logo
Asian markets turn lower as trade war rally fades

Asian markets turn lower as trade war rally fades

Yahoo3 days ago
Asian stocks fell Friday as their latest rally ran out of legs, with sentiment weighed by strong US jobs data that saw investors row back their expectations for interest rate cuts.
With Japan's trade deal with Washington out of the way for now, attention was also turning to European Union attempts to reach an agreement to pare down Donald Trump's threatened tariffs before next Friday's deadline.
Equities have enjoyed a strong run-up for much of July on expectations governments will hammer out pacts, pushing some markets past or close to record highs.
However, while Wall Street hit new records Thursday -- S&P 500 chalked up its 10th in 19 sessions -- another round of strong jobs data suggested the Federal Reserve might have to wait longer than hoped to cut borrowing costs.
The 217,000 initial claims for unemployment benefits in the week to July 19 was the lowest since mid-April and suggested the labour market remains tight.
The figures followed forecast-topping non-farm payrolls in June and come as inflation shows signs of picking up as Trump's tariffs begin to bite.
Traders are now betting on 42 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year, according to Bloomberg News. That's down from more than 50 previously.
Meanwhile, a manufacturing survey showed US business confidence deteriorated in July for the second successive month, with companies worried about tariffs and cuts to federal spending.
Trump continued to press Fed chief Jerome Powell to slash interest rates during a visit to its headquarters on Thursday, where they bickered over its renovation cost.
The president, who wants to oust Powell over his refusal to cut, took a fresh dig during the trip, telling reporters: "As good as we're doing, we'd do better if we had lower interest rates."
Trump's anger at the Fed and his calls for officials to lower rates has raised concerns about the independence of the central bank.
"While unlikely to yield anything concrete, the optics of a president storming the temple of monetary orthodoxy is enough to put Powell watchers on edge," said SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes.
"The risk isn't immediate policy change -- it's longer-term erosion of independence, and the signal that Powell may not be sitting as comfortably as markets assume."
Trade hopes remain elevated, with Brussels and Washington appearing close to a deal that would halve Trump's threatened 30 percent levy, with a European Commission spokesman saying he believed an agreement was "within reach".
The bloc, however, is still forging ahead with contingency plans in case talks fail, with member states approving a 93-billion-euro ($109-billion) package of counter-tariffs.
With few positive catalysts to drive buying, Asian markets turned lower heading into the weekend.
Tokyo dipped after putting on around five percent in the previous two days, while Hong Kong retreated following five days of gains.
There were also losses in Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Manila and Jakarta. Seoul and Wellington edged up.
The dollar extended gains against its peers as investors pared their rate forecasts.
- Key figures at around 0230 GMT -
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.6 percent at 41,570.24 (break)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7 percent at 25,487.95
Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.2 percent at 3,597.77
Dollar/yen: UP at 147.40 yen from 146.94 yen on Thursday
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1742 from $1.1756
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3498 from $1.3507
Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.99 pence from 87.01 pence
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.6 percent at $66.43 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.6 percent at $69.61 per barrel
New York - Dow: DOWN 0.7 percent at 44,693.91 (close)
London - FTSE 100: UP 0.9 percent at 9,138.37 (close)
dan/amj
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Stocks surge, euro steady after US-EU trade agreement
Stocks surge, euro steady after US-EU trade agreement

New York Post

time13 minutes ago

  • New York Post

Stocks surge, euro steady after US-EU trade agreement

Global stocks rose and the euro appreciated on Monday after a trade agreement between the United States and the EU lifted sentiment and provided some clarity in a week of key policy meetings by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The US struck a framework trade agreement with the European Union, imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods – half the threatened rate, a week after agreeing to a similar trade deal with Japan. Countries are scrambling to finalise trade deals ahead of an August 1 deadline set by US President Donald Trump, with talks between the US and China set for Monday in Stockholm amid expectations of another 90-day extension to the truce between the world's top two economies. 3 President Donald Trump (R) shakes hands with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (L) following their meeting, in Turnberry, south west Scotland on July 27, 2025. AFP via Getty Images 'A 15% tariff on European goods, forced purchases of US energy and military equipment and zero tariff retaliation by Europe, that's not negotiation, that's the art of the deal,' said Prashant Newnaha, senior Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities. 'A big win for the US.' European futures surged more than 1%, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% and Nasdaq futures advanced 0.6%. The euro strengthened across the board, rising against the dollar, sterling and yen. 'We have to be a bit cautious from here,' said Sim Moh Siong, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, of the broader risk-on rally. 'A lot of good news is already in the price.' MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.32%, just shy of the almost four-year high it touched last week. Japan's Nikkei fell 1% after hitting a one-year high last week. While the baseline 15% tariff will still be seen by many in Europe as too high, compared with Europe's initial hopes to secure a zero-for-zero tariff deal, it is better than the threatened 30% rate. 3 Currency traders work near a screen showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and the foreign exchange rate between US dollar and South Korean won, right, at the foreign exchange dealing room of the Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, July 28, 2025. AP The US-EU deal provides clarity to companies and averts a bigger trade war between the two allies that account for almost a third of global trade. 'A major tail-risk has now been defused,' said Marc Velan, head of investments at Lucerne Asset Management in Singapore. 'Markets are interpreting this as a sign of stability and predictability returning to trade policy,' he added. 'The China delay fits the same pattern: the administration is opting for controlled diplomacy over confrontation.' 3 The US struck a framework trade agreement with the European Union, imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods – half the threatened rate, a week after agreeing to a similar trade deal with Japan. AP Gains for China's blue-chip stocks petered out towards the midday break, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index gained 0.5%. The Australian dollar , often seen as a proxy for risk appetite, was at $0.657, hovering around the near eight-month peak scaled last week. FED, BOJ AWAIT In an action-packed week, investors will watch out for the monetary policy meetings from the Fed and the BOJ as well as the monthly US employment report and earnings from megacap companies Apple, Microsoft and Amazon. While the Fed and the BOJ are expected to maintain rates, comments from the officials will be crucial for investors to gauge the interest rate path. The trade deal with Japan has opened the door for the BOJ to raise rates again this year. Meanwhile, the Fed is likely to be cautious on any rate cuts as officials seek more data to determine tariffs' impact on inflation before they ease rates further. But tensions between the White House and the central bank over monetary policy have increased, with Trump repeatedly lashing out at Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Two of the Fed Board's Trump appointees have articulated reasons for supporting a rate cut this month. In commodities, oil prices rose after the US-EU trade agreement. Brent crude futures and US West Texas Intermediate crude both rose 0.5%. Gold prices fell on Monday to their lowest in nearly two weeks on reduced appetite for safe havens.

India ramps up rare earth partnership with 5 African nations to counter China's dominance
India ramps up rare earth partnership with 5 African nations to counter China's dominance

Business Insider

time14 minutes ago

  • Business Insider

India ramps up rare earth partnership with 5 African nations to counter China's dominance

India is intensifying its engagement with Africa in a strategic bid to diversify its sources of rare earth elements (REEs) amid growing global concerns over China's dominance in the critical minerals market. India is enhancing collaborations with Africa to secure rare earth elements (REEs) and reduce its reliance on China. This move addresses global concerns over China's dominance, controlling over 90% of REE supply, and its recent export restrictions. India's partnerships include agreements with Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi, Côte D'Ivoire and other countries Reuters reports that China currently controls over 90% of the global supply, raising urgent concerns about supply chain security. Earlier this year, Beijing further restricted the export of rare-earth magnets, escalating pressure on countries dependent on the technology. In response, India has stepped up its bilateral outreach to strengthen its supply chain and reduce reliance on Chinese exports. According to India's Minister of State for Atomic Energy, Jitendra Singh, New Delhi already has cooperation agreements in place with mineral-rich countries, including key African suppliers of rare earth and critical minerals. "In the interest of developing bilateral cooperation with countries having rich mineral resources, the Ministry of Mines has entered into bilateral agreements with the governments of several countries, including Australia, Argentina, Zambia, Peru, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi, and Côte D'Ivoire, as well as international organizations such as the International Energy Agency (IEA)," Singh said in a written statement. While India's engagement also spans countries in Latin America and Asia, Africa stands out as a vital partner due to its vast untapped reserves and growing geopolitical importance. Consequently the emerging Asian giant has begun initiating government-to-government memorandums of understanding (MoUs) with countries like Brazil and the Dominican Republic. Singh added, " The broad objective of the MoUs is to provide an overarching framework for cooperation in research, development, and innovation in mining, with a particular focus on rare earth elements (REE) and critical minerals." Mineral-rich Africa emerges as rare earth battleground Africa, endowed with vast reserves of rare earth minerals vital to modern technology, has become the epicentre of a growing geopolitical contest involving China, the West, and India. These minerals, essential for powering electric vehicles, smartphones, military systems, and clean energy technologies, are now seen as strategic assets that could reshape the global balance of power. India, now the world's fifth-largest economy, is leveraging its democratic credentials and expanding global clout to position itself as a strategic partner. Its investments, particularly in sectors like electric mobility, defence, and renewable energy, rely heavily on a stable supply of rare earths. This engagement initiated by India, is part of a broader global race not only to access raw materials but to influence the future of manufacturing, trade, and technological advancement. Unlike previous extractive models, the emerging approach places greater emphasis on value addition within Africa. Many governments across the continent are pushing for processing, infrastructure development, and local job creation, aiming to convert mineral wealth into long-term economic growth.

CNBC Daily Open: This week's the Olympics for market watchers
CNBC Daily Open: This week's the Olympics for market watchers

CNBC

time14 minutes ago

  • CNBC

CNBC Daily Open: This week's the Olympics for market watchers

Choose a front-row seat and grab your popcorn. These five days will basically be the Olympics for market watchers: And looming over all those financial and macroeconomic events is U.S. President Donald Trump's August 1 deadline for his new tariffs. As Kim Forrest, founder at Bokeh Capital, said, "What isn't happening in this week?" Here's the ideal scenario for investors. The Magnificent Seven companies reporting earnings this week and the U.S. economy secure gold at their respective events. (The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged — whether this qualifies the central bank for a medal is up for debate). Big trading partners of the U.S., such as South Korea and India, secure a deal with the White House and join the European Union and Japan at the podium, while Beijing extends its tariff suspension with Washington. If those events happen, U.S. stocks will probably have legs clear hurdle after hurdle — and the S&P 500 can continue topping record announces a trade agreement with the European Union. Most European goods, including cars, exported to the U.S. will face a 15% tariff, Trump said Sunday. The bloc also agreed to purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy, he added. Samsung inks a $16.5 billion contract with Tesla. While the South Korean firm didn't disclose the counterparty in its regulatory filing, Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirmed that it will manufacture the automaker's "next-generation AI6 chip." Perfect week for the S&P 500. The broad-based index rose Friday to close at a high — its fifth record in a row last week. The Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced. Asia-Pacific shares were mixed Monday. The Fed is ready to start lowering rates, Trump said. On Friday, the U.S. president said Fed Chair Jerome Powell told him "the country is doing well," which Trump took to mean "he's going to start recommending lower rates." Futures markets disagree. [PRO] Winners of Hong Kong's crypto framework. The island's bill, which takes effect Friday, formalizes the process for financial companies to issue and manage stablecoins. Two online brokerages which offer crypto trading stand to benefit, analysts said. Trump's tariff deal offers scant relief for Japan automakers as bigger threat looms Japanese automakers may have sidestepped crushing U.S. tariffs, but the reprieve may offer little comfort. Their position in the global market is being eroded by Chinese automakers even as they face persistent structural challenges domestically. Still, analysts acknowledge that Trump's finalized tariff rate brings at least one benefit: some predictability.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store