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Japan, US reach deal on 15% auto, 'reciprocal' tariffs: PM

Japan, US reach deal on 15% auto, 'reciprocal' tariffs: PM

The Mainichi2 days ago
TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan and the United States have agreed on a trade deal under which tariff rates on Japanese cars and other products will be set at 15 percent, lower than those initially proposed by President Donald Trump, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said Wednesday.
Speaking to reporters, Ishiba said Japan will also increase rice imports from the United States within what is known as a "minimum access" quota. But he emphasized that Japan made no concessions that would undermine the country's agricultural sector.
The agreement came after Japan's chief negotiator Ryosei Akazawa held another round of tariff talks in Washington. Trump imposed a 25 percent levy on cars from Japan and other countries, and threatened to introduce a country-specific 25 percent "reciprocal" tariff on Japan from Aug. 1.
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But when the time came to pick a successor to Shinzo Abe, the LDP opted first for Yoshihide Suga, then for Fumio Kishida, neither of whom are from the party's conservative camps. Kishida further alienated the LDP's conservative base with the punishments he meted out in 2024 in response to the factions' money scandal. When public opinion worsened under Kishida, the party decided to go with a reform-minded candidate and picked Shigeru Ishiba. The moves failed to garner support from the public and they alienated many supporters. As a result, the LDP will need to regain its conservative base, many of whom have looked instead to the Democratic Party for the People, Sanseito and Nippon Ishin no Kai. The LDP must now woo them back. Success in this effort does not mean embracing populist dog whistling; rather, it means rallying behind a conservative leader who can outshine the likes of DPP's Yuichiro Tamaki and Sanseito's Sohei Kamiya. The second task for the LDP will be capturing the attention of the public. The old method of stump speeches and loudspeaker vans on the streets will not cut it anymore. With more voters turning to social media and video-sharing sites for political content, the LDP must fundamentally rethink its practices. Additionally, the standard for male-dominated LDP candidate lineups will not work, as there was a marked rise in the number of women who won in this recent election. The LDP must look for improved ways of recruiting strong female candidates and subsequently giving them meaningful opportunities to elevate their political stature. But these efforts will not mean anything if the LDP cannot accomplish the third task: formulating coherent policies that actually work to improve the lives of the average Japanese resident. The only thing that has saved the LDP up to this point is that none of the opposition parties have presented a viable alternative with coherent policy platforms. However, the public has now shown that they are increasingly willing to assume risk in backing the opposition. The LDP will not only need to create actionable policies, the various factions within the party must rally behind them. This leads to the last task: restructuring the party from within. When Kishida unilaterally upended the LDP's factional system, he did so without a substitute system ready to implement. Absent another mechanism for corralling the few hundred lawmakers, the decision fueled in-fighting and made the party less effective at a time when it needed to regain the public's trust. The situation has not improved under Ishiba. To rectify this, the party will need someone capable of managing internal politics and driving the reestablishment of a functional policy and power structure. The party's leader will not be able to do this by himself or herself; rather, it will take a trusted right hand who can manage that effort. So, who is capable of accomplishing these tasks for the LDP? Let's take a look at the prominent names in the debate. Taro Aso Former Prime Minister Taro Aso's name will continue to come up in discourse because of his long-standing prominence in the LDP. The grandson of famed postwar Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida and the richest politician in parliament, Aso has significant influence inside the party and among the business community. Some LDP members may now look to Aso to use whatever influence he has left in the twilight of his career to pull things back together. While Aso may still have power to wield, it will only be useful within the party architecture. Aso's connections to old guard politics may be helpful in piecing together elements of a fragmented party and rekindling some support from the LDP's traditional base, but it will not capture the attention of the broader public. Aso has not shown a willingness to evolve to match present-day sensibilities and it is unlikely that he is prepared to do so now. Shinjiro Koizumi Koizumi's name has floated around the LDP as the potential next-generation leader since he first came onto the political scene in 2009. Son of the popular and effective former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, the 44-year-old politician has benefited from his polished looks and political legacy in staying relevant. This is partly why Ishiba turned to Koizumi to take over the agriculture minister role in May as a last-ditch effort to address soaring rice prices. But despite all of Koizumi's energy and effort in his Cabinet and subcabinet postings, he has no meaningful achievements to show for it. The public has continued to lose confidence that Koizumi can develop and implement effective policies, meaning that even if the party decided to throw its weight behind him, it would be for naught. Koizumi's inability to tackle important issues and to manage intraparty politics stand to exacerbate the LDP's woes further. Takayuki Kobayashi Nicknamed 'Kobahawk' as a play on words based on his name and political leanings, the former economic security minister has shown potential for taking on the LDP's dire situation. As a former finance ministry official, he has practical policy experience and he is popular among the LDP's conservative base. Further, his relative youth and nonpolitical family background positions him to rebrand the party in ways that other LDP politicians cannot. The lingering question for Kobayashi is whether he even wants to take the helm of a sinking ship. He is still young for a politician and can afford to wait for another opportunity when the circumstances are more favorable; after all, he may prefer to pursue his own desired policy agenda rather than being forced to manage the messy problems that already exist. Instead of attempting to seize the opportunity now, he may throw his weight behind another conservative party leader and earn a Cabinet posting to continue building his credentials. Sanae Takaichi Former economic security minister Sanae Takaichi appears to be the LDP's most viable option. She was already close to winning the last LDP leadership race and she has not hidden her ambitions for the country's top job. Other boons for her is that she was a protege of Shinzo Abe and that she is a staunch conservative who cites Margaret Thatcher (the U.K.'s 'Iron Lady') as a role model. Further, she does not carry any of the baggage associated with the LDP's former factions as she operated as an independent within the party. As a bonus for the LDP, if the party selects Takaichi to be its next leader, they will have the distinction of elevating the first woman to become prime minister of Japan. While Takaichi can potentially accomplish the first two tasks needed to save the LDP, the second two will be more difficult. Takaichi is well-positioned to regain the LDP's conservative base and to capture the attention of the public, but will she be able to implement an effective policy agenda and restructure the party at the same time? She has not had to manage in-fighting among the party heavyweights and former factions, and she will need a trusted second-in-command to help her do so. Her biggest question is who that may be. Michael MacArthur Bosack is the special adviser for government relations at the Yokosuka Council on Asia-Pacific Studies. He previously served in the Japanese government as a Mansfield fellow.

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