Turkey Sees ‘Huge' Peace Dividend From End of $1.8 Trillion War
Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek said Tuesday that fighting with the militant group Kurdistan Workers' Party, or the PKK, since 1984 cost Turkey around $1.8 trillion.
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33 minutes ago
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Inter Milan CEO Beppe Marotta Did Not Hold Transfer Negotiations With Fenerbahce For Midfielder But Breakthrough Could Soon Be Made
Suggestions that Inter Milan CEO Beppe Marotta held a video call to negotiate the sale of Hakan Calhanoglu with Fenerbahce president Ali Koc are thought to be wide of the mark. As reported in today's newspaper edition of La Gazzetta dello Sport, and via Marotta did not hold a conference with Koc in an effort to secure the sale of the Turkish midfielder, but progress on a deal could be made this week. Similarly, the newspaper denies reports that the player himself has personally asked Inter to lower their demands of €30 million for him, with Fenerbahce currently only bidding €20m. Indeed, La Gazzetta dello Sport urged caution due to ongoing presidential elections at Fenerbahce and the publicity that securing a star player like Calhanoglu would bring to a successful candidate. However, the Milan-based outlet confirmed that Marotta's team met with Calhanoglu's agent, Gordon Stipic, on Saturday and talks with Fenerbahce could move forward this week. It is expected that whilst Inter are keen to hold out for €30m for the ex-AC Milan man, it is likely that the two clubs will meet in the middle for a €25m fee.
Yahoo
9 hours ago
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Regional disparity grows as truckload capacity tightens
Chart of the Week: Regional Rejection Indexes – Southeast, Midwest, Northeast, West Coast, Southwest SONAR: Truckload tender rejection rates have diverged significantly over the past year, reflecting growing regional imbalances in the U.S. trucking market. In the Southeast, rejection rates have averaged close to 10% over the past two months, while West Coast rates have remained around 3.5%. This widening gap signals increasing network and pricing inefficiencies and suggests that the truckload market is less stable than it appears on the surface. At this time last year, the gap between the two regions was much narrower: the Southeast averaged around 6%, while the West Coast sat only slightly lower at 5.3%. They're not alone—other regions have also drifted apart. During the winter, the Midwest saw the most disruption, with rejection rates exceeding 12% for the first time in two years, while the West Coast remained under 8%. For context, rejection rates above 10% are typically problematic for shippers, often triggering rapid rate inflation. These spikes are usually associated with holiday periods like Christmas and the Fourth of July. The increasing dispersion in regional rejection rates points to a less balanced freight environment. Carrier networks constantly struggle to keep trucks moving toward areas where equipment is needed. When demand shifts—as it has over the past year—networks are slow to recalibrate. Not so oversupplied Following the pandemic, truckload capacity was so abundant that regional imbalances were largely absorbed. Trucks were readily available, often waiting on the sidelines. That's no longer the case. Since late 2022, the market has been shedding capacity. According to FMCSA data, more than 48,000 registered operators have exited the market. Net revocations have accelerated since last October, now averaging nearly 200 more per week year-over-year. Still, the increase in total rejection rates has remained modest—hovering around 6% in recent months—insufficient to spark a significant capacity crunch or a market 'flip.' Rates are also driving regional inequity One contributor to the growing disparity in rejection rates is the diverging trend in contract rates, particularly out of eastern markets. According to SONAR's invoice data, the average contract rate per mile from Los Angeles to Chicago has risen about 3% over the past two years. In contrast, the rate from Atlanta to Chicago has declined nearly 7%. While these are just two lanes among many, they illustrate a broader trend: outbound Southern California rates have shown more upward pressure than those in the East. Length of haul also plays a role. Freight originating in Atlanta averages about 500 miles, while Los Angeles loads average more than 800 miles. This difference incentivizes carriers to prioritize longer West Coast hauls. Rejection rates out of Atlanta — the Southeast's largest market — have spiked in recent months. Although this hasn't yet driven up contract rates, it has had a strong effect on the spot market. Spot rates in the Atlanta-to-Chicago lane are up 41% since mid-April. If sustained, this could eventually lead to higher contract rates. In the meantime, it highlights how fragile the spot market environment is. The Bottom Line The freight market remains relatively soft, with little upward movement in long-term contract rates. But under the surface, conditions are shifting. The fact that spot rates have surged more than 40% in a well-traveled lane — even in a down market — demonstrates just how vulnerable the truckload environment has become. About the Chart of the Week The FreightWaves Chart of the Week is a chart selection from SONAR that provides an interesting data point to describe the state of the freight markets. A chart is chosen from thousands of potential charts on SONAR to help participants visualize the freight market in real time. Each week a Market Expert will post a chart, along with commentary, live on the front page. After that, the Chart of the Week will be archived on for future reference. SONAR aggregates data from hundreds of sources, presenting the data in charts and maps and providing commentary on what freight market experts want to know about the industry in real time. The FreightWaves data science and product teams are releasing new datasets each week and enhancing the client experience. To request a SONAR demo, click here. The post Regional disparity grows as truckload capacity tightens appeared first on FreightWaves.
Yahoo
9 hours ago
- Yahoo
Concerns of a Global Crude Oil Glut Undercut Prices
August WTI crude oil (CLQ25) on Friday closed down -0.20 (-0.30%), and August RBOB gasoline (RBQ25) closed down -0.0170 (-0.78%). Crude oil prices gave up an early advance on Friday and settled lower, amid concerns that Iraq will soon boost its crude exports after approving a plan for its semi-autonomous Kurdish region to resume crude exports through the Iraq-Turkey pipeline. More News from Barchart Forecasts for Hot US Temps Boost Nat-Gas Prices Crude Oil Prices Erase Early Gains on the Outlook for Iraq to Boost Crude Exports Stop Missing Market Moves: Get the FREE Barchart Brief – your midday dose of stock movers, trending sectors, and actionable trade ideas, delivered right to your inbox. Sign Up Now! Crude prices initially moved higher on Friday due to a weaker dollar. Also, Friday's action by the European Union to ramp up sanctions on Russian crude exports may curb global oil supplies and is supportive for crude prices. In addition, Friday's stronger-than-expected US economic news indicates a robust economy that supports energy demand and crude prices. Weighing on crude is the outlook for Iraq to boost crude exports from its northern Kurdish region through the Iraq-Turkey pipeline, where oil exports have been halted since March 2023. The Iraqi government approved a plan for the semi-autonomous Kurdish region to resume oil exports. Kurdistan expects to supply Iraq's crude market with 230,000 bpd of crude once exports resume. Iraq is OPEC's second-biggest oil producer. Crude prices found early support Friday after the European Union approved fresh sanctions on Russian crude exports and its energy trade over its war in Ukraine. The sanctions package includes cutting off 20 more Russian banks from the international payments system SWIFT, as well as restrictions imposed on Russian petroleum refined in other countries. A large oil refinery in India, part-owned by Russia's Rosneft PJSC, was also blacklisted. Additionally, 105 more ships in Russia's shadow fleet were sanctioned, bringing the total number above 400 ships. Signs of strength in the US economy are bullish for energy demand and crude prices. Friday's news showed Jun housing starts rose +4.6% m/m to 1.321 million, stronger than expectations of 1.300 million. Also, Jun building permits, a proxy for future construction, unexpectedly rose +0.2% m/m to 1.397 million versus expectations of a -0.5% m/m decline to 1.387 million. In addition, the University of Michigan US July consumer sentiment index rose +1.1 to a 5-month high of 61.8, stronger than expectations of 61.5. Concern about a global oil glut is negative for crude prices. On July 5, OPEC+ agreed to raise its crude production by 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) beginning August 1, exceeding expectations of a 411,000 bpd increase. Saudi Arabia also stated that additional similar-sized increases in crude output could follow, which is viewed as a strategy to reduce oil prices and penalize overproducing OPEC+ members, such as Kazakhstan and Iraq. OPEC+ is boosting output to reverse the 2-year-long production cut, gradually restoring a total of 2.2 million bpd of production by September 2026. On May 31, OPEC+ agreed to a 411,000 bpd increase in crude production for July, following the same 411,000 bpd hike for June. June crude production rose +360,000 bpd to a 1.5-year high of 28.10 million bpd. In a supportive factor for oil prices, Bloomberg reported last Thursday that OPEC+ is discussing a pause in further production increases from October, following its next monthly hike in September of 548,000 barrels. OPEC+ may be concerned about a slowdown in global oil demand in the second half of this year that could lead to a supply glut if the group keeps boosting production. The International Energy Agency said inventories have been accumulating at a rate of 1 million bpd and that the global crude oil market faces a surplus by Q4-2025 equivalent to 1.5% of global crude consumption. A decrease in crude oil held worldwide on tankers is bullish for oil prices. Vortexa reported Monday that crude oil stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least seven days fell by -4.6% w/w to 78.03 million bbl in the week ended July 11. Wednesday's weekly EIA report showed that US crude inventories in the week ended July 11 fell by -3.859 million bbls, the first draw in three weeks. Gasoline inventories rose +3.399 million bbls, and distillate inventories rose by +4.173 million bbls. The EIA report showed that (1) US crude oil inventories as of July 11 were -8.0% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were -0.1% below the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -21.1% below the 5-year seasonal average. US crude oil production in the week ending July 11 fell -0.1% w/w to 13.375 million bpd, modestly below the record high of 13.631 million bpd posted in the week of 12/6/2024. Baker Hughes reported Friday that the number of active US oil rigs in the week ending July 18 decreased by -2 rigs to a new 3.75-year low of 422 rigs. Over the past 2.5 years, the number of US oil rigs has fallen sharply from the 5.25-year high of 627 rigs reported in December 2022. On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on
