logo
Rachel Reeves: Taxes will rise to cover scrapped welfare reform

Rachel Reeves: Taxes will rise to cover scrapped welfare reform

Times9 hours ago
Rachel Reeves has warned cabinet ­ministers that tax rises in the autumn budget are likely to prove even more challenging than the £40 billion ­package she imposed in November.
The chancellor told cabinet on Tuesday that the decision to abandon welfare reforms meant taxes would have to rise to cover the cost. She said the rises in her first budget, which included a £24 billion increase in employers' national insurance contributions, were 'painful' but were the 'low-hanging fruit'.
Tax rises in the autumn are likely to be smaller than last year's but she is expected to have to raise tens of billions of pounds more. Reeves told ministers that would be a 'big challenge' given that she has limited options for doing it.
Economists have warned that the scale of the hole in the public finances means that she may have to break ­Labour's manifesto pledge not to ­increase income tax, national insurance or VAT. There are also suggestions that she could raid pension savings, which was rejected before the last budget.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Just raise tax? No, there's only one way out of this mess
Just raise tax? No, there's only one way out of this mess

Telegraph

time21 minutes ago

  • Telegraph

Just raise tax? No, there's only one way out of this mess

On Wednesday, fears that Donald Trump's 'big beautiful bill' would further swell America's towering public debt triggered a sharp sell-off in government bonds across the advanced world. As anxiety swept global markets, UK gilts were hit especially hard, with US jitters coinciding with Labour's failed welfare bill. Before reversing on Thursday, government borrowing costs in the UK increased by even more than in the US. You would be hard-pressed today to find a serious investor who believes that Rachel Reeves's fiscal arithmetic adds up. The only question ahead of the autumn Budget now seems to be not whether, but by how much, she will raise taxes to balance the books. This week's cover of the New Statesman captures the view from the Left. It reads 'Just raise tax'. Since our ageing population is adding to the demands on public healthcare systems and welfare, Left-of-centre analysts argue that Britain simply needs to face the facts and increase taxes to finance the necessary spending. The solution put forward by the Right is not to raise tax thresholds but to cut them. Have you not heard of the Laffer curve? They say that the way to increase tax receipts is to reduce tax rates. Both sides are wrong. Putting taxes up would not only be wildly unpopular, but it would further weaken Britain's already mediocre growth rate. Cutting taxes in a major way is also a non-starter – Liz Truss tried that already, and remember what happened. Across the whole spectrum of British politics, policymakers have become prisoners of their own economic ignorance when it comes to the causes and solutions of our present fiscal dilemma. Is this situation hopeless? Not at all. There is, in fact, a way to increase tax yields and hence finance higher public spending without raising tax rates. But the debate needs to refocus on the underlying causes of the fiscal gap and escape the siloed thinking about whether tax rates should go up or down, as if that is the only choice. The Government faces a serious constraint because of its promise not to raise rates on the big three taxes – on income, employee National Insurance and VAT. But this does not mean that policymakers have no options to increase the tax yields in these areas. Britain's persistent tax shortfall is a symptom of a persistent growth shortfall, caused by the excessive weight of misguided rules and regulations that arbitrarily slow and even prohibit all sorts of economic activities that would otherwise take place. Remove the economic straitjacket on our factors of production – land, labour, capital and entrepreneurship – and the fiscal problems will be solved. Needlessly restrictive and complex planning and zoning regulations prevent a much-needed increase in the stock of housing, transport infrastructure, factories and offices. We have left the EU only to discover that our Eurosclerosis is home-grown. The surest way to boost the revenues to the Exchequer from income tax and National Insurance would be to implement pro-employment policies that increase the number of people in jobs. Instead, with the Employment Rights Bill, minimum wage increases and the uplift in employers' National Insurance, Labour has delivered the most anti-employment policies in a generation. The unemployment rate has risen from 4.1pc to 4.6pc during Labour's first year in office and looks likely to rise further. Over the coming years, any rise in employment and incomes will be lower than it could have been. Economists have long known that increasing the ratio of capital to workers is the only way to increase productivity in the long run. But capital, which includes vehicles, machines and computers, needs power. The more cheap power is available, the greater the opportunities for capital to deepen and productivity growth. However, under our dogged decarbonisation push, we have reduced the availability of electricity to the economy by around a fifth since the peak in 2005. This decline has occurred due to the planned decommissioning of electricity production facilities powered by coal, oil, and even nuclear. Ahead of the election, Labour was making all the right noises. But the early promises to focus on growth with a pro-business message seem to have given way to a damaging and self-defeating cycle of growth disappointments and tax increases. Fears over higher taxes encourage saving and lacklustre spending and investment, which lowers tax yields across the board. Chronically fearful consumers are saving more than 10pc of their income, despite average annual real wage gains of nearly 2pc for over two years while businesses sit on near-record cash balances. Taxes, like public services, are a second derivative of the real economy. We depend on the profits and investment of British industry, as well as the incomes and spending of private sector workers, to finance our public sector. The UK does not need to raise taxes; it needs to raise supply. Cutting red tape to promote these activities is the path to fiscal sustainability.

Cambridge Grafton Centre: What is happening and why?
Cambridge Grafton Centre: What is happening and why?

BBC News

time40 minutes ago

  • BBC News

Cambridge Grafton Centre: What is happening and why?

Despite a multi-million pounds building revamp eight years ago, the Grafton Centre in Cambridge is on the cusp of a major transformation. The "dying" complex - once home to Mothercare, Debenhams and a cinema - is about to be partially demolished to make way for laboratory space, offices, a new hotel and a reduced shopping is happening - and what do people think of it? The Grafton now The Grafton originally opened in 1984, with Queen Elizabeth II cutting the has undergone a number of changes since then, most notably in 1995 and in the shopping centre still holds a handful of big brand outlets like Boots and Decathlon, as well as independent businesses, a gym and a ping pong parlour. But the city's Debenhams store remains empty after its closure four years ago, smaller clothing stores have locked up for good and the curtain came down on the Vue cinema last month. John O'Shea, the centre's manager, remembers a £28m revamp of the shopping centre back in 2017 and says he is "very, very excited" to see this latest transformation take shape."It gives the shopping centre another lease of life," he said."I was here for the redevelopment last time round but, like many shopping centres across the UK, the Grafton suffered post-Covid."Mr O'Shea said they were now "considering the future" of the adjacent Vue building after the cinema franchise quit the centre last month. What is changing? The Grafton is undergoing a major facelift, with much of the interior changing to incorporate laboratory space for the ever-growing Cambridge tech the area around it will also see huge changes. Planners say the existing main entrance of the Grafton will be kept, with a corridor of shops leading to an outdoor courtyard that will take visitors to Burleigh Street, opposite the current Primark empty shops on Burleigh Street will be demolished to create another new entrance.A new life sciences building will replace Abbeygate House on East Road, with restaurants on the ground rear of the centre, where there are escalators and empty units, will become a "breakout area" for workers at the labs to will also be a new Premier Inn hotel opposite the former Vue on East Road. Why are the plans going ahead? The Pioneer Group, which got planning permission for the project from Greater Cambridge Shared Planning last year, said there was demand for science spaces from big companies and small start-ups in the city."Cambridge is one of the top places in the world for innovation and science," said director Subjit Jassy."We felt there was a trend for science places to go back into the city centre because you get the benefit of public transport and local amenities."Earlier this year, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said she wanted to see "world-class companies" grow in the area between Oxford and Cambridge, in order for the region to become "Europe's Silicon Valley".A report produced in September by Greater Cambridge Shared Planning said a "significant number" of projects for new labs and offices had gained planning consent, but warned "there may remain a shortfall" in spaces. Where will the shops go? The plan is to keep the Grafton's bigger shops, including H&M, Decathlon and Boots - and relocate some independent Jassy insisted they did not want to "get rid" of the shopping centre, but "retain as much as we can".His observation was that local people thought the centre "used to have a place in everybody's heart" but that "a lot of the feedback was that the Grafton Centre's dying – something needs to happen.""I think people recognise that this scale of shops in this location doesn't work anymore," he said. What do people think? Shopper Sarah Lefever said it was "quite sad" to see the Grafton's steady decline."I've come here since I was little, it's very different to see it with all the empty shops."She said it was "really disappointing" that the cinema had left, remembering "hustle and bustle" in years gone by. Gishani Parameswaran said the Grafton was not very welcoming for young families."This is a closed space area once people get in," she said."I feel like when I get here I'm just focused on the time because there isn't much else to focus on here."Catherine Jansson-Boyd, a professor of consumer psychology at Anglia Ruskin University - which has its Cambridge campus on East Road, said she did not think many people would miss the Grafton."It wasn't the most fun, jolly space in the world," she she was not convinced there was sufficient demand for labs and offices."Increasingly big companies are shedding their office space," she said."People are talking a lot about lab spaces, I can't personally see they are going to fill up." When is it all happening? An archaeological dig has already taken place on the site, which brought up some foundations from Victorian tenement next step is for demolition work to begin on Abbeygate House, which could begin later this on the new shopping area and an initial phase of the life sciences spaces are expected to be finished by the end of 2028. Follow Cambridgeshire news on BBC Sounds, Facebook, Instagram and X.

Cambridgeshire and Peterborough MPs on their whirlwind first year
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough MPs on their whirlwind first year

BBC News

timean hour ago

  • BBC News

Cambridgeshire and Peterborough MPs on their whirlwind first year

In the early hours of the morning on 5 July 2024 it became clear that the political map of Cambridgeshire and Peterborough was about to change. Six of the MPs elected were new to the job. How do they feel a year into their roles? Prior to the general election on 4 July 2024, the county had seven MPs - six of which were Conservative. Only Labour's Daniel Zeichner, the MP for Cambridge, did not sit on the then Conservative government's benches. Boundary changes meant the county was given an eighth parliamentary seat and as the general election results started to come in the colour of the political landscape turned from blue to a rainbow of blue, red and yellow. Andrew Pakes, Peterborough Andrew Pakes, the Labour MP for Peterborough, says the last year has been a "rollercoaster ride".Like all new MPs, after winning his seat in July he went straight to Westminster for inductions and felt like he was setting up a new business at the same time. "It's like getting two jobs at once" as you establish your MP office, he and previously described them as the "golden thread" running through all the government's plans to boost growth and the June the government announced Peterborough would receive funding for a new station quarter and sports quarter, which will include a new swimming the time of the next general election, which is expected in 2029, Pakes wants to see "spades in the ground" for the projects. Pippa Heylings, South Cambridgeshire "It's the craziest, biggest job, I have ever had and I'm loving it," says Pippa Heylings, the Liberal Democrat MP for South Cambridgeshire. Heylings recalls having to "hit the ground running" in July 2024 and set up hwe office whilst learning to do the says she and her team have handled about 7,000 cases from the constituency in the last forward the growth agenda is her focus, she says, and giving her constituents a voice. She adds she also wants to get plans for the Cambridge Cancer Research Hospital and Cambridge Children's Hospital "over the line". When asked what advice she would give her newly elected self, she says: "It's a marathon not a sprint." Charlotte Cane - Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane, the Liberal Democrat MP for Ely and East Cambridgeshire, said the past year has been "a whirlwind, very challenging and a steep learning curve", but also a "real honour". In the first few weeks following the general election she says she found the role "very overwhelming", after receiving "floods of emails" and with no staff to help at the beginning. "I didn't even have anywhere to store physical letters," she says. Yet, she says she has enjoyed visiting the different types of businesses in her constituency, from high tech companies "where people are literally doing things in outer space" to the large number of farms in the describes her shock after hearing about the challenges disabled people are facing when applying for grants to help them get into work, with some cases having "taken up to a year", she says. Ben Obese-Jecty, Huntingdon A "learning curve" and a "rollercoaster" is how Ben Obese-Jecty, the Conservative MP for Huntingdon, describes his first year as an says he underestimated how full on the job is, saying: "A news headline late one evening will affect how you do your job the next day. It's difficult to switch off."On reflection, he says, he should have "factored in some more free time" as trying to find a work-life balance is the next four years the MP is calling for a dedicated strategy for male victims of domestic also wants to see more new defence technology companies come to his constituency, along with a new train station at Alconbury Weald, Cambridgeshire. Sam Carling, North West Cambridgeshire Sam Carling, the Labour MP for North West Cambridgeshire, was the youngest MP elected in the country at the age of describes his first year as a "baptism of fire" following the intense media interest in him since his election. "I even got recognised on the train," he says. He describes his first year in Parliament as a "steep learning curve", but he says he has enjoyed doing case work and building relationships with colleagues."Everybody is just normal and I really wish the public could see more of the collaborative work that MP's across all parties do," he the next four years he wants to see more GP appointments and dental care made accessible to constituents and greater protection of rural bus routes. Ian Sollom, St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire "Thrown in at the deep end" and "drinking from the fire hose" is how Ian Sollom, the Liberal Democrat MP for St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire, describes his first says his proudest achievement is getting employment coaches from Huntingdon Jobcentre to come to St Neots to support people looking for work. The experience gave him "the taste to influence things", he says, of which he is keen to do the next four years he wants to see better health infrastructure established in the new towns and estates in his constituency, including primary care. He also wants better funding for Cambridgeshire Police and reforms to special educational needs and disability provision, so all children "get the education they deserve".The role has been "everything I hoped for", he says, and he feels like his team are making "little differences". Follow Cambridgeshire news on BBC Sounds, Facebook, Instagram and X.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store