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Lebanese depositors to get frozen funds back over time, Economy Minister pledges

Lebanese depositors to get frozen funds back over time, Economy Minister pledges

The National14-04-2025
Depositors in Lebanon will get their funds frozen in the country's struggling banks over time as part of an overhaul of the Lebanese financial system, Economy Minister Amer Bisat said.
The state, central bank and lenders in the country will share the burden of repairing the crisis-stricken economy, he told Bloomberg TV in an interview on Monday.
'Depositor protection is an extremely important part of the objectives that we have in place. That may require instruments, that may require delays, or some time passage in order to pay, but the idea is that nobody would lose their deposits. But it may take time,' Mr Bisat said.
The commitment to depositors, who have been waiting for their funds to be released for years, is part of an attempt to break a stalemate on reforms, which are needed to unlock fresh funds from the International Monetary Fund and help the country emerge from one of the world's worst financial crises.
Officials have struggled to reach a deal for years, with local lenders refusing to shoulder the bulk of losses and forced consolidation to strengthen institutions and increase the size of their balance sheets.
In September last year, Lebanon's then-interim central bank governor Wassim Mansouri said giving people their funds would not be 'impossible' and depositors should not 'have to wait for an extended period'.
People in Lebanon have been waiting to access to their life savings stuck in banks since 2019, as the country endures a severe financial crisis. Lebanese banks imposed arbitrary restrictions on their clients since after the state failed to honour its bond commitments. The economy went into a tailspin and the Covid-19 pandemic exacerbated the country's economic crisis to historic proportions.
The 2019 economic collapse was blamed on decades of financial mismanagement and corruption by Lebanon's ruling elite. Former central bank governor Riad Salameh has also been accused of helping to embezzle hundreds of millions of dollars from the central bank.
Lebanon in March appointed wealth manager Karim Souaid central bank governor, filling a position that had been held by the interim chief since July 2023.
Changes to Lebanon's banking sector are among the key reforms demanded by international backers and lenders before the country can receive assistance.
In April 2022, Lebanon reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF on a comprehensive economic reform programme supported by a 46-month extended fund facility, proposing access to about $3 billion. However, Lebanese authorities have been accused of dragging their feet on the required reforms.
Mr Bisat, a former BlackRock executive, on Monday said the country's financial crisis requires a 'collective solution'. But it also needs to ensure the survival of the banking sector and the central bank's ability to conduct monetary policy, he said.
'There's a limit to how much we can impose on each of them,' he told Bloomberg.
The minister said the a law approved last week to lift banking secrecy will be passed in parliament in the next few weeks, giving the government a better sense of the capital gap in each of the banks.
From 2016, the central bank began to channel billions of dollars of depositor funds to cover the government's deficits and finance the peg.
Lebanon estimates its overall losses to surpass $70 billion, more than triple the size of the country's economy.
Beirut aims to organise an investor conference in September, which Mr Bisat told Bloomberg he hopes it would tell the world that "Lebanon is back in business".
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IMF warns against Egypt's military dominance over economy
IMF warns against Egypt's military dominance over economy

Middle East Eye

time4 hours ago

  • Middle East Eye

IMF warns against Egypt's military dominance over economy

In arguably its bluntest report to date, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that Egypt's military-controlled economic model is crippling private sector growth, deterring investors and keeping the country in a cycle of debt and underperformance. In its long-delayed staff report for the fourth review of Egypt's loan programme, the IMF noted: 'The economic landscape is dominated by public-driven investments, an uneven playing field, and state-owned entities, including military ones.' The IMF further warned that military-owned firms continue to enjoy 'preferential treatment', including tax breaks, cheap land and privileged access to credit and public contracts. Such privileges, the 202-page report notes, have continued to sideline private sector competitors and distort the market. While Cairo has taken some economic steps - such as floating the pound, slashing subsidies and launching a state ownership policy - the IMF says progress has been 'uneven and slow', leaving many of the country's key problems unresolved. New MEE newsletter: Jerusalem Dispatch Sign up to get the latest insights and analysis on Israel-Palestine, alongside Turkey Unpacked and other MEE newsletters Public debt remains high, and Egypt's external debt is expected to rise from $156.7bn to $180.6bn in the current fiscal year, deepening the country's financial strain, according to the IMF. Meanwhile, everyday Egyptians are bearing the brunt, grappling with soaring inflation, declining ages and a shrinking safety net, the report suggests. A flawed economic model The military's grip on Egypt's economy is not new. It dates back to the 1950s, following the July 1952 revolution, when army officers overthrew the monarchy. But the generals' economic role expanded significantly after the 2011 uprising, when the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) assumed control following the ouster of long-time autocrat Hosni Mubarak. The situation even worsened under President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, who technically assumed power in 2013 after he had led a coup that removed Egypt's first democratically elected president, Mohamed Morsi. Egypt's Sisi accused of 'giving away' strategic Red Sea land of Ras Shukeir after decree Read More » One of the IMF's central concerns is the ongoing expansion of military-run businesses in non-defence sectors, operating behind closed doors, with little transparency or public oversight. The military has steadily expanded its role in construction, agriculture and other civilian sectors, justifying its reach by claiming to deliver major national projects and secure economic stability. But experts argue that this flawed model pushes out the private sector and reinforces a non-transparent economic elite. 'Military involvement in the country's economy undermined competition, discouraged private investment, and distorted market signals, creating a dual economy - one transparent and risky - and the other opaque and protected,' a Cairo-based economist told Middle East Eye on condition of anonymity for security concerns. The expert's view is echoed by a construction contractor in the Mediterranean city of Alexandria, who also asked to remain anonymous for similar reasons. 'Military involvement in the country's economy undermined competition' - Egyptian economist 'Before the army stepped into our industry, I used to have three projects running in and around Alexandria,' he told MEE. 'Now, I'm lucky if I get one a year. We just can't compete with the pricing or timelines of military-backed companies.' In 2019, Mohamed Ali, a former contractor now living in self-imposed exile in Spain, blew the whistle on the military's business dealings, sharing explosive behind-the-scenes details in a series of viral videos and social media posts. His revelations sent shock waves through Egypt, sparking rare public outrage and calls for accountability in a country where questioning the military is often taboo. In an exclusive interview with MEE, Ali revealed that he received state-funded projects without contracts or oversight. His claims, supported by the IMF's latest report, painted a picture of a shadow economy that avoids scrutiny. The IMF's latest report reflects those alarms, reinforcing long-standing concerns about secrecy and privilege in Egypt's economic system. 'While some private sector representatives reported improved access to foreign exchange,' the IMF noted, 'others flagged an uneven playing field in key sectors.' The report also pointed to 'gaps in transparency and accountability' in both state-run and military-affiliated companies. According to the report, military-owned and state-run firms benefit from tax exemptions, access to prime land and cheap labour, all while operating with very limited transparency about their finances. In industries like cement, steel, and marble and granite, military firms control up to 36 percent of the market, making it nearly impossible for genuine private competition to develop. An earlier section of the report noted that the 'reallocation of public spending towards military-related or high-profile projects diverts resources from more productive uses, and undermines long-term growth potential', cautioning that ongoing public sector control can discourage foreign investment and crowd out domestic enterprise. Credibility at stake The fifth and sixth reviews of Egypt's $8bn loan programme have now been merged and delayed, another sign of the IMF's mounting frustration. The delay highlights Cairo's slow progress on key commitments, especially privatising state and army-run companies and reducing fiscal vulnerabilities that still burden the economy. As part of its commitments to the IMF, the Egyptian government has promised to sell stakes in 11 state-owned enterprises by mid-2027. Four of these companies are military-owned, including Wataniya Petroleum and Safi, a bottled water company that has faced long-standing criticism for its lack of financial transparency. IMF more than doubles Egypt bailout deal to $8bn following devaluation Read More » The plan aims to increase private sector involvement and restore investor confidence. However, progress has been slow. Both Wataniya and Safi have been moved to the Sovereign Fund of Egypt to prepare them for sale. Two other military-affiliated companies - ChillOut, a fuel station chain, and Silo Foods - a large food processing business, are also set to be offered to local and foreign investors as part of the state's broader privatisation effort. While Gulf investors have consistently expressed interest in buying these military-run businesses, the deals have faced continuous delays, despite numerous promises and public statements from Egyptian officials. No clear timeline has been established, which raises questions about the government's willingness and ability to fulfil its privatisation commitments. Despite Egypt's shift to a flexible foreign exchange rate in March 2024, commended by the international lender, the report made it clear that Cairo must keep up with reforms to secure the next $2.5bn loan tranche. 'Preserving exchange rate flexibility and rebuilding credibility in the monetary framework will be critical,' the IMF explained. With public debt soaring and economic inequality deepening, the IMF's warning comes at a crucial moment. 'Unless exclusive benefits offered to military and state firms are lifted and transparency is ensured, private businesses will continue to hold back. The IMF's message is crystal clear. Sustainable growth requires fair play, not to protect a powerful few who avoid public scrutiny,' the economist concluded.

OPEC+ Set to Maintain Output Plans Despite Market Dynamics
OPEC+ Set to Maintain Output Plans Despite Market Dynamics

Arabian Post

timea day ago

  • Arabian Post

OPEC+ Set to Maintain Output Plans Despite Market Dynamics

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai OPEC+ is expected to maintain its current strategy on oil production levels when the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee convenes on Monday, despite shifting market conditions. Key delegates from the oil-producing coalition indicated that there will be no immediate changes to the group's decision to increase output in August, which will see a rise of 548,000 barrels per day. The JMMC, comprising high-ranking officials from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, is scheduled to meet at 1200 GMT. The outcome of this meeting has drawn considerable attention as global oil markets adjust to fluctuating demand patterns and supply conditions. ADVERTISEMENT Several OPEC+ delegates, speaking anonymously, stated that the group is unlikely to alter its course, with the decision to gradually increase production still firmly in place. 'There is a consensus that the demand recovery during the summer months is adequate to absorb the additional supply,' one source said. 'The market dynamics currently seem to support this increase, and we are committed to regaining lost market share.' Since the production cuts agreed upon in 2020 to counter the downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, OPEC+ has been slowly increasing its oil output in a phased approach. However, with global economies on a recovery path, the group is under increasing pressure to balance its output against rising demand, particularly in regions such as Asia and North America. While the rise in demand, particularly during the summer driving season, is helping to absorb the additional barrels, concerns have been voiced over the potential for global oil prices to soften. The overall impact of geopolitical tensions, the economic slowdown in key markets, and the risk of higher interest rates remain points of consideration for the group. However, OPEC+ delegates have indicated that their immediate focus will be on ensuring market stability while continuing to rebuild their market share lost during the pandemic. Experts also pointed out that a significant shift in the global oil market would need to occur before the JMMC meeting in order to warrant a change in strategy. For now, the consensus is that OPEC+ will stick with the current path to bolster its market position. The decision to implement production increases has thus far been perceived as cautious and calibrated, aimed at preventing market volatility while capitalising on seasonal demand. The continued commitment to raise output reflects OPEC+'s broader goal of restoring pre-pandemic production levels, despite the headwinds faced in navigating complex global markets. With increasing production from non-OPEC countries, including the United States and Brazil, OPEC+ is mindful of its position and market share but seeks to avoid dramatic shifts in strategy that could destabilise oil prices. The JMMC's decision will carry significant weight in shaping the oil market's near-term trajectory. While global oil inventories remain relatively tight, with a demand spike in the Northern Hemisphere, OPEC+ is closely monitoring the response of major economies to any potential macroeconomic uncertainties. The meeting will also likely set the tone for discussions in future OPEC+ summits, where longer-term strategies will be evaluated in light of emerging trends, particularly energy transitions.

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board Concludes 2025 Article IV Consultation with Equatorial Guinea and IMF Management Approves the First and Second Reviews Under the Staff Monitored Program for Equatorial Guinea
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board Concludes 2025 Article IV Consultation with Equatorial Guinea and IMF Management Approves the First and Second Reviews Under the Staff Monitored Program for Equatorial Guinea

Zawya

time2 days ago

  • Zawya

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board Concludes 2025 Article IV Consultation with Equatorial Guinea and IMF Management Approves the First and Second Reviews Under the Staff Monitored Program for Equatorial Guinea

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded today the 2025 Article IV consultation with Equatorial Guinea. IMF Management approved in June the combined first and second reviews under the Staff Monitored Program (SMP) and a 12 month SMP extension. Equatorial Guinea registered a mild economic recovery in 2024, but the economy is projected to grow weakly and a drain on regional reserves is expected to continue in the medium term as hydrocarbon production declines. The banking sector is showing clear signs of improvement. Performance under the program has been strong, with significant reforms implemented and a substantial fiscal adjustment that met the SMP conditionality. However, contrary to longstanding commitments, the authorities decided not to publish asset declarations of public officials. The program extension will provide the authorities with an opportunity to complete an alternative governance reform measure aimed at strengthening transparency in the extractive sector. The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed the Article IV Consultation for Equatorial Guinea.[1] IMF Management approved the completion of the first and second reviews and a 12-month extension of the Staff Monitored Program (SMP) for Equatorial Guinea on June 25, 2025. The authorities have consented to the publication of the Staff Report prepared for this consultation.[2] Equatorial Guinea registered a mild economic recovery in 2024, growing by 0.9 percent following a strong contraction in 2023. However, non-hydrocarbon GDP growth slowed in 2024 to 1.3 percent, and the economy is expected to grow only modestly in the medium term as hydrocarbon production declines. Inflationary pressures have persisted, with inflation increasing from 2.5 percent in 2023 to 3.4 percent in 2024. The banking sector showed clear signs of improvement in 2024 but remains undercapitalized. The average capital adequacy ratio of the system is marginally below the regulatory minimum, but substantially higher than at the end of 2022. The authorities' substantial fiscal adjustment in 2024 improved the non-hydrocarbon primary balance from -22.3 percent of non-hydrocarbon GDP in 2023 to -17.0 percent in 2024. Public debt decreased from 39.1 percent to 36.4 percent of GDP. Equatorial Guinea's contribution to foreign reserves at the regional central bank remained negative in 2024, following a reserve loss in 2023. The authorities planned further fiscal adjustment will aim to keep public debt below 50 percent of GDP despite the projected decline in hydrocarbon revenues and restore external balance in the medium term. The authorities have implemented substantial reforms over the past year in the context of the SMP. The significant fiscal adjustment in 2024 helped initiate stabilization of the public debt dynamics and restoration of external balance. They enacted a new tax law that broadens the tax base, prepared a plan to phase out fuel subsidies, began making payments under a new arrears clearance strategy and reformed the customs administration. The authorities took concrete steps toward restoring the health of the financial sector. In an effort to improve governance and transparency, they also developed an AML/CFT strategy and published contracts in the extractive sector and an audit of spending following the accidental explosions in Bata in 2021. The authorities' policies have allowed them to meet almost all of the SMP's quantitative conditionality as well as complete actions related to most of their structural reform program commitments in the areas of governance, financial sector development and structural fiscal policy. The authorities missed two structural benchmarks following their decision not to publish the asset declarations of public officials. The 12-month SMP extension will afford the authorities the opportunity to complete an alternative governance reform measure – the publication of an extractive industry transparency report in line with EITI standards – while continuing to implement their broader reform agenda. Executive Board Assessment[3] Executive Directors agreed with the thrust of the staff appraisal. Directors welcomed the authorities' progress on their reform agenda under the Staff‑Monitored Program, noting its 12‑month extension. They stressed, however, that the macroeconomic environment remains challenging, particularly because of the continued decline in hydrocarbon production that is placing sustained pressure on fiscal and external balances. Directors urged steadfast reform implementation going forward, particularly to address long‑standing and serious governance challenges, which would help economic diversification and lay the foundation for private sector‑led, sustainable, and inclusive growth. Directors welcomed the authorities' decision to anchor public debt to preserve debt sustainability and restore external balance. They emphasized that this will require a gradual and sustained fiscal adjustment in the face of declining hydrocarbon revenues. Directors welcomed the commitment to achieving the 2025 budget and stressed the need for continued efforts to mobilize domestic non‑hydrocarbon revenues and strengthen fiscal institutions. Improving public financial management remains essential. Directors called for ambitious social spending reform to improve social outcomes and boost human capital development. They stressed the importance of approving the social protection law to enable the building of comprehensive social safety nets. Directors commended the progress made toward restoring the health of the financial sector—including the completion of the audit of the systemic public bank and the creation of an arrears clearance strategy—but noted that vulnerabilities remain. Directors highlighted the importance of obtaining approval from the regional banking supervisor for the arrears clearance plan, further strengthening private banks' balance sheets, and implementing the financial inclusion strategy. Directors urged the authorities to redouble their efforts to substantially improve transparency and governance. They regretted the authorities' decision to step back from the long‑standing commitment to publish asset declarations of public officials, and many Directors urged the authorities to reconsider this option. Directors considered that the publication of an annual report on financial flows in the extractive sector could help demonstrate the authorities' commitment to address their governance deficit. They recommended further governance reforms to address issues highlighted in the 2019 governance diagnostic, including implementing the AML/CFT strategy. A predictable and transparent business environment with reliable and efficient application of laws is needed to create a level playing field that would attract domestic and foreign investment. It is expected that the next Article IV consultation with Equatorial Guinea will be held on the standard 12‑month cycle. Table 1. Equatorial Guinea: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators, 2024–26 Estimates Projections 2024 2025 2026 (Annual percentage change, unless otherwise specified) Production, prices, and money Real GDP 0.9 -1.6 0.5 Hydrocarbon GDP1 0.4 -6.4 -2.6 Non-hydrocarbon GDP 1.3 2.3 2.8 GDP deflator 2.5 3.0 1.0 Consumer prices (annual average) 3.4 2.9 2.9 Consumer prices (end of period) 3.4 2.9 3.5 Monetary and exchange rate Broad money 2.6 2.7 2.9 Nominal effective exchange rate (- = depreciation) … … … External sector Exports, f.o.b. -7.1 1.6 -8.7 Hydrocarbon exports -8.4 1.7 -10.2 Non-hydrocarbon exports 2.6 1.8 1.0 Imports, f.o.b. -8.9 2.2 -1.9 Government finance Revenue -14.3 0.7 -5.0 Expenditure -0.7 4.9 -1.3 (Percent of GDP, unless otherwise specified) Government finance Revenue 17.9 17.8 16.7 Hydrocarbon revenue 14.5 14.3 13.0 Non-hydrocarbon revenue 3.4 3.5 3.7 Expenditure 18.5 19.1 18.6 Overall fiscal balance (Commitment basis) -0.6 -1.3 -1.9 Overall fiscal balance (Cash basis) -1.0 -2.0 -2.6 Non-hydrocarbon primary balance2 -11.7 -12.6 -12.3 Non-hydrocarbon primary balance (as percent of non-hydrocarbon GDP) -17.0 -17.4 -16.4 Change in domestic arrears -0.3 -0.7 -0.7 External sector Current account balance (including official transfers; - = deficit) -3.2 -3.3 -4.5 Imputed Foreign Reserves (net), US$billion 0.4 0.4 0.2 Debt Total public debt 36.4 37.0 38.4 Domestic debt 28.7 28.0 27.9 External debt 7.8 9.0 10.5 External debt service-to-exports ratio (percent) 6.2 5.7 6.2 External debt service/government revenue (percent) 7.9 7.4 7.7 Memorandum items Oil price (U.S. dollars a barrel)3 79.9 67.7 63.3 Nominal GDP (billions of CFA francs) 7,740 7,846 7,959 Nominal GDP (millions of US dollars) 12,769 12,881 13,138 Hydrocarbon GDP (billions of CFA francs) 2,401 2,193 1,971 Non-hydrocarbon GDP (billions of CFA francs) 5,340 5,653 5,987 Government deposits (in percent of GDP) 17.7 17.5 17.2 Oil volume (crude and condensado, millions of barrels) 29.1 26.8 25.1 Gas volume4 (millions of bbls oil equivalent) 51.8 49.2 49.5 Total Hydrocarbon Volume (in millions of barrels of oil equivalent) 81.0 76.0 74.7 Exchange rate (average; CFA francs/U.S. dollar) 606.2 … … Sources: Data provided by the Equatoguinean authorities; and staff estimates and projections. 1 Including oil, LNG, LPG, butane, propane, and methanol. 2 Excluding hydrocarbon revenues, hydrocarbon expenditures, and interest earned and paid. 3 The reference price for crude oil is the Brent. 4 Includes LNG, propane, butane and methanol. [1] Under Article IV of the IMF's Articles of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. A staff team visits the country, collects economic and financial information, and discusses with officials the country's economic developments and policies. On return to headquarters, the staff prepares a report, which forms the basis for discussion by the Executive Board. [2] Under the IMF's Articles of Agreement, publication of documents that pertain to member countries is voluntary and requires the member consent. The staff report will be shortly published on the page. [3] At the conclusion of the discussion, the Managing Director, as Chair of the Board, summarizes the views of Executive Directors, and this summary is transmitted to the country's authorities. An explanation of any qualifiers used in summings up can be found here: Distributed by APO Group on behalf of International Monetary Fund (IMF).

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