logo
ETFs Unfazed by Market Volatility

ETFs Unfazed by Market Volatility

Yahoo30-05-2025
Volatility may be the defining word from the first half of 2025, but ETF investors just aren't flinching.
Despite ongoing economic uncertainty and trade war tensions, ETFs attracted record inflows in the US. So far this year, investors poured $427 billion in new assets into ETFs, far surpassing the $301 billion over the same period last year, according to Morningstar. Much of this has flowed into equity ETFs as investors look to buy the dip, but diversification still remains key for advisors and their clients.
'The appetite for funds has not wavered,' said Bryan Armour, director of ETF & passive strategies research at Morningstar. He said it's also a good time to increase bond exposure with TIPS ETFs, or consider alternatives like gold funds. 'No one knows what's going to happen next, and there's a lot that's up in the air economically right now.'
READ ALSO: Want a Crypto 401(k)? The DOL Isn't Standing in the Way Anymore and Why Thrivent Wants to Hire Nearly 600 Advisors this Year
With markets recovering from earlier losses and the major indexes flat year-to-date, investors have piled into equity ETFs. Stock-based funds in the most popular ETF segments have taken in nearly $200 billion so far in 2025, according to data platform Trackinsight. While passive funds remain dominant in terms of flows and total assets, active ETFs are moving the needle, accounting for nearly 40% of inflows so far this year.
The biggest equity fund winner is the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), which has seen roughly $65 billion in inflows so far this year. In February, it overtook State Street's SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) as the largest fund. 'Two years ago, that would've been a single-year record,' Armour told Advisor Upside. 'Even if we stopped in May, it would be the second-largest year of inflows ever for VOO. That's nuts.'
In fixed income, investors are playing it safe, favoring ultra-short bonds and T-bill ETFs that offer lower credit and interest rate risk amid ongoing market choppiness, Armour said.
Risky Bet? The previous high for ETF inflows by this point in the year was in 2021, at just over $370 billion — followed by a downturn in 2022. Could history repeat? Armour said ETF inflows alone don't pose a systemic risk. 'With the amount of money in bonds, stocks, mutual funds, hedge funds, and private equity, ETF inflows aren't going to tip the scales to the point where assets are overpriced,' he told Advisor Upside.
This post first appeared on The Daily Upside. To receive financial advisor news, market insights, and practice management essentials, subscribe to our free Advisor Upside newsletter.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Is Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF the Smartest Way to Invest in the S&P 500?
Is Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF the Smartest Way to Invest in the S&P 500?

Yahoo

time17 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Is Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF the Smartest Way to Invest in the S&P 500?

Key Points The S&P 500 index is meant to be broadly representative of the U.S. economy. The well-known index is also a key gauge for tracking the U.S. stock market. It's also where the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF starts looking for stocks. 10 stocks we like better than Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - Invesco S&P 500 Garp ETF › The S&P 500 is what just about everyone uses to monitor the performance of the U.S. stock market. That makes sense given its broad representation of the U.S. economy, but does that mean it is the smartest way to invest in stocks? Maybe, maybe not, depending on what your personal investment approach and goals look like. For many, the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF (NYSEMKT: SPGP) could be a better option. Here's why. What exactly does the S&P 500 track? The S&P 500 is a collection of roughly 500 stocks that are selected by a committee. Each stock is expected to be important to its industry, which generally means they are large companies. The overall list of around 500 stocks is also expected to be broadly representative of the U.S. economy. While this approach ultimately creates an index that can be used to track the performance of the U.S. stock market, the real goal is slightly different. That's notable when you look at what the S&P 500 offers for investors looking to take a more nuanced investment approach. Essentially, the index is just a quick list of large and economically important companies. That can provide the foundation for other investment approaches. For example, the SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF uses the 500 stocks in the index as a starting point for picking high-yield stocks. There are other ETFs that create value and growth portfolios from the index. But the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF might be the most interesting of all. What does the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF do? The Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF starts out by looking at the S&P 500's stocks. It examines sales-per-share growth, earnings-per-share growth, price-to-earnings ratios, financial leverage, and return on equity with the goal of finding attractively priced stocks that have growing businesses backing them. Around 75 stocks get into the index that the GARP ETF tracks. The end result is a portfolio that has outperformed two of the most popular S&P 500 index ETFs, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. To be fair, the performance difference isn't huge, but over time this type of small difference can start to add up. More to the point, buying the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF aims to home in on the most attractive stocks in the index. The Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF won't be right for every investor. For example, the dividend yield is a fairly modest 1.5%. While that's slightly more than the S&P 500 index's roughly 1.3%, it pales in comparison to the SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF's 4.5% payout. If income is your goal, you probably won't want to own the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF. But if buying a collection of large, economically important, and attractively priced companies with strong growth prospects sounds good, the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF could be perfect. The problem with the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF That said, there is one small problem with the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF. Its 0.36% expense ratio is rather high for an exchange-traded fund. Yet, based on its outperformance, it seems like the ETF has easily earned the right to charge a premium price. With the market near all-time highs today, it might make sense to skip the S&P 500 index fund and buy the more focused Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF, which appears to have mixed value and growth into an attractive index alternative. Should you buy stock in Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - Invesco S&P 500 Garp ETF right now? Before you buy stock in Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - Invesco S&P 500 Garp ETF, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - Invesco S&P 500 Garp ETF wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $674,281!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,050,415!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,059% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025 Reuben Gregg Brewer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF the Smartest Way to Invest in the S&P 500? was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Wall Street's AI Bubble Is Worse Than the 1999 Dot-com Bubble, Warns a Top Economist
Wall Street's AI Bubble Is Worse Than the 1999 Dot-com Bubble, Warns a Top Economist

Gizmodo

time18 minutes ago

  • Gizmodo

Wall Street's AI Bubble Is Worse Than the 1999 Dot-com Bubble, Warns a Top Economist

Back in 1999, Wall Street lost its collective mind over the internet. Companies with no revenue were suddenly worth billions, 'eyeballs' were treated as currency, and market analysts predicted a frictionless future where everything would be digital. Then the bubble burst. Between March 2000 and October 2002, an estimated five trillion dollars in market value vanished into thin air. Today, it is happening again. This time, the magic word is not '.com.' It is 'AI.' According to Torsten Slok, the influential chief economist at Apollo Global Management, a major global investment firm, the current AI driven market bubble is even more stretched than the dot com frenzy of the late 1990s. And he has the data to prove it. 'The difference between the IT bubble in the 1990s and the AI bubble today is that the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 today are more overvalued than they were in the 1990s,' Slok wrote in a recent research note that was widely shared across social media and financial circles. The chart from Apollo compares the 12 month forward price to earnings (P/E) ratios of the top ten companies in the S&P 500 against the rest of the index. In plain English, a P/E ratio measures how expensive a stock is by comparing its price to its profits. A high P/E ratio means investors are paying a premium and are betting on strong future growth. Slok's chart reveals something stunning: in 2025, the P/E ratios of the top ten companies are even higher than they were at the absolute peak of the dot com bubble in 2000. Torsten Slok: "The difference between the IT bubble in the 1990s and the AI bubble today is that the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 today are more overvalued than they were in the 1990s" — zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 16, 2025This means investors are betting so aggressively on AI giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, and Google that their stock prices have become detached from their actual earnings, even more so than tech darlings like Cisco and AOL were in the nineties. The top 10 companies driving this frenzy, which hold the most significant market value on Wall Street, include tech titans like Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Amazon, and Meta. It is a super concentrated AI frenzy that is pushing a handful of mega cap stocks into nosebleed territory. You have probably heard that the S&P 500 is performing well this year. Here is the uncomfortable truth: most of those gains are coming from just those ten companies. The other 490 companies in the index are barely moving. This kind of narrow rally is incredibly risky. It means the health of the entire stock market is dependent on the performance of a very small number of firms. If Nvidia sneezes, the entire market could catch a cold. The problem is that Wall Street is treating AI as if it has already fulfilled every promise, from a productivity revolution to trillion dollar cost savings. The potential is being priced as a certainty, even though most of those gains have not yet materialized. In 1999, the internet was real. It did change everything. But that fact did not stop investors from wildly overpaying for companies that could not deliver on the hype. The parallels with today's AI excitement are chilling. Every corporate earnings call now dutifully mentions an 'AI strategy,' just like every company in 1999 slapped on a '.com' to its name. Stocks are surging on the vague potential of AI, not necessarily on real, current revenue. Wall Street is pricing in a perfect AI future without acknowledging the enormous risks: regulatory crackdowns, staggering compute costs, model hallucinations, or simply a slower than expected adoption rate. As Slok's chart shows, the market is pricing these top ten AI heavy firms as if they are invincible. That is never a good sign. This is not a question of whether AI will change the world. It will, just as the internet did. The real question is how much investors are willing to pay today for profits that might not arrive for years, if ever. If history teaches us anything, it is that bubbles do not pop because the technology is fake. They pop when investor expectations dramatically outpace reality and the flow of easy money dries up. The more Wall Street bets on AI perfection, the more fragile this market rally becomes. If corporate earnings do not catch up to these sky high valuations, and soon, the market may not even need a specific trigger to deflate. The valuations alone could do the job. And when bubbles pop, they do not do so politely. They implode, wiping out trillions in value and shattering investor trust in the process. The technology called AI will certainly survive. The top ten companies likely will too. But the portfolios chasing this dream without a parachute might not. Just like in 2000, when it seemed the internet had made financial gravity obsolete, the AI hype train is speeding toward a cliff it thinks it can fly over. Torsten Slok is just reminding us that we have been here before.

Positive Results Lifted Alphabet (GOOGL) in Q2
Positive Results Lifted Alphabet (GOOGL) in Q2

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Positive Results Lifted Alphabet (GOOGL) in Q2

Oakmark Funds, advised by Harris Associates, released its 'Oakmark Select Fund' second quarter 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. In the quarter, the fund underperformed the benchmark, the S&P 500 Index, while it has outperformed the benchmark since inception. Financials and consumer discretionary were the largest contributors at the sector level, while health care and energy detracted. In addition, you can check the fund's top 5 holdings to determine its best picks for 2025. In its second quarter 2025 investor letter, Oakmark Select Fund highlighted stocks such as Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL). Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL), the parent company of Google, offers various platforms and services operating through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The one-month return of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) was 5.57%, and its shares gained 1.08% of their value over the last 52 weeks. On July 1, 2025, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) stock closed at $182.97 per share, with a market capitalization of $2.225 trillion. Oakmark Select Fund stated the following regarding Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) in its second quarter 2025 investor letter: "Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) was the top contributor during the quarter. The U.S.-headquartered technology company's stock price rose relatively steadily throughout the period after it delivered solid first-quarter 2025 earnings and mega-cap tech stocks trended higher. Despite concerns around incremental competition, Google Search revenue grew low-double digits and was slightly ahead of consensus forecasts. Operating income was also ahead of expectations, with Alphabet improving margins even as the company continues to make substantial investments in AI. We believe the potential payoff from these investments across each of Alphabet's business units remains underappreciated. After adjusting for the value of Google Cloud and Alphabet's Other Bets, we believe the Search, YouTube and Android businesses are being valued at a low-teens price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple. We still see this as an attractive valuation." A user's hands typing a search query into a Google Search box, emphasizing the company's search capabilities. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is in 4th position on our list of 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 227 hedge fund portfolios held Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) at the end of the first quarter, which was 234 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of GOOGL as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. In another article, we covered Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and shared the list of best US stocks to buy according to billionaires. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q2 2025 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors. READ NEXT: The Best and Worst Dow Stocks for the Next 12 Months and 10 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Double Your Money. Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store