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Bloomberg
27 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Bloomberg Surveillance: All-Time Highs
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney July 1st, 2025 Featuring: 1) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for yields and why there could be more bond investment in 2025. The 10-year Treasury yield declined four basis points to 4.19% in the early morning as investors increased wagers on the scale of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. 2) Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, talks about equity all-time highs and raising the pain trade. US equity futures retreated slightly after the S&P 500 notched its best quarter since 2023, as investors monitor progress on trade talks and wrangling in Washington over President Trump's tax bill. 3) George Goncalves, Head: US Macro Strategy MUFG Securities, Americas, talks about the outlook for US economic growth should the tax bill pass and his economic projections for 2025 as the labor market shows signs of weakening. Investors are also watching for a slew of economic data, including PMI readings and the US job openings report, ahead of Thursday's nonfarm payrolls, and a discussion on monetary policy at the European Central Bank's annual retreat. 4) Michael Lasser, Equity Research Analyst: Consumer Hardline Staples at UBS, explores the potential ramifications of the bill on an aggregate consumer spending level, as well as the potential impacts for each consumer subsector and individual stocks. US consumer spending declined 0.3% in May, the most since the start of the year, indicating uncertainty around the Trump administration's economic policies is weighing on growth. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a story from The Athletic on ESPN and MLB resuming broadcasting rights talks and a WSJ story on why the July 4th BBG may get more expensive.
Yahoo
36 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Stock market today: Nasdaq pops, leading Dow and S&P 500 higher amid Vietnam trade deal, weak jobs data
US stocks moved higher on Wednesday as optimism over US trade deals rose at the same time that more signs of an intensifying labor market slowdown bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose around 0.1%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose around 0.3%, keeping potential new record high in sight. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) moved up about 0.7%, with Apple (AAPL) stock rising after an upgrade from Jefferies (JEF) analysts and Tesla (TSLA) shares climbing after the EV maker produced more vehicles globally than expected in the second quarter even as sales plummeted. The benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq moved to session highs after President Trump announced a trade deal with Vietnam, lifting investor hopes that more agreements will come before the July 9 tariff pause deadline. Meanwhile, the labor market showed more signs of a cooldown in June. ADP data showed US private employers unexpectedly cut 33,000 jobs in the month, badly missing expectations of around 98,000 jobs added. It was the first month of job losses in the private sector in over two years. The data lays the ground for the release of the June US jobs report on Thursday, seen as a key factor for the Fed as investors bet an interest-rate cut could land sooner rather than later. According to CME data, the majority of Fed watchers still do not expect the central bank to cut rates in July. But almost all are betting on at least one rate cut by September, with over 20% now pricing in two cuts by that meeting. Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" is also in focus as it heads to the House after clearing the Senate thanks to Vice President JD Vance's tie-breaking vote. Insurance stocks fell across the board Wednesday, as the bill would slash federal health spending on Medicaid. But split Republican factions threaten to delay a potential final vote as Trump pushes to sign it by July 4. Footwear stocks led by Nike rose in morning trade on Wednesday after President Trump took to his social media platform Truth Social to share that he "made a Trade Deal with Vietnam." Nike (NKE), On Holding (ONON), Deckers (DECK), and Lululemon (LULU) spiked in immediate response to the news. Retail and footwear stocks tempered initial gains as Trump outlined details of the deal in a subsequent post, which said Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on all good sent into the US and a 40% tariff on goods that are subject to transshipping, meaning routed through Vietnam with a different country of origin, like China. After an initial pop to rise as much as 4%, Nike stock was up about 1.7% in mid-morning trade on Wednesday. Shares of ON were up more than 3.5% to lead the rally among footwear names, while Deckers and Lululemon shares were fractionally higher. Read more here. Intel stock fell 3.7% after Reuters reported that the struggling chipmaker's new CEO is considering scrapping the company's long-awaited 18A technology for external customers — a chip manufacturing process that analysts have said is Intel's greatest hope for succeeding in a turnaround and becoming competitive with TSMC (TSM). According to Reuters, CEO Lip-Bu Tan has said that 18A was losing its appeal with customers. So far, Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) have signed on to build their own chips using Intel's 18A process. Intel opened up its manufacturing business to outside clients in 2021 under former CEO Pat Gelsinger. But Wall Street analysts, investors, and executives grew exasperated with his strategy and what they saw as unrealistic goals for the business, which lost $13.4 billion in 2024 despite recording a revenue of $17.5 billion. Tan joined the company in March, and analysts and former executives told Yahoo Finance the new CEO needed to release 18A for outside customers to show that the company can execute after a history of delays and cancellations of its products and manufacturing processes. But Tan would instead like to focus on 14A, the manufacturing technology that is the successor to 18A. President Trump announced a trade deal with Vietnam, lifting investor sentiment that more agreements could come before the July 9 tariff-pause deadline. "The Terms are that Vietnam will pay the United States a 20% Tariff on any and all goods sent into our Territory, and a 40% Tariff on any Transshipping," Trump wrote on social media on Wednesday morning. "In return, Vietnam will do something that they have never done before, give the United States of America TOTAL ACCESS to their Markets for Trade," he added. "It is my opinion that the SUV or, as it is sometimes referred to, Large Engine Vehicle, which does so well in the United States, will be a wonderful addition to the various product lines within Vietnam," wrote Trump. Investors have been closely watching developments on the trade front as July 9 approaches — the deadline following a 90-day pause of reciprocal tariffs announced in April. The US recently announced a framework agreement with China, a major trading partner. Insurance stocks dropped across the board Wednesday following the passage during the prior trading session of Trump's "big, beautiful" tax and spending bill, which would gut federal healthcare spending over the next decade. UnitedHealth (UNH) fell nearly 3%, while Aetna parent company CVS Health (CVS) dropped over 2%. Cigna (CI) declined 3%, while Elevance Health (ELV) fell almost 9%. The megabill's provision to slash federal spending on Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplaces by about $1 trillion would leave almost 12 million people without insurance by 2034, NPR reported. Tesla stock climbed nearly 3% early Wednesday after the EV maker reported global electric vehicle deliveries that came in below Wall Street's low projections but produced more cars than expected. Tesla said Wednesday it delivered 384,122 EVs in the second quarter, less than the 389,407 projected by Wall Street analysts tracked by Bloomberg consensus estimates. The company's deliveries for the period marked a 13% drop from the prior year, but an increase from the 336,681 vehicles delivered in the first quarter. Read the full story here. Apple (AAPL) stock climbed about 1% Wednesday before the market open following an upgrade from analysts at Jefferies, who raised their rating to Hold from Underperform previously. Citing Counterpoint Research, Jefferies analyst Edison Lee said global iPhone sales rose 15% in April and May from the prior year, the strongest growth since the third quarter of 2021. Lee estimated that iPhone sales in China grew 19% in that period, partly due to targeted discounts and government subsidies as well as "pulled-in demand," or Chinese consumers buying phones ahead of anticipated tariffs. "This is a strong sign that AAPL is determined to defend market share in China, and Chinese consumers are still willing to buy iPhone at lower prices," Lee wrote. But he also said the release of the iPhone 17 in the second half of 2025 may not provide the boost Apple needs. Lee wrote that "sales could be at risk since there remains a lack of new features, and AI is not yet a game changer." Apple shares jumped 1.3% Tuesday following a report from Bloomberg that the iPhone maker is considering using AI technology from startups Anthropic ( or OpenAI ( to power a new version of Siri. Still, the stock was down 17% for the 12 months through Tuesday. Nvidia (NVDA) stock continued to retreat from its record high of $157.99 on Monday. Shares were down 1.2% in premarket trading. The AI chipmaker had reclaimed the top spot among the most valued companies worldwide in June, with a market cap of around $3.73 trillion, as of July 1. Microsoft (MSFT), the second most valued company, has a market cap of roughly $3.65 trillion. From Reuters: Read more here. Private employers unexpectedly cut 33,000 jobs in June, the latest signal of an intensifying slowdown in the US labor market. On Wednesday, data from ADP showed private payrolls fell by 33,000 last month in June, below the 29,000 job gains seen in May and the 98,000 additions expected by economists. This marked the first month of job losses in the private sector since March 2023. May's initial reading of 37,000 private payroll additions had been the lowest monthly total since March '23. "Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month," ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said in the release. "Still, the slowdown in hiring has yet to disrupt pay growth." Read more here. Some of the world's most influential stocks are dragging the S&P 500 Index (^GSPC) down. The names Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) — part of the Mag 7 and synonymous with growth and value seem to be preventing the S&P 500 from reaching further highs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Apple's (AAPL) is reportedly considering using AI tech from outside firms to power new version of Siri. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is on an aggressive recruitment drive to poach top AI researchers and engineers. They're both signs of a key shift, Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports in today's Morning Brief: Read more here. Tesla (TSLA) is expected to report yet another quarter of declining global deliveries on Wednesday, though disappointing sales are nothing new for investors and analysts following the company. Data for June has brought a mixed message. Sales dropped for a sixth straight month in France, Sweden, Denmark and Italy, but rose in Norway and Spain — an early sign that the revamped Model Y is getting some buyers. Shares of Tesla were edging into the green in premarket before the quarterly data, following a 5% loss on Tuesday as CEO Elon Musk's feud with President Trump flared up again. Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian reports: Read more here. Earnings: No notable earnings releases.. Economic data: MBA Mortgage Applications (week ending June 27); ADP employment change (June); S&P Global US services PMI (May final); Challenger job cuts (May) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Apple and Meta are proving it: AI is going corporate Bets on 'Goldilocks' stocks bump up against reality Trump's 35% threat feeds Japan's worst-case tariff fears 'Irrational exuberance' stock gauge sparks fresh bubble worries Opinion: Musk is right about the Trump tax bill's failures Tesla's quarterly deliveries to fall short again Paramount settles Trump's '60 Minutes' suit for $16 million Bessent: Fed could lower interest rates by September Social Security checks slashed for millions this month Shares of Centene (CNC) tumbled over 25% in premarket trading after the healthcare insurer withdrew its financial guidance for 2025, warning that its earnings will fall far short of expectations. The company said late Tuesday that recent data showed that fewer people were enrolling in the Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplaces, and those who did enrol were sicker than expected. Those trends went against Centene's assumptions are likely to lead to a shortfall of $1.8 billion in federal payouts, the company said. Centene expects the issue to pull its full-year earnings per shares down by $2.75 a share. Wall Street had previously estimated adjusted EPS of $7.28. Shares of industry peers Elevance Health (ELV) and Oscar Health (OSCR) also struggled, down 4% and 7%, respectively. Here are some top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance in premarket trading: Centene Corporation (CNC) slumped 26% in premarket trading on Wednesday after withdrawing its financial guidance for 2025, warning that earnings will fall short of expectations. Centene is following in the footsteps of fellow insurance group, UnitedHealth (UNH), which pulled its guidance for the year and also replaced its chief executive. This latest news from Centene may add to investor nervousness when it comes to the insurance sector. Wolfspeed (WOLF) stock fell 8% before the bell today after the semiconductor company filed for a Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Intel (INTC) stock fell 1% in premarket trading following the new chief executive's plan to exploring a big change to its contract manufacturing business. If implemented, the new strategy for what Intel calls its "foundry" business would entail no longer marketing certain chipmaking technology, which the company had long developed, to external customers, the people said. If investors are expecting a seasonal lift for Asian equities this summer, they may have to think again. Tariff pressures and macroeconomic concerns have started to dampen sentiment. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Markets across the Asia-Pacific region saw mixed trading early morning on Wednesday, with investors eyeing the potential of US interest rate cuts and the fast-approaching July 9 tariff deadline for deals to be struck between the US and major trading partners worldwide. Singapore's benchmark, the Straits Times Index (^STI), gained 0.5% to hit a record high of 4009.15 points as of 00:20 (UTC-4). The move saw the index crossing past the 4000 threshold for the second time on record. Australia and Hong Kong led gains as Australia's S&P/ASX 200 (^AXJO) rose 0.4% and the Hang Seng Index (^HSI) popped 0.7%. Japan saw loss in the country's major gauge as the benchmark Nikkei 225 (^N225) slipped 0.7%. Korea's Kospi (^KS11) cratered 1.2% as Trump ratcheted up pressure on the country to finalize a trade deal. Mainland China's CSI 300 ( hovered near the baseline. Reuters reports: Footwear stocks led by Nike rose in morning trade on Wednesday after President Trump took to his social media platform Truth Social to share that he "made a Trade Deal with Vietnam." Nike (NKE), On Holding (ONON), Deckers (DECK), and Lululemon (LULU) spiked in immediate response to the news. Retail and footwear stocks tempered initial gains as Trump outlined details of the deal in a subsequent post, which said Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on all good sent into the US and a 40% tariff on goods that are subject to transshipping, meaning routed through Vietnam with a different country of origin, like China. After an initial pop to rise as much as 4%, Nike stock was up about 1.7% in mid-morning trade on Wednesday. Shares of ON were up more than 3.5% to lead the rally among footwear names, while Deckers and Lululemon shares were fractionally higher. Read more here. Intel stock fell 3.7% after Reuters reported that the struggling chipmaker's new CEO is considering scrapping the company's long-awaited 18A technology for external customers — a chip manufacturing process that analysts have said is Intel's greatest hope for succeeding in a turnaround and becoming competitive with TSMC (TSM). According to Reuters, CEO Lip-Bu Tan has said that 18A was losing its appeal with customers. So far, Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) have signed on to build their own chips using Intel's 18A process. Intel opened up its manufacturing business to outside clients in 2021 under former CEO Pat Gelsinger. But Wall Street analysts, investors, and executives grew exasperated with his strategy and what they saw as unrealistic goals for the business, which lost $13.4 billion in 2024 despite recording a revenue of $17.5 billion. Tan joined the company in March, and analysts and former executives told Yahoo Finance the new CEO needed to release 18A for outside customers to show that the company can execute after a history of delays and cancellations of its products and manufacturing processes. But Tan would instead like to focus on 14A, the manufacturing technology that is the successor to 18A. President Trump announced a trade deal with Vietnam, lifting investor sentiment that more agreements could come before the July 9 tariff-pause deadline. "The Terms are that Vietnam will pay the United States a 20% Tariff on any and all goods sent into our Territory, and a 40% Tariff on any Transshipping," Trump wrote on social media on Wednesday morning. "In return, Vietnam will do something that they have never done before, give the United States of America TOTAL ACCESS to their Markets for Trade," he added. "It is my opinion that the SUV or, as it is sometimes referred to, Large Engine Vehicle, which does so well in the United States, will be a wonderful addition to the various product lines within Vietnam," wrote Trump. Investors have been closely watching developments on the trade front as July 9 approaches — the deadline following a 90-day pause of reciprocal tariffs announced in April. The US recently announced a framework agreement with China, a major trading partner. Insurance stocks dropped across the board Wednesday following the passage during the prior trading session of Trump's "big, beautiful" tax and spending bill, which would gut federal healthcare spending over the next decade. UnitedHealth (UNH) fell nearly 3%, while Aetna parent company CVS Health (CVS) dropped over 2%. Cigna (CI) declined 3%, while Elevance Health (ELV) fell almost 9%. The megabill's provision to slash federal spending on Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplaces by about $1 trillion would leave almost 12 million people without insurance by 2034, NPR reported. Tesla stock climbed nearly 3% early Wednesday after the EV maker reported global electric vehicle deliveries that came in below Wall Street's low projections but produced more cars than expected. Tesla said Wednesday it delivered 384,122 EVs in the second quarter, less than the 389,407 projected by Wall Street analysts tracked by Bloomberg consensus estimates. The company's deliveries for the period marked a 13% drop from the prior year, but an increase from the 336,681 vehicles delivered in the first quarter. Read the full story here. Apple (AAPL) stock climbed about 1% Wednesday before the market open following an upgrade from analysts at Jefferies, who raised their rating to Hold from Underperform previously. Citing Counterpoint Research, Jefferies analyst Edison Lee said global iPhone sales rose 15% in April and May from the prior year, the strongest growth since the third quarter of 2021. Lee estimated that iPhone sales in China grew 19% in that period, partly due to targeted discounts and government subsidies as well as "pulled-in demand," or Chinese consumers buying phones ahead of anticipated tariffs. "This is a strong sign that AAPL is determined to defend market share in China, and Chinese consumers are still willing to buy iPhone at lower prices," Lee wrote. But he also said the release of the iPhone 17 in the second half of 2025 may not provide the boost Apple needs. Lee wrote that "sales could be at risk since there remains a lack of new features, and AI is not yet a game changer." Apple shares jumped 1.3% Tuesday following a report from Bloomberg that the iPhone maker is considering using AI technology from startups Anthropic ( or OpenAI ( to power a new version of Siri. Still, the stock was down 17% for the 12 months through Tuesday. Nvidia (NVDA) stock continued to retreat from its record high of $157.99 on Monday. Shares were down 1.2% in premarket trading. The AI chipmaker had reclaimed the top spot among the most valued companies worldwide in June, with a market cap of around $3.73 trillion, as of July 1. Microsoft (MSFT), the second most valued company, has a market cap of roughly $3.65 trillion. From Reuters: Read more here. Private employers unexpectedly cut 33,000 jobs in June, the latest signal of an intensifying slowdown in the US labor market. On Wednesday, data from ADP showed private payrolls fell by 33,000 last month in June, below the 29,000 job gains seen in May and the 98,000 additions expected by economists. This marked the first month of job losses in the private sector since March 2023. May's initial reading of 37,000 private payroll additions had been the lowest monthly total since March '23. "Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month," ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said in the release. "Still, the slowdown in hiring has yet to disrupt pay growth." Read more here. Some of the world's most influential stocks are dragging the S&P 500 Index (^GSPC) down. The names Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) — part of the Mag 7 and synonymous with growth and value seem to be preventing the S&P 500 from reaching further highs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Apple's (AAPL) is reportedly considering using AI tech from outside firms to power new version of Siri. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is on an aggressive recruitment drive to poach top AI researchers and engineers. They're both signs of a key shift, Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports in today's Morning Brief: Read more here. Tesla (TSLA) is expected to report yet another quarter of declining global deliveries on Wednesday, though disappointing sales are nothing new for investors and analysts following the company. Data for June has brought a mixed message. Sales dropped for a sixth straight month in France, Sweden, Denmark and Italy, but rose in Norway and Spain — an early sign that the revamped Model Y is getting some buyers. Shares of Tesla were edging into the green in premarket before the quarterly data, following a 5% loss on Tuesday as CEO Elon Musk's feud with President Trump flared up again. Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian reports: Read more here. Earnings: No notable earnings releases.. Economic data: MBA Mortgage Applications (week ending June 27); ADP employment change (June); S&P Global US services PMI (May final); Challenger job cuts (May) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Apple and Meta are proving it: AI is going corporate Bets on 'Goldilocks' stocks bump up against reality Trump's 35% threat feeds Japan's worst-case tariff fears 'Irrational exuberance' stock gauge sparks fresh bubble worries Opinion: Musk is right about the Trump tax bill's failures Tesla's quarterly deliveries to fall short again Paramount settles Trump's '60 Minutes' suit for $16 million Bessent: Fed could lower interest rates by September Social Security checks slashed for millions this month Shares of Centene (CNC) tumbled over 25% in premarket trading after the healthcare insurer withdrew its financial guidance for 2025, warning that its earnings will fall far short of expectations. The company said late Tuesday that recent data showed that fewer people were enrolling in the Medicaid and Affordable Care Act marketplaces, and those who did enrol were sicker than expected. Those trends went against Centene's assumptions are likely to lead to a shortfall of $1.8 billion in federal payouts, the company said. Centene expects the issue to pull its full-year earnings per shares down by $2.75 a share. Wall Street had previously estimated adjusted EPS of $7.28. Shares of industry peers Elevance Health (ELV) and Oscar Health (OSCR) also struggled, down 4% and 7%, respectively. Here are some top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance in premarket trading: Centene Corporation (CNC) slumped 26% in premarket trading on Wednesday after withdrawing its financial guidance for 2025, warning that earnings will fall short of expectations. Centene is following in the footsteps of fellow insurance group, UnitedHealth (UNH), which pulled its guidance for the year and also replaced its chief executive. This latest news from Centene may add to investor nervousness when it comes to the insurance sector. Wolfspeed (WOLF) stock fell 8% before the bell today after the semiconductor company filed for a Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Intel (INTC) stock fell 1% in premarket trading following the new chief executive's plan to exploring a big change to its contract manufacturing business. If implemented, the new strategy for what Intel calls its "foundry" business would entail no longer marketing certain chipmaking technology, which the company had long developed, to external customers, the people said. If investors are expecting a seasonal lift for Asian equities this summer, they may have to think again. Tariff pressures and macroeconomic concerns have started to dampen sentiment. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Markets across the Asia-Pacific region saw mixed trading early morning on Wednesday, with investors eyeing the potential of US interest rate cuts and the fast-approaching July 9 tariff deadline for deals to be struck between the US and major trading partners worldwide. Singapore's benchmark, the Straits Times Index (^STI), gained 0.5% to hit a record high of 4009.15 points as of 00:20 (UTC-4). The move saw the index crossing past the 4000 threshold for the second time on record. Australia and Hong Kong led gains as Australia's S&P/ASX 200 (^AXJO) rose 0.4% and the Hang Seng Index (^HSI) popped 0.7%. Japan saw loss in the country's major gauge as the benchmark Nikkei 225 (^N225) slipped 0.7%. Korea's Kospi (^KS11) cratered 1.2% as Trump ratcheted up pressure on the country to finalize a trade deal. Mainland China's CSI 300 ( hovered near the baseline. Reuters reports: Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Biggest US Banks Boost Payouts After Lighter Fed Stress Test
(Bloomberg) — Wall Street's largest lenders boosted their dividends after passing this year's Federal Reserve stress tests, a hurdle that regulators made easier to clear by softening some of the requirements laid out in previous years. Struggling Downtowns Are Looking to Lure New Crowds NYC Commutes Resume After Midtown Bus Terminal Crash Chaos California Exempts Building Projects From Environmental Law What Gothenburg Got Out of Congestion Pricing Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) were among firms that raised quarterly payouts after the Fed's annual review last week, and shares of both banks hovered near record highs Wednesday. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Citigroup Inc. (C) and Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) also boosted their dividends. In addition, JPMorgan's board authorized a $50 billion share buyback, and Morgan Stanley reauthorized a multiyear share repurchase program of as much as $20 billion, with no expiration date. Morgan Stanley advanced as much as 1% to a record $142.43 at mid-morning in New York, while Goldman Sachs rose 1.3% to an all-time high of $715.29. Citigroup was an outlier, dropping 0.2% for the only decline in the 24-company KBW Bank Index. The Fed's exam — a product of the 2008 financial crisis — showed that all of the banks examined would maintain enough capital to withstand a hypothetical economic downturn. The review tends to set the tone for how aggressive banks are in returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. It requires banks to consider hypothetical crisis scenarios and estimate the losses they might face based on their books of business. All 22 banks comfortably passed last week after determining they would withstand more than $550 billion in losses. The results showed that 'large banks are well positioned to weather a severe recession,' the Fed said. The scenario in this year's tests led to lower loan losses in a less severe scenario, due to the mild slowing of the US economy in 2024, among other factors. The results were also affected by lower private equity losses and higher net revenue. The Fed announced last year that it planned to make changes to its process, and in April unveiled a proposal to average results over two years when setting capital requirements. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman has said that potential changes would help the agency address the 'excessive volatility in the stress test results and corresponding capital requirements.' In that same vein, the Fed also unveiled plans to decrease what's called the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio, which requires banks to hold a certain amount of capital relative to their assets. —With assistance from David Scheer. (Updates with share performance in the second and fourth paragraphs.) SNAP Cuts in Big Tax Bill Will Hit a Lot of Trump Voters Too How to Steal a House America's Top Consumer-Sentiment Economist Is Worried China's Homegrown Jewelry Superstar Pistachios Are Everywhere Right Now, Not Just in Dubai Chocolate ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. By subscribing, you are agreeing to Yahoo's Terms and Privacy Policy Sign in to access your portfolio
