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♏ Scorpio Daily Horoscope for June 29, 2025

♏ Scorpio Daily Horoscope for June 29, 2025

UAE Momentsa day ago

June 29, 2025, invites Scorpio to harness emotional softness and charisma. A power day for relationships and career—surpass expectations through genuine connection.
❤️ Love & Relationships
Today, gentleness becomes your greatest strength. Fostering emotional openness creates deeper trust and intimacy. Authentic kindness draws loved ones close, letting affection flow organically.
💰 Finance
Expect favorable professional interactions—your voice holds weight. Be prepared for financial dialogue or negotiations; use your intuitive awareness to speak clearly yet compassionately.
💼 Career & Ambitions
Scorpio energy shines at work today. Whether you're presenting ideas or stepping into larger roles, your magnetic authenticity brings recognition. People in authority are listening—speak from the heart and let your ideas land.
🩺 Health & Well‑Being
Calm your inner intensity with moments of stillness. Meditation or a quiet pause throughout the day helps you harness emotional energy productively, preventing overload.
🔮 Other Insights
This is a day of transformation through simplicity. Let go of vanity—focus instead on meaningful connections and purpose. Small, mindful adjustments unlock significant growth.

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Trump's push for regulatory reform highlights ‘Treasury put': Jen
Trump's push for regulatory reform highlights ‘Treasury put': Jen

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Trump's push for regulatory reform highlights ‘Treasury put': Jen

(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, the CEO and co-CIO of Eurizon SLJ asset management.) LONDON - There has been much discussion of the so-called "Trump put" for equities, but perhaps more attention should be paid to the administration's effective "Treasury Put". Given the high U.S. public debt burden, the government must keep interest rates under control, and that appears to be the primary motivation for the Trump administration's recent push to relax a key bank regulatory requirement. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on May 27 discussed progress made to relax the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) requirement for U.S. banks. The SLR was introduced in early 2018 as part of the Basel III bank regulations to help ensure large banks held sufficient capital. The SLR is a second layer on top of the normal capital requirement, which is why it is considered "supplementary". What is special about the SLR is that banks' holdings of Treasuries incur a capital charge, in contrast to the normal capital requirement, which assigns government bonds a zero-weighting for risk purposes. Based on the current SLR, large banks in the U.S. are charged a 5% capital fee, while smaller banks are charged 3%. NECESSARY REFORM It is widely accepted that the SLR needs to be relaxed because it appears to be hurting large banks' ability and capacity to provide market liquidity, a particular concern given how much Treasury issuance has exploded since the pandemic. Outstanding U.S. Treasuries, including those held by the Federal Reserve, rose from 100% of GDP prior to 2020 to around 120% now, exacerbating the disconnect between supply and demand. Fed Chair Jay Powell has weighed in, commenting in February 2025, "The amount of Treasuries has grown much faster than the intermediation capacity has grown, and one obvious thing to do is to lower the bindingness of (the SLR)." The Trump administration is supporting efforts to do just that, with an agreement to relax the SLR expected this summer. COST CONTROL Even though SLR reform is intended to improve liquidity and thereby support bank lending and economic growth, one of the Trump administration's other key motivations is clearly keeping a lid on government borrowing costs. Treasury Secretary Bessent indicated as much in his May 27 interview, stating that relaxing the SLR could "bring yields down by tens of basis points." With the caveat that it is very difficult to estimate the yield impact of SLR reform econometrically, there's reason to believe that Secretary Bessent could be right. Reducing the SLR should, in theory, lower yields by boosting bank demand for Treasuries. Market estimates suggest that a one percentage point SLR reduction could lower the 10-year Treasury yield by 10-50 basis points, depending on the circumstances. Based on this estimate, dropping the SLR charge by two percentage points – a likely reform – could double that. Based on that assumption, we would expect to see a 0.50 percentage point reduction in the 10-year yield, which is consistent with Secretary Bessent's statement of "a few tenths of a percent". 'BOND PUT' The Trump administration is keeping a close eye on the bond market. Secretary Bessent has long been clear that getting the U.S. fiscal deficit under control is one of his top priorities, but this will be difficult to achieve if interest rates are too high relative to economic growth. The Secretary's repeated references to a relatively obscure issue like SLR relaxation and its potential impact on Treasury yields only highlights this focus. Importantly, this is not just a matter of watching out for bond market ructions, which any administration would do. It's about taking action to try to keep yields down. In other words, there is more likely to be a Trump "bond put" rather than a Trump "equity put". Or to put it another way, the strike price on the former is likely to be a lot higher. LOOKING FORWARD Given the Trump administration's focus on the bond market and recent trends in U.S. inflation and economic activity, it is reasonable to assume that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could trade below 4.00% in the fourth quarter, down from its current level around 4.30%. While yields remain elevated, likely because of perceived fiscal risks, a prospective relaxation of the SLR could have the opposite effect by boosting demand for U.S. government bonds. To be sure, other economic, geopolitical or market factors could complicate this scenario. But if we do see lower bond yields, this should support risk assets and be negative for the dollar, and, perhaps most importantly, it may buy more time for the U.S. to deal with its fiscal challenges. (The views expressed here are those of Stephen Jen, the CEO and co-CIO of Eurizon SLJ asset management). Enjoying this column? Check out Reuters Open Interest (ROI), your essential new source for global financial commentary. ROI delivers thought-provoking, data-driven analysis of everything from swap rates to soybeans. Markets are moving faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn and X. (Writing by Stephen Jen; Editing by Anna Szymanski and Sam Holmes.)

Markets in H1: Down with the dollar, up with guns
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Markets in H1: Down with the dollar, up with guns

LONDON - After U.S. President Donald Trump's radical campaign pledges, investors knew markets would get bumpy this year as he returned to lead the world's biggest economy. But almost nobody predicted the outcome so far, especially the dollar's dramatic fall. Run through the year's numbers without tracking the journey and many key markets look serene. World stocks are at record highs, benchmark global borrowing costs are down and so-called market "fear gauges" like the VIX barely look like they have moved. But look closer and the turmoil is clear: all of those markets have seen extreme swings over the last six months - and then there's the dollar. The world's reserve currency is down over 10%. That's its biggest first-half dive since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s, whereas gold is up 25% in its biggest rise since then, which marked the end of the bullion-linked Bretton Woods System. Vincent Mortier, chief investment officer at Europe's largest asset manager Amundi, puts this down to Trump's trade war, and particularly to what the president calls his "Big Beautiful" fiscal bill that will keep the U.S. deficit at 6-7% and its $36.2-trillion debt pile ballooning. "The big event of the first half for the market has been this U.S. weakness and this questioning of what should be the trajectory of the dollar," Mortier said, adding he expected the U.S. currency to keep dropping, albeit more slowly. Also eye-catching have been the struggles of the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants. They have been a cash cow for portfolios for years, but have been left for dust so far this year by a 20% rally in Chinese rivals and a near 70% surge in European weapons makers. The latter move has been driven by Trump too. His signal that the U.S. will scale back Europe's military protection is forcing the region - and other NATO members - to rearm. Germany's historic plan to revamp its self-imposed debt brake to allow higher defence spending initially interested the $140 trillion global bond market, although long-term U.S. debt concerns and record-high Japanese borrowing costs have driven most moves since. Given the dollar's woes, benchmark U.S. debt will have lost money this year for most who sit outside the country. Highlighting the volatility, 30-year Treasury yields surged past 5.1% to their highest since 2007 in May, but are already back at 4.8%. Switzerland, meanwhile, took its interest rates back down to zero this month. GREAT ROTATION? The dollar's slump also means the euro is up 12.5% , Japan's yen is up nearly 8% and the Swiss franc is up 13.5%. It has also given emerging markets a chance to shine. Trump's re-engagement with Russian President Vladimir Putin has helped the rouble surge a whopping 40%, although it remains heavily restricted by Western sanctions and still lags the 42% tear in gold producer Ghana's cedi. In eastern Europe, Poland's zloty, the Czech crown and Hungarian forint are all between 13-17% stronger. Taiwan's dollar jumped 8% in just two days last month and even Mexico's peso and emerging market local currency debt are enjoying double-digit gains for the year, despite all the trade war trauma. "This is the most prominent capital rotation we have seen for the best part of two decades," said PIMCO's head of emerging market portfolio management, Pramol Dhawan, referring to the move out of U.S. assets into emerging and other markets. "And we still think we are in the early innings of this." At the bottom of the FX pile are familiar names like Argentina's peso and Turkey's lira. The latter is down nearly 11% and much of that happened after Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan's main political rival was detained back in March. Bitcoin has been volatile, as usual. It raced up almost 20% when Trump took office, dived nearly 30% when his plans for a U.S. cryptocurrency reserve failed to impress and has spent the last three months clawing it all back again. Oil has yo-yoed too. It slumped 30% to below $60 a barrel in April after Trump's sweeping tariff plan fuelled global recession fears, but briefly soared above $80 this month when Israel and the U.S. bombed Iran. GOOD AS GOLD Copper has defied the global economy worries to jump 11%, although it's the precious metals that have sparkled. Silver is neck-and-neck with gold, up 24%, while platinum is up nearly 50% after a string of 10-year highs. There won't be much time for a second-half breather either. Trump wants to ram his "Big Beautiful Bill" though U.S. Congress by July 4's Independence Day holiday, while his ceasefire in the global trade war runs out five days later. Things are already kicking off with neighbour Canada and as the deadline approaches - and with scant progress so far towards mutually-agreed baseline levies - questions remain how long markets can stay numb to the risks. (Additional reporting by Yoruk Bahceli. Editing by Amanda Cooper and Mark Potter)

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