Markets are partying like it's 1999 and 2007, but a hangover may be ahead, Deutsche says
New York Stock Exchange margin debt jumped 18.5% from April to June, the fifth-fastest increase since 1998.
Margin debt spikes resemble patterns before the dot-com crash and the Global Financial Crisis.
The stock market has been riding a wave of exuberance in recent months, brushing aside geopolitical and economic risks. But the high may be getting too intense, Deutsche Bank analysts warned in a Thursday note.
Spikes in margin debt — the money investors borrow from brokers to buy stocks — are flashing warning signs eerily reminiscent of late 1999 and mid-2007, just before the dot-com crash and the global financial crisis.
From April to June, New York Stock Exchange margin debt jumped 18.5%, marking the fifth-fastest increase since 1998. That puts it in the company of past euphoric episodes that ended in sharp market downturns.
In June, investors borrowed a record high of just over $1 trillion from stock brokerages, according to the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.
They warned that the rate of increase in margin debt — a measure of investor sentiment and risk appetite — has now started to look "too hot" by their metric, which poses a risk to credit performance.
"While there is still room for market euphoria to potentially grow, we are ultimately getting closer to that point where market euphoria is becoming too hot to handle," they added.
Though the rate of margin debt growth still lags the peaks seen during the tech bubble and the pre-financial crisis rally, the starting level is already elevated. As a share of GDP, margin debt is now higher than during the dot-com bubble, and near its all-time high reached in 2021, according to Deutsche's analysis.
That suggests there may be limited room for additional upside before the market overheats.
"The current rally we are experiencing is 'different' and 'hotter' than the many rallies we have experienced in 2023 and 2024," the Deutsche analysts wrote.
They added that unexpected developments, including lower US import tariffs on trading partners and a dovish Federal Reserve, could release more "animal spirits" into the market over the next three to six months.
However, the broader theme is that "the level and pace of margin debt growth today suggests market sentiment is starting to run too hot."
Deutsche Bank's caution comes as analysts across Wall Street try to make sense of the current bull market, which has persisted despite risks ranging from inflation and trade tensions to global political uncertainty.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit fresh record highs again on Thursday.
Jennifer Nash, an economic and market research analyst at financial data and analytics firm VettaFi, also examined the historical link between margin debt and market turning points.
In her Wednesday review of data since 1997, she observed a potential relationship between sharp rises in margin debt and subsequent peaks in equities, as well as troughs in margin debt aligning with market bottoms.
However, "there are too few peak-trough episodes in this overlay series to take the latest credit balance data as a leading indicator of a major selloff in US equities," she wrote.
Read the original article on Business Insider
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Business Wire
2 hours ago
- Business Wire
Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas Reports Second Quarter 2025 Operating Results
DALLAS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas (Bank) today reported net income of $149.0 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. In comparison, for the quarters ended March 31, 2025 and June 30, 2024, the Bank reported net income of $150.6 million and $187.3 million, respectively. For the six months ended June 30, 2025, the Bank reported net income of $299.6 million, as compared to $367.9 million for the six months ended June 30, 2024. Total assets at June 30, 2025 were $116.1 billion, compared with $109.9 billion at March 31, 2025 and $127.7 billion at December 31, 2024. Average total assets decreased from $126.2 billion and $125.9 billion for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2024, respectively, to $114.3 billion and $114.3 billion for the corresponding periods in 2025. The $6.2 billion increase in total assets during the second quarter of 2025 was primarily attributable to increases in the Bank's advances ($4.3 billion), short-term liquidity holdings ($2.3 billion) and mortgage loans held for portfolio ($0.3 billion), partially offset by a decrease in the Bank's long-term investments ($0.8 billion). The $11.6 billion decrease in total assets during the six months ended June 30, 2025 was attributable primarily to decreases in the Bank's short-term liquidity holdings ($8.7 billion) and advances ($3.6 billion), partially offset by increases in the Bank's mortgage loans held for portfolio ($0.4 billion) and long-term investments ($0.3 billion). Advances totaled $64.1 billion at June 30, 2025, compared with $59.8 billion at March 31, 2025 and $67.7 billion at December 31, 2024. The Bank's mortgage loans held for portfolio totaled $6.2 billion at June 30, 2025, as compared to $5.9 billion at March 31, 2025 and $5.8 billion at December 31, 2024. The carrying value of the Bank's long-term held-to-maturity securities portfolio, which is comprised of U.S. agency residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS), totaled $1.1 billion, $1.2 billion and $0.2 billion at June 30, 2025, March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively. The carrying value of the Bank's long-term available-for-sale securities portfolio, which is comprised substantially of U.S. agency debentures and U.S. agency commercial MBS, totaled $18.4 billion at June 30, 2025, as compared to $19.1 billion at March 31, 2025 and $19.0 billion at December 31, 2024. At June 30, 2025, March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, the Bank also held a $0.1 billion long-term U.S. Treasury Note classified as trading. The Bank's short-term liquidity holdings are typically comprised of overnight interest-bearing deposits, overnight federal funds sold, overnight reverse repurchase agreements, U.S. Treasury Bills, U.S. Treasury Notes and, from time to time, may also include cash held at the Federal Reserve. At June 30, 2025, March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, the Bank's short-term liquidity holdings totaled $25.7 billion, $23.4 billion and $34.4 billion, respectively. The Bank's retained earnings increased to $3.041 billion at June 30, 2025 from $2.941 billion at March 31, 2025 and $2.849 billion at December 31, 2024. On June 24, 2025, a dividend of $49.3 million was paid to the Bank's shareholders. Additional selected financial data as of and for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2025 (and, for comparative purposes, as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, and for the quarters ended March 31, 2025 and June 30, 2024 and the six months ended June 30, 2024) is set forth below. Further discussion and analysis regarding the Bank's results will be included in its Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2025 to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. About the Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas The Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas is one of 11 district banks in the FHLBank System, which was created by Congress in 1932. The Bank is a member-owned cooperative that supports housing and community development by providing competitively priced funding solutions, liquidity, and other credit products to approximately 800 members and associated institutions in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico and Texas. For more information, visit the Bank's website at March 31, 2025 December 31, 2024 Assets Investments (1) $ 45,342,669 $ 43,737,898 $ 53,740,886 Advances 64,103,762 59,808,271 67,743,248 Mortgage loans held for portfolio, net 6,162,061 5,883,689 5,764,053 Cash and other assets 451,925 454,722 476,861 Total assets $ 116,060,417 $ 109,884,580 $ 127,725,048 Liabilities Consolidated obligations Discount notes $ 24,944,135 $ 15,131,144 $ 21,637,276 Bonds 81,266,694 85,080,418 96,215,218 Total consolidated obligations 106,210,829 100,211,562 117,852,494 Mandatorily redeemable capital stock 1,711 7,302 181 Other liabilities 2,855,326 2,921,844 2,676,712 Total liabilities 109,067,866 103,140,708 120,529,387 Capital Capital stock — putable 3,850,447 3,637,544 4,168,043 Retained earnings 3,040,934 2,941,210 2,848,948 Total accumulated other comprehensive income 101,170 165,118 178,670 Total capital 6,992,551 6,743,872 7,195,661 Total liabilities and capital $ 116,060,417 $ 109,884,580 $ 127,725,048 Total regulatory capital (2) $ 6,893,092 $ 6,586,056 $ 7,017,172 Expand For the For the For the For the For the June 30, 2025 March 31, 2025 June 30, 2024 June 30, 2025 June 30, 2024 Selected Statement of Income Data: Net interest income (3) $ 194,080 $ 187,700 $ 229,087 $ 381,780 $ 452,585 Other income 13,817 14,703 14,616 28,520 25,081 Other expense Operating expense 28,811 28,031 28,419 56,842 55,110 Voluntary grants, donations and AHP contributions 8,785 2,134 1,778 10,919 2,846 Other 4,741 4,864 5,425 9,605 10,972 AHP assessment 16,564 16,750 20,809 33,314 40,878 Net income $ 148,996 $ 150,624 $ 187,272 $ 299,620 $ 367,860 Expand (1) Investments consist of interest-bearing deposits, securities purchased under agreements to resell, federal funds sold, trading securities, available-for-sale securities and held-to-maturity securities. (2) As of June 30, 2025, March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, total regulatory capital represented 5.94 percent, 5.99 percent and 5.49 percent, respectively, of total assets as of those dates. (3) Net interest income is net of the provision (reversal) for credit losses. Expand
Yahoo
7 hours ago
- Yahoo
Earnings live: Spotify, Novo, UnitedHealth stocks slide after results with Boeing, Starbucks on deck
Second quarter earnings season is in full swing, and the results have been largely positive so far, with more positive surprises than negative ones. Companies had a lower bar to clear coming into the quarter, as analysts tempered their expectations amid President Trump's tariffs, stocks' lofty valuations, and uncertainty about the health of the US economy. This week, investors will be treated to another flurry of quarterly results from Big Tech companies, including Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), and Amazon (AMZN). This week's reports also include updates from Spotify (SPOT), Ford (F), Procter & Gamble (PG), Boeing (BA), Starbucks (SBUX), and Qualcomm (QCOM), among others. Data from FactSet published Friday showed that with 34% of the index having reported results, analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report a 5.6% jump in earnings per share during the second quarter. Heading into the quarter, analysts expected S&P 500 earnings to rise 5% in Q2, which would mark the slowest pace of earnings growth since the fourth quarter of 2023. Here are the latest updates from corporate America. Novo stock sinks as company cuts 2025 sales growth, operating profit outlook From Reuters: Read more here. PayPal lifts 2025 profit forecast above estimates as turnaround picks up pace From Reuters: The stock was down in premarket trading. Read more here. Spotify stock sinks after Q2 earnings miss Spotify (SPOT) shares fell as much as 10% in early premarket trading Tuesday after the audio streamer missed second quarter earnings and revenue expectations. The results follow a remarkable 120% rally over the past year, as the stock rebounded from 2022 lows on the back of price hikes, cost cuts, and investor enthusiasm for AI and advertising. Spotify hit a record high of $738.45 earlier this month, but shares slid to around $635 immediately following the results. Spotify reported second quarter revenue of €4.19 billion ($4.86 billion), missing analyst expectations of €4.27 billion, though up from €3.81 billion in the same period last year. The company posted an adjusted loss of €0.42 ($0.49) per share, sharply missing forecasts for a profit of €1.97 and down from earnings of €1.33 in Q2 2024. "Outsized currency movements during the quarter impacted reported revenue by €104 million vs. guidance," the company said in the earnings release. Operating income also fell short of expectations, although subscriber metrics Spotify's massive rally heading into the earnings report was fueled by a sweeping business overhaul, including layoffs, leadership changes, and a pullback from costly podcast exclusivity. After spending $1 billion to build out its podcast business, the company has since scaled back and narrowed its focus. Still, it remains committed to the medium, paying over $100 million to creators in Q1 alone, including high-profile names like Joe Rogan and Alex Cooper. Read more here. UnitedHealth stock slips after muted earnings, higher-than-expected costs Shares of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) fell over 3% after its quarterly results before the bell painted a mixed picture. Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports: Read more here. Procter & Gamble announces new CEO ahead of quarterly results Procter & Gamble (PG) just announced a major C-suite shakeup ahead of its quarterly earnings report, scheduled for release before the bell on Tuesday morning. The consumer products giant said late Monday that Shailesh Jejurikar will succeed CEO Jon Moeller on Jan. 1, 2026. Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi reports: Read more here. Spotify set to report earnings as investor optimism meets cautious guidance Spotify (SPOT) is set to report second quarter earnings on Tuesday before the bell, and investors are weighing the music streamer's long-term monetization potential against softer near-term guidance. Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports that Spotify stock has risen 120% over the past 12 months. The company's massive stock rally has followed a sweeping business overhaul, including layoffs, leadership changes, and a pullback from costly podcast exclusivity. After spending $1 billion to build out its podcast business, the company has since scaled back and narrowed its focus. Still, it remains committed to the medium, paying over $100 million to creators in Q1 alone, including high-profile names like Joe Rogan and Alex Cooper. Here's what Wall Street expects from the upcoming results, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates: Read more here. Whirlpool stock tumbles after trimming earnings guidance Whirlpool (WHR) stock tumbled 12% after hours. The Michigan-based maker of washers and dryers reported diluted earnings of $1.17 per share on net sales of $3.7 billion. Wall Street was expecting earnings of $1.58 per share on net sales of $3.8 billion. Investors have been watching Whirlpool, which manufactures most of its appliances in the US, as a potential winner from President Trump's tariffs. However, the company hasn't seen the benefits of Trump's policies yet. In fact, retailers front-running expected tariffs appeared to weigh on the company's second quarter results. "As expected, the second quarter continued to be impacted by competitors stockpiling Asian imports into the U.S.," the company said in the earnings release. "Despite this, we are well positioned in North America with a robust pipeline of new products, the industry's leading U.S. manufacturing footprint, and favorable housing demand fundamentals. We are confident in our long-term strategy and believe that evolving tariff policies will ultimately support domestic manufacturers." Whirlpool also cut its full-year guidance to $6 to $8 a share (previously it was $10 a share) and recommended slashing its quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share from $1.75 per share. Waste Management beats on revenue, earnings Waste Management (WM) reported earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street expectations, sending the shares marginally higher in after-hours trading. Earnings per share of $1.92 were ahead of estimates for earnings of $1.90 per share, while revenue of $6.43 billion exceeded estimates of $6.35 billion, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. "Our second quarter results are a strong demonstration of our progress on all fronts," WM CEO Jim Fish said in a release. "Our Collection and Disposal business produced robust organic revenue growth and margin expansion, achieving the Company's best-ever operating expense margin." Waste Management stock rose 0.7% following the results. Tilray stock sinks after earnings Tilray stock (TLRY) reversed gains, sinking over 6% after hours after the Canadian cannabis company posted mixed quarterly results. Net revenue was $224.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to $229.9 million in the same period a year ago and $233 million estimated, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Tilray posted adjusted earnings of $0.02 per share, compared to expectations for flat profitability. For its fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, Tilray expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA of $62 million to $72 million Listen to the earnings call live here. An earnings scorecard Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer reports: Read more here. S&P 500 hits record highs amid parade of earnings with more Big Tech results on deck The S&P 500 (^GSPC) cleared its fifth straight record high on Friday after a busy week of earnings, headlined by reports from Google (GOOG) and (TSLA). With 34% of S&P 500 companies having reported results, 80% have reported a positive earnings per share surprise, and 80% reported a positive revenue surprise. Earnings season isn't slowing down just yet, however, with more major companies reporting next week. Notable companies reporting include Big Tech giants such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Apple (AAPL) and consumer-facing names like Procter & Gamble (PG) and Mastercard (MA) that can provide an updated view on consumer health. Here's a look at the earnings calendar for the next five business days: Monday: Tilray (TLRY), Waste Management (WM), Whirlpool (WHR) Tuesday: Boeing (BA), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Caesars (CZR), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Merck (MRK), PayPal (PYPL), Procter & Gamble (PG), Spotify (SPOT), Starbucks (SBUX), SoFi (SOFI), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), UPS (UPS), Visa (V) Wednesday: Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Arm (ARM), Altria (MO), Carvana (CVNA), Ford (F), Generac (GNRC), Harley Davidson (HOG), Hershey (HSY), Humana (HUM), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Qualcomm (QCOM), Robinhood (HOOD) Thursday: Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Cigna (CI), Coinbase (COIN), CVS Health (CVS), Mastercard (MA), Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), Reddit (RDDT), Roblox (RBLX), Roku (ROKU), Strategy (MSTR) Friday: Chevron (CVX), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Exxon Mobil (XOM) Intel turnaround story could realistically take years, analyst says Intel (INTC) stock fell 9% on Friday after the company reported quarterly results on Thursday that showed it was focused on cost-cutting. Intel's revenue of $12.8 billion beat analyst expectations of $11.8 billion, per Bloomberg data, and the chipmaker issued an upbeat Q3 revenue forecast of between $12.6 billion and $13.6 billion. But the company continues to face challenges as it attempts to transform into a chipmaker as well as a chip designer. As Yahoo Finance's Laura Bratton noted in our markets blog, investors focused on Intel's manufacturing roadmap instead of its headline numbers for the quarter. Intel, once a leading global chipmaker, has fallen behind its rivals in both its own products and its attempt to manufacture chips for outside customers. 'This is a multiquarter — realistically, probably multiyear — kind of complete turnaround story before all the benefits start to show up,' TECHnalysis Research president and chief analyst Bob O'Donnell told Yahoo Finance following the report. Boston Beer Company says strong profits helped brewer absorb tariff costs The Boston Beer Company (SAM) reported earnings and revenue that topped analyst expectations on Thursday, and the Samuel Adams brewer maintained its earnings outlook for the year. Profits were $5.45 per share on revenue of $625 million, versus estimates for earnings of $4.00 per share on $588 million, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. SAM stock popped 6% on Friday, as the company also said it expects to see lower tariff costs than previously expected. For the full year, Boston Beer expects tariffs to weigh on costs by about $15 million to $20 million, instead of the $20 million to $30 million it previously modeled. "Right now, I think we're very happy with the performance," Boston Beer CEO Michael Spillane said on the earnings call. "Not only that, but that's allowed us to offset some of the tariffs that we've seen so far." Charter loses more broadband users in Q2 as competition heats up Charter Communications (CHTR) stock fell 10% premarket Friday after reporting a higher-than-expected fall in broadband subscribers in the second quarter. Reuters reports: Read more here. Puma stock plunges after reporting net loss, with challenges persisting throughout 2025 Puma ( stock plunged 17% after the German sports apparel company lowered its forecast and said it now expects sales to fall by double digits this year. During the second quarter, sales fell everywhere except Latin America and the Middle East, particularly in apparel (-10.7%) and accessories (-6.4%). Footwear sales grew 5.1%, which wasn't enough to offset softness elsewhere. The company swung to a net loss of 241 million euros (roughly $282 million), compared to net income of 41.9 million euros the year before. The sportswear company also noted a hit from tariffs. "Despite ongoing mitigating measures such as supply chain optimization, pricing adjustments and partner collaboration, the U.S. Tariffs are expected to have a mitigated negative impact in 2025 of around € 80 million on gross profit," Puma said in its release. Phillips 66 profit beats estimates on higher refining margins Phillips 66 (PSX) stock rose about 1% in premarket trading after the US refiner reported an adjusted profit of $2.38 per share, beating Wall Street EPS estimates of about $1.71. During the quarter, Phillips 66 returned $906 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Reuters reports: Read more here. Health insurer Centene reports surprise quarterly loss Centene's (CNC) stock fell 12% before the bell on Friday after the health insurance company reported a quarterly loss and warned of a revenue slump from government-backed plans. Read more here. Deckers stock soars after Hoka, Ugg sales surge Hoka sneakers and Ugg brand shoes boosted Deckers (DECK) sales and profits last quarter, sending shares up more than 14% after hours. On Thursday, Deckers reported net sales grew 17% to $964.5 million, above estimates of $901.4 million, per Bloomberg data. Profits surged 24%, with diluted earnings per share coming in at $0.93. "HOKA and UGG outperformed our first quarter expectations, with robust growth delivering solid results to begin fiscal year 2026," CEO Stefano Caroti said in a press release. "Though uncertainty remains elevated in the global trade environment, our confidence in our brands has not changed, and the long-term opportunities ahead are significant. We will lean on the fundamental strengths of our powerful operating model as we continue executing our strategy." The main story for the quarter was Deckers' international business: International net sales rose 49.7%, offsetting a 2.8% decline in domestic sales. The company expects net sales for the current quarter in the range of $1.38 billion to $1.42 billion, in line with analyst estimates. Earnings are expected to be in the range of $1.50 to $1.55 per share. Read more here. Intel stock rises on Q2 revenue beat, plans to cut 15% of workforce Intel (INTC) second quarter revenue beat analyst estimates, but its earnings fell short of expectations. The chip giant also said it is slashing its workforce by 15% and expects to have approximately 75,000 employees by the end of the year. Intel's new CEO Lip-Bu Tan has already undertaken or is exploring several cost-cutting measures. According to the Oregonian, the company is shuttering its automotive business, outsourcing marketing jobs, and laying off factory workers. Yahoo Finance's Daniel Howley has more details on Intel's results: Read more here. Intel to report Q2 earnings as Wall Street looks for signs of turnaround Intel (INTC) will report its second quarter earnings on Thursday as the company's new CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, continues his attempt to turn around the ailing chip giant. Yahoo Finance's Dan Howley details what to expect when Intel reports: Read more here. Novo stock sinks as company cuts 2025 sales growth, operating profit outlook From Reuters: Read more here. From Reuters: Read more here. PayPal lifts 2025 profit forecast above estimates as turnaround picks up pace From Reuters: The stock was down in premarket trading. Read more here. From Reuters: The stock was down in premarket trading. Read more here. Spotify stock sinks after Q2 earnings miss Spotify (SPOT) shares fell as much as 10% in early premarket trading Tuesday after the audio streamer missed second quarter earnings and revenue expectations. The results follow a remarkable 120% rally over the past year, as the stock rebounded from 2022 lows on the back of price hikes, cost cuts, and investor enthusiasm for AI and advertising. Spotify hit a record high of $738.45 earlier this month, but shares slid to around $635 immediately following the results. Spotify reported second quarter revenue of €4.19 billion ($4.86 billion), missing analyst expectations of €4.27 billion, though up from €3.81 billion in the same period last year. The company posted an adjusted loss of €0.42 ($0.49) per share, sharply missing forecasts for a profit of €1.97 and down from earnings of €1.33 in Q2 2024. "Outsized currency movements during the quarter impacted reported revenue by €104 million vs. guidance," the company said in the earnings release. Operating income also fell short of expectations, although subscriber metrics Spotify's massive rally heading into the earnings report was fueled by a sweeping business overhaul, including layoffs, leadership changes, and a pullback from costly podcast exclusivity. After spending $1 billion to build out its podcast business, the company has since scaled back and narrowed its focus. Still, it remains committed to the medium, paying over $100 million to creators in Q1 alone, including high-profile names like Joe Rogan and Alex Cooper. Read more here. Spotify (SPOT) shares fell as much as 10% in early premarket trading Tuesday after the audio streamer missed second quarter earnings and revenue expectations. The results follow a remarkable 120% rally over the past year, as the stock rebounded from 2022 lows on the back of price hikes, cost cuts, and investor enthusiasm for AI and advertising. Spotify hit a record high of $738.45 earlier this month, but shares slid to around $635 immediately following the results. Spotify reported second quarter revenue of €4.19 billion ($4.86 billion), missing analyst expectations of €4.27 billion, though up from €3.81 billion in the same period last year. The company posted an adjusted loss of €0.42 ($0.49) per share, sharply missing forecasts for a profit of €1.97 and down from earnings of €1.33 in Q2 2024. "Outsized currency movements during the quarter impacted reported revenue by €104 million vs. guidance," the company said in the earnings release. Operating income also fell short of expectations, although subscriber metrics Spotify's massive rally heading into the earnings report was fueled by a sweeping business overhaul, including layoffs, leadership changes, and a pullback from costly podcast exclusivity. After spending $1 billion to build out its podcast business, the company has since scaled back and narrowed its focus. Still, it remains committed to the medium, paying over $100 million to creators in Q1 alone, including high-profile names like Joe Rogan and Alex Cooper. Read more here. UnitedHealth stock slips after muted earnings, higher-than-expected costs Shares of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) fell over 3% after its quarterly results before the bell painted a mixed picture. Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports: Read more here. Shares of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) fell over 3% after its quarterly results before the bell painted a mixed picture. Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports: Read more here. Procter & Gamble announces new CEO ahead of quarterly results Procter & Gamble (PG) just announced a major C-suite shakeup ahead of its quarterly earnings report, scheduled for release before the bell on Tuesday morning. The consumer products giant said late Monday that Shailesh Jejurikar will succeed CEO Jon Moeller on Jan. 1, 2026. Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi reports: Read more here. Procter & Gamble (PG) just announced a major C-suite shakeup ahead of its quarterly earnings report, scheduled for release before the bell on Tuesday morning. The consumer products giant said late Monday that Shailesh Jejurikar will succeed CEO Jon Moeller on Jan. 1, 2026. Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi reports: Read more here. Spotify set to report earnings as investor optimism meets cautious guidance Spotify (SPOT) is set to report second quarter earnings on Tuesday before the bell, and investors are weighing the music streamer's long-term monetization potential against softer near-term guidance. Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports that Spotify stock has risen 120% over the past 12 months. The company's massive stock rally has followed a sweeping business overhaul, including layoffs, leadership changes, and a pullback from costly podcast exclusivity. After spending $1 billion to build out its podcast business, the company has since scaled back and narrowed its focus. Still, it remains committed to the medium, paying over $100 million to creators in Q1 alone, including high-profile names like Joe Rogan and Alex Cooper. Here's what Wall Street expects from the upcoming results, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates: Read more here. Spotify (SPOT) is set to report second quarter earnings on Tuesday before the bell, and investors are weighing the music streamer's long-term monetization potential against softer near-term guidance. Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports that Spotify stock has risen 120% over the past 12 months. The company's massive stock rally has followed a sweeping business overhaul, including layoffs, leadership changes, and a pullback from costly podcast exclusivity. After spending $1 billion to build out its podcast business, the company has since scaled back and narrowed its focus. Still, it remains committed to the medium, paying over $100 million to creators in Q1 alone, including high-profile names like Joe Rogan and Alex Cooper. Here's what Wall Street expects from the upcoming results, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates: Read more here. Whirlpool stock tumbles after trimming earnings guidance Whirlpool (WHR) stock tumbled 12% after hours. The Michigan-based maker of washers and dryers reported diluted earnings of $1.17 per share on net sales of $3.7 billion. Wall Street was expecting earnings of $1.58 per share on net sales of $3.8 billion. Investors have been watching Whirlpool, which manufactures most of its appliances in the US, as a potential winner from President Trump's tariffs. However, the company hasn't seen the benefits of Trump's policies yet. In fact, retailers front-running expected tariffs appeared to weigh on the company's second quarter results. "As expected, the second quarter continued to be impacted by competitors stockpiling Asian imports into the U.S.," the company said in the earnings release. "Despite this, we are well positioned in North America with a robust pipeline of new products, the industry's leading U.S. manufacturing footprint, and favorable housing demand fundamentals. We are confident in our long-term strategy and believe that evolving tariff policies will ultimately support domestic manufacturers." Whirlpool also cut its full-year guidance to $6 to $8 a share (previously it was $10 a share) and recommended slashing its quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share from $1.75 per share. Whirlpool (WHR) stock tumbled 12% after hours. The Michigan-based maker of washers and dryers reported diluted earnings of $1.17 per share on net sales of $3.7 billion. Wall Street was expecting earnings of $1.58 per share on net sales of $3.8 billion. Investors have been watching Whirlpool, which manufactures most of its appliances in the US, as a potential winner from President Trump's tariffs. However, the company hasn't seen the benefits of Trump's policies yet. In fact, retailers front-running expected tariffs appeared to weigh on the company's second quarter results. "As expected, the second quarter continued to be impacted by competitors stockpiling Asian imports into the U.S.," the company said in the earnings release. "Despite this, we are well positioned in North America with a robust pipeline of new products, the industry's leading U.S. manufacturing footprint, and favorable housing demand fundamentals. We are confident in our long-term strategy and believe that evolving tariff policies will ultimately support domestic manufacturers." Whirlpool also cut its full-year guidance to $6 to $8 a share (previously it was $10 a share) and recommended slashing its quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share from $1.75 per share. Waste Management beats on revenue, earnings Waste Management (WM) reported earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street expectations, sending the shares marginally higher in after-hours trading. Earnings per share of $1.92 were ahead of estimates for earnings of $1.90 per share, while revenue of $6.43 billion exceeded estimates of $6.35 billion, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. "Our second quarter results are a strong demonstration of our progress on all fronts," WM CEO Jim Fish said in a release. "Our Collection and Disposal business produced robust organic revenue growth and margin expansion, achieving the Company's best-ever operating expense margin." Waste Management stock rose 0.7% following the results. Waste Management (WM) reported earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street expectations, sending the shares marginally higher in after-hours trading. Earnings per share of $1.92 were ahead of estimates for earnings of $1.90 per share, while revenue of $6.43 billion exceeded estimates of $6.35 billion, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. "Our second quarter results are a strong demonstration of our progress on all fronts," WM CEO Jim Fish said in a release. "Our Collection and Disposal business produced robust organic revenue growth and margin expansion, achieving the Company's best-ever operating expense margin." Waste Management stock rose 0.7% following the results. Tilray stock sinks after earnings Tilray stock (TLRY) reversed gains, sinking over 6% after hours after the Canadian cannabis company posted mixed quarterly results. Net revenue was $224.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to $229.9 million in the same period a year ago and $233 million estimated, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Tilray posted adjusted earnings of $0.02 per share, compared to expectations for flat profitability. For its fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, Tilray expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA of $62 million to $72 million Listen to the earnings call live here. Tilray stock (TLRY) reversed gains, sinking over 6% after hours after the Canadian cannabis company posted mixed quarterly results. Net revenue was $224.5 million in the fourth quarter compared to $229.9 million in the same period a year ago and $233 million estimated, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Tilray posted adjusted earnings of $0.02 per share, compared to expectations for flat profitability. For its fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, Tilray expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA of $62 million to $72 million Listen to the earnings call live here. An earnings scorecard Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer reports: Read more here. S&P 500 hits record highs amid parade of earnings with more Big Tech results on deck The S&P 500 (^GSPC) cleared its fifth straight record high on Friday after a busy week of earnings, headlined by reports from Google (GOOG) and (TSLA). With 34% of S&P 500 companies having reported results, 80% have reported a positive earnings per share surprise, and 80% reported a positive revenue surprise. Earnings season isn't slowing down just yet, however, with more major companies reporting next week. Notable companies reporting include Big Tech giants such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Apple (AAPL) and consumer-facing names like Procter & Gamble (PG) and Mastercard (MA) that can provide an updated view on consumer health. Here's a look at the earnings calendar for the next five business days: Monday: Tilray (TLRY), Waste Management (WM), Whirlpool (WHR) Tuesday: Boeing (BA), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Caesars (CZR), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Merck (MRK), PayPal (PYPL), Procter & Gamble (PG), Spotify (SPOT), Starbucks (SBUX), SoFi (SOFI), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), UPS (UPS), Visa (V) Wednesday: Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Arm (ARM), Altria (MO), Carvana (CVNA), Ford (F), Generac (GNRC), Harley Davidson (HOG), Hershey (HSY), Humana (HUM), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Qualcomm (QCOM), Robinhood (HOOD) Thursday: Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Cigna (CI), Coinbase (COIN), CVS Health (CVS), Mastercard (MA), Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), Reddit (RDDT), Roblox (RBLX), Roku (ROKU), Strategy (MSTR) Friday: Chevron (CVX), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Exxon Mobil (XOM) The S&P 500 (^GSPC) cleared its fifth straight record high on Friday after a busy week of earnings, headlined by reports from Google (GOOG) and (TSLA). With 34% of S&P 500 companies having reported results, 80% have reported a positive earnings per share surprise, and 80% reported a positive revenue surprise. Earnings season isn't slowing down just yet, however, with more major companies reporting next week. Notable companies reporting include Big Tech giants such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Apple (AAPL) and consumer-facing names like Procter & Gamble (PG) and Mastercard (MA) that can provide an updated view on consumer health. Here's a look at the earnings calendar for the next five business days: Monday: Tilray (TLRY), Waste Management (WM), Whirlpool (WHR) Tuesday: Boeing (BA), Booking Holdings (BKNG), Caesars (CZR), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Merck (MRK), PayPal (PYPL), Procter & Gamble (PG), Spotify (SPOT), Starbucks (SBUX), SoFi (SOFI), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), UPS (UPS), Visa (V) Wednesday: Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Arm (ARM), Altria (MO), Carvana (CVNA), Ford (F), Generac (GNRC), Harley Davidson (HOG), Hershey (HSY), Humana (HUM), The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Qualcomm (QCOM), Robinhood (HOOD) Thursday: Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), Cigna (CI), Coinbase (COIN), CVS Health (CVS), Mastercard (MA), Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), Reddit (RDDT), Roblox (RBLX), Roku (ROKU), Strategy (MSTR) Friday: Chevron (CVX), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Exxon Mobil (XOM) Intel turnaround story could realistically take years, analyst says Intel (INTC) stock fell 9% on Friday after the company reported quarterly results on Thursday that showed it was focused on cost-cutting. Intel's revenue of $12.8 billion beat analyst expectations of $11.8 billion, per Bloomberg data, and the chipmaker issued an upbeat Q3 revenue forecast of between $12.6 billion and $13.6 billion. But the company continues to face challenges as it attempts to transform into a chipmaker as well as a chip designer. As Yahoo Finance's Laura Bratton noted in our markets blog, investors focused on Intel's manufacturing roadmap instead of its headline numbers for the quarter. Intel, once a leading global chipmaker, has fallen behind its rivals in both its own products and its attempt to manufacture chips for outside customers. 'This is a multiquarter — realistically, probably multiyear — kind of complete turnaround story before all the benefits start to show up,' TECHnalysis Research president and chief analyst Bob O'Donnell told Yahoo Finance following the report. Intel (INTC) stock fell 9% on Friday after the company reported quarterly results on Thursday that showed it was focused on cost-cutting. Intel's revenue of $12.8 billion beat analyst expectations of $11.8 billion, per Bloomberg data, and the chipmaker issued an upbeat Q3 revenue forecast of between $12.6 billion and $13.6 billion. But the company continues to face challenges as it attempts to transform into a chipmaker as well as a chip designer. As Yahoo Finance's Laura Bratton noted in our markets blog, investors focused on Intel's manufacturing roadmap instead of its headline numbers for the quarter. Intel, once a leading global chipmaker, has fallen behind its rivals in both its own products and its attempt to manufacture chips for outside customers. 'This is a multiquarter — realistically, probably multiyear — kind of complete turnaround story before all the benefits start to show up,' TECHnalysis Research president and chief analyst Bob O'Donnell told Yahoo Finance following the report. Boston Beer Company says strong profits helped brewer absorb tariff costs The Boston Beer Company (SAM) reported earnings and revenue that topped analyst expectations on Thursday, and the Samuel Adams brewer maintained its earnings outlook for the year. Profits were $5.45 per share on revenue of $625 million, versus estimates for earnings of $4.00 per share on $588 million, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. SAM stock popped 6% on Friday, as the company also said it expects to see lower tariff costs than previously expected. For the full year, Boston Beer expects tariffs to weigh on costs by about $15 million to $20 million, instead of the $20 million to $30 million it previously modeled. "Right now, I think we're very happy with the performance," Boston Beer CEO Michael Spillane said on the earnings call. "Not only that, but that's allowed us to offset some of the tariffs that we've seen so far." The Boston Beer Company (SAM) reported earnings and revenue that topped analyst expectations on Thursday, and the Samuel Adams brewer maintained its earnings outlook for the year. Profits were $5.45 per share on revenue of $625 million, versus estimates for earnings of $4.00 per share on $588 million, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. SAM stock popped 6% on Friday, as the company also said it expects to see lower tariff costs than previously expected. For the full year, Boston Beer expects tariffs to weigh on costs by about $15 million to $20 million, instead of the $20 million to $30 million it previously modeled. "Right now, I think we're very happy with the performance," Boston Beer CEO Michael Spillane said on the earnings call. "Not only that, but that's allowed us to offset some of the tariffs that we've seen so far." Charter loses more broadband users in Q2 as competition heats up Charter Communications (CHTR) stock fell 10% premarket Friday after reporting a higher-than-expected fall in broadband subscribers in the second quarter. Reuters reports: Read more here. Charter Communications (CHTR) stock fell 10% premarket Friday after reporting a higher-than-expected fall in broadband subscribers in the second quarter. Reuters reports: Read more here. Puma stock plunges after reporting net loss, with challenges persisting throughout 2025 Puma ( stock plunged 17% after the German sports apparel company lowered its forecast and said it now expects sales to fall by double digits this year. During the second quarter, sales fell everywhere except Latin America and the Middle East, particularly in apparel (-10.7%) and accessories (-6.4%). Footwear sales grew 5.1%, which wasn't enough to offset softness elsewhere. The company swung to a net loss of 241 million euros (roughly $282 million), compared to net income of 41.9 million euros the year before. The sportswear company also noted a hit from tariffs. "Despite ongoing mitigating measures such as supply chain optimization, pricing adjustments and partner collaboration, the U.S. Tariffs are expected to have a mitigated negative impact in 2025 of around € 80 million on gross profit," Puma said in its release. Puma ( stock plunged 17% after the German sports apparel company lowered its forecast and said it now expects sales to fall by double digits this year. During the second quarter, sales fell everywhere except Latin America and the Middle East, particularly in apparel (-10.7%) and accessories (-6.4%). Footwear sales grew 5.1%, which wasn't enough to offset softness elsewhere. The company swung to a net loss of 241 million euros (roughly $282 million), compared to net income of 41.9 million euros the year before. The sportswear company also noted a hit from tariffs. "Despite ongoing mitigating measures such as supply chain optimization, pricing adjustments and partner collaboration, the U.S. Tariffs are expected to have a mitigated negative impact in 2025 of around € 80 million on gross profit," Puma said in its release. Phillips 66 profit beats estimates on higher refining margins Phillips 66 (PSX) stock rose about 1% in premarket trading after the US refiner reported an adjusted profit of $2.38 per share, beating Wall Street EPS estimates of about $1.71. During the quarter, Phillips 66 returned $906 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Reuters reports: Read more here. Phillips 66 (PSX) stock rose about 1% in premarket trading after the US refiner reported an adjusted profit of $2.38 per share, beating Wall Street EPS estimates of about $1.71. During the quarter, Phillips 66 returned $906 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Reuters reports: Read more here. Health insurer Centene reports surprise quarterly loss Centene's (CNC) stock fell 12% before the bell on Friday after the health insurance company reported a quarterly loss and warned of a revenue slump from government-backed plans. Read more here. Centene's (CNC) stock fell 12% before the bell on Friday after the health insurance company reported a quarterly loss and warned of a revenue slump from government-backed plans. Read more here. Deckers stock soars after Hoka, Ugg sales surge Hoka sneakers and Ugg brand shoes boosted Deckers (DECK) sales and profits last quarter, sending shares up more than 14% after hours. On Thursday, Deckers reported net sales grew 17% to $964.5 million, above estimates of $901.4 million, per Bloomberg data. Profits surged 24%, with diluted earnings per share coming in at $0.93. "HOKA and UGG outperformed our first quarter expectations, with robust growth delivering solid results to begin fiscal year 2026," CEO Stefano Caroti said in a press release. "Though uncertainty remains elevated in the global trade environment, our confidence in our brands has not changed, and the long-term opportunities ahead are significant. We will lean on the fundamental strengths of our powerful operating model as we continue executing our strategy." The main story for the quarter was Deckers' international business: International net sales rose 49.7%, offsetting a 2.8% decline in domestic sales. The company expects net sales for the current quarter in the range of $1.38 billion to $1.42 billion, in line with analyst estimates. Earnings are expected to be in the range of $1.50 to $1.55 per share. Read more here. Hoka sneakers and Ugg brand shoes boosted Deckers (DECK) sales and profits last quarter, sending shares up more than 14% after hours. On Thursday, Deckers reported net sales grew 17% to $964.5 million, above estimates of $901.4 million, per Bloomberg data. Profits surged 24%, with diluted earnings per share coming in at $0.93. "HOKA and UGG outperformed our first quarter expectations, with robust growth delivering solid results to begin fiscal year 2026," CEO Stefano Caroti said in a press release. "Though uncertainty remains elevated in the global trade environment, our confidence in our brands has not changed, and the long-term opportunities ahead are significant. We will lean on the fundamental strengths of our powerful operating model as we continue executing our strategy." The main story for the quarter was Deckers' international business: International net sales rose 49.7%, offsetting a 2.8% decline in domestic sales. The company expects net sales for the current quarter in the range of $1.38 billion to $1.42 billion, in line with analyst estimates. Earnings are expected to be in the range of $1.50 to $1.55 per share. Read more here. Intel stock rises on Q2 revenue beat, plans to cut 15% of workforce Intel (INTC) second quarter revenue beat analyst estimates, but its earnings fell short of expectations. The chip giant also said it is slashing its workforce by 15% and expects to have approximately 75,000 employees by the end of the year. Intel's new CEO Lip-Bu Tan has already undertaken or is exploring several cost-cutting measures. According to the Oregonian, the company is shuttering its automotive business, outsourcing marketing jobs, and laying off factory workers. Yahoo Finance's Daniel Howley has more details on Intel's results: Read more here. Intel (INTC) second quarter revenue beat analyst estimates, but its earnings fell short of expectations. The chip giant also said it is slashing its workforce by 15% and expects to have approximately 75,000 employees by the end of the year. Intel's new CEO Lip-Bu Tan has already undertaken or is exploring several cost-cutting measures. According to the Oregonian, the company is shuttering its automotive business, outsourcing marketing jobs, and laying off factory workers. Yahoo Finance's Daniel Howley has more details on Intel's results: Read more here. Intel to report Q2 earnings as Wall Street looks for signs of turnaround Intel (INTC) will report its second quarter earnings on Thursday as the company's new CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, continues his attempt to turn around the ailing chip giant. Yahoo Finance's Dan Howley details what to expect when Intel reports: Read more here. Intel (INTC) will report its second quarter earnings on Thursday as the company's new CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, continues his attempt to turn around the ailing chip giant. Yahoo Finance's Dan Howley details what to expect when Intel reports: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
7 hours ago
- Yahoo
SIGA to Host Business Update Call on August 5, 2025 Following Release of Second-Quarter 2025 Results
NEW YORK, July 29, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SIGA Technologies, Inc. (SIGA) (Nasdaq: SIGA), a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, today announced that management will host a webcast and conference call to provide a business update at 4:30 P.M. ET on Tuesday, August 5, 2025. Participating in the call will be Diem Nguyen, Chief Executive Officer, and Daniel Luckshire, Chief Financial Officer. A live webcast of the call will also be available on the Company's website at in the Investor Relations section of the site, or by clicking here. Please log in approximately 5-10 minutes prior to the scheduled start time. Participants may access the call by dialing 1-800-717-1738 for domestic callers or 1-646-307-1865 for international callers. A replay of the call will be available for two weeks by dialing 1-844-512-2921 for domestic callers or 1-412-317-6671 for international callers and using Conference ID: 1130215. The archived webcast will be available in the Investor Relations section of the Company's website. About SIGA SIGA is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company and leader in global health focused on the development of innovative medicines to treat and prevent infectious diseases. With a primary focus on orthopoxviruses, we are dedicated to protecting humanity against the world's most severe infectious diseases, including those that occur naturally, accidentally, or intentionally. Through partnerships with governments and public health agencies, we work to build a healthier and safer world by providing essential countermeasures against these global health threats. Our flagship product, TPOXX® (tecovirimat), is an antiviral medicine approved in the U.S. and Canada for the treatment of smallpox and authorized in Europe, the UK, and Japan for the treatment of smallpox, mpox (monkeypox), cowpox, and vaccinia complications. For more information about SIGA, visit Contacts:Suzanne Harnettsharnett@ and Investors Media Jennifer Drew-Bear, Edison GroupJdrew-bear@ Holly Stevens, CG Lifehstevens@
