
Could Scotland just declare it is an independent state?
However, now that it has appeared on the scene, it seems appropriate to do so. That, from my perspective, is because everything to do with economics is about power relationships. If Scotland is not a state in its own right, then the obvious question to ask is, can it have a power relationship?
With the caveat that the Montevideo Convention was only signed by states from the Americas, it suggests there are four criteria for being recognised as a state – that the proposed state should have a permanent population, a defined territory, a government, and a capacity to enter into relations with other states.
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The convention also says the political existence of a state is independent of any recognition of that status by other states. In other words, a state can declare itself to exist as a country, even if other countries do not recognise that fact.
The question to be asked in this case is, then, whether or not Scotland meets these criteria? Firstly, Scotland very obviously has a population. What is more, official data confirming the size of that population is published on a regular basis. There would appear to be no doubt that it meets this criterion.
Similarly, it would be very hard to argue that Scotland does not have a defined territory. I am aware some minor changes have taken place with regard to what part of the seabed might be Scottish, or not, in the last few decades, and this might still be up for negotiation.
But the Montevideo Convention does make clear that it is not, in any case, essential that these borders be precisely defined if there is broad consensus about where they exist, and in the case of Scotland, I have no doubt whatsoever that this is the case.
That said, it has to be recognised that those two are the easy criteria to be settled under this convention, and that the next two might be a little more contentious. So, let's deal with them. Has Scotland got a government? It would seem to me that the answer to that is indisputable. Of course it has. What else is it that sits at Holyrood?
And what else is the administration currently headed by John Swinney MSP? And why is it that he is called the First Minister of Scotland? And why else, for example, when meeting Donald Trump a week ago, was he treated as the leader of the Scottish Government?
How could it be argued that Scotland hasn't got a government when, quite clearly, such a government was created through the devolution process, and the administration based in Edinburgh has the power to control significant areas of expenditure in Scotland, with such power being denied as a result to the government in Westminster?
I have no doubt that lawyers could write lengthy books trying to argue this point either way but a simple observation of facts suggests that in practice, everyone in the UK, including the Westminster Government, recognises that there is an administration in Scotland which is properly called a government.
What is more, it alone has decision-making powers over much in Scotland, to which it is responsible for the supply of services, and by which it is held accountable. It follows, as a matter of fact, that in a plain, straightforward political sense, Scotland must be recognised as having a government.
It is important to note that when coming to that conclusion, the Montevideo Convention uses this logic when appraising such matters. It is based on political realities, and not on precise points of law.
READ MORE: SNP members set for second meeting to challenge Scottish independence plan
It is for that reason that the Montevideo Convention can say precise agreement on borders is not, for example, necessary, precisely so that legal objection for this reason can be circumvented. It does also, for this reason, say that a country might consider itself to be a state when others do not recognise it as such, again seeking to overcome legal objection on those grounds.
It does, then, require decisions on the political substance of what is going on rather than worry about the precise legal arguments that could be used when deciding on an issue. And, there can be no doubt, given the substance of this matter, that Scotland has a government.
The last question is, then, whether Scotland has the power to enter into relationships with other states in a way that only a state can? I would argue this is also the case.
There will, no doubt, be Unionists who argue Scotland as it stands is no more than a glorified council, with no power to enter into relationships with other countries. But that would be nonsense. There are numerous signs Scotland is recognised as having such relationships.
For example, it is internationally recognised for sporting purposes, and its national sports organisations are recognised as being capable of entering into international relationships.
And, before anyone argues that this is peripheral, that cannot be said precisely because the Montevideo Convention does not refer to governmental relations as such, but does refer to international relationships.
Even if, however, international government relationships have to be the focus, then Scotland very obviously has the power to enter into such relationships on its own behalf. It has a minister with responsibility for foreign affairs, and the Westminster government recognises their right to represent Scotland in the international arena.
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So, for example, Scotland has for some time negotiated its own relationships with the EU and it is widely recognised internationally that Scotland's view on this matter differs from that of the [[Westminster]] government. In addition, it is clear that John Sweeney and Donald Trump did discuss international relationships last week, with the First Minister representing the Scottish Government and expressing an independent opinion.
Once again, whatever the legal niceties, the simple fact is the world recognises that Scotland does have the capacity to enter into such relationships. In other words, all four of the Montevideo Convention requirements for Scotland to be recognised as a state are very clearly met. I think this is incredibly important.
Saying so, I would refer readers back to the article that I wrote last week on the power of telling stories about Scotland, and the role that they have in creating a narrative about Scotland as an independent country.
What the convention is saying is that Scotland, and the people of the country, have the right to say they are a state and that they should be recognised as such, whether or not the rest of the UK, and most particularly England, likes that fact.
The Montevideo Convention does not give England the right to object. What it grants Scotland is the right to make that claim, irrespective of objections.
If there is a story to tell about Scottish independence, this is it.
The time has come for Scotland to declare itself a state, because it has the right to be recognised as such, and then it must make clear that this is the basis for its claim to have the right to be free from foreign control. How could anyone refuse?

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The Herald Scotland
42 minutes ago
- The Herald Scotland
Public funding row bus firm Alexander Dennis may get more
The development comes amidst a public funding row which saw ADL receive tens of millions from the public purse even after it embarked on a plan to axe a third of its Scottish workforce five years ago. ADL has been warned by the Scottish Government that some of the millions could be subject to clawback if goes ahead with the move to England. The Scottish Government's Scottish Enterprise agency has said in a briefing from July 18 that in its most recent review in December, "no risks had been identified that would preclude continued funding". Scottish Enterprise says that that a joint UK working group involving themselves and the UK and Scottish governments are identifying solutions that they say "support continued investment and employment at ADL's Scottish sites". It has said that no funding has been paid out since the company announcement but that any support was subject to "rigorous monitoring and safeguarding measures". Scottish Enterprise chief executive Adrian Gillespie said: "We will continue to work closely with all partners to explore all avenues to retain jobs and secure long-term investment". Alba Party leader Kenny MacAskill said all further [[pub]]lic funding of ADL should cease unless there is a commitment to remain in Scotland and that millions should be clawed back if ADL departed. Last month, Alexander Dennis began consultations on a plan to close its Falkirk operations and cease manufacturing at its Larbert base with the loss of 400 on site jobs. Manufacturing would be centralised at its Scarborough operation which has the capacity to produce around 1,200 buses a year. The agency analysis came in response to a group of MSPs seeking a clear outline of the actions Scottish Enterprise is taking now, in coordination with the Scottish Government and other partners, to support continued manufacturing and investment at the Scottish sites. Unite Scotland estimates that up to 1,600 jobs could be at risk when supply chain roles are included and has warned of a 'devastating' impact on communities already reeling from the Grangemouth oil refinery closure. Ministers have confirmed that should Alexander Dennis go ahead with exiting Scotland, the financial assistance paid may be subject to "clawback". They have said that it will be down to Scottish Enterprise to decide on how to proceed. Kenny MacAskill According to Scottish Government records, ADL received £58m of public 'subsidy' for green vehicles since 2020 under two schemes aimed at transitioning Scotland to green buses - despite the company having embarked on a 2020 plan to axe a third of its Scottish workforce. And some £30m of jobs grants for research and development over 10 years has come from the Scottish Government's economic development agency Scottish Enterprise. Some £11.2m of those jobs grants from Scottish Enterprise came in 2023, three years after concerns were raised over ADL embarking on major job cuts. By the time the 2020 jobs cut was in place, ADL had already received over £8m in 'job securing' taxpayer funding which was promoted as supporting building a new greener business in Scotland. The Herald revealed that ADL warned the First Minister it was "'reconsidering' its 'entire investment' in Scotland — a year before announcing plans to relocate to England. He was also told they had already been 'forced' to offshore certain manufacturing functions to China. The First Minister intervened after learning of potential redundancies at the firm, suggesting 'further capital support' and advising Scottish Enterprise to 'exhaust all options to support the business'. Finance secretary Shona Robison has said that Scottish Enterprise "is continuing to work closely with ADL to try to find a positive solution". ADL has allowed an extra fortnight for efforts to save the jobs of workers in Falkirk and Larbert. A deadline for a consultation is now set for August 15. SNP's Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon once set out the economic case for Scottish Independence from an Alexander Dennis depot (Image: Newsquest) Mr MacAskill, who said the job losses were "unacceptable", said ADL "must be held to account if they choose to relocate south of the border". And he said any further financial support given must contain firm guarantees that ADL is staying in Scotland and that funds can be recouped if there is any change of mind. He said: "Falkirk and Larbert have served them well over the years and Scottish Governments and agencies have supported them handsomely. Closure is bad enough but relocation rubs salt into the wound. "Any funds that can be clawed back absolutely must be. The workers community and Scotland deserve no less. READ MORE from Martin Williams: How buying Chinese sparked public funding row over Scots bus jobs going to England? Swinney got year-long warning England-bound bus firm was 'reconsidering' Scotland FM in funding row as £90m public cash for Scots jobs given to firm going to England Union says 1600 Scots jobs at risk if government doesn't act in 'national interest' "Workers are entitled to loyalty from their governments as well as their employers. Public funds are for public good." Ministers have said they are working with bus operators to drum up interest for much-needed orders for ADL. The company has previously said that it would need to see a significant rise in bus orders – between 70 and 100 by the end of the year and 300-400 next year – to remain open. In a briefing, Scottish Enterprise chief executive Adrian Gillespie said that it remained "fully committed to supporting ADL and safeguarding Scotland's strategic manufacturing capabilities". He added: "We will continue to work closely with all partners to explore all avenues to retain jobs and secure long-term investment." Adrian Gillespie (Image: SE) The agency has said that past funding typically include obligations such as job creation or retention, matched funding from the company involved. And while it said that while the specific terms agreed with ADL are "commercially sensitive" it "rigorously monitors all funded projects to "ensure compliance and value for public investment". "Monitoring includes regular reporting on technical progress, milestone achievements, and any deviations from the original project plan. Risks are assessed prior to each payment," said Mr Gillespie. "As of the most recent review, no risks had been identified that would preclude continued funding. Scottish Enterprise's grant conditions include key safeguards and the option to claw back funding." He added that "we remain fully committed to supporting ADL and safeguarding Scotland's strategic manufacturing capabilities. "Scottish Enterprise is working closely with ADL, the Scottish Government, and UK partners to exploit all viable options to retain ADL operations and employment in Scotland." Ministers say there is a commitment from ADL to consider keeping chassis manufacture as well as the possibility of single deck bus manufacture in Scotland. And they say action is being taken to liaise with commercial bus operators and local transport authorities to establish the current demand for double deck buses in Scotland and were working alongside the UK Government to identify demand in other parts of the UK. But there remains concerns that UK subsidy rules which has curbed [[Scottish Government]] action in providing a direct contract award to its own Inverclyde shipyard firm Ferguson Marine is hindering attempts to give [[pub]]licly funded support for ADL to try and keep the company in Scotland. But Ms Robison has said it was for the UK Government to make any changes to the Subsidy Control Act which might benefit Scottish businesses. She has told MSPs that the government was committed to looking at "all viable options" and are working with private bus companies. 'I agree about the importance of securing a short-term pipeline of orders,' she said. 'Please be assured that we are therefore liaising with commercial bus operators and local transport authorities to establish the current demand for double-deck buses in Scotland and are working alongside UK Government to identify demand in other parts of the UK," she said in a briefing. 'I am in full agreement with you about the importance of Alexander Dennis to Scotland and of retaining the jobs of the highly-skilled workers. 'That is why we are continuing to work at pace with Scottish Enterprise and UK Government, and alongside the company and trade unions, to explore all viable options to support ADL to retain bus manufacturing in Scotland.' Kate Forbes (Image: Colin Mearns) Deputy first minister Kate Forbes said: 'Our absolute focus continues to be on exploring all viable options to support Alexander Dennis Ltd, its workforce and the families and communities they support. 'The [[Scottish Government]] continues to work in close collaboration with the company, trade unions, Scottish Enterprise, Transport Scotland and the [[UK Government]] during the consultation period. 'This work includes discussions on potential support for a company furlough scheme and urgently examining options to provide greater confidence regarding short-term demand for bus manufacturing in Scotland. "


Scotsman
an hour ago
- Scotsman
Remove roadblocks that delay new housing
UK governments must act on housing crisis, says Caroline Maciver Sign up to our Scotsman Money newsletter, covering all you need to know to help manage your money. Sign up Thank you for signing up! Did you know with a Digital Subscription to The Scotsman, you can get unlimited access to the website including our premium content, as well as benefiting from fewer ads, loyalty rewards and much more. Learn More Sorry, there seem to be some issues. Please try again later. Submitting... Scotland and other parts of Britain face a serious housing crisis. Think-tank Centre of Cities says there is a backlog of 4.3 million homes missing from the UK's national housing market. Both the Scottish and UK governments have made housebuilding a key policy commitment, but there are a number of developing legislative issues as well as major challenges facing the construction industry which stand in the way of addressing the need for new homes successfully. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad In June, the Scottish Government appointed Màiri McAllan as Cabinet Secretary for Housing and pledged £3.5 billion to deliver 110,000 affordable homes by 2032. South of the border, Housing Secretary Angela Rayner set out plans to build 1.5 million new houses in England by 2029. As part of the UK Government spending review announced in June, £39bn was pledged over 10 years for social and affordable housing in England. hy While this additional investment is essential and very welcome, new regulations on construction products will likely mean further challenges for home-builders and, in some cases, could present a barrier to progress. The Scottish Government's plans to introduce a new role of Compliance Plan Manager for residential buildings over 11 metres high could, like many new schemes, also create initial bedding-in delays for housebuilders. Meanwhile, the UK Government's Construction Products Reform Green Paper, which puts a strong focus on more third-party testing and certification to ensure product safety and reliability, creates further uncertainty for builders who are unclear how these reforms will work in practice. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad The current progress of the Building Safety Regulator (BSR) in England underlines the potentially detrimental impact of new regulation on housing projects. Set up to ensure high-rise buildings are fully compliant with fire safety issues, the BSR's initial 13-week approval timetable has more than doubled, creating a significant backlog in proposed new builds. Following action in England, the Scottish Government is implementing new measures through the Housing (Scotland) Bill around Awaab's Law, which aims to tackle damp and mould in social housing. While this is well-intended legislation, it will place a greater burden on social landlords to investigate and address disrepair and could set back their timetable for building much-needed new social housing across Scotland. Regulatory reform is undoubtedly important in the post-Grenfell era. It is, however, essential for governments to give clear guidance to the construction industry on new measures and ensure prompt timelines are met in the approval of new building applications. More broadly, the Scottish and UK governments must provide wider support to the construction sector to ensure it has the capacity required to build the thousands of homes needed. With 140,000 construction vacancies currently unfilled in the UK and a further 750,000 employees expected to retire in 2026, the government can help the industry to facilitate more workers it needs, including 240,000 new apprentices required over the next decade. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad There are also geographical challenges such as a lack of accommodation for contractors in some areas, including in the North of Scotland. Governments can support the sector through the planning system and potential tax incentives to drive home-building in regions of high demand. If the Scottish and UK governments are to address the housing crisis and achieve their ambitious targets, they need to ensure they are a key part of the solution, not a roadblock to progress.


Scotsman
an hour ago
- Scotsman
Can only hope Berwick Bank wind turbines strike the right balance
Bass Rock's gannet population could be put at risk by the Berwick Bank wind farm (Picture: Lisa Ferguson) I am sure it is no coincidence that the Scottish Government waited until Donald Trump was safely back in the White House following his long weekend in Scotland before announcing it had approved the Berwick Bank project, one of the world's largest offshore wind farms, which will be situated 23 miles off the east coast. Sign up to our daily newsletter Sign up Thank you for signing up! Did you know with a Digital Subscription to Edinburgh News, you can get unlimited access to the website including our premium content, as well as benefiting from fewer ads, loyalty rewards and much more. Learn More Sorry, there seem to be some issues. Please try again later. Submitting... The US President is a very vocal critic of wind turbines. During his recent visit he said: 'You fly over and you see these windmills all over the place, ruining your beautiful fields and valleys and killing your birds, and if they're stuck in the ocean, ruining your oceans. Stop the windmills.' Stop the windmills could well become the campaign slogan for the charity RSPB Scotland, whose director Anne McCall described the decision to approve 307 turbines near the seabird colonies at St Abbs and the Bass Rock as a 'very dark day for seabirds'. She fears that the windfarm could 'catapult some of Scotland's most-loved seabird species towards extinction'. Advertisement Hide Ad Advertisement Hide Ad I understand the charity's concerns. Wind turbines may be a source of 'clean' energy, but they do have their drawbacks, especially on such a large scale. There is ample evidence to show that they can pose a risk to wildlife, including seabirds, and while one or two windmills can look graceful, a group of more than 300 is bound to spoil the east coast skyline. But we need clean energy. Climate change is a real and present danger, and wind turbines offer an affordable, renewable source of energy which will help lower our carbon emissions. They may even help reduce our reliance on the volatile global energy markets. We are still suffering from the effect on energy prices after Russia, a major energy exporter, invaded Ukraine in 2022. The price of gas, which most of us use to heat our homes, went through the roof. And we can't underestimate the economic benefit of large-scale wind farms. They create jobs, helping to stimulate the economy, which needs every boost it can get. Deputy First Minister Kate Forbes, who announced the Berwick Bank project, said the challenge was balancing the 'needs of people and nature.' I only hope that on this scheme the right balance has been struck.