
Thune hits brakes on Russia sanctions package
Still, they added: 'The goal is not more tariffs and sanctions — the goal is to entice Putin to come to the peace table.' Trump has already imposed a 10 percent tariff on imports from around the world, as well as additional tariffs on China since taking office, and has threatened a long list of other trading partners, including India and Brazil, with new 'reciprocal' tariffs to pressure them on a number of fronts.
Earlier this year, Trump said he would impose secondary tariffs of 25 percent on countries that import oil from Venezuela. So far, he has not followed through, raising questions about whether he made good on his latest threat if Putin does not budge.
Two-way U.S. trade with Russia has fallen sharply in recent years, from about $53 billion in 2021 to $5.5 billion last year, as a result of sanctions imposed by the Biden administration and Congress following Putin's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
Those actions included banning imports of Russian oil and terminating 'permanent normal trade relations' with Moscow, effectively allowing Biden to raise tariffs on Russian goods to higher-than-normal levels.
The United States, working with allies, also imposed a series of export controls aimed at cutting off Russia's access to semiconductors and other technology items.
The United States imported just $2.5 billion worth of goods from Russia in 2024, compared to $23.3 billion in 2021. Most of that sharp drop reflected the U.S. ban on Russian oil, which previously accounted for about 60 percent of total imports from that country.
Fertilizers, an important commodity for American farmers, accounted for more than $1 billion of remaining imports from Russia last year, along with $877 million of platinum and $651 million of certain radioactive chemicals, according to the Commerce Department.
Jordain Carney contributed to this report.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Forbes
8 minutes ago
- Forbes
Trump's Russia Math, Simplified
MOSCOW, RUSSIA - JULY 3 (RUSSIA OUT) Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during the New Ideas ... More For New Times Forum at the Russia National Center, July 3, 2025, in Moscow, Russia. Putin visited a forum, hosted by Kremlin-backed Agency for Strategic Initiatives, prior to his announced telephone call with U.S. President Donald Trump. (Photo) Before the math, there is one word – Energy. The Russian economy is about oil prices. Russia exported about 2.8 billion barrels of oil in 2024, and it earned $192 billion doing that. The core idea here is elegantly simple: weaponize America's energy production capacity to collapse Russia's economy and force a quick end to the war. Let's break down the math behind Trump's thinking and see whether it actually adds up. Separately, see the potential for growth in Google Stock To $350? The Basic Economics Russia's vulnerability is real. Russia's energy exports, which include oil and gas, generated approximately $240 billion in 2024. When compared to Russia's GDP of $2.2 trillion for the same year, these exports accounted for over 10% of their total economic output. And oil is responsible for 80% of the country's total energy exports. So one way for Trump to hit Russia where it hurts is to flood the global energy market with subsidized U.S. oil. Let's say Trump offers a $20 per barrel subsidy on U.S. oil. That's a 30% subsidy on the current WTI crude price of $67 - making U.S. oil irresistibly cheap at just $47 a barrel. Now, the U.S. has the production capability. At peak capacity, American frackers can pump out 14 million barrels daily. The problem is they typically shut down when prices drop too low to be profitable. This subsidy would keep them pumping regardless of market conditions. The Financial Logic Here's where it gets interesting from a fiscal perspective. The hypothetical $20 per barrel subsidy on a production capacity of 14 million barrels a day works out to subsidy cost of $280 million a day for the U.S. And if the U.S. is willing to keep this subsidy going for 6 months, the total bill will come to just over $50 billion. Looks steep? Not really, when you consider the broader economic picture. The U.S. carries $36.6 trillion in debt at an average 3.3% interest rate. Every 1% drop in rates saves $366 billion annually in interest payments. If cheap energy helps drive down inflation and gives the Fed room to cut rates significantly, the subsidy could theoretically pay for itself multiple times over. Plus, lower energy costs would ripple through the entire economy - from data centers to shipping - creating deflationary pressure that could offset any tariff-driven price increases. The Strategic Risks The plan isn't without major vulnerabilities. Putin might escalate rather than capitulate when cornered economically. Russia has historically responded to existential threats with increased aggression, not surrender. China represents the biggest wild card. As a major buyer of Russian energy, they could potentially prop up Russia's economy even when cheaper U.S. alternatives are available. However, if prices drop dramatically enough, China might prioritize its own economic interests over supporting Russia. The Reality Check This strategy essentially treats subsidies as a lesser evil compared to the costs of prolonged conflict and economic instability. It's a high-stakes bet that economic pressure can achieve what military aid hasn't - a quick resolution to the war. The math works on paper, but geopolitics rarely follows economic theory. Russia's ability to endure economic hardship is historically impressive, and the assumption that cheap energy will automatically lead to Fed rate cuts involves several economic variables that don't always behave predictably. Still, when weighed against the alternatives - continued military spending, prolonged instability, and ongoing economic uncertainty - a $50 billion energy subsidy starts looking like a calculated risk rather than reckless spending. Whether it would actually work depends on variables no spreadsheet can fully capture. Markets, including cryptocurrencies, are trending higher. Related – Will The Rally In XRP Price Continue? This positive sentiment is largely driven by hopes that the Federal Reserve will resume cutting interest rates sooner than expected. However, investing always carries inherent risks. Now, we apply a risk assessment framework while building the 30-stock Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, which has a strong record of comfortably outperforming the S&P 500 over the past four years. Why is that? As a collective group, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered superior returns with reduced risk compared to the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster experience, as shown in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.


Forbes
12 minutes ago
- Forbes
Ukraine Deploying ‘Tens Of Thousands' Of Interceptors To Stop Shaheds
Sting interceptor drones are now being produced at scale by the nonprofit Wild Hornets Ukraine's Defense Procurement Agency has signed contracts for 'tens of thousands' of interceptor drones, according to director Arsen Zhumadilov speaking in an interview published on July 14th. The U.S. decision to supply more Patriot air defence missile batteries to Ukraine is vital to protect against Russian missiles. But stopping the massive drone onslaught is a job for far more numerous interceptor drones. The Numbers Game The strength of the Iranian-designed Shahed drones lies in their vast numbers. The low-cost drones fly at around 120 mph, with similar performance to a WW1 aircraft, and are just as easy to shoot down. The problem is the sheer volume of them. In June Russia launched over 5,000 Shahed-type drones (this includes smaller Gerbera and Parodiya types). The highest number in one night was 728. This is far too many for system like Patriot to handle. The U.S. total production capacity is only around 650 Patriot missiles per year. These missiles cost $3.3 million each – roughly 100 times as much as a Shahed. Patriots are still needed to counter Russia's ballistic and cruise missiles, of which 181 were launched last month . These pose a major threat in addition to the drones. But Shaheds require something that can be scaled up as rapidly as the Russians can make their attack drones. Ukrainian mobile fire groups, like this one using a .50 cal M2 Browning machine gun with special ... More sighting systems, have been a mainstay of the counter-Shahed defense Previously relied on mobile fire groups equipped with anti-aircraft machineguns, thermal imagers and tablet computers. These groups were linked them to a nationwide command-and-control and sensor system which tracks the slow-moving Shaheds. But the Shaheds have switched tactics, flying at 10,000 feet or more, above the ceiling of antiaircraft fire, and plunging down vertically when they reach the target. The rate of downing Shaheds dopped from 95% or more to 86% last month, so around three times as many were getting through. Machineguns cannot reach Shaheds flying at altitude. But small, fast interceptor drones can. Interceptor Evolution As we have seen, in 2024 Ukraine was rapidly modified its ground attack FPV drones, turning them into interceptors to bring down Russian reconnaissance drones. Previously almost immune, the Russian fixed-wing drones were soon being brought down by the hundred. The interceptor pilots, adapting air-to-air dogfighting tactics, became expert in taking out Russian drones , denying them the ability to see targets and direct artillery, rockets, missiles and drone strikes. A Sting interceptor drone It was a small step from reconnaissance drones to Shaheds. The attack drones are more massive, at over 400 pounds, and fly slightly higher and faster than the original FPV interceptors. This has required some design modifications, and we have seen aerodynamic bullet-shaped quadcopters (like Wild Hornet's Sting interceptor) and delta-winged arrow shapes as well as traditional designs. Prices quoted are in the region of $1,000- $5,000 depending on speed, range and endurance, many acquired via private fundraisers like Serhii Sternenko Crucially, production can be rapidly scaled up to meet the magnitude of the threat. But while we know there are lot of Shahed interceptors out there, operational security meant that very little information has been released. Basically, there has been a news blackout on Shahed interceptor operations until now. There have been a few reports of Shaheds brought down by drones and some alleged videos but little official information. That may be changing. This week President Zelensky praised the work on interceptor teams, noting on his Facebook page that "Interceptor drones are performing especially well — already hundreds of Russian-Iranian Shahed drones have been shot down this week," Interestingly we have more from the other side. Scaling Up The Shield Alexey Rogozin. CEO of Russia's United Aircraft Corporation claimed on his Telegram channel media that Ukrainian interceptor drones had downed over 500 Shaheds under the 'Clear Sky' initiative to defend Kyiv, using drones guided by radar and visual systems. This interceptor was unveiled by President Zelensky last year, but no details have been provided. 'In a few months since its launch, the system has intercepted more than 500 Geran [i.e. Shahed] attack drones,' according to Rogozin. 'In fact, we are talking about an urban anti-drone dome built on the mass use of small-sized interceptors, primarily FPV drones. The system includes calculations on vehicles, a monitoring and coordination center and a training center.' Rogozin is confident that big enough waves of Shaheds can break through the interceptors, but notes that they reverse the previous cost equation. Now it is more expensive to attack than to defend. Knocking out hundreds of Shaheds is an achievement, but with Zhumadilov's announcement deployment will shift to a much larger scale. "Tens of thousands [of interceptor drones]. This is what we have already contracted and will continue to contract. Our contracting now, on the one hand, depends on the manufacturer's capacity, and on the other hand, on the state budget's capacity," Zhumadilov told Ukrainian outlet Babel. "We will definitely contract everything that the state budget can afford.' Zhumadilov also said that is a manufacturer can produce more drones than Ukraine can afford, they could be funded by allied countries. This is in line with comments made by President Zelensky last month at the G7 summit, when he said that Ukraine has the drone interceptor technology but would need assistance to scale it up. He noted that the interceptor technology would benefit other countries. This is not likely to be the last war featuring massed long-range drone barrages. Russia's drone attacks have scaled up by a factor of ten in the past year. The interceptor effort is ramping up to match it, and looks like the best hope for stemming the rising civilian casualties returning to the days of 95%+ interception rates. The best hope, that is, until Ukraine's long-range attacks can take out Shahed production centers and stop the problem at its source.


The Hill
13 minutes ago
- The Hill
Mike Waltz to face grilling over Signal chat at Senate hearing for UN role
UNITED NATIONS (AP) — Mike Waltz, President Donald Trump's nominee for U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, will face questioning from lawmakers Tuesday for the first time since he was ousted as national security adviser in the weeks after he mistakenly added a journalist to a private Signal chat used to discuss sensitive military plans. The former Republican congressman is set to appear before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee for his confirmation hearing, with Trump looking to fill his remaining Cabinet position after months of delay, including the withdrawal of the previous nominee. The hearing will provide senators with the first opportunity to grill Waltz over revelations in March that he added The Atlantic editor-in-chief Jeffrey Goldberg to a private text chain on an unclassified messaging app that was used to discuss planning for strikes on Houthi militants in Yemen. Waltz took responsibility even as criticism mounted against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who shared the sensitive plans in the chat that included several other high-level national security officials. Hegseth shared the same information in another Signal chat that included family, but Trump has made clear Hegseth has his support. Waltz was removed as national security adviser in May — replaced by Secretary of State Marco Rubio — and nominated for the U.N. role. Trump praised Waltz in the announcement, saying, 'From his time in uniform on the battlefield, in Congress and, as my National Security Advisor, Mike Waltz has worked hard to put our Nation's Interests first.' The United Nations is facing major changes If confirmed, Waltz would be coming to the U.N. at a moment of great change. The world body is reeling from Trump's decision to slash foreign assistance — affecting its humanitarian aid agencies — and it anticipates U.S. funding cuts to the U.N. annual budget. Under an 'America First' foreign policy realignment, the White House has asserted that 'some of the U.N.'s agencies and bodies have drifted' from their founding mission and 'act contrary to the interests of the United States while attacking our allies and propagating anti-Semitism.' With America being the largest United Nations donor, cutting U.S. funding to the U.N. budget would greatly impair operations. Facing financial instability, the U.N. has spent months shedding jobs and consolidating projects while beginning to tackle long-delayed reforms. The U.N. is also facing growing frustration over what critics describe as a lack of efficiency and power in delivering on its mandate to end conflict and prevent wars. John Bolton, a former U.S. ambassador to the U.N. who was also national security adviser during Trump's first term, was critical of the current state of the U.N. 'It's probably in the worst shape it's been in since it was founded,' Bolton, now an outspoken Trump critic, recently told The Associated Press. Waltz has been meeting with senators Waltz spent the last several weeks meeting with Democrats and Republicans on the Foreign Affairs committee. Democratic Sen. Tammy Duckworth said Monday that she and Waltz discussed a wide range of issues, including whether the Trump administration would use the U.N. to strengthen alliances and combat Chinese influence. 'I asked him questions about 'Signalgate,' but I also talked to him about how we are going to sway other nations within the United Nations to our side, in light of how much influence the PRC is having on other nations,' the Illinois senator said, using an acronym for the People's Republic of China. Even with Democratic opposition, Waltz only needs a majority in the 53-47 Senate, which Republicans control. 'He'll be fine. Mike won't have any issues,' said Sen. Markwayne Mullin, R-Okla. 'I mean, the Democrats are gonna do their thing. Whatever. Mike's used to taking incoming fire.' It is unclear how Waltz would approach the job. Trump's first nominee, Rep. Elise Stefanik, had built a track record in Congress of criticizing the U.N. She vowed during her confirmation hearing in January to combat what she called antisemitism at the world body and lead a review of U.S. funding. She was expected to be confirmed, but Trump abruptly withdrew her nomination in March, citing risks to the GOP's historically slim House majority. At the time, the loss of a mere handful of seats could have swung the House majority to Democrats and derailed their recently successful efforts to enact Trump's sweeping agenda. Waltz is still on the White House payroll Waltz, whose Florida House seat was filled during a special election earlier this year, has spent the last few months on the White House payroll despite being removed as national security adviser. The latest list of White House salaries, current as of July 1, includes Waltz earning an annual salary of $195,200. A White House official, granted anonymity to discuss personnel matters, said Waltz stayed on to 'ensure a smooth and successful transition given the extreme importance of the role of NSA.' Waltz was the first Green Beret elected to the House and easily won reelection for a fourth term in November before Trump asked him to join the administration.