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S&P 500, Nasdaq edge lower on cautious Fed; Trump tax bill in focus

S&P 500, Nasdaq edge lower on cautious Fed; Trump tax bill in focus

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes inched down on Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stayed cautious on interest-rate cuts and investors watched a Senate voting marathon on U.S. President Donald Trump's tax-cut and spending bill.
The blue-chip Dow gained and was just about 746 points away from its all-time high touched in December.
The day's moves for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite come after the indexes posted record closing highs on Monday, capping their best quarter in over a year as hopes for more trade deals and possible rate cuts supported sentiment.
Powell reiterated the U.S. central bank plans to 'wait and learn more' about the impact of tariffs on inflation before lowering interest rates, again setting aside Trump's demands for immediate and deep rate cuts.
The top policymaker has been facing harsh criticism from Trump to ease monetary policy, with the administration mapping out the likely plan for naming Powell's replacement for when he leaves the job next May.
The fate of Trump's 'One Big Beautiful Bill' was also in focus as U.S. senators were still voting on Tuesday on a potentially long list of amendments to the legislation that is expected to add $3.3 trillion to the nation's debt pile.
The Republican majority's struggle to pass the bill exemplifies deep divisions within the party over debt. The bill aims to partly cover the cost of the tax reductions with cuts to Medicaid and some food assistance programs for low-income Americans.
Trump said he was open to moving the July 4 deadline he gave fellow Republicans in the Senate to get behind the bill, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he expects the Senate to pass the bill by the afternoon.
S&P 500, Nasdaq at record highs as trade hopes feed quarterly momentum
'This version that we hear about is not necessarily the one that's going to pass. So you know that's still something that weighs on investors' minds,' said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners.
Tesla's shares fell 4.5% after a fresh spat between CEO Elon Musk and Trump over the tax bill, with the president urging the government efficiency department to review the subsidies that Musk's companies have received.
Tesla also reported a sales drop for a sixth straight month in Sweden and Denmark in June.
At 10:17 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 189.54 points, or 0.43%, to 44,284.31, the S&P 500 lost 2.54 points, or 0.04%, to 6,202.41 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 32.26 points, or 0.16%, to 20,336.87.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq's rise to record highs marked a stunning recovery in sentiment that was hammered by Trump's chaotic trade policies and geopolitical tensions, with investors betting on AI enthusiasm and earnings momentum to keep the bull run going.
Data showed U.S. job openings increased unexpectedly in May, suggesting labor market resilience despite trade and economic uncertainties.
Market focus now shifts to Thursday's nonfarm payrolls report, which could recaliberate bets for a rate cut as soon as July.
Money markets are pricing in a 21.2% likelihood for a July rate cut and see about 64.5 bps worth of cuts by the end of this year, per LSEG data.
AMC Entertainment Holdings dropped 6.5% after the theater chain operator said it would cut its debt by converting at least $143 million in exchangeable bonds into shares.
Shares of U.S.-based casino operators rose after Macau reported a rise in June gambling revenue. Wynn Resorts gained 7.8%, Las Vegas Sands was up 6.5% and MGM Resorts International added 4.5%.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.28-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, and by a 1.05-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and no new lows while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 46 new highs and 42 new lows.
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Gold up Rs6,600 on global jitters
Gold up Rs6,600 on global jitters

Express Tribune

time2 hours ago

  • Express Tribune

Gold up Rs6,600 on global jitters

Listen to article Gold prices in Pakistan extended their upward march on Tuesday, mirroring a strong rally in the international market, where the precious metal climbed over 1% amid a weaker US dollar and renewed economic uncertainty. International markets responded to rising investor caution ahead of US President Donald Trump's July 9 deadline for the possible reinstatement of higher trade tariffs, a move that has injected volatility and boosted demand for safe-haven assets like gold. According to the All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of gold in the local market surged Rs6,600 per tola, settling at Rs356,800. Similarly, the price of 10 grams of gold rose Rs5,658 to Rs305,898. The previous day, gold had also posted gains, with the price per tola increasing by Rs800 to reach Rs350,200. Traders attribute the sharp price increase to both global cues and persistent currency depreciation, which continue to drive domestic gold prices upwards. Interactive Commodities Director Adnan Agar noted that gold prices edged higher amid renewed geopolitical and economic jitters, largely triggered by Trump's latest remarks on trade tariffs. "Gold has moved up slightly," Agar observed, "mainly because Trump resumed his aggressive rhetoric around tariffs. Since yesterday (Monday), prices have increased by around $70 to $80, with the metal trading near $3,350 and having touched the high of $3,357." He also pointed to fresh tensions between Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, suggesting that their escalating public spat may be contributing to market unease and further supporting gold's safe-haven appeal. "Their ongoing confrontation has added to the uncertainty, which in turn is pushing investors towards gold," Agar said, linking the rise in bullion to heightened volatility in US political and business circles. Gold delivered robust gains in the first half of 2025, particularly in US dollar terms, sparked primarily by the weakening of the greenback, according to Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank. Citing Bloomberg and Saxo data, Hansen noted that while dollar-based investors enjoyed strong returns – 25.9% – those holding other currencies, especially in Europe, saw much lower gains. Gold priced in Indian rupees topped the chart with a 26% rise, followed by the Chinese yuan (22.8%), Canadian dollar (19.1%) and Australian dollar (18.4%). In contrast, returns in the euro and Swiss franc stood at just 10.5% and 10%, respectively, reflecting how stronger local currencies dampened gold's performance for un-hedged investors. This disparity underscores the impact of currency dynamics, policy shifts and inflation expectations on commodity returns.

Pivoting between geopolitics and geo-economics
Pivoting between geopolitics and geo-economics

Express Tribune

time5 hours ago

  • Express Tribune

Pivoting between geopolitics and geo-economics

Listen to article When Field Marshal Asim Munir walked out of the White House after the recent luncheon with President Trump, it was apparent that the Pak-US relationship was taking another tactical shift. This relationship has seen numerous highs and lows in the past. However, the recent war-like situation between Pakistan and India and President Donald Trump's role in the ceasefire have unfolded events unexpectedly. Lately, Pakistan seems to have navigated its relations well with both the US and China. The country now stands at a crossroads: whether to continue with a familiar path of transactional geopolitics or commit to geo-economics as mentioned in the National Security Policy (2022-2026). Not long ago, Pakistan was almost written off for its strategic importance by the policymakers in Washington, DC, after the fall of Kabul. From being a close ally, Pakistan had overnight become almost insignificant for the Biden administration to give a call back to the Pakistani authorities or even to get a mention in the US's National Security Strategy. So much so that Pakistan had to go through tougher conditions while seeking bailout packages from the IMF and was subject to harsher rhetoric. Nevertheless, the situation has changed significantly after the Indo-Pak military clash of May 2025. On April 22, 2025, a terrorist incident resulted in 26 tourists losing their lives in Pahalgam. Reports also claim that this attack was religiously motivated. Such a tragedy deserves utmost condemnation, and those responsible must be punished for their brutal actions. India's knee-jerk response was that Pakistan was somehow behind this attack, and therefore, the decades-long Indus Water Treaty, which had survived through the worst of the Indo-Pak relations, was suspended. Subsequently, India also launched a series of attacks on several Pakistani cities on the pretext of targeting the terrorist hideouts only. For the next two days, the situation between India and Pakistan remained extremely tense. Both attacked each other's multiple military facilities and neutralised drone incursions, while Pakistan, with the help of Chinese technology, downed multiple Indian fighter jets. Eventually, mediated by the US, both countries reached a ceasefire agreement, but the threat still looms as PM Modi has insisted that Operation Sindoor will continue if there is any other terrorist attack in India. Whether keeping South Asian peace a hostage with such statements is good or bad, one thing is clear: after the ceasefire, Pakistan's profile on the international political front has witnessed a significant rise, something totally against New Delhi's policy of isolating Pakistan internationally. Post-ceasefire, Pakistan's relations with China have reached new highs. For Pakistan, China has emerged as one dependable partner. China, on the other hand, fully supported Pakistan's retaliation against Indian attacks. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi reiterated that Pakistan is an "ironclad friend" and vowed to deepen the "all-weather strategic cooperative partnership." It must also be noted that the use of Chinese defence technology appeared as free marketing, since after the ceasefire, China's defense stocks have surged. Presently, what still remains a matter of concern for both is the security of Chinese personnel and investments in CPEC. Pakistan, therefore, must ameliorate threats from sub-nationalist movements. Pakistan's relations with the US have also taken a stark turnabout. President Trump has taken the credit for the ceasefire a number of times, although India, the US's most allied ally in South Asia, has refuted such claims repeatedly. He then offered to mediate for the long-overdue Kashmir issue, again upsetting India. And lately, the US Department of State issued a travel advisory to "exercise increased caution in India due to crime and terrorism." All these developments, along with President Trump's invitation to Field Marshal Asim Munir, have left the Indian side quite disgruntled. Many argue that the lunch meeting was also crucial because of the Israel-Iran conflict, but whatever the reason may be, Pakistan must be in a state of euphoria over these happenings. One must also recall that Pakistan has served as US strategic partner in the past. During the Cold War, Pakistan was an active member of the capitalist camp against communism in South Asia; it played a crucial role against the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan; and it was the US strategic partner during the war on terror. But as denoted appropriately, the Pak-US relationship has remained 'transactional' in nature, and Pakistan has repeatedly complained of being abandoned as soon as US interests change. Following the same pattern, Pakistan was cast off after the fall of Kabul in 2021, too. Hence, it must remain wary in the future as well. Considering the post-ceasefire events, Pakistan may again be lured to find solutions to its internal and external crises in forming strategic partnerships, especially with the US. Previously, Pakistan has leveraged its geographical location for geopolitical gains, but apart from temporary relief, it has only guided towards much deep-rooted problems. The country gravely suffers from growing poverty, economic inequality, policy discontinuity, unemployment, poor education and healthcare facilities, etc. The current situation presents Pakistan with a dilemma: whether it would keep using its strategic advantage for temporary gains or realise the vision of geo-economics that the country's National Security Policy introduced in January 2022. Becoming a melting pot for global economic interests through strengthening regional connectivity and development partnerships will help Pakistan address its structural problems related to non-traditional security aspects. Additionally, it will also ensure that the country has enough resources in the pool to improve its traditional security apparatus. Certainly, now this is more important because Operation Sindoor is not over yet. Pakistan needs to build its economic muscle against India, which is reportedly set to become the fourth-largest economy in the world. It is also arguably correct that the path to geo-economics will be long, and considering the world today, which has almost become a war theater, Pakistan will have additional hindrances when anchoring geographic location for economic benefits. Nonetheless, with the alternate strategy, Pakistan has tried and failed again and again, and not changing the approach will not help address the deep-rooted structural issues the country has been suffering from since its inception in 1947.

Interior minister announces prohibited bore licences for parliamentarians
Interior minister announces prohibited bore licences for parliamentarians

Express Tribune

time5 hours ago

  • Express Tribune

Interior minister announces prohibited bore licences for parliamentarians

Mohsin Naqvi addresses the media during his visit to the Mega Passport Center on Peco Road in Lahore. Photo: Screengrab Listen to article Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi has announced that each parliamentarian will be granted one prohibited bore licence for personal security. The announcement was made during a meeting of the Senate's Standing Committee on Interior, chaired by Senator Faisal Saleem on Tuesday. The committee chair expressed dissatisfaction with the lack of arms licences being issued to parliamentarians, prompting Naqvi's response. The minister also directed the interior secretary to look into complaints regarding the performance of the DG Passports. The committee discussed security concerns, with the minister agreeing that areas with poor law and order would see an increase in licence quotas. Naqvi also announced that individuals who had paid fees but did not receive licences in the past would have their fees refunded. The committee reviewed the Pakistan Citizenship Bill 2025, with DG Passports Mustafa Jamal Qazi briefing members on the proposed amendments. The amendments aim to allow overseas Pakistanis who renounced their citizenship to regain it, enabling them to invest, do business, and contribute to the country's development. During the meeting, Senator Haji Hidayatullah expressed dissatisfaction with the alleged irresponsible behaviour of the DG Passports. He complained that the DG would not answer his calls, and when he did, he failed to take action. He also claimed that the DG had disrespected his leader, Aimal Wali Khan, which he deemed unacceptable. The interior minister directed the interior secretary to investigate the matter. Moreover, Senator Fauzia Arshad raised concerns about water scarcity in the federal capital. Naqvi acknowledged that the situation at Rawal Dam was concerning and informed the committee that a task force had been formed, as per the prime minister's directives, to meet every 15 days to address Islamabad's water issues. He stated that water scarcity is a significant problem in new housing societies, many of which have been established illegally, contributing to a separate crisis. Meanwhile, Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa IG Zulfikar Hameed provided a security briefing for Muharram during the meeting, revealing that, out of 35 districts in the province, eight are sensitive and six are extremely sensitive. To ensure security, 43,470 personnel are being deployed in these areas, he said, adding that surveillance has been heightened along the borders with Punjab and Balochistan, and aerial surveillance will be conducted in certain regions. The K-P IG also disclosed evidence of external interference in a recent incident, where an attempt to target a political rally in Peshawar was foiled.

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