
June 26 morning weather update
The inside scoop on D.C. weather from the Capital Weather Gang. Get your D.C. area weather update in under a minute on weekday mornings.
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Forbes
18 minutes ago
- Forbes
5 Questions You Shouldn't Ask Meteorologists And The Reasons Why
AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND - JULY 01: A pedestrian crosses in the intersection of Queen Street and ... More Victoria Street during heavy rain on July 1, 2014 in Auckland, New Zealand. Heavy rain and thunderstorms continue to move over the region in a wet and cold start to July. (Photo by) Meteorologists are likely the only scientists the public routinely experiences in their daily routine. My colleagues are seen on television and increasingly through social media interactions. While younger generations mainly rely on weather apps these days (more on that later), many older adults still have a weather personality whom they rely on for daily information or in threatening weather situations. During my three decades in the meteorology field, I have noticed a set of recurring questions and some new ones in recent years. I woke up this morning and decided to have a little fun. Here are five questions you should not ask a meteorologist. Is It Going To Rain At My House? I was prompted to write this article after seeing a post from meteorologist Chris Jackson essentially apologizing that he could not respond to every specific query on his Facebook page. I have noticed this tendency over the years as well after posting general information to friends and followers about an approaching storm system, hurricane, or snow scenario. For example, I might post, 'There is a squall line approaching the Atlanta area. Expect a heavy rainfall and lightning in the next 30 minutes followed by a sustained period of lighter rainfall.' Within minutes, I will receive a comments, direct messages, or texts asking if it is going to rain at a specific location or what specific time. Most of my colleagues are passionate and courteous people so will often try to respond to as many questions as possible. That's probably why so many meteorologists have large, loyal followings. It is tough situation because meteorologists like Chris Jackson and James Spann reach thousands of people daily, but it is unrealistic to expect them to be able to respond to specific questions. A 2021 study in the journal Nature Communications explored why people seek information. They found that people assess what they will learn from the information and then determine potential impacts of the information cognition or actions. I get it. You want localized information from your meteorological sources to make decisions or out of curiosity. Just remember that thousands of other people do to. The hurricane cone of uncertainty continues to evolve. Why Are Meteorologists Always Wrong? I have dealt with this question a lot over the years. I have written numerous articles articulating that weather forecasts are actually quite good. What I have noticed is that expectations, perceptions, or misunderstanding often leads to 'the weather people are always wrong' narrative. Here are 3 scenarios many people might conclude are bad forecasts that are actually not: PARKERSBURG, IA - MAY 26: A high school sits destroyed by a tornado May 26, 2008 in Parkersburg, ... More Iowa. Several storms throughout the Midwest produced tornadoes in Iowa and Minnesota Sunday. (Photo by) People can exhibit 'local' bias when evaluating weather information. I occasionally notice 'recency' and 'impact' bias too. Most forecasts are right, but if a planned birthday cookout or soccer game is rained out due to a bad forecast (they do happen), broad conclusions are drawn. It's like saying a kicker who made 98% of his field goals during the season is bad because he missed the big one in the bowl game. Which App Do You Use? I actually find this one to be amusing. My gut instinct is to react by saying, 'That's like asking your medical doctor which website she goes to for medical advice.' However, I usually smile and say that I tend to look at the model information, weather observations, and data to draw my own conclusions. Of course, there are certain radar or observational apps that I use and will often share them too. Apps are popular because they are convenient. We live on our phones. They also quench people's local bias thirst with immediate information with little sun emojis or messages like, 'It's going to start raining in 10 minutes.' Some apps are better than others, but I would never recommend them as a sole source of information, especially in rapidly evolving or dangerous weather situations. I have documented four common mistakes people make when using weather apps: The ship has definitely sailed on the presence of weather apps in our daily lives so just make sure you are aware of how you use them. My Daughter Is Having An Outdoor Wedding Reception In 3 Months. Will It Rain? Ummmm. Yikes. You'd be surprised at how often we get questions like this. Weather forecasts are made by solving complex equations in numerical prediction models. Data is input into the models to resolve the atmospheric fluid and its changes. It is one of the more difficult computational problems out there. Studies show that current model accuracy degrades beyond about 10 days or so. That should cause you to pause when you see 'social mediarologists' posting single model run, long-range snow or hurricane forecasts for 'likes' and 'shares.' We are also seeing the emergence of AI models, which uses a very different paradigm than the current generation of weather models. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center does produce weekly, monthly and seasonal outlooks based on things like the presence of La Nina or El Nino. However, you will not find a credible 90-day forecast for a specific day. Climatological information, however, can certainly be used as guidance. For example, our recent family cruise was planned for early June for a reason. The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is later in the summer. Do You Believe In Climate Change? Science isn't a believe system like the tooth fairy or Santa. When I hear that question, it is like asking if you believe in gravity as you walk along the ledge of a skyscraper. Yes, climate changes naturally, but there is human steroid on top of it now. Studies also show that some aspects of our weather today are now affected. Seasonal precipitation Outlook.


CBS News
25 minutes ago
- CBS News
Maryland summer heat returns, strong storms Monday and Tuesday
After a morning of fog, mist, drizzle, and comfortable temperatures, we're looking at another round of heat and humidity returning this afternoon. Once the heat arrives, the heat and humidity will continue through Tuesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms will break the heat Tuesday bringing us some spectacular weather for the 4th of July. Heat and humidity ramp up for Orioles games this weekend Friday through early Saturday morning delivered us a nice break from the extreme to dangerous levels of heat and humidity from last week. Hopefully you enjoyed the cooler temperatures while they were here. Clouds will give way to sunshine this afternoon and that will help send temperatures back into the lower 90s. Factor in the high humidity levels and feels like temperatures will range between 95° to 100°. Most of our Maryland neighborhoods will stay dry today with the exception of a stray thunderstorm or two toward this evening. Western Maryland has a much better chance of heavy afternoon thunderstorms with drenching downpours and strong gusty winds. If you're headed to the Orioles game this afternoon for the 4:05 p.m. first pitch, expect hot and sunny weather with temperatures in the lower 90s. Make sure to stay hydrated throughout the game. There is the slight risk of a thunderstorm, but odds favor a dry game. Expect a warm and sultry night with overnight lows in the lower 70s with plenty of humidity. A few patchy areas of fog are possible, but overall the overnight weather conditions look quiet. Sunday will be another hot and steamy day with sunshine and highs headed back into the lower 90s. Once again, humidity levels will remain high, so feels like temperatures will reach near 100°. This includes the Orioles game with a 1:05 p.m. first pitch against the Rays. Once again there is the slight risk for a shower or thunderstorm at the game, but the forecast favors a dry, hot, and humid game. Strong to severe storms possible Monday and Tuesday Heat and humidity will continue into the start of the new workweek. Monday and Tuesday look hot and humid with highs in the lower 90s. The bigger story both days looks to be the development of numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms. The thunderstorms will feed off the high heat and humidity levels across the state. Monday's storms should begin forming around lunchtime and then continue into the early to mid evening hours. Any storm on Monday could deliver drenching downpours, intense lightning, and pockets of damaging winds. Before storms form, feels like temperatures may reach the low 100s. A strong cold front will approach the area Tuesday sparking additional strong to severe thunderstorms. The WJZ First Alert Weather Team has tagged Tuesday as a possible First Alert Weather Day for the potential of severe storms. There still is some uncertainty with how much sun we receive Tuesday ahead of the storms. The more sun we receive, the greater chance for severe weather. The stronger storms could contain damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Stay with the WJZ First Alert Weather Team for updates as we gain clarity on Tuesday's severe weather potential. Hot, but turning less muggy Wednesday and Thursday July heat will continue Wednesday and Thursday with sunshine and high temperatures close to 90°. These types of temperatures are average for Maryland this time of year. Humidity levels on Wednesday will begin to drop, especially during the afternoon hours. Thursday another disturbance will approach from the north and west, so we'll need to look out for the potential of isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Right now, odds favor places to the north of Maryland with more widespread storms, but we'll keep an eye on it. A Baltimore beauty for the 4th of July The weather for the 4th of July looks absolutely fantastic across the state of Maryland. A reinforcing shot of dry and comfortable air arrives across the state. If you're planning your barbeques and cookouts, plan for plenty of sunshine with highs in the upper 80s. You'll want to have plenty of sunscreen as skies stay mostly sunny. For fireworks displays across the area, the weather right now looks exceptional. Mainly clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s for 9 p.m. fireworks displays. If the forecast continues to trend this way, this will be one of our nicest July 4th holidays across the state in recent memory. Enjoy!
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Hours extended for Cleveland, Akron cooling centers
WJW) — With dangerously high heat continuing into the work week, Cleveland and Akron officials are keeping local cooling centers open longer. A Heat Advisory will continue through Tuesday evening in Northeast Ohio. Get the latest weather alerts here Cooling centers in Cleveland will stay open those days, from 11:30 a.m. to 10 p.m.: Zelma George Neighborhood Resource & Recreation Center, 3155 Martin L. King Blvd. Collinwood Neighborhood Resource & Recreation Center, 16300 Lakeshore Blvd. Gunning Neighborhood Resource & Recreation Center, 16700 Puritas Ave. Kovacic Neighborhood Resource & Recreation Center, 6250 St. Clair Ave. Michael Zone Neighborhood Resource & Recreation Center, 6301 Lorain Ave. Frederick Douglass Neighborhood Resource & Recreation Center, 15401 Miles Ave. All playground and youth outdoor programs are suspended on Monday and Tuesday. All recreation centers will serve lunch to youths 18 and younger from noon to 1 p.m. Monday through Friday. Outdoor pools will be open from noon to 7:45 p.m. on Sunday. Indoor pools will be open from noon to 7:45 p.m. on Monday and Tuesday. Pool admission and other summer programming are free. Spray parks and basins will also be open whenever the temperature hits 80 degrees or higher — which is every day in the 8-Day Forecast: The city of Akron is also keeping the Summit Lake Community Center, 380 W. Crosier St., open as a cooling center from 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Most of the city's other community centers will be closed on Sunday, but open for normal hours on Monday and Tuesday. All centers will return to normal operating hours on Wednesday. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.