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Rivian vs. Lucid: Which EV Stock Is Winning in 2025?
Key Points Rivian and Lucid both disappointed early investors. Both companies face supply chain issues and intense competition. But one of these EV companies has clearer near-term advantages. 10 stocks we like better than Rivian Automotive › Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) and Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID) were both hot electric vehicle (EV) stocks. Rivian went public with an IPO price of $78 on Nov. 10, 2021, and its shares more than doubled to a record closing price of $172.01 just a week later. Lucid went public by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) on July 26, 2021. Its shares started trading at $25.24, and more than doubled to a record closing price of $55.52 four months later. Both companies initially attracted a stampede of bulls with their ambitious growth targets, and the buying frenzy in emotion-driven meme stocks amplified their gains. But today, Rivian and Lucid trade at about $13 and $3, respectively. Both stocks fizzled out as they missed their own goals and racked up steep losses. Rising rates also popped their bubbly valuations. But when interest rates declined in 2024, Rivian and Lucid didn't bounce back even as investors pivoted back toward more speculative stocks. That sentiment is still chilly: Rivian's stock has only risen 5% since the beginning of 2025, while Lucid's stock dipped 3%. Should contrarian investors consider buying either of these EV stocks right now? Why did Rivian and Lucid disappoint the market? Rivian sells three EVs: its R1T pickup, its R1S full-size SUV, and an electric delivery van (EDV) for its top investor, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), and other companies. Before it went public, it claimed it could produce 50,000 vehicles in 2022. But in reality, it only produced 24,337 vehicles that year as it grappled with supply chain disruptions. Lucid sells two vehicles: its Air sedan and its new Gravity SUV. In its pre-merger presentation, it claimed it could deliver 20,000 vehicles in 2022. Unfortunately, it only delivered 4,369 vehicles in 2022 as it also struggled with supply chain constraints and production issues. At their record highs, Rivian's market cap hit $153.3 billion, or 92 times its 2022 revenue; while Lucid's market cap reached $91.4 billion, which was 150 times its 2022 revenue. Those sky-high valuations set both stocks up for steep declines when they missed their own rosy forecasts. What happened over the following years? In 2023, Rivian more than doubled its production to 57,232 vehicles as it overcame its supply chain issues. But in 2024, its production dipped to 49,476 vehicles as rising rates chilled the EV market, it faced tougher competition, and it temporarily shut down its main Illinois plant to upgrade its production capabilities. In 2025, it only expects to deliver 40,000 to 46,000 vehicles as it deals with higher tariffs on its raw materials and batteries, ongoing supply chain challenges, and another temporary shutdown to prepare for the launch of its smaller R2 SUV in 2026. Rivian is dealing with a lot of growing pains, but it's still supported by Amazon, Porsche (OTC: POAHY), Saudi Arabian conglomerate Abdul Latif Jameel, and other big investors. It ended its latest quarter with $8.5 billion in liquidity, and it expects the rollout of its smaller R2 SUV to significantly boost its sales and profits as it reaches a broader range of customers. Lucid's deliveries rose to 6,001 vehicles in 2023 and 10,241 vehicles in 2024, but those numbers were dismal compared to its original estimates. Lucid faced many of the same macro and competitive challenges as Rivian, and its CEO, Peter Rawlinson -- who attracted a lot of attention for his previous stint as Tesla's (NASDAQ: TSLA) chief vehicle engineer -- stepped down this February. Its board still hasn't appointed a permanent CEO yet. Rivian's founder and CEO, RJ Scaringe, remains in charge of his company. Lucid claims it can more than double its production to 20,000 vehicles this year as it ramps up its production of the Gravity SUV, but it doesn't have a great track record of meeting its own expectations. Yet Lucid is still firmly backed by Saudi Arabia's sovereign Public Investment Fund (PIF), which owns nearly two-thirds of its shares, and it ended its latest quarter with about $5.7 billion in liquidity, which it claims can carry it through its launch of the Gravity SUV. Which stock has more upside potential? From 2024 to 2027, analysts expect Rivian's revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32% as Lucid's revenue rises at a CAGR of 85%. Based on those estimates, which we should take with a grain of salt, Rivian and Lucid trade at 3.2 times and 6.9 times this year's sales, respectively. Neither company is expected to come close to breaking even, but Rivian's gross margins turned positive over the past two quarters as economies of scale kicked in. Lucid's gross margins are still negative. Rivian's higher production rates, healthier gross margins, and more stable leadership make it a stronger investment than Lucid right now -- even if its production wanes ahead of the R2's launch. As for Lucid, I'm not sure it can successfully ramp up its production of the Gravity and meet Wall Street's high expectations. If it falls short of that goal, its valuations will decline and its stock will drop even further. Should you buy stock in Rivian Automotive right now? Before you buy stock in Rivian Automotive, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Rivian Automotive wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,063,471!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,041% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 183% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 Leo Sun has positions in Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Porsche Automobil Se. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Rivian vs. Lucid: Which EV Stock Is Winning in 2025? was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
21 minutes ago
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Ryan McMahon off to fast start with Yankees: `First impressions are usually pretty big'
NEW YORK (AP) — Two games into his New York Yankees career, Ryan McMahon has fans talking. And in this case, that's a positive. 'First impressions are usually pretty big,' he said Sunday after sparking a comeback with a tying, two-run double and some dazzling defense in a 4-3 win over the Philadelphia Phillies that stopped a three-game losing streak. Acquired on Friday from Colorado, the 2024 All-Star went 1 for 3 and made a nifty backhand stop in his pinstriped debut Saturday, a 9-4 defeat. After the Phillies went ahead 2-0 Sunday against Carlos Rodón on second-inning homers by Nick Castellanos and rookie Otto Kemp, McMahon grounded a Zack Wheeler curveball into the right-field corner in the bottom half. 'He looks great so far. Hopefully he continues it," Yankees closer Devin Williams said. "I've obviously played against him in the past and he was a good player and I'm happy to have him here.' McMahon also singled and was hit by a pitch. He's reached base five times in two games with the Yankees. His glove work has been even more impressive. McMahon easily fielded J.T. Realmuto's 104.3 mph grounder in the second, jumped to grab Bryce Harper's looper leading off the fourth, then ranged to his glove side for a fifth-inning grounder with two out, slid and spun and then threw out speedy Trea Turner at first. 'Three big plays that stood out to me,' Rodón said. 'It's a whirlwind for a guy that gets traded and has to figure things out. So it's a pleasure to have him.' McMahon made 129 errors over six minor league seasons. He credited his defense to former Rockies teammates Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story and DJ LeMahieu, who have combined for 13 All-Star selections and 14 Gold Gloves. 'When you have those three guys and you're 20 years old and in your first big league camp, you're going to learn a lot if you just shut up and watch and pay attention,' McMahon said. McMahon arrived in the Bronx on Friday night following his trade from the Rockies, the team that drafted him in 2013. He took only one suitcase of clothing and his gear, and is staying in a hotel through the homestand. His wife Natalie and 1 1/2-year-old daughter Austyn Brooke remained behind. 'We'll figure that out, man,' he said. 'My wife, she's a rock star. She's awesome. She'll let me get settled a little bit and then they'll probably come out next homestand.' Yankees players, led by captain Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton, have been working at getting to know McMahon. 'Real easy to be around. I kind of sat with him a little bit today in the locker room, just kind of shooting it a little with him and he feels, to me, he feels comfortable,' said manager Aaron Boone, a third baseman obtained by the Yankees from Cincinnati at the 2003 trade deadline. 'It's allowing them space, allowing them to be themselves but also trying to really get to know them a little bit and making them immediately feel part of it,' Boone said. Austin Wells hit a go-ahead sacrifice fly and Trent Grisham an RBI single against Wheeler (9-4), who tied his career high with three hit batters — including two in a row ahead of the double by McMahon, who himself was hit by a pitch in the sixth. A smile on his face, McMahon left the clubhouse to address some of the logistics of the trade. 'I've got a lot of calls to make today, that's for sure,' he said. ___ AP MLB:
Yahoo
21 minutes ago
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3M Open 2025: Leaderboard, final results from TPC Twin Cities
Kurt Kitayama made the cut by a stroke and then shot 60-65 on the weekend to win the 3M Open by one shot over Sam Stevens. Here's a look at the round-by-round results from those who made the cut at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota: 2025 3M Open final leaderboard POS. PLAYER SCORE R1 R2 R3 R4 1 Kurt Kitayama -23 65 71 60 65 2 Sam Stevens -22 62 68 66 66 T3 David Lipsky -20 68 68 64 64 T3 Matt Wallace -20 65 67 68 64 T3 Pierceson Coody -20 65 65 67 67 T3 Jake Knapp -20 64 65 67 68 T7 Alex Noren -19 70 62 65 68 T7 Takumi Kanaya -19 67 64 65 69 T7 William Mouw -19 66 66 66 67 T10 Noah Goodwin -18 68 66 65 67 T10 Chris Gotterup -18 63 69 65 69 T12 Wyndham Clark -17 67 65 67 68 T12 Taylor Montgomery -17 67 70 63 67 T14 Chris Kirk -16 64 67 70 67 T14 Thorbjorn Olesen -16 62 66 67 73 T14 Adam Svensson -16 60 75 68 65 T14 Taylor Moore -16 66 67 66 69 T14 Jesper Svensson -16 66 69 63 70 T14 Mac Meissner -16 66 67 67 68 T20 Christiaan Bezuidenhout -15 71 66 67 65 T20 Brendan Valdes -15 64 71 68 66 T20 Gary Woodland -15 67 68 68 66 T20 Emiliano Grillo -15 65 67 69 68 T20 Ben Kohles -15 66 69 67 67 T25 Harry Higgs -14 68 67 68 67 T25 Thomas Rosenmueller -14 67 67 70 66 T25 Akshay Bhatia -14 66 66 63 75 T28 Nick Hardy -13 67 70 67 67 T28 Victor Perez -13 65 69 69 68 T28 Cameron Champ -13 69 68 67 67 T28 Carson Young -13 72 65 65 69 T28 Tom Kim -13 68 68 69 66 T28 Seamus Power -13 67 66 68 70 T28 Nate Lashley -13 67 66 66 72 T28 Kevin Kisner -13 67 69 70 65 T28 Rickie Fowler -13 65 70 68 68 T28 Kevin Roy -13 68 68 71 64 T28 Chad Ramey -13 63 69 68 71 T39 Joel Dahmen -12 67 65 71 69 T39 Max Homa -12 66 68 69 69 T39 Greyson Sigg -12 68 69 68 67 T39 Garrick Higgo -12 68 67 70 67 T39 Austin Eckroat -12 70 65 68 69 T44 Troy Merritt -11 68 68 68 69 T44 Adam Hadwin -11 66 71 67 69 T44 Joseph Bramlett -11 69 67 68 69 T44 Zac Blair -11 64 72 69 68 T44 Alex Smalley -11 71 66 66 70 T44 Matthieu Pavon -11 69 68 66 70 T44 Patrick Fishburn -11 66 68 71 68 T44 Michael La Sasso -11 69 68 63 73 T44 Jhonattan Vegas -11 68 69 69 67 T53 Isaiah Salinda -10 68 68 68 70 T53 Adam Scott -10 69 67 66 72 T53 Camilo Villegas -10 68 69 67 70 T53 Mackenzie Hughes -10 66 71 69 68 T57 David Skinns -9 66 70 70 69 T57 Brice Garnett -9 66 70 68 71 T57 Vince Whaley -9 67 70 69 69 T57 Rico Hoey -9 68 65 74 68 T61 Luke Clanton -8 66 66 70 74 T61 Ben Silverman -8 66 69 71 70 T61 Mark Hubbard -8 66 68 74 68 T61 Sam Burns -8 71 64 67 74 T61 Trevor Cone -8 68 69 70 69 T61 Cristobal Del Solar -8 68 68 68 72 T61 Matti Schmid -8 63 68 76 69 T68 Sam Ryder -7 70 64 70 73 T68 Taylor Pendrith -7 68 69 71 69 T68 Niklas Norgaard Moller -7 66 70 71 70 T68 Matthew McCarty -7 67 70 71 69 T72 Henrik Norlander -5 67 66 70 76 T72 Antoine Rozner -5 68 69 71 71 74 Steven Fisk -4 71 66 70 73 75 David Ford -3 67 68 71 75 76 Taylor Dickson -2 67 67 73 75