logo
‘Time to Up the Ante,' Says Top Investor About Tesla Stock

‘Time to Up the Ante,' Says Top Investor About Tesla Stock

Business Insider17 hours ago
There have been plenty of strikes against Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) over the past few months – from a worsening brand reputation to declining electric vehicle deliveries to a very public spat between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump.
Elevate Your Investing Strategy:
Take advantage of TipRanks Premium at 50% off! Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence.
Make smarter investment decisions with TipRanks' Smart Investor Picks, delivered to your inbox every week.
Yet, despite this barrage of negative headlines, Tesla's share price has shown resilience. After a chilling start to the year, TSLA has rebounded 24% over the past three months, reflecting investors' enduring faith in Musk's ability to deliver value, even when the narrative seems stacked against him.
Among the believers is top investor JR Research, who, until recently, was a skeptic. JR now argues that the real story is not about present-day EV sales, but rather Tesla's potential to revolutionize autonomous transport.
'I believe it's really time for us to consider TSLA's valuation to be mainly predicated on its ability to achieve its robotaxi objectives,' notes JR, who is among the very top 1% of TipRanks' stock pros.
While Alphabet's Waymo may appear to have the advantage at present, JR explains that Tesla is firmly in the driver's seat over the long-term. The investor cites 'salient commentary' from an industry insider, who predicts that Tesla's cost-effective end-to-end neural network approach will ultimately be easier to scale than Waymo's sensor-heavy development.
In addition, Tesla's fleet of EV's should allow it 'to scale its robotaxi vision quickly,' whereas Waymo does not have the infrastructure in place to compete with Tesla's 'massive' economies of scale.
If Tesla can capture even 30% of the robotaxi market, JR projects that the company's operating income could soar by 32% to 53% by 2030. In this light, short-term fluctuations in delivery numbers become far less significant – investors focused solely on the present may be missing the bigger picture.
'Occasionally missing quarterly targets or putting out deliveries decline may no longer hamper the stock that substantially if the robotaxi pivot continues to unfold successfully,' concludes JR Research. 'I'm ready to move back to the bullish side of Tesla's camp.'
Marking a clear change of heart, JR Research has upgraded TSLA to Buy, signaling renewed confidence in Tesla's long-term vision. (To watch JR Research's track record, click here)
Even so, Wall Street sentiment remains mixed. With 13 Buy recommendations, 13 Holds, and 9 Sells, TSLA currently carries a Hold (i.e., Neutral) consensus rating. The average 12-month price target stands at $293.38, suggesting about 6% downside from current levels. (See TSLA stock forecast)
To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks' Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks' equity insights.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Federal job cuts set off retirement surge, planning challenges
Federal job cuts set off retirement surge, planning challenges

Yahoo

time41 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Federal job cuts set off retirement surge, planning challenges

A sharp rise in federal retirements, coupled with an expected wave of more government layoffs, is prompting high-stakes career decisions for many federal employees. Through June, more than 72,000 federal employees have filed retirement claims with the Office of Personnel Management, data shows. That represents a 38% increase in claims compared to the same period last year, driven by a wave of cuts across federal agencies by the Trump administration. Starting in late January, Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) worked to cut tens of thousands of federal workers. But even after Musk's departure, the Trump administration has made clear that it intends to continue downsizing the federal workforce. Last week, the Supreme Court ruled that the Trump administration could move forward with extensive government job cuts. Thousands of federal employees across more than a dozen agencies, including the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce, Health and Human Services, State, Treasury, and Veterans Affairs, are slated for dismissal. READ MORE: Trump's megabill passed — here's what advisors should know Financial advisors who specialize in working with federal employees say the options available to their clients have become clearer compared to the start of the year. "Earlier this year, there was so much more uncertainty around what the options were, and so in some ways … some discussions were driven by a lot of fear, because of the uncertainty of just not understanding what the deferred resignation program really looked like and whether it was legal and things like that," said Amy King, founder of Instar Financial Planning in Fallston, Maryland. "Now there's not so much uncertainty anymore. It's really just that they've made their decision. Now how do we effectively plan, given the decision they've made and the timeline that we know about." Still, continued cuts across the government, as well as uncertainty around future regulations, make navigating retirement decisions for current federal employees difficult. "In some cases, whole offices have basically stopped having any work come down to them, like they're just being totally hobbled and cut out at the knees," said Andrew Katz-Moses, founder of Katz-Moses Financial in Washington, D.C., "So they're very interested in exploring if it's possible for them to actually retire." Making that determination looks different for every worker, but advisors point to a couple of common considerations. Federal workers considering retirement can have a variety of potential offers available to them, each with its own set of rules and financial implications. For many, the choice revolves around a handful of options, including the voluntary early retirement authority (VERA), the voluntary separation incentive payment (VSIP) — commonly known as a buyout — and, in some cases, agency-specific initiatives such as a deferred resignation program (DRP). "I would say 75% of the new clients that I've received, federal employee clients that have come in, are looking at whether or not they can accept the deferred retirement offer that came out earlier, and several of them are taking it," King said. "Several have taken the voluntary early retirement authority, the VERA, in conjunction with DRP." READ MORE: Coping with brutal Efficiency: How advisors are helping federal workers For eligible workers, deferred retirement could also be an appealing option, but it comes with implications of its own, King said. "If they're leaving and they're going to end up with a deferred retirement, which means that it's not going to kick in until probably 62 maybe as early as 57, what are they doing in between when they retire, until they're eligible to collect their annuity?" King said. "What are they doing for health care? What are they doing for income? What are their options for whether or not the Federal Employee Health Benefit kicks back in or not? So it's not just the standard stuff that normally comes with financial planning around literally, like, 'Can I retire?' It's also the benefits part of it." Beyond the finances, advisors say that many federal employees are also having to factor in assumptions about the future of the government into their decision. Earlier this year, some 40,000 federal employees resigned through the Trump administration's fork-in-the-road offer, according to the Federal News Network. Now, many of the workers who declined to take that offer find themselves in limbo. "Sometimes it makes a lot of sense, like they should take it, and sometimes they also have to think about, okay, if they don't take it, what's the risk that they come back and get fired anyway, and now they've not taken this buyout that was on offer," Katz-Moses said. As a new wave of federal layoffs ramps up, advisors say that it's easy for workers to feel overwhelmed by all of the variables at play. That's why it is crucial to talk about emotions first before jumping into logistics, according to Katz-Moses. READ MORE: A checklist for advisors assisting federal employees "I always like to check in on the emotions first and [say] like, 'Let's step back. Let's get out of the numbers and the logistics for a second. What do you really want right now? What's most important?'" he said. "'Even given all the turmoil and tumultuousness of what's happening right now, if this goes really well, what will happen for you?' Start to, you know, vision out what that ideally looks like, and then we have to look at the numbers."

Oil Holds Decline as Traders Assess Outlook for Russian Supply
Oil Holds Decline as Traders Assess Outlook for Russian Supply

Bloomberg

timean hour ago

  • Bloomberg

Oil Holds Decline as Traders Assess Outlook for Russian Supply

Oil held a drop — after slumping by more than 2% on Monday — as US President Donald Trump's latest plan to pressure Russia refrained from immediate new measures aimed at hindering Moscow's energy exports. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate traded near $67 a barrel, while Brent settled near $69 in the previous session. Trump boosted military support for Ukraine to resist Moscow's invasion, and threatened to impose 100% tariffs if the hostilities did not end with a deal in 50 days. The planned action effectively represents secondary sanctions on countries buying oil from Russia, according to Matt Whitaker, the US ambassador to NATO, citing India and China.

Veteran trader has surprising message on stocks
Veteran trader has surprising message on stocks

Miami Herald

timean hour ago

  • Miami Herald

Veteran trader has surprising message on stocks

The stock market's move higher since April 9 has been impressive. The rally has been relentless after President Donald Trump paused most of the reciprocal tariffs he had announced only days earlier on April 2, so-called Liberation Day. The S&P 500 has risen over 25% and the Nasdaq Composite has increased by 35%, with each recently notching all-time highs. Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter The stock market's move in speed and size likely surprised many, given that higher-than-expected tariffs had caused the S&P 500 to tumble 19%, nearly into bear market territory. Many concerns during stocks' sell-off, including the risk of stagflation or recession, remain possibilities, given that unemployment has risen this past year and sticky inflation could ding GDP later this year when the full impact of remaining tariffs passes through supply chains. Stocks generally do best when investors are optimistic about future revenue and earnings growth, and households and businesses ramp up spending rather than retrench. As a result, many people are likely scratching their heads, wondering what may happen next, especially since the S&P 500's valuation has surged back to new highs. Those in the bullish camp say the 19% decline in the S&P 500 between February and April's low priced in enough risk to set the stage for persistent gains. Bears argue lofty valuations and a sputtering economy put stocks at risk of a reckoning. Many Wall Street pros, including popular veteran trader Mark Minervini, have offered their opinions recently. Minervini was mentored by legendary stock picker William O'Neil and was featured in the "Market Wizards" book series for his ability to profit from good and bad tapes. Recently, Minervini delivered a candid message about the stock market, and given his experience, considering what he has to say may be smart. Image source: Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images What will happen to the economy next because of tariffs is debatable. Tariff proponents believe that they're the best way to strong-arm a return of manufacturing to America, and the risk of them igniting inflation is overblown. Opponents think tariffs weigh on already cash-strapped consumers, crimping economic activity and slowing business spending while C-suites await trade deal clarity. The reality may wind up landing somewhere in the middle. If so, an uptick in unemployment, stalled inflation progress, and cuts to GDP forecasts could be in the cards. Related: Billionaire Ackman has one-word message on stock market We're already seeing some worrisome signs. While the unemployment rate is relatively healthy at just 4.1%, it has risen from 3.4% in 2023. Further, over 696,000 people have been laid off year-to-date through May, up 80% year over year, according to Challenger, Gray, & Christmas. The most hawkish Federal Reserve interest rate hikes since former Fed Chair Paul Volcker battled runaway inflation in the early 1980s have contributed to the weakening job markets. The Fed's current Chair, Jerome Powell, raised interest rates by 5% in 2022 and 2023, wrestling CPI inflation down below 3% from 8% in 2022. The drop in inflation is welcome, but there has been limited progress recently. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation was 2.7% in May, matching January's reading. Stalled inflation progress may increase the risk that tariffs cause prices to swell again, putting the Federal Reserve in a bind. The Federal Reserve's dual mandate is low inflation and low unemployment, two often contrary goals. When the Fed raises rates, it slows inflation but increases unemployment. When it cuts rates, it lowers unemployment but accelerates inflation. Late last year, the Fed switched from rate hikes to rate cuts, lowering its Fed Funds Rate by 1% to support the job market. However, sticky inflation and tariff uncertainty have since moved the Fed to the sidelines, which is problematic for stocks because higher rates drag on profitability and reduce personal and business spending. In June, the Fed cut its GDP estimate for this year to 1.4%, down from 1.7% in March, and meaningfully below the 2.8% growth notched in 2024. If Powell leaves rates unchanged and the economy gets worse, Congress may not be able to help. Fiscal policy is hamstrung by a mountainous deficit and soaring debt pile, particularly following the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act tax cuts. Related: Legendary fund manager has blunt message on 'Big Beautiful Bill' America's deficit is already above $1.8 trillion, accounting for 6.4% of gross domestic product, and total public debt outstanding is roughly 122% of GDP, far north of the 75% level witnessed during 2008's Great Recession. The CBO estimates that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will increase national debt by $2.4 trillion through 2034. While this backdrop threatens revenue and earnings growth, the stock market's record-setting run suggests investors think any economic dip will be temporary. Mark Minervini has been trading stocks for nearly 40 years. A technical analyst, Minervini cut his teeth learning from William O'Neil, the veteran Wall Street stock picker likely best known as the founder of Investor's Business Daily. Minervini won the U.S. Investing Championship in 2021 with a remarkable 334.8% return, a record. He also won the title in 1997 with a 155% return. More experts: Fed official sends strong message about interest-rate cutsBillionaire fund manager sends surprising message on trade deficitHedge-fund manager sees U.S. becoming Greece Since he's a technician, Minervini uses price action to inform his buy and sell decisions. While the rally since April has been rewarding, he has noticed some trouble under the hood that could give active investors pause. "If you are a breakout trader using tight stops - even though the indexes have ripped higher - you have likely experienced a low batting average," wrote Minervini on X. Minervini is a rules-based trader who limits losses by using tight stop-loss orders. Stops can protect your downside, but during periods of volatility, they can trigger more often than usual, reducing your winning percentage. "The frequent occurrence of squats and outright failures continues to dominate as a theme around breakout levels, clearly signaling that conditions remain challenging and volatile around key risk levels," wrote Minervini. "These failed breakouts reveal persistent overhead supply and insufficient follow-through from institutional buyers, underscoring a risk off market with regard to broad-based participation." Minervini prefers to buy stocks as they rise, believing winners will continue to win. The failure of breakout stocks to follow through suggests to him that institutional investors aren't willing to press the accelerator, making it challenging to profit big from trading stocks. "I remain an active participant and careful observer, adjusting day by day and ensuring risk management remains my top priority," wrote Minervini. "As far as breakout stocks are concerned, this is NOT yet an Easy Dollar environment. For the most part, we are still fighting for pennies." Related: Bank of America delivers bold S&P 500 target The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store