
My listeners prove it: this is the most unpopular Government ever
After 14 years of the Tories the electorate were ready to try something else. No more infighting, no more personality politics, no more indecision. It was time for change and the country was ready. But the loveless landslide, for that is what it was, has proved to be much less than it was cracked up to be.
As a triumphant Starmer spoke on July 5 last year on the steps of Downing Street he was filled with a new hope, an obvious zeal and a determination to bring change to Britain. He announced with his customary stiff upper lip that there was much work to be done 'and that work begins now'.
Just 363 days later Starmer was humiliated in Parliament as his severely watered down Welfare Bill limped through thanks to a rebellion in the ranks. Concessions to rebels were being made by the Prime Minister right up to the wire but he still managed to suffer his biggest humiliation yet – 49 individual Labour MPs who marked their card against him.
Back in July 2024 the country might not have been thrilled with the idea of a Labour government. But there was a hope that at least it might just have been different. Anything but the Tories was the message. A full twelve months later Two-tier Keir has brought Britain misery, pessimism and disappointment – and that's just to his own side.
For the rest of us it has been a litany of scandal, policy u-turns, failed appointments and mis-steps on the public stage. Listeners and viewers at Talk had had enough of the Conservatives by the time Rishi Sunak called the election. Many of them had already defected to Reform feeling that neither of the main parties served them honestly or well.
Few expected the new shiny Labour Party to provide any surprises. But thousands of them now get in touch every week telling me how they believe this to be the worst government ever in their lifetimes.
The truth is that Starmer has never really looked the part. His awkward manner, stilted speech and lack of spontaneity quickly indicated this would be a wooden administration – unlikely to inspire. But I think what has really shocked my viewers and listeners has been the complete incompetence that has been on show since day one. And the lies. Always the lies.
First it was the Lord Ali scandal. The Prime Minister who promised a government of service was no different after all. In fact his hypocrisy possibly made him worse than his predecessors, with free suits, dresses and glasses for him and his family, plus a free penthouse in Covent Garden, free trips to New York for Angela Rayner and more free tickets to concerts and sports events than you could shake a hockey stick at.
Then there came the exposure at the heart of individual Cabinet members' personal stories. There was Chancellor Rachel Reeves and the funny CV, Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds who never was the solicitor he had claimed to be for a decade. Transport Minister Louise Haigh had to step down after it was revealed she had a criminal conviction for fraud.
His friend Tulip Siddiq had to go when Bangladeshi authorities named her in a multi-million pound corruption probe into her aunt, the former leader of the country.
That was before they took the winter fuel allowance off pensioners, threatened farmers with extinction over the inheritance tax and poo-pooed the need for a national enquiry into the grooming gangs.
Now that his flagship Welfare Bill has passed without any of its initial savings, without any of its proposed reforms and without any of its aims intact, Starmer has universally lost the argument, lost authority and lost the goodwill of his party.
The first year of this Starmer government has been about as disastrous as it could have been. No one could have predicted it. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is holed below the waterline and cannot possibly survive given that none of the £5 billion projected savings will come to pass. It will be almost impossible for her to avoid breaking her own fiscal rules In the next few weeks.
In Downing Street tonight there will be panic setting in. Starmer's advisors will be wondering how they can rescue the next year of government. But many of them won't survive.
If I was a betting man, I'd wager that Starmer won't survive either.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Reuters
11 minutes ago
- Reuters
EU's Kallas warns that China needs to rebalance trade relationship with EU
BRUSSELS, July 2 (Reuters) - The European Union's top diplomat Kaja Kallas told Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi on Wednesday that Beijing needed to rebalance its trade relationship with the EU and warned Chinese companies' support for Russia's war in Ukraine posed a serious threat to European security. "She also called on China to put an end to its distortive practices, including its restrictions on rare earths exports, which pose significant risks to European companies and endanger the reliability of global supply chains," the EU readout said.


Scotsman
18 minutes ago
- Scotsman
The former Edinburgh councillor drafted in to see off 'near existential threat' to Tories
Sign up to our daily newsletter – Regular news stories and round-ups from around Scotland direct to your inbox Sign up Thank you for signing up! Did you know with a Digital Subscription to The Scotsman, you can get unlimited access to the website including our premium content, as well as benefiting from fewer ads, loyalty rewards and much more. Learn More Sorry, there seem to be some issues. Please try again later. Submitting... Those of us who endured typing classes may remember hammering out 'Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of the party', but it's more familiar as a cliché when it comes to political rescue jobs. Sir Keir Starmer may be looking out for anyone who might come to his aid and restore his reputation – men, women or guide dogs – after his Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill was gutted into pointlessness to stave off a crushing Commons defeat. So many U-turns, so much political capital burnt, his Chancellor in tears, and all he has to show for it is approval ratings plunging further into the red along with his government's balance sheet, and rebel MPs, notably Alloa MP Brian Leishman, emboldened to speak in terms which under normal circumstances would warrant summary expulsion. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad He is not alone in having his troubles to seek and, before this week's debacle, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch was tying with him on minus 34 in pollster YouGov's approval ratings. His are unlikely to have improved, but Ms Badenoch might get a lift from doing what the Opposition is supposed to do: oppose and put the government under pressure. Former Edinburgh councillor Mark McInnes, who has just been appointed chief executive of the UK Conservative party, is one of the Tories' most effective political strategists | Jane Barlow Tories on track for 46 seats There is, of course, a long, long way to go, with YouGov's poll of 11,000 voters last week to mark the Labour government's first anniversary showing the Conservatives on track for a previously unimaginable 46 seats, a loss of 75. That Sir Keir was on course to lead his party to a catastrophic collapse to 178 seats, a drop of 233, would be of no solace if Reform was able to pick up the predicted 271 constituencies to be the biggest single party in a hung parliament. But coming to the aid of the party is Mark McInnes, aka Lord McInnes of Kilwinning, widely regarded as a lot more than a good man, but one of the Conservatives' most effective political strategists in recent memory and this week appointed as the UK party's new chief executive, having had his arm twisted by influential figures like Lord Steve Gilbert with whom he worked closely after being appointed as Scottish party director in 2011 when still plain old Morningside councillor Mark McInnes. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad In that role he was key to the Scottish Conservatives' change in fortunes through the referendum era, forming a tight team with leader Ruth Davidson delivering the charisma, the savvy David Mundell MP supplying the political nous, and Eddie Barnes the media and communications strategy, all underpinned by his forensic analysis and deep understanding of voting patterns and behaviours, and sharp management of the grassroots party. Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch needs to find a way to fight back against the threat posed by Reform UK (Picture: House of Commons/UK Parliament) | PA Wire Better Together stalwart When Mark spoke at party conferences and conventions, delegates didn't just dip in but listened intently because they knew they would learn something. If Ruth fired the shots, Mark supplied the ammunition. Elevated to a peerage in 2016 in recognition of his work during the 2014 independence referendum campaign to sharpen Better Together's messaging after a lacklustre start, he was instrumental in delivering the huge gains in Scotland at the 2016 Holyrood and 2017 general elections, and to hold the Scottish Parliament seats in 2021, after which he went south to bolster the Downing Street team. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Wisely taking a step back after Liz Truss's election to party leader in 2022, the last time I spoke to him he was on a study trip on a Turkish archaeological site and as far out the loop of British politics as he could make himself, which wasn't far away at all and he supported Kemi Badenoch's leadership campaign. No one doubts the enormity of the challenge he faces, with one friend describing his first job being 'to see how much life there is left in the patient', but another was more pointedly critical of the current leadership, and identified the need to strip back to core values of hard work, personal responsibility and 'appeal to people for whom aspiration is not a dirty word'. Reform support expected to plateau Further, there is a need to reconnect with 'constituencies of purpose' like the business community and farmers disillusioned by Labour's tax raids, only set to increase after the welfare climbdown wiped out hoped-for savings. With Tories now polling in the teens, one analyst said it will be tough just to reach the mid-20s, but there is a belief that Reform will plateau, and arguing to turn either more to the right or left was a 'false dichotomy' when a clear appeal to all right-of-centre voters was needed. 'And anyway, how many parties has Nigel Farage been through before there's a fall-out?' one observed hopefully. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad But who better to judge the new chief's chances than the person with whom he worked the closest, Ruth Davidson. "Appointing Mark McInnes is probably the smartest political move Kemi Badenoch has ever made. If there is anyone in the Conservative party that understands how to build votes against all odds, it is Mark,' she said. 'Smart, talented, hardworking and living in the real world, he's spent decades confounding the odds in Scotland where the party's last rites have been read many, many times. He knows what it means to fight for every vote and – crucially – how to win them. But appointing Mark is not enough on its own to see off the near existential threat facing the Conservatives. Ms Badenoch and her team actually have to listen to him, work to his tempo and pace and implement his ideas. Time will tell if she's prepared to do that."


Scotsman
19 minutes ago
- Scotsman
Why Labour incompetence created welfare Bill disaster – and worse is to come
Sign up to our daily newsletter – Regular news stories and round-ups from around Scotland direct to your inbox Sign up Thank you for signing up! Did you know with a Digital Subscription to The Scotsman, you can get unlimited access to the website including our premium content, as well as benefiting from fewer ads, loyalty rewards and much more. Learn More Sorry, there seem to be some issues. Please try again later. Submitting... As a former Chief Whip, I often tell colleagues that the first rule of politics is to know how to count. You have to be able to add up the votes on your side of the aisle and the numbers on the opposite side – and make sure that your figures add up. That may appear to be a pretty low bar to clear but it is one that Keir Starmer's government has spectacularly failed to pass this week. Incompetence at the top of the government created utter chaos over the welfare Bill – but there may be far worse yet to come. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad A Bill that set out to cut back support for people with disabilities and health challenges was always likely to meet resistance from both inside and outside of Labour. That is why it is astonishing that the government only began to realise the scale of its miscalculation towards the end of last week, when more than 100 Labour members – led by several senior, moderate MPs – signed an amendment which would have brought down the Bill entirely. Chancellor Rachel Reeves was clearly emotional as Keir Starmer was grilled about the Labour rebellion over the welfare Bill (Picture: House of Commons/UK Parliament) | PA Wire High-handed ministers In one fell swoop, the massive Labour majority in the House of Commons was gone – and all because of the high-handed, contemptuous approach taken by those at the top. For a government to be blindsided in this way is a total failure of party management. It suggests that whips are either not doing their job, or are being ignored by those above them. Above all, it smacks of a government that thinks it is a lot cleverer than it really is, and that does not believe it is accountable to the MPs who make up their majority. What is so concerning about this week's debacle is that ministers appear to be unwilling to make the case for their policies, either with the public or with their own MPs. To govern, after all, is to choose. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad Sometimes cuts have to be made, tough decisions taken. If the planned cuts in the welfare budget were so necessary, as the government claimed up to the last minute, why were ministers so unwilling to win the argument with their colleagues? A lack of conviction This matters, because now that the government has shown that it cannot control its own party, every difficult vote becomes that much more difficult. The rebels have had a taste of successful rebellion – why would they stop here? What we are witnessing is a government that does not have the courage of its convictions. It may, in truth, not even have convictions to begin with – and a government that has neither the ideas nor the votes has a rocky road ahead of it. All indications, however, are that this poor management is going to continue. Just hours after the government turned tail on the welfare Bill, anonymous messages were circulating from the higher-ups, threatening that the two-child limit on benefits – one of the greatest drivers of child poverty in this country – would have to be kept in place to teach a lesson to rebellious MPs. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad If the government think they have the numbers to bully their MPs, they may have another thing coming. The first rule of politics is to know how to count.