logo
Oil prices gain on geopolitical risks, inventory worries

Oil prices gain on geopolitical risks, inventory worries

Business Recorder15 hours ago
LONDON: Oil prices rose on Thursday, even as global trade tensions appeared to cool, with analysts pointing to low inventories and renewed Middle East risks as factors supporting the market.
Brent crude futures were up 31 cents, or around 0.5%, to $68.83 a barrel at 1203 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 61 cents, or 0.9%, at $66.99.
US President Donald Trump has said letters notifying smaller countries of their US tariff rates would go out soon, and has also alluded to prospects of a deal with Beijing on illicit drugs and a possible agreement with the European Union.
'Near-term prices (are) set to remain volatile due to the uncertainty over the final scale of US tariffs and the resultant impact on global growth,' said Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum, adding that prices would likely settle lower in the medium term.
Oil eases 1% as US fuel stock builds put focus on demand
The oil market on Thursday was also reacting to a tightened inventory scenario, said John Evans, analyst at PVM Oil Associates.
Last week, the International Energy Agency said that oil output increases were not leading to higher inventories, which showed markets were thirsty for more oil.
'Oil thinking has been distracted from the Middle East, and the reminders of Israel's attacks into Syria and the drone attacks on oil infrastructure in Kurdistan are timely and once again add a little fizz to proceedings,' Evans said.
Drone attacks on oilfields in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region have slashed crude output by up to 150,000 barrels per day, two energy officials said on Wednesday, as infrastructure damage forced multiple shutdowns.
'For now, oil market indicators continue to suggest the physical market remains tight. But ongoing trade tensions could weigh on oil demand growth prospects and pose downside risks to prices,' said UBS commodities analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Dollar gains broadly, yen dips
Dollar gains broadly, yen dips

Business Recorder

timean hour ago

  • Business Recorder

Dollar gains broadly, yen dips

NEW YORK: The dollar rose on Thursday after data showed retail sales rose more than expected in June, following a turbulent session on Wednesday when US President Donald Trump denied reports that he is planning to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The dollar has rallied this month in what analysts say is largely consolidation following a sharp selloff for most of this year. The dollar index remains down 9% year-to-date. Rising Treasury yields this month are supporting the dollar's rebound. 'After having a historic sell-off in the first half, the dollar has begun the second half on firmer footing. It looks like mostly short covering backed by these firmer US interest rates,' said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York. The dollar extended gains on Thursday after data showed US retail sales rebounded more than expected in June, while the number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits also fell last week. However, the greenback quickly fell back and traded close to where it was before the data, which Chandler said shows 'the lack of near-term conviction.' Investors are weighing multiple factors that could influence market direction, including the economic impact of Trump's tariff policies, the US fiscal and debt outlook, and the Fed's independence. The dollar tumbled on Wednesday on reports that Trump was planning to fire Powell soon, before paring the drop when Trump denied the news. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was last up 0.39% on the day at 98.73, with the euro down 0.42% at $1.1585. In other currencies, sterling weakened after data showed British pay growth slowing in May and employee numbers dropping further last month. The British pound was last down 0.16% at $1.3398. Meanwhile, concerns mounted over a pivotal election in Japan and a still elusive trade deal with the US to avoid a punishing rise in tariffs. Japan's currency fell as polls showed Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's coalition was in danger of losing its majority in the upper house. The yen was weakened 0.46% against the greenback to 148.56 per dollar after touching its weakest level since April 3 in the previous session. The Australian dollar slid after jobs data badly missed forecasts and unemployment hit highs not seen since late 2021. The Aussie was last down 0.8% versus the greenback at $0.6474. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 1.26% to $118,425.

Gold extends decline after solid US economic data
Gold extends decline after solid US economic data

Business Recorder

timean hour ago

  • Business Recorder

Gold extends decline after solid US economic data

NEW YORK: Gold prices extended declines and fell nearly 1% on Thursday after upbeat US economic data aided the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on resuming monetary easing this year. Spot gold fell 0.9% to $3,315.15 per ounce, by 0936 a.m. EDT (1336 GMT) after hitting a session low of $3,309.59. US gold futures fell 1.2% to $3,320.80. Following the latest US data, 'there was a bit of rise in the dollar and US Treasury yields are higher. So, it's put a little weakness in the gold market,' said Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures. But, strong central bank demand, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and tariff risks could keep gold prices elevated, he added. The dollar gained 0.3%, making greenback-priced gold more expensive for foreign currency holders. Data showed that the number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits fell last week, pointing to steady job growth in July. While, US retail sales rebounded more than expected in June, recording an increase of 0.6% last month after an unrevised 0.9% drop in May, but some of the increase likely reflected higher prices for some goods exposed to tariffs. Meanwhile, the Fed should not cut interest rates 'for some time' as the impact of Trump administration tariffs begins to pass through to consumer prices, Fed Governor Adriana Kugler said. Gold is known as a hedge against uncertainty and inflation, but higher rates dim its appeal as it yields no interest. On the trade front, Japan's top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa held talks with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on US tariffs, as Tokyo races to avert a 25% levy that will be imposed unless a deal is clinched by an August 1 deadline. Palladium added 0.1% to $1,232.02, after reaching its highest level since October 2023. Fears of an escalating war in Russia, a major palladium exporter, are fuelling supply concerns and driving prices higher, Haberkorn said. Elsewhere, spot silver fell 0.8% to $37.64 per ounce and platinum lost 0.6% to $1,408.30.

Rising inventories, stronger dollar keep copper under pressure
Rising inventories, stronger dollar keep copper under pressure

Business Recorder

timean hour ago

  • Business Recorder

Rising inventories, stronger dollar keep copper under pressure

LONDON: Copper prices edged down on Thursday as the dollar strengthened and stocks in the Asian warehouses registered with the London Metal Exchange kept on rising in anticipation of a 50% import tariff by the US Three-month copper prices on the LME fell 0.2% to $9,620.5 per metric ton in official open-outcry trading as they continued to retreat from the three-month high of $10,020 a ton set in early July. Some copper previously planned for the US is coming back to the LME system after Washington said last week it would impose a 50% import tariff on copper from August 1. 'LME copper stocks continue to rise as material is rerouted back to the exchange, with the window to ship in time to meet COMEX tariff deadlines quickly closing,' analysts at broker Sucden Financial said. Available or on-warrant LME copper stocks rose 70% to 110,950 tons since Washington announced its copper tariff plan, highest since April 30, easing concerns about availability of the metal for the nearby supply. This can be seen in the spread between the cash copper contract against the three-month forward contract swinging to a discount. The discount was last at $50 a ton compared with a premium of $320 three weeks ago. A lot of uncertainties about the US tariffs remain, with the market waiting for Washington's executive order to confirm the August 1 deadline, provide the list of the exact copper products the levy would apply to, and speculating about possible exemptions for major copper producing countries. Adding further pressure on copper, China's data showed on Wednesday that the country's refined copper production in June rose 14% year-on-year to a record high. The dollar was stronger on Thursday as investors assessed US President Donald Trump's latest comments on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's future. A stronger US currency makes dollar-priced metals more expensive for buyers using other currencies. In other metals, LME tin eased 0.1% to $32,765 a ton in official activity after hitting a 3-week low of $32,575. Tin shipments from Myanmar's Wa State are expected to resume in the coming months, according to the International Tin Association. Aluminium fell 0.7% to $2,560.5, zinc and lead lost 0.2% to $2,706 and $1,973, respectively, while nickel slipped 0.4% to $14,960.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store