
Ringgit to be traded at RM4.24 and RM4.26 range this week; market participants will be closely watching US Fed moves
This follows the anticipation of a potential meeting between United States (US) President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, as well as the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting by the end of the month.
SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes said the market is expected to adopt a tone of cautious optimism next week, as the potential Trump-Xi meeting could reset the US-China dialogue, lifting broader Asian sentiment.
"For Malaysia, any thaw in trade tensions could brighten the macro outlook and, by extension, offer a floor to the ringgit in the near term. That diplomatic backdrop, however tentative, has helped curb more aggressive ringgit selling into the weekend,' he told Bernama.
Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said that the next FOMC meeting will be held on July 29 and 30, and therefore, market participants will be closely watching to see whether the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut the Fed Fund Rate.
"Next week, there are not many data points to look at other than some comments from the Fed officials; thus, the market will be adopting a wait-and-see stance,' he added.
Meanwhile, Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd said the ringgit remains supported by improving domestic
fundamentals, rising foreign direct investment inflows, and infrastructure catalysts such as the resumption of the Mass Rapid Transit 3 project.
"We expect US dollar-ringgit to range between RM4.23 to RM4.25 per US dollar in the near term,' it said in a note today.
On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the ringgit ended the week better against the greenback, closing at 4.2410/2455 as compared with 4.2475/2525 previously.
The local note also traded higher against a basket of major currencies.
The ringgit appreciated vis-à-vis the Japanese yen to 2.8517/8549 from 2.8893/8929, and strengthened against the British pound to 5.6999/7060 from 5.7524/7592 last Friday.
It also rose versus the euro to 4.9336/9388 from 4.9679/9737 at the end of last week.
Against Asean currencies, the ringgit traded mostly higher.
The local note firmed against the Singapore dollar to 3.3027/3065 from 3.3186/3228, strengthened versus the Indonesian rupiah to 260.2/260.6 from 261.8/262.3 previously, and improved against the Philippine peso to 7.41/7.43 from 7.52/7.53 last Friday.
However, it weakened versus the Thai baht to 13.3027/3065 from 13.0668/0886. - Bernama
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Transport Minister Anthony Loke Siew Fook officiates the Genting East Coast Rail Link Project Tunnel excavation works ceremony in Bentong, Pahang on July 13, 2025. Beijing's development finance to the region rose by US$1.6 billion to US$4.9 billion in 2023 - mostly through big infrastructure projects such as rail links in Indonesia and Malaysia. — MUHAMAD SHAHRIL ROSLI/The Star SYDNEY: China is set to expand its influence over South-East Asia's development as the Trump administration and other Western donors slash aid, a study by an Australian think tank said Sunday (July 20). The region is in an "uncertain moment", facing cuts in official development finance from the West as well as "especially punitive" US trade tariffs, the Sydney-based Lowy Institute said. "Declining Western aid risks ceding a greater role to China, though other Asian donors will also gain in importance," it said. Total official development finance to South-East Asia - including grants, low-rate loans and other loans - grew "modestly" to US$29 billion in 2023, the annual report said. But US President Donald Trump has since halted about US$60 billion in development assistance - most of the United States' overseas aid programme. Seven European countries - including France and Germany - and the European Union have announced US$17.2 billion in aid cuts to be implemented between 2025 and 2029, it said. And the United Kingdom has said it is reducing annual aid by US$7.6 billion, redirecting government money towards defence. Based on recent announcements, overall official development finance to South-East Asia will fall by more than US$2 billion by 2026, the study projected. "These cuts will hit South-East Asia hard," it said. "Poorer countries and social sector priorities such as health, education and civil society support that rely on bilateral aid funding are likely to lose out the most." Higher-income countries already capture most of the region's official development finance, said the institute's South-East Asia Aid Map report. Poorer countries such as East Timor, Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar are being left behind, creating a deepening divide that could undermine long-term stability, equity and resilience, it warned. Despite substantial economic development across most of South-East Asia, around 86 million people still live on less than US$3.65 a day, it said. "The centre of gravity in South-East Asia's development finance landscape looks set to drift East, notably to Beijing but also Tokyo and Seoul," the study said. As trade ties with the United States have weakened, South-East Asian countries' development options could shrink, it said, leaving them with less leverage to negotiate favourable terms with Beijing. "China's relative importance as a development actor in the region will rise as Western development support recedes," it said. Beijing's development finance to the region rose by US$1.6 billion to US$4.9 billion in 2023 - mostly through big infrastructure projects such as rail links in Indonesia and Malaysia, the report said. At the same time, China's infrastructure commitments to South-East Asia surged fourfold to almost US$10 billion, largely due to the revival of the Kyaukphyu Deep Sea Port project in Myanmar. By contrast, Western alternative infrastructure projects had failed to materialise in recent years, the study said. "Similarly, Western promises to support the region's clean energy transition have yet to translate into more projects on the ground - of global concern given coal-dependent South-East Asia is a major source of rapidly growing carbon emissions." - AFP