logo
South Korea's Lee pledges 'bold' economic policy after martial law crisis

South Korea's Lee pledges 'bold' economic policy after martial law crisis

Reuters18 hours ago
SEOUL, July 3 (Reuters) - South Korean President Lee Jae Myung vowed on Thursday to implement a "bold" fiscal policy to boost a flagging economy after the country's martial law crisis and to tackle challenges posed by looming U.S. tariffs and North Korea.
Lee, who was elected on June 3 in a snap election, said it was his top priority to improve the lives of the people, whose faith in government had been greatly shaken by "a national crisis" that hammered Asia's fourth-largest economy.
"It is a time when the proactive and bold role of national finance is more important than ever," Lee, who has pledged to implement expansionary fiscal policy, said in his opening remarks at a news conference to mark 30 days in office.
Lee's predecessor, Yoon Suk Yeol, declared martial law in December, shocking a nation that had come to pride itself as a thriving democracy having overcome military dictatorship in the 1980s and triggering an unprecedented constitutional crisis.
Lee's administration has proposed $14.7 billion of extra government spending to support sluggish domestic demand. Parliament controlled by his Democratic Party is expected to vote on the budget bill soon.
The president also said in his opening remarks that he was doing his best to achieve a "mutually beneficial and sustainable" outcome from trade negotiations with the United States.
South Korea is hoping to contain the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's threatened punishing tariffs that could weigh on an export-reliant economy with major semiconductor, auto and steel industries.
Lee said tariff negotiations with the United States had "not been easy," and he could not say if an agreement was possible in time for Washington's July 8 deadline when tough reciprocal import duties are set to kick in.
During high-level trade talks last month, Washington raised issues related to South Korea's non-tariff barriers, as Seoul already imposes nearly zero tariffs on U.S. imports under a free trade agreement, a senior South Korean trade official has said.
Lee, a liberal former human rights lawyer, said the alliance with the United States was the cornerstone of his foreign policy, but pledged a pragmatic approach as the basis of a speedy effort to improve ties with China and Russia.
Peace with North Korea was not only a national security priority, but a crucial part of a "virtuous cycle of peace and economic growth," he said.
Lee said tension with Pyongyang has had a real negative economic impact despite South Korea's strong military capabilities, funded by a defence budget larger than the North's total economic output.
"Even if you're at war, you have to have diplomacy and dialogue. To completely cut off dialogue is truly foolish," Lee said when asked about his plans on relations with Pyongyang. The two Koreas remain technically in a state of war under a truce that ended fighting in 1953.
He said he had been surprised by the swift response from North Korea after he suspended loudspeaker propaganda broadcasts directed across the border and said he would take additional steps to ease tensions.
Under Yoon, who took a hard line against Pyongyang, the two sides scrapped a 2018 military agreement that sharply escalated hostility.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

RBNZ to hold rates at 3.25% on July 9 but cut once more this year: Reuters poll
RBNZ to hold rates at 3.25% on July 9 but cut once more this year: Reuters poll

Reuters

time2 hours ago

  • Reuters

RBNZ to hold rates at 3.25% on July 9 but cut once more this year: Reuters poll

BENGALURU, July 4 (Reuters) - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will leave interest rates unchanged on July 9, a majority of economists polled by Reuters expected, with the median forecast showing just one more 25 basis point cut this year compared with two in a May survey. After one of the most aggressive tightening cycles in its history to tame inflation, the central bank has lowered rates by 225 basis points since August. That supported an economy that emerged from recession last year. It grew by 0.8% in the January-March quarter, giving policymakers time to consider the next rate cut. Although inflation eased to 2.5% in the first quarter, within the RBNZ's 1%–3% target range, uncertainty around medium-term price pressures has increased. With second-quarter inflation data due on July 21, the central bank is expected to hold off on further easing for now. A majority of economists, 19 of 27, in a June 30-July 3 Reuters poll expected the RBNZ to hold its official cash rate (NZINTR=ECI), opens new tab at 3.25% on July 9. Eight expected a 25 basis point cut. All major New Zealand banks - ANZ, ASB, BNZ, Kiwibank and Westpac - forecast no change in rates. Another 25 basis point cut is due by end-September, according to 16 of 22 economists, with half expecting it at the August meeting. "The data that has come out since the May monetary policy statement has been pretty mixed," said Wesley Tanuvasa, economist at ASB. "So pause now, see the inflation expectation data. From there, that can help them navigate whether August is a cut or not. Right now, we've priced in a cut for August," he said. While there is no majority on where rates will end the year, the median forecast shows 3.00% compared with 2.75% in the May poll. Inflation is expected to average 2.8% this quarter and stay within the RBNZ's target range through at least the end of 2026, according to the poll. It is forecast to average 2.5% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026. New Zealand's economy is expected to grow 1.0% this year and 2.4% in 2026, down from 1.2% and 2.5%, respectively, in an April survey, the poll showed. (Other stories from the July Reuters global economic poll)

Japan PM Ishiba says President Trump may be misinformed on some tariff issues
Japan PM Ishiba says President Trump may be misinformed on some tariff issues

Reuters

time3 hours ago

  • Reuters

Japan PM Ishiba says President Trump may be misinformed on some tariff issues

TOKYO, July 3 (Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said on Thursday U.S. President Donald Trump's views on some tariff-related issues may be based on misunderstanding or misinformation, as a pause on a 24% reciprocal tariff on imports from Japan expires next week. "We hear President Trump say no U.S. cars are running in Japan and that we are not importing (U.S.) rice. That could be based on misunderstanding or misinformation," Ishiba said on public broadcaster NHK's news programme. Japan has in fact imported historically high volumes of U.S. rice in recent months as domestically grown rice has skyrocketed in price since last year, hurting consumers. Ishiba said, however, tariff negotiations with the United States are making steady progress, without going into specifics.

Fiscal rules are silly but important as Reeves has banged on about them and markets care
Fiscal rules are silly but important as Reeves has banged on about them and markets care

Sky News

time3 hours ago

  • Sky News

Fiscal rules are silly but important as Reeves has banged on about them and markets care

You're probably tired by now of hearing all about "black holes". It's one of those phrases trotted out by journalists in an effort to make economic policy sound a little more interesting. And in some senses it's a massively misleading image. After all, when people talk about fiscal holes, what they're really talking about is something rather prosaic: the amount of money it would take for the chancellor not to break her fiscal rules. Those fiscal rules are not god-given, after all. They were confected by the chancellor herself. Missing them will not really result in Britain sliding into infinite nothingness. Even so, whatever you choose to call the dilemma she's faced with right now, it's certainly quite a big deal. And understanding this helps provide a little context for the extraordinary events of the past few days, with markets sliding in the wake of Ms Reeves' teary appearance at Prime Minister's Questions. Following that moment, the yield on UK government debt - the rate of interest we're being charged by international investors - suddenly leapt higher. Granted, the jump was nothing like what we saw in the wake of Liz Truss's mini-budget. And those yields dropped down after the prime minister backed the chancellor. Even so, they underline one very important bit of context. The UK has become something of an outlier in global debt markets. For years, the yield on our benchmark government bonds was more or less middle of the industrialised-world pack. But since 2022's drama, it has hovered unnervingly high, above every other G7 nation. That speaks to a broader issue. Britain might not have the biggest deficit in the G7, or for that matter, the highest national debt. Others (most notably France, and to some extent, too, the US) face even more desperate fiscal dilemmas in the coming years. But markets do still seem nervous about Britain. Perhaps that's because of what they (and we) all endured in 2022 - when British gilt markets stepped briefly over the precipice, causing malfunctions all around the financial system (most notably in obscure parts of the pensions investment sector). But it also owes something to the fact that the chancellor's own fiscal plans are sailing worryingly close to the wind. Reeves made f iscal rules matter The main piece of evidence here is the amount of leeway she has left herself against her fiscal rules. As I said at the start, there's nothing gospel about these rules. But having created them and banged on about them for a long time, even those of us who are a little sceptical about fiscal rules would concede that breaking them is, as they say, not a good look. Back in spring, the Office for Budget Responsibility thought the chancellor had about £9.9bn in leeway against these rules. But since then, she has u-turned on both the cuts in winter fuel payments and on personal independence payments. That reduces the £9.9bn down to barely more than £3bn. But the real issue isn't just these U-turns. It's something else. The stronger the economy is, the more tax revenues come in and the more her potential headroom against the fiscal rules would be. By the same token, if the economy grows less rapidly than the OBR expected, that would mean less tax revenues and an even bigger deficit. And if you compare the OBR's latest forecasts with the current average of forecasts among independent forecasters, or for that matter, the Bank of England, they do look decidedly optimistic. If the OBR is right and everyone else is wrong, then the chancellor "only" has to fill in the hole left by those U-turns. But if the OBR is wrong and everyone else is right, things get considerably more grisly. Even a small downgrade in the OBR's expectations for productivity growth - say a 0.1 percentage point drop - would obliterate the remaining headroom and leave the chancellor with a £6bn shortfall against her rule. Anything more than that (and bear in mind, most economists think the OBR is out by more than that) and she could be £10bn or more underwater. Now, there are plenty of very reasonable points one could make about how silly this all is. It's silly that so many people treat fiscal rules as tablets of stone. It's silly that government tax policy from one year to the next seems to hinge on how right or wrong the OBR's economic forecasts are. Yet all this stuff, silly as it might all seem, is taken quite seriously by markets right now. They look at the UK, see an outlier, and tend to focus more than usual on black holes. So I'm afraid we're going to be talking about "black holes" for quite some time to come.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store