Wall Street makes hay on Trump trade deals
"So far, the tariff strategy Trump is pursuing looks very inspired, generating serious income, resulting in major investments in the U.S. to avoid the tariffs, and has yet to cause the disruptions and inflation that the naysayers said were certain," Louis Navellier, founder and chief investment officer at Navellier & Associates told CNBC Wednesday. "The stock market certainly reflects no fear of negative consequences."
The Wall Street rally on Wednesday, saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average surging more than 500 points as strong corporate earnings and easing inflation concerns boosted investor sentiment. The Standard and Poor's 500 and Nasdaq Composite also posted solid gains.
U.S. Markets Rally Broadly
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) led the charge, climbing 507.85 points or 1.14 percent to close at 45,010.29, marking its best day in three weeks. The blue-chip index was lifted by gains in financial and industrial stocks.
The Standard and Poor's 500 (^GSPC), a broader measure of U.S. equities, advanced 49.33 points or 0.78 percent to finish at 6,358.95, with all 11 sectors ending in positive territory.
The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 127.33 points or 0.61 percent to 21,020.02, supported by rebounds in major tech names.
Market Drivers
Analysts attributed Wednesday's bullish momentum to:
Global Forex Markets Show Mixed Movements Wednesday as Euro and Pound Gain Against the Dollar
The foreign exchange market saw mixed trading on Wednesday, with the euro and British pound strengthening against the US dollar, while the yen and Canadian dollar weakened slightly.
Key Currency Movements
The euro (EUR/USD) rose 0.16 percent, trading at 1.1772, as investors weighed the latest economic data from the Eurozone. Meanwhile, the British pound (GBP/USD) climbed 0.40 percent to 1.3579, supported by stronger-than-expected UK retail sales figures.
The U.S. dollar (USD/JPY) dipped 0.03 percent against the Japanese yen, settling at 146.54, as traders awaited further signals from the Sunday's election results. The greenback also edged lower against the Canadian dollar (USD/CAD), falling 0.06 percent to 1.3596, following a rebound in oil prices.
Commodity Currencies Strengthen
The Australian dollar (AUD/USD) surged 0.71 percent to 0.6599, its highest level in a week, boosted by rising commodity demand. Similarly, the New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) gained 0.71 percent, reaching 0.6043, as risk appetite improved in Asian trading.
The Swiss franc (USD/CHF) saw minimal movement, with the dollar inching up 0.03 percent to 0.7920, as markets remained cautious.
Market Outlook
Analysts attributed the euro and pound's gains to shifting expectations on U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policies, while commodity-linked currencies benefited from stronger global risk sentiment.
Global Markets Close Higher on Wednesday, Led by Strong Gains in Asia and Europe
Global stock markets mostly climbed higher on Wednesday, with major indices across Europe and Asia posting solid gains, while the Nikkei 225 surged more than 3 percent.
Canadian Market Sees Modest Gains
North of the U.S. border, the S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) in Toronto added 51.98 points or 0.19 percent to close at 27,416.41. The more muted performance reflected mixed movements in energy and materials stocks as commodity prices fluctuated.
UK and European Markets Rally
The FTSE 100 (UK) rose 37.68 points, or 0.42 percent, closing at 9,061.49.
Meanwhile, Germany's DAX jumped 198.92 points, or 0.83 percent, to 24,240.82, and France's CAC 40 surged 106.02 points, or 1.37 percent, ending at 7,850.43.
The broader EURO STOXX 50 index gained 53.77 points, up 1.02 percent, settling at 5,344.25. Belgium's BEL 20 also climbed 48.81 points, a 1.07 percent increase, closing at 4,596.22.
Asian and Pacific Markets Show Strength
In Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 soared 1,396.40 points, or 3.51 percent, to 41,171.32, marking one of the strongest performances globally. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 408.04 points, or 1.62 percent, finishing at 25,538.07.
Singapore's STI Index edged up 23.02 points, or 0.55 percent, to 4,231.28, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 gained 60.00 points, or 0.69 percent, closing at 8,737.20. The broader All Ordinaries index in Australia added 59.90 points, or 0.67 percent, ending at 9,001.40.
India's S&P BSE SENSEX climbed 539.83 points, or 0.66 percent, to 82,726.64, and Indonesia's IDX Composite surged 124.49 points, or 1.70 percent, to 7,469.23.
Malaysia's KLSE rose 10.39 points, or 0.68 percent, closing at 1,529.79.
In Taiwan', the TWSE Index advanced 330.75 points, or 1.44 percent, to 23,318.67, while South Korea's KOSPI gained 13.83 points, or 0.44 percent, ending at 3,183.77.
China's Shanghai Composite inched up just 0.44 points, or 0.01 percent, to 3,582.30.
In New Zealand the S&P/NZX 50 was one of the few decliners, slipping 39.68 points, or 0.31 percent, to 12,794.06.
Egypt's EGX 30 also dipped slightly, losing 4.50 points, or 0.01 percent, to 34,125.10.
Israel's TA-125 rose 36.36 points, or 1.17 percent, to 3,152.46.
African markets on the rise
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Cision Canada
an hour ago
- Cision Canada
First National Financial Corporation agrees to be acquired by Birch Hill Equity Partners and Brookfield, with existing shareholders Stephen Smith and Moray Tawse maintaining minority ownership
TORONTO, July 27, 2025 /CNW/ - First National Financial Corporation (the "Company" or "First National") (TSX: FN) (TSX: (TSX: today announced that it has entered into a definitive arrangement agreement (the "Arrangement Agreement") with Regal Bidco Inc. (the "Purchaser"), a newly-formed acquisition vehicle controlled by private equity funds managed by Birch Hill Equity Partners Management Inc. ("Birch Hill") and private equity funds managed by Brookfield Asset Management ("Brookfield"), whereby the Purchaser will acquire all of the outstanding common shares (the "Shares") of the Company, other than the Rollover Shares (as defined below) (the "Transaction"), for $48.00 per Share in cash (the "Purchase Price"). As part of the Transaction, the Company's founders, Stephen Smith and Moray Tawse (together with their associates and affiliates, the "Rolling Shareholders"), who currently hold approximately 37.4% and 34.0%, respectively, of the outstanding Shares, will each sell approximately two-thirds of their current shareholdings in the Company for the same cash consideration per Share as other shareholders, and have agreed to exchange their remaining Shares (the "Rollover Shares") for ownership interests in the Purchaser. As a result, on closing of the Transaction, Messrs. Smith and Tawse are each expected to maintain an indirect approximate 19% interest in First National, with Birch Hill and Brookfield holding the remaining approximate 62% interest. The Transaction is not subject to any financing condition and is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to obtaining the required shareholder, court and regulatory approvals and the satisfaction of other customary closing conditions. The Purchase Price represents a premium of approximately 15.2% and 22.8% to the 30 and 90-trading day volume weighted average trading price, respectively, of the Shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange (the "TSX") on July 25, 2025, the last trading day prior to the announcement of the Transaction. The Purchase Price is also above the 52-week high closing price of the Shares as of July 25, 2025 and represents a total shareholder return of approximately 2,149% on the Company's initial public offering Share price, including the Company's historical dividend payments. The Purchase Price implies an aggregate total equity value of approximately $2.9 billion, inclusive of the Rollover Shares, and values the Company at a 16.5x price-to-earnings multiple based on the Company's reported trailing twelve months net income attributable to common shareholders as of March 31, 2025. "This Transaction represents the start of an exciting new chapter for First National," said Jason Ellis, CEO of First National. "Birch Hill and Brookfield bring significant expertise in the Canadian financial services industry, and we are excited to partner with them to grow our platform, drive innovation, and deliver for our customers, employees and institutional partners." Transaction Details The Transaction emerged from a robust strategic review process conducted by the Company, under the oversight of a committee of independent directors (the "Special Committee") advised by independent and highly qualified legal and financial advisors. The review process involved a competitive process in which multiple acquisition proposals were received and reviewed by the Special Committee. The Company entered into the Arrangement Agreement based on the unanimous approval of the Company's board of directors (the "Board") (with conflicted directors abstaining) after receiving the unanimous recommendation of the Special Committee. Both the Board and the Special Committee determined, after receiving financial and legal advice, that the Transaction is in the best interests of the Company and the consideration to be received by the holders of the Shares (the "Shareholders") (other than the Rolling Shareholders) is fair, and recommend that Shareholders vote in favour of the Transaction at the special meeting of Shareholders to be held to approve the Transaction. In connection with the Transaction, the Rolling Shareholders, who collectively hold approximately 71.4% of the outstanding Shares, have entered into irrevocable voting agreements agreeing to vote their Shares in favour of the Transaction and against any competing acquisition proposals. In addition, each of the other directors and executive officers of the Company, who collectively hold less than 1% of the outstanding Shares, have entered into voting agreements agreeing to vote their Shares in favour of the Transaction. Under the terms of the Transaction, the Class A Preference Shares, Series 1 (the "Series 1 Preferred Shares") and Class A Preference Shares, Series 2 (the "Series 2 Preferred Shares" and, together with the Series 1 Preferred Shares, the "Preferred Shares") of the Company are expected to remain outstanding in accordance with their terms following closing of the Transaction. The Preferred Shares will continue to be listed on the TSX and, as a result, the Company will continue to be a reporting issuer under applicable Canadian securities laws following closing of the Transaction. The 2.961% Series 3 Senior Unsecured Notes due November 17, 2025, 7.293% Series 4 Senior Unsecured Notes due September 8, 2026 and the 6.261% Series 5 Senior Unsecured Notes due November 1, 2027 (collectively, the "Company Notes") will be redeemed on the closing of the Transaction to the extent outstanding at such time. Each holder of Company Notes outstanding at such time will receive a cash amount equal to the applicable redemption price, plus accrued and unpaid interest, as of the closing date in accordance with the terms of such holder's Company Notes. First National intends to continue paying its regular monthly cash dividend of $0.208334 per Share in the ordinary course through to closing of the Transaction and regular quarterly dividends on the Preferred Shares in accordance with their terms. Transaction Rationale The conclusions and recommendations of the Special Committee and the Board were based on a number of factors, including the following: Compelling Value and Immediate Liquidity to Shareholders: The all-cash Purchase Price provides Shareholders with certainty of value and immediate liquidity. The Purchase Price represents a premium of approximately 15.2% and 22.8% to the 30 and 90-trading day volume weighted average trading price, respectively, per Share as of July 25, 2025, and is also above the 52-week high closing price of the Shares as of that date. Market Check: The Transaction is the result of a robust strategic review process led by the Company's financial advisor, RBC Capital Markets, which included outreach to a broad pool of potential buyers and resulted in multiple acquisition proposals, of which the proposal submitted by the Purchaser offered the highest value to Shareholders. Formal Valuation: The Special Committee received an opinion from its independent valuator and financial advisor BMO Capital Markets ("BMO") that, as of July 27, 2025, and based on BMO's analysis and subject to the assumptions, limitations and qualifications to be set forth in BMO's written valuation, the fair market value of the Shares is in the range of $44.00 to $50.00 per Share. Fairness Opinion: The Special Committee received an opinion from BMO that, as of July 27, 2025, and subject to the assumptions, limitations and qualifications to be set forth in BMO's written fairness opinion, the consideration to be received by Shareholders (other than the Rolling Shareholders) pursuant to the Transaction is fair, from a financial point of view, to such Shareholders. Arrangement Agreement Terms: The Arrangement Agreement is the result of a comprehensive negotiation process that was undertaken at arm's length with the oversight and participation of the Special Committee advised by independent and highly qualified legal and financial advisors and resulted in terms and conditions that are reasonable in the judgment of the Special Committee and the Board. Ability to Respond to Superior Proposal: Under the Arrangement Agreement, the Board of Directors, in certain circumstances until Shareholder approval is obtained, is able to consider any unsolicited acquisition proposals, and where the Board determines that an acquisition proposal is a superior proposal may, subject to a right to match in favour of the Purchaser, withdraw, modify or amend its recommendation that Shareholders vote to approve the Arrangement. However, under the Arrangement Agreement the Company is required to proceed with holding a vote on the Transaction, even if the Board has changed its recommendation. Break Fee: The break fee payable by the Company of $50 million is only payable in limited circumstances such as where the Arrangement Agreement is terminated as a result of a change in the Board's recommendation. Reverse Break Fee: The Company is entitled to a reverse break fee of $75 million in certain circumstances, including if the Arrangement Agreement is terminated by the Company as a result of the Purchaser's failure to close. No Financing Condition: The Transaction is not subject to a financing condition. Minority Vote and Court Approval: The Transaction must be approved by two-thirds of the votes cast by Shareholders, as well as by a simple majority of the votes cast by Shareholders excluding the Shares held by the Rolling Shareholders and any other Shareholders required to be excluded from such vote in the context of a "business combination" pursuant to Multilateral Instrument 61-101 – Protection of Minority Security Holders in Special Transactions ("MI 61-101"), and by the Ontario Superior Court of Justice (Commercial List), which will consider the fairness and reasonableness of the Transaction to Shareholders. Support for the Transaction: As described above, the Rolling Shareholders as well as all of the directors and executive officers of the Company have entered into voting agreements, pursuant to which they have agreed to, among other things, vote in favour of the Transaction at the special meeting of Shareholders to be held to approve the Transaction. Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion In connection with its review and consideration of the Transaction, the Special Committee engaged BMO as its independent valuator and financial advisor and requested that BMO prepare a formal valuation in accordance with MI 61-101. BMO delivered an oral opinion that, as of July 27, 2025, and based on BMO's analysis and subject to the assumptions, limitations and qualifications to be set forth in BMO's written valuation, the fair market value of the Shares is in the range of $44.00 to $50.00 per Share. In addition, BMO provided an oral opinion that, as of July 27, 2025, and subject to the assumptions, limitations and qualifications to be set forth in BMO's written fairness opinion, the consideration to be received by Shareholders (other than the Rolling Shareholders) pursuant to the Transaction is fair, from a financial point of view, to such Shareholders. Additional Transaction Details The Transaction is to be completed by way of a plan of arrangement under the Business Corporations Act (Ontario). The Transaction is subject to a number of conditions customary for transactions of this nature, including, among others: (i) the approval of at least two-thirds of the votes cast by Shareholders (including the Rolling Shareholders) at a special meeting of Shareholders; (ii) the approval of a simple majority of the votes cast by Shareholders other than the Rolling Shareholders and any other Shareholders required to be excluded pursuant to MI 61-101 at such special meeting; (iii) clearance under the Competition Act (Canada); and (iv) court approval. Completion of the Transaction is not subject to a financing condition. The Company expects to hold the special meeting of Shareholders to consider and vote on the Transaction in September 2025. If approved at the meeting, the Transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to court approval, Competition Act (Canada) clearance and other customary closing conditions. Following closing of the Transaction, the Purchaser intends to cause the Shares to be delisted from the TSX. The Preferred Shares will remain listed on the TSX. Jason Ellis is expected to remain First National's Chief Executive Officer and lead the business in all aspects of its operations. First National's current leadership team is also expected to continue following the conclusion of the Transaction. Further information regarding the terms and conditions of the Transaction are set out in the Arrangement Agreement, which will be publicly filed under the Company's SEDAR+ profile at Additional information regarding the terms of the Arrangement Agreement, the background to the Transaction, the independent valuation and fairness opinion and the rationale for the recommendation by the Special Committee and the Board will be provided in the information circular for the special meeting of Shareholders, which will also be filed under the Company's SEDAR+ profile at Early Warning Disclosure by the Rolling Shareholders Further to the requirements of National Instrument 62-104 – Take-Over Bids and Issuer Bids and National Instrument 62-103 – The Early Warning System and Related Take-Over Bid and Insider Reporting Issues, Stephen Smith, 16 York Street, Suite 1900, Toronto, Ontario, M5J 0E6, will file an amended early warning report in connection with his participation in the Transaction as a Rolling Shareholder and for which he has entered into an irrevocable voting agreement agreeing to vote his Shares in favour of the Transaction and against any competing acquisition proposals, which agreement restricts the ability to vote for, support or participate in a competing transaction for as long as the Arrangement Agreement is in force and for a period of four months following the termination of the Arrangement Agreement in certain circumstances, including as a result of the failure to obtain the required Shareholder approval. Stephen Smith, through Smith Financial Corporation ("SFC") and FNSC Holdings Inc. ("FNSC", and together with SFC, the "Smith Entities"), currently owns 22,409,355 of the issued and outstanding Shares representing approximately 37.4% of the issued and outstanding Shares (on a fully diluted basis). SFC intends to transfer ownership of its Rollover Shares to a newly formed Ontario limited partnership prior to closing of the Transaction in exchange for units of the partnership. Following completion of the Transaction, Stephen Smith will beneficially own an indirect approximate 19% interest in First National. The Smith Entities hold Shares for investment purposes and expect to review from time to time the investment in the Company and may, depending on the market and other conditions: (i) acquire additional securities, options or related derivatives in the open market, in privately negotiated transactions or otherwise, and (ii) dispose of all or a portion of the securities, options or related derivatives over which they now or hereafter exercise, or may be deemed to exercise, control or direct. A copy of Stephen Smith's related early warning report will be filed with the applicable securities commissions and will be filed under the Company's SEDAR+ profile at Further information and a copy of the early warning report of Stephen Smith may be obtained by contacting: Justin Brenner, SVP, Managing Director, Smith Financial Corporation, [email protected], (647) 446-2122. Further to the requirements of National Instrument 62-104 – Take-Over Bids and Issuer Bids and National Instrument 62-103 – The Early Warning System and Related Take-Over Bid and Insider Reporting Issues, Moray Tawse, 16 York Street, Suite 1900, Toronto, Ontario, M5J 0E6 will file an amended early warning report in connection with his participation in the Transaction as a Rolling Shareholder and for which he has entered into an irrevocable voting agreement agreeing to vote his Shares in favour of the Transaction and against any competing acquisition proposals, which agreement restricts the ability to vote for, support or participate in a competing transaction for as long as the Arrangement Agreement is in force and for a period of four months following the termination of the Arrangement Agreement in certain circumstances, including as a result of the failure to obtain the required Shareholder approval. Moray Tawse, through 801420 Ontario Limited ("Tawse Holdco") and The Tawse Family Charitable Foundation (The Tawse Family Charitable Foundation together with Tawse Holdco, the "Tawse Entities"), currently owns 20,404,355 Shares representing approximately 34.0% of the issued and outstanding Shares (on a fully diluted basis). Tawse Holdco intends to transfer ownership of its Rollover Shares to a newly formed Ontario limited partnership prior to closing of the Transaction in exchange for units of the partnership. Following completion of the Transaction, Moray Tawse will beneficially own an indirect approximate 19% interest in First National. The Tawse Entities hold Shares for investment purposes and expect to review from time to time the investment in the Company and may, depending on the market and other conditions: (i) acquire additional securities, options or related derivatives in the open market, in privately negotiated transactions or otherwise, and (ii) dispose of all or a portion of the securities, options or related derivatives over which they now or hereafter exercise, or may be deemed to exercise, control or direct. A copy of Moray Tawse's related early warning report will be filed with the applicable securities commissions and will be filed under the Company's SEDAR+ profile at Further information and a copy of the early warning report of Moray Tawse may be obtained by contacting: Eric Torelli, Chief Financial Officer, Chambertin Asset Management Ltd., [email protected], (416) 994-7507. The Company's head office address is 16 York Street, Suite 1900, Toronto, Ontario, M5J 0E6. Advisors RBC Capital Markets is acting as financial advisor to the Company. BMO Capital Markets is acting as financial advisor and independent valuator to the Special Committee. Torys LLP is acting as legal advisor to the Company. Blake, Cassels & Graydon LLP is acting as legal advisor to the Special Committee. CIBC Capital Markets is acting as financial advisor and Davies Ward Phillips & Vineberg LLP is acting as legal advisor to Birch Hill and Brookfield. Birch Hill and Brookfield's debt financing for the transaction was fully underwritten by Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, RBC Capital Markets, and TD Securities, as Joint Bookrunners and Co-Lead Arrangers. Initial commitments were also provided by The Bank of Nova Scotia and National Bank of Canada, and will be followed by a general syndication. About First National First National Financial Corporation is the parent company of First National Financial LP, a Canadian-based originator, underwriter and servicer of predominantly prime residential (single-family and multi-unit) and commercial mortgages. With more than $155 billion in mortgages under administration, First National is one of Canada's largest non-bank mortgage originators and underwriters. For more information, please visit About Birch Hill Birch Hill is a Canadian mid-market private equity firm with a long history of driving growth in its portfolio companies and delivering returns to its investors. Based in Toronto, Birch Hill currently has over $6 billion in capital under management. Since 1994, the firm has made 73 investments, with 59 fully realized. Today, Birch Hill's 14 partner companies collectively represent one of Canada's largest corporate entities with over $8 billion in total revenue and more than 40,000 employees. About Brookfield Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM, TSX: BAM) is a leading global alternative asset manager with over US$1 trillion of assets under management. Brookfield invests client capital for the long term with a focus on real assets and essential service businesses that form the backbone of the global economy. Brookfield offers a range of alternative investment products to investors around the world — including public and private pension plans, endowments and foundations, sovereign wealth funds, financial institutions, insurance companies and private wealth investors. Brookfield's private equity business, which manages over US$145 billion of assets under management, focuses on driving operational transformation in businesses providing essential products and services. Forward-Looking Information This news release contains statements that are "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable securities laws. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of terms such as "may", "will, "should", "expect", "plan", "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "estimate", "predict", "potential", "continue" or other similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements with respect to the Transaction, including statements with respect to the rationale of the Special Committee and the Board for entering into the Arrangement Agreement, the terms and conditions of the Arrangement Agreement, the premium to be received by Shareholders, the expected benefits of the Transaction, the intention to continue to pay monthly dividends on the Shares and regular quarterly dividends on the Preferred Shares, the anticipated timing and the various steps to be completed in connection with the Transaction, including receipt of Shareholder, court and regulatory approvals, the anticipated timing for closing of the Transaction, the anticipated delisting of the Shares from the TSX, the anticipated treatment of the Preferred Shares and the Company Notes and the Company's status as a reporting issuer under applicable securities laws. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based on a number of opinions, assumptions and estimates that, while considered reasonable by the Company as of the date of this news release, are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that may differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking information. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated by the forward-looking information include, but are not limited to: the possibility that the Transaction will not be completed on the terms and conditions, or on the timing, currently contemplated, and that it may not be completed at all due to a failure to obtain or satisfy, in a timely manner or otherwise, required shareholder and court approvals and other conditions of closing necessary to complete the Transaction or for other reasons; the possibility of adverse reactions or changes in business relationships resulting from the announcement or completion of the Transaction; risks relating to the retention of key personnel during the interim period; the possibility of litigation relating to the Transaction; risks related to the diversion of management's attention from the Company's ongoing business operations; and the other risk factors identified under "Risks and Uncertainties Affecting the Business" in the Company's latest management's discussion and analysis and in other periodic filings that the Company has made and may make in the future with the securities commissions or similar regulatory authorities in Canada, all of which are available under the Company's SEDAR+ profile at These factors are not intended to represent a complete list of the factors that could affect the Company. However, such risk factors should be considered carefully. There can be no assurance that such estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date of this release and is subject to change after such date. Management and First National disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under securities laws.
Winnipeg Free Press
an hour ago
- Winnipeg Free Press
US-EU trade deal wards off further escalation but will raise costs for companies and consumers
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen have announced a sweeping trade deal that imposes 15% tariffs on most European goods, warding off Trump's threat of a 30% rate if no deal had been reached by Aug. 1. The tariffs, or import taxes, paid when Americans buy European products could raise prices for U.S. consumers and dent profits for European companies and their partners who bring goods into the country. Here are some things to know about the trade deal between the United States and the European Union: What's in the agreement? Trump and von der Leyen's announcement, made during Trump's visit to one of his golf courses in Scotland, leaves many details to be filled in. The headline figure is a 15% tariff rate on 'the vast majority' of European goods brought into the U.S., including cars, computer chips and pharmaceuticals. It's lower than the 20% Trump initially proposed, and lower than his threats of 50% and then 30%. Von der Leyen said the two sides agreed on zero tariffs on both sides for a range of 'strategic' goods: Aircraft and aircraft parts, certain chemicals, semiconductor equipment, certain agricultural products, and some natural resources and critical raw materials. Specifics were lacking. She said the two sides 'would keep working' to add more products to the list. Additionally, the EU side would purchase what Trump said was $750 billion (638 billion euros) worth of natural gas, oil and nuclear fuel to replace Russian energy supplies, and Europeans would invest an additional $600 billion (511 billion euros) in the U.S. What's not in the deal? Trump said the 50% U.S. tariff on imported steel would remain; von der Leyen said the two sides agreed to further negotiations to fight a global steel glut, reduce tariffs and establish import quotas — that is, set amounts that can be imported, often at a lower rate. Trump said pharmaceuticals were not included in the deal. Von der Leyen said the pharmaceuticals issue was 'on a separate sheet of paper' from Sunday's deal. Where the $600 billion for additional investment would come from was not specified. And von der Leyen said that when it came to farm products, the EU side made clear that 'there were tariffs that could not be lowered,' without specifying which products. What's the impact? The 15% rate removes Trump's threat of a 30% tariff. It's still much higher than the average tariff before Trump came into office of around 1%, and higher than Trump's minimum 10% baseline tariff. Higher tariffs, or import taxes, on European goods mean sellers in the U.S. would have to either increase prices for consumers — risking loss of market share — or swallow the added cost in terms of lower profits. The higher tariffs are expected to hurt export earnings for European firms and slow the economy. The 10% baseline applied while the deal was negotiated was already sufficiently high to make the European Union's executive commission cut its growth forecast for this year from 1.3% to 0.9%. Von der Leyen said the 15% rate was 'the best we could do' and credited the deal with maintaining access to the U.S. market and providing 'stability and predictability for companies on both sides.' What is some of the reaction to the deal? German Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomed the deal which avoided 'an unnecessary escalation in transatlantic trade relations' and said that 'we were able to preserve our core interests,' while adding that 'I would have very much wished for further relief in transatlantic trade.' The Federation of German Industries was blunter. 'Even a 15% tariff rate will have immense negative effects on export-oriented German industry,' said Wolfgang Niedermark, a member of the federation's leadership. While the rate is lower than threatened, 'the big caveat to today's deal is that there is nothing on paper, yet,' said Carsten Brzeski, global chief of macro at ING bank. 'With this disclaimer in mind and at face value, today's agreement would clearly bring an end to the uncertainty of recent months. An escalation of the US-EU trade tensions would have been a severe risk for the global economy,' Brzeski said. 'This risk seems to have been avoided.' What about car companies? Asked if European carmakers could still sell cars at 15%, von der Leyen said the rate was much lower than the current 27.5%. That has been the rate under Trump's 25% tariff on cars from all countries, plus the preexisting U.S. car tariff of 2.5%. The impact is likely to be substantial on some companies, given that automaker Volkswagen said it suffered a 1.3 billion euro ($1.5 billion) hit to profit in the first half of the year from the higher tariffs. Monday Mornings The latest local business news and a lookahead to the coming week. Mercedes-Benz dealers in the U.S. have said they are holding the line on 2025 model year prices 'until further notice.' The German automaker has a partial tariff shield because it makes 35% of the Mercedes-Benz vehicles sold in the U.S. in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, but the company said it expects prices to undergo 'significant increases' in coming years. What were the issues dividing the two sides? Before Trump returned to office, the U.S. and the EU maintained generally low tariff levels in what is the largest bilateral trading relationship in the world, with some 1.7 trillion euros ($2 trillion) in annual trade. Together the U.S. and the EU have 44% of the global economy. The U.S. rate averaged 1.47% for European goods, while the EU's averaged 1.35% for American products, according to the Bruegel think tank in Brussels. Trump has complained about the EU's 198 billion-euro trade surplus in goods, which shows Americans buy more from European businesses than the other way around, and has said the European market is not open enough for U.S.-made cars. However, American companies fill some of the trade gap by outselling the EU when it comes to services such as cloud computing, travel bookings, and legal and financial services. And some 30% of European imports are from American-owned companies, according to the European Central Bank.
Calgary Herald
3 hours ago
- Calgary Herald
US, China negotiators meet in Stockholm to extend trade truce
Article content While China has denied its responsibility for the flow of the deadly drug, last month it tightened controls over two chemicals that can be used to make the opioid. Earlier this month, Trump praised those moves. 'China has been helping out,' he told reporters. 'We're talking to them and they're making big steps.' Article content For the US, the recent Chinese actions aren't enough, as such moves were required to comply with United Nations measures, according to a person familiar with the trade talks. Chances of reducing the 20% tariff in this round of talks are very slim, added the person who asked not to be identified discussing sensitive matters, while noting everything could change on Trump's whim. Article content China would be willing to cooperate more on fentanyl, said Sun Chenghao, a professor at Tsinghua University in Beijing. But the US would have to remove the related tariffs, stop blaming Beijing for what it sees as a US domestic problem and provide concrete evidence of crimes, he said. Article content Article content The US business community remains hopeful for progress, with Sean Stein, president of the US-China Business Council, telling Bloomberg TV that movement on fentanyl presents the 'biggest opportunity' in talks. Article content 'That then lowers tariffs on the US side, which then opens the door for China to lower tariffs that lets us sell agriculture, lets us sell airplanes, lets us sell automobiles, that let's us sell energy,' he said. Article content Oil Purchases Article content In his comments announcing the talks, Bessent indicated negotiations can now take on a broader array of topics, potentially including Beijing's continued purchases of sanctioned oil from Russia and Iran. Article content Chinese state media has already pushed back against that idea. 'China won't play along' with such attempts to use China to kill Russia's economy, Lv Xiang, a US expert with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences last week told the state-run tabloid Global Times. Article content Article content By contrast, China's imports of three major energy products from the US hit almost zero in June, marking the first time in almost three years the Asian nation didn't import any crude oil from its top rival. Deliveries of American crude oil, liquefied natural gas and coal have been subject to Chinese tariffs of 10% to 15% since February. Article content Xi's government has begun rolling back some of its other retaliatory measures since the two sides met last month in London. Crucially, Beijing has boosted shipments of rare earth magnets, while the US relaxed restrictions on sales of less-advanced semiconductors to China. Article content In another potential goodwill gesture, as the Sweden talks were announced this month, China revealed it had suspended an antitrust investigation into the local unit of US chemical manufacturer DuPont de Nemours Inc.
