Latest on risk of storm as huge uncertainty remains in Irish forecast
Weather models currently indicate the possibility of a storm potentially affecting some parts of the country after the August Bank Holiday weekend.
The storm could be intense for certain areas, however it could equally make little to no impact. Confidence in the forecast will improve as the days go on but the advice is currently to continue monitoring developments in the forecast.
Alan O'Reilly, who mans the ever-popular @CarlowWeather account on X, last night delivered the latest update on the potential storm.
"A lot of uncertainty still on Monday," he said on X. "That risk of a storm, that's still there, but the latest weather models... it brings it further south. That brings more rain on Monday but it keeps the strongest winds away.
"But there's huge uncertainty on where that storm ends up and whether it will be quite intense or nothing really much to worry about.
"So any forecast you see for Monday at the moment, they're going to chop and they're going to change.
"I know Tinahely show's on, lots of things on Monday but don't worry too much at the moment but just keep up to date because it is going to chop and change a lot."
The good news is after the wet and windy weather on Monday and Tuesday, high pressure is expected to become dominant for the rest of next week, which will bring with it more settled conditions.
During this period, rain is forecast to be below average across the country and temperatures are set to be slightly above average for this time of year.
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RTÉ News
34 minutes ago
- RTÉ News
Storm Floris predicted to be exceptionally strong
A big storm, named Floris by the UK Met Office, is heading our way over the coming days. It is likely to bring unseasonably strong winds and heavy rain and cause considerable disruption, especially to the north west of the country and to Northern Ireland. The storm, which is predicted to be exceptionally strong, especially for this time of year, will arrive tomorrow night and be at its height by Monday morning. Met Éireann is warning that more people than usual are likely to be exposed and impacted due to a large number of outdoor events taking place, as well as people camping, holidaying and engaging in outdoor pursuits at this time of the year. There are fears too, that a storm of this magnitude could do huge damage to trees that are full of leaves at the height of the summer. And of course, damage to trees in Ireland inevitably means damage to electricity poles, power outages, and local disruption to the electricity supply network. Met Éireann is warning of dangerous driving conditions, fallen trees, debris and loose objects Met Éireann is highlighting other potential hazards too. It is warning of dangerous driving conditions, fallen trees, debris and loose objects, structural damage, wave overtopping, and localised flooding that will be made worse by leaves and debris. People will be at greater risk of exposure, says forecaster Forecaster Andrew Doran-Sherlock says as this is a Public Holiday Weekend more people will be at a greater risk of exposure than would normally be the case. He said: "While we are in a period of neap tides, with lowest tidal ranges of this cycle expected on Sunday and Monday, strong onshore winds and high waves may cause wave overtopping in low-lying coastal areas in the northwest and west." "Our advice would be to pay attention to the weather forecasts and warnings issued over the weekend and take them into consideration with any plans you have," he added. "And as always, please heed the advice of local authorities." Forecaster Andrew Doran-Sherlock urged people to heed the advice of local authorities There is still some uncertainty in the details so the full impact of the storm system cannot be determined. Nevertheless, on Friday, forecasters at the British Met Office were not ruling out the possibility that storm Floris could bring with it an unusual phenomenon that weather professionals refer to as "explosive cyclogenesis". In common (or tabloid) parlance that means Storm Floris could turn out to be a so-called "weather-bomb". This occurs when a storm brings a rapid drop in air pressure of 24 millibars, or more, in 24 hours. It is a rare phenomenon in an Irish context. But when it does happen wind speeds tend to become extremely intense. That is exactly what occurred during the devastating Storm Éowyn last January, the costliest storm in terms of damages to ever hit the country. Floris could qualify as a 'weather bomb' Meteorologists at the UK Met Office said yesterday that although it is difficult to be sure, it looks like air pressure will be about 1,005 hectopascals (or millibars) 24 hours before the storm, but will fall as low as 980 hectopascals and maybe even lower when it arrives. If that does happen then Floris would qualify as a "weather bomb" and the winds at the centre of the storm would be extremely strong. Of course, that does not mean this storm will be as damaging as Éowyn because the timing, the trajectory and the position of the coming storm when it is at its maximum will be different. Éowyn was a direct hit on the coast of Ireland while Floris is currently expected to track to the north west of the country, so its impact is unlikely to be as fierce. Storm Éowyn was a direct hit on the coast of Ireland (Photo:RollingNews) Nevertheless, it would be truly remarkable if two storms characterised by "explosive cyclogenesis" impacted Ireland in a period of less than seven months. The meteorologists at the UK Met Office are saying this cannot be ruled out so it is well worth watching out for. One can expect to hear a lot of discussion about the fingerprints of climate change if that does turn out to be the case. As things stand right now the UK Met Office is predicting potentially record gusts for this time of the year, of up to 100 kilometres per hour or more in the Northwest of Ireland, and Northern Ireland, early on Monday. There is no question that will come as a shock to many holiday makers. It's a big nuisance for farmers and crop growers too. Five years ago this month, when Storm Francis hit, some of Ireland's apple growers lost as much as 30% of their crops due to wind damage. Rivers burst their banks, with people needing to be rescued from up to 300 homes in Newcastle Co Down. This month two years ago Storm Betty caused flooding, fallen trees, branches, and debris across the south of the country, with electricity outages affecting 70,000 homes, farms, and businesses. The stories were similar and the experiences equally challenging during, Antoni, Lillian, Ellen, and Evert - the four other August named storms during the eleven years since the convention of naming storms was adopted here. On that basis we can expect lots of reminders, and very good advice about taking care, avoiding hazards, and driving carefully over the coming days. The good news on the weather front is that the UK meteorologists are expecting that after the storm weather will settle down quickly and we should be back to calm and warm conditions by Wednesday with high pressure ruling the roost.
The Irish Sun
8 hours ago
- The Irish Sun
Storm Floris latest update as ‘unseasonably windy' weather to hit amid ‘power outage' & ‘wave overtopping' fears
IRELAND is set to be battered by "unseasonably windy" weather as Storm Floris will hit bringing potentially "dangerous" conditions . 2 Early graphs show the worst of the storm hitting the north of the country Credit: wxCHARTS And they confirmed that further weather warnings will be issued on Saturday, when weather models can give a more detailed breakdown on where will be the worst impacted. The nationwide weather advisory for Storm Floris kicks in immediately and runs until 1pm Monday. Read more in News He explained: "Storm Floris will bring rain across country, but it will move through quite quickly and clear on Monday. "The wind if you look here at latest forecast, you can see some strong gusts still like winds of 80 to 90 kilometre an hour. "Gusts are possible especially in parts of the north possible little bit higher right along the north coast. "So this time of the year those winds can have an impact." Most read in Irish News The public should expect to face "dangerous" travelling conditions during the storm which will have knock on impacts on outdoor events - such as There will be a risk of structural damage, fallen trees, debris and loose objects, leading to potentially hazardous driving conditions for motorists. Ireland set for major weather shakeup over Bank Holiday as storm to bring 'unseasonably' high winds & potential warnings Power outages are likely and those in coastal areas should expect wave overtopping. There will also be a risk of localised flooding. Outlining where exactly will be hit the hardest by Floris and when, "However, there is still some uncertainty in the details so the full impacts of the system cannot yet be determined. "By Saturday though, the event will be within the range of our high-resolution DINI forecasting model and warnings will be issued." But before the skies take a turn for the worst, punters will enjoy at least one day of good weather across the Bank Holiday. Saturday will be dry in most areas with the best of the sunshine over the eastern half of the country. But it will be cloudier further west. Through the late afternoon and evening, WET TURN And outbreaks of rain and drizzle will extend across western and northwestern counties as is expected through late afternoon and evening. Highs of 17C to 23C with light to moderate southwest breezes. Sunday will bring dry and bright weather, with just a few showers in the northwest. Cloud will slowly build from the southwest through the evening. Highs of 16C to 20C with a moderate to fresh westerly wind, easing later. 2 Conditions will start to turn wet and windy on Sunday night Credit: METEOLOGIX
Irish Daily Mirror
12 hours ago
- Irish Daily Mirror
Storm Floris LIVE tracker as 'unseasonably windy weather' set to hit Ireland
Ireland is set for some 'wet and unseasonably windy weather' this Bank Holiday weekend as Storm Floris hits. Having been named by the UK Met Office on Friday, Storm Floris is expected to arrive in Ireland on Sunday night into Monday morning, prompting Met Éireann to issue a weather advisory to the entire country, with specific warnings concerning individual counties set to follow on Saturday. The national forecaster wrote: 'Storm Floris will bring wet and unseasonably windy weather during Sunday night and Public Holiday Monday.' Some potential impacts from the storm include dangerous travelling conditions, knock-on impacts for outdoor events, structural damage, fallen trees, debris and loose objects, power outages, wave overtopping and localised flooding due to leaves. The advisory is valid from 12:30pm on Friday afternoon until 1pm on August Bank Holiday Monday, with warnings set to be issued on Saturday. You can monitor Storm Floris' winds in real time using Windy's live tracker below. Here is the latest Met Éireann forecast for Bank Holiday Sunday and Monday: Sunday Cloud and rain will clear from the southeast on Sunday morning and for the rest of the day there'll be a good amount of dry and bright weather, with just a few showers in the northwest. Cloud will slowly build from the southwest through the evening. Highest temperatures of 16 to 20 degrees with a moderate to fresh westerly wind, easing later. Turning wet and windy Sunday night as rain spreads from the west, accompanied by fresh and gusty winds. Lowest temperatures of 12C to 15C. Monday There is some uncertainty in the forecast but current indications suggest Monday will see a wet and windy start with strong and gusty westerly winds and widespread rain, possibly heaviest over parts of the northwest, clearing eastwards through the morning and afternoon. Sunny spells and scattered showers will follow as winds gradually easy through the day. Highest temperatures of 16C to 21C. Storm Floris is the sixth named storm of the 2024/25 season by the UK Met Office. Storm Éowyn, which took place in late January, was the last named storm to affect Ireland and caused significant damage to tens of thousands of people across the country. For more of the latest breaking news from the Irish Mirror check out our homepage by clicking here. The Irish Mirror's Crime Writers Michael O'Toole and Paul Healy are writing a new weekly newsletter called Crime Ireland. Click here to sign up and get it delivered to your inbox every week
