and 38% said they favored it, with another 3% saying they didn't know. In a Quinnipiac University poll in late June, 55% of registered voters said they opposed the bill and 29% said they supported it, with another 16% not weighing in. In a Pew Research Center poll in early June, 49% of adults said they were opposed and 29% said they were in favor, with 21% unsure. Reviewing these numbers and the similar findings of two other polls about the bill, CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said on air on Monday: 'You just never see numbers this poor. I have been trying to look through the history books to find if there was another piece of legislation that was on the verge of passing that was as unpopular as this one, and…I cannot find one.' CNN senior reporter Aaron Blake reported June 20 that the polling numbers made the bill 'more unpopular than any piece of major legislation passed since at least 1990, according to data crunched by George Washington University political science professor Chris Warshaw.' And in an analysis published Friday, before Trump spoke, data journalist G. Elliott Morris wrote, 'On average across pollsters and methods, 31% of Americans support the One Big Beautiful Bill, while 54% oppose it. That net rating of -23 is, to put it mildly, absolutely abysmal.' It's possible that Trump has seen private polling that has found different numbers. And, of course, the popularity of legislation can improve after it passes and Americans feel its impacts; that's what happened with Obamacare. But if Trump has any evidence for his claim that this is the most popular bill in American history, he did not provide it on Friday. The president also made other false claims in his White House remarks: – A false claim that 'we've delivered … no tax on Social Security for our great seniors.' The bill does not completely eliminate tax on Social Security; rather, it creates a temporary additional tax deduction of $6,000 per person age 65 and older every year from 2025 through 2028 (it's a smaller deduction for individuals earning more than $75,000 per year). The White House has said that 88% of seniors will not pay tax on Social Security benefits with this additional deduction in place, up from 64% not paying tax on those benefits under current law, but even if the White House is right, the millions of seniors in the remaining 12% will still have to pay – and so will some Social Security recipients under the age of 65, who do not get this new deduction. – A false claim, which Trump has made repeatedly, that President Joe Biden allowed in '21 million' migrants. Through December 2024, the last full month under Biden, the country had recorded under 11 million nationwide 'encounters' with migrants during that administration, including millions who were rapidly expelled from the country. Even adding in so-called gotaways who evaded detection, estimated by House Republicans as being roughly 2.2 million, there's no way the total is 21 million.
The Hill
6 hours ago
- The Hill
Emanuel: Dems will be ‘fools' if they don't put midterm focus on Trump megabill
Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel in a recent interview weighed in on the passage of the 'big, beautiful bill,' suggesting it will be a major sticking point in next year's midterm elections. Asked by CNN's David Chalian if the bill will become 'the centerpiece' of Democrats' messaging, Emanuel replied, 'If it doesn't, we're fools.' 'As I've argued before, the bills should be just captured [as] 'tax cuts for the wealthy, health care cuts for the many,' he told the host of the outlet's 'Political Briefing' podcast, which aired before President Trump signed the legislation, full of his domestic priorities, into law Friday. 'People get that.' 'It's already underwater,' Emanuel added. 'There's nothing about reducing health care benefits for working people that is going to make it more popular.' The pundit also criticized the bill for being sympathetic to billionaires, giving the example of Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, who held an extravagant wedding as lawmakers scrambled to unite over the megabill. The House passed the final bill Thursday afternoon after hours of tense debate and with help from President Trump, who spoke to several GOP holdouts ahead of the crucial vote. The Senate a day earlier pushed through their own bill, after adjusting the language to satisfy the parliamentarian's Byrd Rule. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) had voiced optimism throughout the process that they would have the legislation to Trump's desk by July 4. While they ultimately made good on the promise, it did not come without hiccups. From internal skepticism among the GOP over cuts to Medicaid and food stamps to how it would impact the national debt to Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' (D-N.Y.) record-breaking 'magic minute' speech that delayed the vote, the bill faced an uphill battle. Trump took a victory lap over the bill during a speech in Iowa, calling it a 'declaration of independence from a really national decline.' On Friday, during a signing ceremony, the president echoed the sentiment. 'This is a triumph of democracy on the birthday of democracy,' he said. 'And I have to say, the people are happy.' Democrats in both chambers have made it clear that they will use the legislation — which they dubbed the 'big, ugly bill' or the 'big, beautiful betrayal' — as fodder against the GOP in the upcoming midterms, zeroing in on the health care and food assistance cuts and the rollback of green energy tax credits. Emanuel's critique comes as the former mayor, who also previously served as the U.S. ambassador to Japan, has stoked speculation in recent weeks over whether he could launch a presidential bid in 2028. 'I have something I think I can offer,' he told CNN's Kaitlan Collins last month. 'But I haven't made that decision.'
CNN
6 hours ago
- CNN
Fact check: Trump falsely claims his highly unpopular big bill is the ‘single most popular bill ever signed'
On Friday, before signing his massive domestic policy bill, President Donald Trump proclaimed at the White House that 'it's the most popular bill ever signed in the history of our country,' adding for emphasis that 'this is the single most popular bill ever signed.' That is an up-is-down reversal of reality. The bill is wildly unpopular, poll after poll has found. While polls can be off, this bill wouldn't be popular – let alone the most popular US bill ever signed – even with a massive and widespread polling error. In a Fox News poll in mid-June, 59% of registered voters said they opposed the bill and 38% said they favored it, with another 3% saying they didn't know. In a Quinnipiac University poll in late June, 55% of registered voters said they opposed the bill and 29% said they supported it, with another 16% not weighing in. In a Pew Research Center poll in early June, 49% of adults said they were opposed and 29% said they were in favor, with 21% unsure. Reviewing these numbers and the similar findings of two other polls about the bill, CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said on air on Monday: 'You just never see numbers this poor. I have been trying to look through the history books to find if there was another piece of legislation that was on the verge of passing that was as unpopular as this one, and…I cannot find one.' CNN senior reporter Aaron Blake reported June 20 that the polling numbers made the bill 'more unpopular than any piece of major legislation passed since at least 1990, according to data crunched by George Washington University political science professor Chris Warshaw.' And in an analysis published Friday, before Trump spoke, data journalist G. Elliott Morris wrote, 'On average across pollsters and methods, 31% of Americans support the One Big Beautiful Bill, while 54% oppose it. That net rating of -23 is, to put it mildly, absolutely abysmal.' It's possible that Trump has seen private polling that has found different numbers. And, of course, the popularity of legislation can improve after it passes and Americans feel its impacts; that's what happened with Obamacare. But if Trump has any evidence for his claim that this is the most popular bill in American history, he did not provide it on Friday. The president also made other false claims in his White House remarks: – A false claim that 'we've delivered … no tax on Social Security for our great seniors.' The bill does not completely eliminate tax on Social Security; rather, it creates a temporary additional tax deduction of $6,000 per person age 65 and older every year from 2025 through 2028 (it's a smaller deduction for individuals earning more than $75,000 per year). The White House has said that 88% of seniors will not pay tax on Social Security benefits with this additional deduction in place, up from 64% not paying tax on those benefits under current law, but even if the White House is right, the millions of seniors in the remaining 12% will still have to pay – and so will some Social Security recipients under the age of 65, who do not get this new deduction. – A false claim, which Trump has made repeatedly, that President Joe Biden allowed in '21 million' migrants. Through December 2024, the last full month under Biden, the country had recorded under 11 million nationwide 'encounters' with migrants during that administration, including millions who were rapidly expelled from the country. Even adding in so-called gotaways who evaded detection, estimated by House Republicans as being roughly 2.2 million, there's no way the total is 21 million.
