JCI Q2 Earnings: How Will The Stock React?
Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) is scheduled to announce its earnings on Wednesday, May 7, 2025. In the past five years, JCI has experienced a positive one-day return after earnings releases in 56% of cases. When returns were positive, the median return was 2.2%, with a peak one-day positive return of 11.3%.
For traders focused on specific events, comprehending these historical trends may provide a competitive advantage, although the actual market response will primarily rely on how the results stack up against consensus predictions and market expectations. There are two main methods to utilize this historical information:
At present, consensus estimates indicate that JCI's earnings per share will be $0.79 on revenue of $5.63 billion. This is in comparison to the previous year's results of $0.78 earnings per share and $6.7 billion in revenue.
From a fundamental point of view, JCI currently has a market capitalization of $59 billion. Its revenue over the last twelve months amounted to $22 billion, and the company showed operational profitability with $2.5 billion in operating profits and a net income of $1.8 billion.
That said, if you're looking for upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High-Quality portfolio offers an alternative — having outperformed the S&P 500 and achieved returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
See earnings reaction history of all stocks
Here are some insights into one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
Further data for the observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post-earnings is summarized alongside the statistics in the following table.
JCI 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return
A relatively less risky strategy (though not effective if the correlation is weak) is to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D exhibit the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves "long" for the following 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
JCI Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
At times, the performance of peers can impact the post-earnings stock response. In fact, the pricing might start before the earnings are disclosed. Below is some historical information regarding the recent post-earnings performance of Johnson Controls International stock compared to the stock performance of peers that reported earnings just prior to Johnson Controls International. For accurate comparison, peer stock returns also denote post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.
JCI Correlation With Peer Earnings
Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed all-cap stocks benchmarks (comprising all 3, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), delivering excellent returns for investors. Additionally, if you seek upside with a more stable experience than an individual stock such as Johnson Controls International, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its inception.
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
10 minutes ago
- Yahoo
If You Bought 1 Share of Walmart at Its IPO, Here's How Many Shares You'd Own Now
Key Points Investors continue to gravitate to influential businesses conducting stock splits. Since its October 1970 initial public offering (IPO), Walmart has effected a dozen forward splits. Walmart has a shopping cart full of competitive edges, including its size and willingness to lean on innovation. 10 stocks we like better than Walmart › For years, stock splits have been one of the most exciting trends on Wall Street. A stock split is a tool public companies have available that allows them to adjust their share price and outstanding share count by the same factor. These changes are surface-scratching in that they don't impact a company's market cap or operating performance. Businesses completing forward stock splits (designed to reduce a company's share price to make it more nominally affordable for everyday investors) have a knack for outperforming -- which is something the shareholders of retail goliath Walmart (NYSE: WMT) know all too well. Walmart's stock-split history is a marvel Walmart's initial public offering (IPO) occurred on Oct. 1, 1970, with the company pricing its shares at $16.50. In the nearly 55 years since its IPO, this retail colossus has completed 12 forward splits: May 1971: 2-for-1 stock split March 1972: 2-for-1 August 1975: 2-for-1 November 1980: 2-for-1 June 1982: 2-for-1 June 1983: 2-for-1 September 1985: 2-for-1 June 1987: 2-for-1 June 1990: 2-for-1 February 1993: 2-for-1 March 1999: 2-for-1 February 2024: 3-for-1 If you had spent $16.50 to purchase one share of Walmart at its IPO, you'd now have 6,144 shares worth $586,076, not including dividends. Not too shabby! Walmart's competitive edge is on full display One of the reasons Walmart is so dominant is its size. Being able to buy products in bulk reduces its per-unit cost and allows it to undercut local retailers and even some national grocery chains on price. It offers a value proposition that few retailers can match. In addition to its sheer size, Walmart is leaning on innovation and digitization to drive gains. Relying on automation and artificial intelligence-optimized supply chains, along with building out its high-margin Walmart+ subscription service, have the needle pointing higher. With a 52-year streak (and counting) of dividend increases in its sails, Walmart shows no signs of slowing down. Should you invest $1,000 in Walmart right now? Before you buy stock in Walmart, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Walmart wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,056,790!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,048% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025 Sean Williams has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. If You Bought 1 Share of Walmart at Its IPO, Here's How Many Shares You'd Own Now was originally published by The Motley Fool
Yahoo
18 minutes ago
- Yahoo
3 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years
Key Points American Express gets money from its card and also by providing loans. Coca-Cola's global footprint is a strength. McDonald's is the world's top fast-food franchise and plans to open 2,200 new locations this year. 10 stocks we like better than Coca-Cola › I've always appreciated dividend stocks as a solid strategy for any investment portfolio. While I recognize the importance of growth stocks (and hold several of them), stocks that represent companies that pay a solid, consistent dividend also are an important tool for growing wealth. The best thing about dividend stocks is that they're ideal for all types of investors. If you're just starting out or a few years into building your portfolio, dividends are a great way to turbocharge your savings. In addition to the gains you get when the stock price rises, you can take the quarterly dividend payout and reinvest it, adding to your positions and growing wealth more quickly. If you're in retirement and starting to draw down your investments, dividend stocks are an ideal way to keep the income flowing. Many investors in retirement use dividend payouts to pay for living expenses, which keeps them from drawing down their retirement funds too quickly. There are hundreds of dividend stocks from which to choose, but I prefer ones from established companies that provide consistent payouts. Here are three that are worth considering today. 1. Coca-Cola I like Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) because it has a dominant position in the beverage industry, holding the No. 1 position in 2024 with a 48% market share, according to Statista. And there's plenty to drink aside from the famous Cola-Cola carbonated beverage. The company also sells bottled water, sports drinks, tea, juices and a line of alcoholic beverages. In all, the company has 30 brands that are each valued at a minimum of $1 billion. Revenue in the first quarter declined 2% to $11.1 billion because of slumping sales in North America. But Coca-Cola was able to mitigate losses by increasing sales in China, India, and Brazil -- and the company's global footprint will continue to be a hedge against weakness in any one geographic area. Net income attributable to shareholders as $3.33 billion and $0.77 per share, up from $3.18 and $0.74 per share in the first quarter of 2024. Coca-Cola also offers a strong dividend yield of 2.9%. 2. American Express Like Coca-Cola, American Express (NYSE: AXP) is a favored dividend stock held by Warren Buffett in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio. Berkshire currently has a dominant 21.6% stake in American Express, holding 151.6 million shares. American Express stands out from other credit card companies because it caters to a more affluent base, with a stronger emphasis on its gold and platinum cards, as well as corporate accounts. As an American Express customer, I can attest that the travel perks are extremely generous. But American Express also is different in how it makes money. Not only does it issue cards like Visa and Mastercard, but it operates its own payment network that allows it to extend credit and earn income from the interest it charges on loans. Revenue in the first quarter was $2.6 billion and $3.64 per share, up from $2.4 billion and $3.33 billion in the same quarter of 2024. American Express also has a dividend yield of 1%. 3. McDonald's McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) is the dominant fast-food chain in the world, boasting more than 43,000 locations in over 100 countries. From its start as a single restaurant in California, McDonald's revolutionized the industry with its consistent standards and franchise model. After a customer backlash last year over higher prices and inflation, McDonald's has been aggressive in pushing value menus and deals, including the return of its chicken snack wraps this spring. It's also driving traffic through its loyalty program, which includes 175 million customers who are active at least every 90 days within 60 global markets. McDonald's attributes $30 billion in overall sales to its loyalty membership program. Global sales were down 0.1% in 2024, and that trend continued in the first quarter of 2025, as global sales dropped 0.1% from a year ago. In the U.S., sales were down 3.6% from a year ago, and earnings per share of $2.60 was down 2% from a year ago. However, McDonald's still plans to open 2,200 new locations in 2025, which it says will boost its global sales growth by more than 2% this year. With its 2.4% dividend yield, McDonald's is a quality dividend stock for a long-term investor. Should you buy stock in Coca-Cola right now? Before you buy stock in Coca-Cola, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Coca-Cola wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,056,790!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,048% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025 American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Patrick Sanders has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway, Mastercard, and Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. 3 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
33 minutes ago
- Yahoo
TD Cowen Downgrades Fortive Corporation (FTV) Stock
Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV) is one of the TD Cowen downgraded the company's stock to 'Hold' from 'Buy' with a price objective of $50, down from the prior target of $85, as reported by The Fly. Following the spinoff of Ralliant, the thesis on the new Fortive becomes less clear, noted the firm's analyst. The firm mentioned the concerns related to the company's growth trajectory, highlighting that Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV)'s strongest business unit has been decelerating post a period of strong performance, with other segments struggling to cater to the expectations and lagging behind competitors. A technician checking a calibration tool in a laboratory environment. As per Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV)'s top management, the new Fortive emerges with a robust financial track record with strong FCF generation, ~50% recurring revenue, significant competitive advantages, and a strategic orientation towards attractive markets with healthy secular tailwinds. The renewed emphasis towards accelerating profitable growth via Fortive Business System, together with a new shareholder returns-focused capital allocation strategy, provides the company confidence in delivering strong returns. While we acknowledge the potential of FTV as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 13 Cheap AI Stocks to Buy According to Analysts and 11 Unstoppable Growth Stocks to Invest in Now Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
