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The Golden Age for Employers Is Ending

The Golden Age for Employers Is Ending

Bloomberg27-06-2025
For as long as most of us can remember, business has been able to call on a ready supply of foreign workers. The giants of Silicon Valley, farmers and food processors, hotels and restaurants, housebuilders and megastores: All have dealt with labor shortages by recruiting immigrants. One result has been an astonishing demographic transformation: 16% of the British population, 20% of the Swedish population, 19% of the German population and 14.3% of the US population were born abroad.
This golden age for employers is coming to an end. Popular discontent with mass immigration is rising, anti-immigrant parties are flourishing and mainstream parties are finally taking note. In Britain, for example, 67% of people say that immigration is too high; the anti-immigrant Reform Party is well ahead in the polls. Donald Trump is not the only leader who is clamping down on immigration. Mark Carney, Canada's new prime minister, has imposed a cap on temporary foreign workers and international students. Britain's Keir Starmer has spoken about the danger of Britain turning into a 'nation of strangers.' If dealing with rising tariffs is the biggest challenge for companies abroad, dealing with tighter immigration controls is the biggest challenge at home.
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Winnipeg memorial site for Flight PS752 victims 'a powerful step' toward justice: family members
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Calls are mounting to ban Germany's far-right AfD party – despite it being more popular than ever
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Calls are mounting to ban Germany's far-right AfD party – despite it being more popular than ever
Calls are mounting to ban Germany's far-right AfD party – despite it being more popular than ever

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In other words, the German state can actively defend itself against internal threats to its democratic principles and constitutional order, including through the banning of political parties. However, two criteria must be met by Germany's Federal Constitutional Court to form a legal basis for a ban. Firstly, the party in question must be found to work against the country's free democratic order, demonstrating an 'actively belligerent, aggressive stance.' Secondly, the party must be popular enough to pose a tangible threat to democracy, a provision created in 2017 and called 'potentiality.' Parties found to meet the first criterion, but not the second, can be prohibited from accessing public campaign financing, but are allowed to continue with other activities. 'It is a widespread misconception in Germany that the AfD cannot be banned because… it is too large,' Till Holterhus, professor of Constitutional Law at the Leuphana University of Lüneberg, told CNN. 'The opposite is true: its size demonstrates that it fulfills the criterion of 'potentiality.'' To begin the process of banning a party, a formal request must be made to the federal court. This request can only be made by either the government itself, the Bundestag, Germany's lower house of parliament, or the Bundesrat, the legislative body that represents the country's 16 regional states. The court then decides whether to begin proceedings or throw out the application as unsubstantiated. It must hold a full trial, examining thousands of pages of evidence and hearing witnesses, and considers whether the party violates the constitution in practice, Holterhus explained. The court can then declare a party unconstitutional. The party would then be dissolved and banned from all political activity. It would also be prohibited from creating any substitute organizations. At least two-thirds of the court's justices must be in agreement in order to make the declaration. In practical terms, if the AfD were to be banned, its sitting lawmakers would receive an automatic loss of mandate at the regional and federal level as well as in the European parliament. Of the 152 seats the AfD currently has in the Bundestag , 42 are direct seats, where the respective candidates individually won the districts by majority. These 42 districts would need to vote again to fill the seats with new candidates from other parties. The other 110 AfD seats, which are allocated using a party list system, would remain vacant until the next election cycle. Similarly, the AfD's seats in the European Parliament would remain vacant. In either case, this would result in a shifting of the majority ratio, meaning that the seats of all other parties would gain a higher significance. The German Federal Constitutional Court has only banned two parties in the country's history – and both were in the early postwar years. The Socialist Reich Party (SRP), a successor to the Nazi Party, was outlawed in 1952. Four years later, in 1956, the far-left Communist Party of Germany (KPD) was also banned. Repeated attempts – in 2003, 2016 and 2021 – to ban the neo-Nazi National Democratic Party of Germany (NPD) have failed. Although the court in 2017 openly acknowledged the party was unconstitutional, it found that it didn't pose a significant threat to the constitutional order. In January 2024, the court approved the freezing of the NPD's state funding for six years. Overall, Holterhus believes that it is difficult to impose a ban on a political party in Germany. 'A party ban is considered a measure of last resort against the enemies of a democracy,' he said. 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National polling agency Forsa in April found that the AfD was polling at a record 26% – putting it two percentage points higher than the CDU, on 24%. Currently, Forsa shows the AfD at 24% – four points behind the CDU. With the AfD's support reaching such heights, Holterhus sees a risk of creating a 'martyr effect' in the case of a ban, with the AfD 'staging itself as a victim of political opponents.' This, he said, could result in further radicalization of some of its supporters and even politically motivated violence. Lengthy legal proceedings, he said, could further heighten the AfD's platform while the move also risks the 'wrath' of the Trump administration and could play into the populist narrative of an 'undemocratic Europe.'

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