Where did real wages rise and fall the most in Europe in 2024?
Annual gross wages increased in nominal terms in nearly all 32 European countries in 2024, with the exception of a very slight decline in Finland. However, this does not take inflation into account. When adjusted for consumer price inflation, real wages slightly decreased in four countries. This shows that the impact of nominal wage increases is reduced when inflation is considered.
So, which European countries saw the biggest real wage gains and cuts in 2024? The figures are based on a single worker without children earning the average wage, expressed in national currencies.
According to the OECD's Taxing Wages 2025 report and Eurostat data, among EU countries, the UK, three EFTA members, and candidate country Turkey, Turkey stands out as an outlier with an 82.9% increase in annual nominal gross wages in 2024 compared to 2023. This sharp rise is largely driven by the country's very high inflation rate of 58.3%.
Still, this was enough to give Turkey the highest real wage growth before tax, at 15.5%. On the other hand, opposition parties and the former head of TurkStat have claimed that the official inflation figures are manipulated, suggesting the actual rate may be significantly higher.
Romania followed Turkey in both nominal (20.9%) and real wage growth (14.3%). A lower inflation rate of 5.8% contributed to Romania's stronger real wage increase.
Bulgaria ranks third in real wage growth at 9.2%, driven by a 12% nominal wage increase and a relatively low inflation rate of 2.6%.
Apart from these three countries, real wage growth also exceeded 7% in five others: Malta (9%), Hungary (8.9%), Latvia (8.4%), Poland (7.8%) and Lithuania (7.2%).
Southern European countries recorded modest real wage gains. Italy saw a 2.7% increase, Greece 1.7%, Spain 1.9%, and Cyprus 2.1%. These figures are higher than those in much of Western Europe. However, they remain well below the strong growth seen in Eastern Europe.
Among Europe's five largest economies, Italy recorded the highest real wage growth at 2.7%, followed by Germany (2.2%) and Spain (1.9%). The UK saw a 1.6% increase, while France reported the lowest growth at just 0.7%.
Four countries recorded negative real wage growth. That means wages did not keep up with inflation, so purchasing power declined in these countries.
Belgium recorded the largest real wage decline at 1% in 2024. Two Nordic countries—Finland (-0.9%) and Iceland (-0.7%)—also saw negative growth. Luxembourg experienced a slight decline of 0.4% in real wages compared to 2023.
These figures indicate strong real wage growth in Eastern Europe, while Southern and Central Europe experienced more moderate increases. The Nordic and Benelux countries recorded mostly flat or negative real wage growth.
Among the 32 countries, Finland was the only one where nominal average wages declined in 2024—though only slightly, by just €14, from €52,907 to €52,893. With annual inflation at just 0.9%, the resulting real wage decline was minimal.
All these changes reflect wages before tax. Therefore, any changes in personal income tax or employee social security contributions may affect net earnings.
According to the report, in 2022 and 2023, real wages had declined in a majority of OECD countries, including Europe.
When comparing inflation rates across Europe in 2024, Turkey was a clear outlier with an exceptionally high rate of 58.3%, as shown in the table above. No other country recorded inflation above 6%. These figures reflect the 12-month average rate of change as of December 2024, with some based on OECD estimates.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
33 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Tariffs Threaten Fed With Real Inflation Headache, BIS Says
(Bloomberg) -- Resurgent US inflation could unfold as the world economy reels from Donald Trump's disruptive trade policies, the Bank for International Settlements warned. Philadelphia Transit System Votes to Cut Service by 45%, Hike Fares US Renters Face Storm of Rising Costs Squeezed by Crowds, the Roads of Central Park Are Being Reimagined Sprawl Is Still Not the Answer Mapping the Architectural History of New York's Chinatown That bleak scenario was described by General Manager Agustin Carstens, presenting an annual report that catalogued how existing global vulnerabilities have been further exposed by the American president's actions since taking office in January. 'We were meant to have a soft landing — everything was going according to plan,' the former Mexican central-bank chief told reporters. 'Then we had this very substantive period of volatility with the threat that tariffs would make more difficult convergence towards 2% in some countries.' The final report of Carstens' term in office, published Sunday, details a backdrop of economic uncertainty at 'levels typically associated with crises,' driven by higher import levies imposed by the White House, albeit limited for now during a 90-day hiatus. Growth prospects have diminished while risks have intensified with regard to the stability of consumer prices, public finances and the financial system, the BIS said. Facing such challenges, the Basel officials counsel central banks to stay focused on core missions in order to preserve and foster trust, and to enhance the effectiveness of their actions. Carstens highlighted how the Federal Reserve may encounter an especially hard time in the current environment. Chair Jerome Powell is steadfastly resisting White House pressure to cut interest rates. 'In the US, you could face a very difficult scenario for the central bank, which is when you have higher inflationary pressures or deviating inflationary expectations and a slowdown in the economy,' he said. 'That is a circumstance that central banks usually find particularly difficult.' In a speech to central bankers on Sunday, Carstens highlighted how it's not just monetary officials who have a responsibility to foster credibility in economic management. 'Trust cannot stop at monetary policy and the door of the central bank,' he said. 'It must extend to every aspect of public policy. People must trust that policymakers and elected officials will act to advance legitimate objectives and will do so effectively.' The BIS report frequently emphasized inflation risks, including how trade disruption could hit economies already squeezed by aging populations and labor shortages, and hurt the supply of goods. Officials stressed that the increased sensitivity of consumers after the pandemic may combine with still-heightened expectations on living costs to feed renewed challenges on price stability. Such analysis in light of recent spikes in crude oil that have since partially receded may give policymakers pause. 'It's a case of once bitten, twice shy,' said Hyun Song Shin, economic adviser at the BIS. 'It's very important to make sure that just a one-off price increase does not translate into a sustained inflation episode.' Other dangers relate to unprecedented national debt accumulated in some countries. Among OECD members, interest payments as a percentage of gross domestic product reached 4% last year and will keep rising, the report said. 'Risks to inflation and financial stability can more easily originate from or be propagated through stress in sovereign bond markets,' the BIS said. 'Growing concerns about fiscal sustainability could give rise to refinancing challenges and potentially dislodge inflation expectations.' Meanwhile officials warned that the threat could emanate in the other direction too, with volatile or persistent price increases driving up government bond yields. The way investors respond to global developments is another sensitivity. A separate chapter analyzed how global financial markets have become more connected, transmitting conditions faster from one economy to another. 'Macro-financial vulnerabilities have the potential to amplify economic developments, including the anticipated slowdown triggered by the shift in trade policy and heightened uncertainty,' the report said. The BIS laid out a list of policy prescriptions to promote growth and productivity, such as loosening labor markets, cutting bureaucracy, removing trade barriers and raising public investment, while also counseling fiscal repair. On supervision, officials warned against any loosening of bank regulatory requirements, and called for close monitoring of non-bank financial institutions. As for central banks, the BIS advised them to 'carefully balance' growth and inflation risks, especially given how an era when consumers took price shocks in their stride seems to have passed. 'That world has ended,' said Andrea Maechler, the BIS deputy general manager. 'Now there's a much bigger sensitivity whenever you see any price increase — the fear that it's not just a simple price increase, but that it affects the inflation dynamics.' --With assistance from Bastian Benrath-Wright and Zoe Schneeweiss. America's Top Consumer-Sentiment Economist Is Worried How to Steal a House Inside Gap's Last-Ditch, Tariff-Addled Turnaround Push Apple Test-Drives Big-Screen Movie Strategy With F1 Luxury Counterfeiters Keep Outsmarting the Makers of $10,000 Handbags ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
33 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Powell and Lagarde Count Cost of Trump's Turbulence
(Bloomberg) -- The global economy's concussion from five months of Donald Trump's presidency is likely to feature when five of the world's leading central bank chiefs discuss monetary policy in public on Tuesday. Philadelphia Transit System Votes to Cut Service by 45%, Hike Fares US Renters Face Storm of Rising Costs Squeezed by Crowds, the Roads of Central Park Are Being Reimagined Sprawl Is Still Not the Answer Mapping the Architectural History of New York's Chinatown From tariff-related trade ructions to oil-price gyrations caused by Middle East hostilities, the question of how to handle the fallout from White House decisions may loom large as Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell speaks on a panel with peers from the euro zone, Japan, South Korea and the UK. The high-powered gathering at the European Central Bank's annual retreat in Portugal will be the first time that its president, Christine Lagarde, has shared a stage for a public discussion with her US counterpart since the same event in 2024. Back then, when they spoke alongside former Brazilian central bank chief Roberto Campos Neto, their discourse morphed into something resembling a group therapy session on the trials of setting interest rates at times of political stress — a premonition, in its own way, of the turbulence to come. One year on, and at the halfway point of 2025, global policy is almost paralyzed by the need to navigate risks posed both to inflation and growth in the wake of Trump's actions — a challenge highlighted by the Bank for International Settlements in a report on Sunday. Such a trade-off is faced by all the central bank chiefs who will speak on the panel in the hilltop resort of Sintra. Powell insisted on Tuesday that the Fed is in no rush to change rates, and earlier this month the Bank of England left borrowing costs on hold too. What Bloomberg Economics Says: 'Quickening core inflation and slowing spending will keep the Fed uneasy, fueling debate about the appropriate number of rate cuts this year.' —Stuart Paul, US & Canada economist. For full analysis, click here The ECB itself, having just delivered a reduction, isn't ready to do any more for now, and the Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep its benchmark unaltered at its July 31 meeting. The Bank of Korea is insisting on acting cautiously too. In a podcast before this week's retreat, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane emphasized the panel as the highlight of the whole gathering, whose theme of 'Adapting to Change' seems something of an understatement. 'You do need to step back — rather than just talk about 'what are we going to do in July or September?' — to look at the underlying forces,' he said, before predicting that the central bank chiefs will deliver 'a very lively session.' Elsewhere, US jobs, Chinese business surveys and euro-zone inflation numbers will be among the highlights. Click here for what happened last week, and below is our wrap of what's coming up in the global economy. US and Canada Following fresh figures on Friday that showed American consumers are becoming somewhat fatigued, the US jobs report for June will offer clues about the strength of the labor market. Economists forecast employers added 113,000 jobs during the month, the fewest in four months yet still consistent with healthy labor demand. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report is due Thursday, a day earlier than usual because of the Independence Day holiday. It's also forecast to show the unemployment rate crept up to 4.3%. For a Federal Reserve awaiting more clarity on the potential inflationary impact from tariffs, any pronounced deterioration in the labor market would likely lead to more pressure on officials to lower interest rates. For more, read Bloomberg Economics' full Week Ahead for the US So far, there have been only scattered signs of cracks in the job market, including the highest number of recurring claims for jobless benefits since late 2021. A Labor Department report on Tuesday is expected to show little change in May job openings from a month earlier. Canadian goods trade data for May will probably show a continued sharp decline in US exports, with shipments to other countries rising but not offsetting the loss of access to the American market. The first payments of Canada's digital services tax are due Monday, hitting major US tech firms with a 3% levy on their revenue from Canadian users above C$20 million. Trump cited the tax as the reason for the US ending trade talks with Canada on Friday. Asia The week in Asia features a slew of PMI reports that will shed light on how regional economies are coping with elevated US tariffs. China gets a pair of PMI releases, with the official gauge Monday expected to show that manufacturing activity remained contractionary for a third straight month in June as persistent deflation on top of trade tensions weighed on activity. The next day sees the release of PMI figures for South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Taiwan and China's Caixin gauge. The BOJ's Tankan survey, also on Tuesday, is forecast to show that large companies plan to boost capital investment by 10% this fiscal year. Business sentiment among large manufacturers is expected to stay relatively upbeat, albeit at a lower level, while the gauge for non-manufacturers is seen staying close to the 34-year high set in the previous period. May trade reports are due during the week from Australia, Indonesia, Thailand and Sri Lanka, while South Korea reports those figures for June. South Korea also publishes consumer price statistics for June that may keep the Bank of Korea on track for another rate cut. Indonesia June CPI is also due. Industrial output figures from South Korea, India and Japan, and Japanese household spending data will bookend the week. For more, read Bloomberg Economics' full Week Ahead for Asia Europe, Middle East, Africa Inflation numbers will draw attention in the euro zone. Data on Monday may show consumer-price growth picked up in Germany and Italy, though not enough to worry the ECB. For the region as a whole, economists anticipate an outcome of 2% the following day, exactly at the goal targeted by policymakers. Other than price reports, clues on how the region's manufacturing sector is faring amid Trump's tariff squeeze will also emerge. German factory orders, along with French and Spanish industrial production, will be published on Friday. Aside from its Sintra seminars, the ECB itself will offer plenty of other news. The results of its strategy review are due on Monday, followed by the institution's own measure of inflation expectations the next day. On Thursday, an account of its June policy meeting will be released, revealing more on the decision to cut rates. Beyond Sintra, ECB officials will be out in force at another economic gathering later in the week in Aix-en-Provence, in southern France. On Monday, the Swiss National Bank will reveal how much foreign-exchange intervention it carried out during the first quarter. Switzerland's latest inflation numbers are scheduled for Thursday and may also draw interest from traders focused on the franc. Economists anticipate that consumer prices fell from a year earlier for a second month in June. In the UK, a full breakdown of gross domestic product for the first quarter will be published on Monday. Appearances by BOE Governor Andrew Bailey in Sintra and Aix-en-Provence will also be highlights. Away from Europe, South Africa's Bureau for Economic Research will release its second-quarter inflation expectations survey on Wednesday. The report will be closely monitored by the central bank, which uses the two-year-ahead measure to inform its decisions. The bank aims to anchor expectations at the 4.5% midpoint of its target range, but is currently in discussions with the National Treasury to revise it lower. In Turkey on Thursday, annual inflation is forecast to slow slightly to 35.2% in June from 35.4% the prior month. That may persuade the central bank to lower its main policy rate by at least 300 basis points to 43%. For more, read Bloomberg Economics' full Week Ahead for EMEA It's a quieter week than usual for monetary decisions, but some are still on the diary: In Ethiopia, policymakers will likely leave their rate unchanged at 15% on Monday as inflationary pressures begin to build because of subsidy reforms. On Wednesday, the Polish central bank is likely to borrowing costs on hold, followed by Governor Adam Glapinski speaking at a news conference the next day. Latin America Argentina will publish activity data for April on Monday, with the result in focus after first-quarter growth data showed that the economy expanded significantly slower than expected early in 2025. Chile will follow with economic activity data for May on Tuesday, a reading that will follow weekend primary elections for center-left candidates hoping to succeed President Gabriel Boric in a race for the country's top job later this year. The data also comes after Chile's central bank kept its rate unchanged in mid-June, with policymakers saying that while domestic activity has exceeded expectations, they remain vigilant about an unpredictable global economy. The monetary authority will publish the minutes to that decision on Thursday, with analysts looking for clearer signals about when policymakers may start cutting rates after signaling that more monetary easing is coming. Later that day, Colombia's central bank will publish minutes to its decision to hold rates steady on Friday. The Andean nation has been roiled in recent weeks by the government's decision to suspend its fiscal rule, a move that along with a worsening debt burden led both S&P Global Ratings and Moody's Ratings to downgrade the nation's credit last week. For more, read Bloomberg Economics' full Week Ahead for Latin America --With assistance from Andrew Langley, Vince Golle, Mark Evans, Laura Dhillon Kane, Travis Waldron, Monique Vanek, Brian Fowler, Beril Akman and Mark Schroers. (Updates with BIS report in fifth paragraph) America's Top Consumer-Sentiment Economist Is Worried How to Steal a House Inside Gap's Last-Ditch, Tariff-Addled Turnaround Push Apple Test-Drives Big-Screen Movie Strategy With F1 Luxury Counterfeiters Keep Outsmarting the Makers of $10,000 Handbags ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
Yahoo
36 minutes ago
- Yahoo
President Trump's Government Cutbacks Could Be a Serious Problem for Next Year's Social Security COLA
Retirees are heavily reliant on the annual COLA to keep up with the rising costs of goods and services. The COLA is calculated on a measure of inflation from survey data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Trump administration's cutbacks are making the Bureau of Labor Statistics' job much harder, which could be bad for seniors. The $23,760 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook › One of the most important features of Social Secuirty is the annual cost-of-living adjustment. The program is designed to ensure the pension paid out to tens of millions of seniors each month keeps up with the rising costs of goods and services. Even with the annual bump in benefits, seniors are still finding it hard to keep up with higher prices at the doctor's office or the grocery store. The purchasing power of seniors' benefits has declined by 20% since 2010, according to a study from The Senior Citizens League. That's largely due to a discrepancy between how the government measures inflation and how seniors experience inflation in real life. And the challenge may have just gotten worse due to cutbacks at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the department in charge of collecting Consumer Price Index (CPI) survey data, from the Trump administration. That could result in a 2026 COLA that doesn't accurately reflect the true increase in the cost of living for seniors, further weakening the purchasing power of that monthly Social Security deposit. Before we dive into the challenges facing the BLS, it's important to understand how the government calculates the Social Security COLA. The COLA is based on a measure of inflation known as the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W. The BLS collects prices for a theoretical basket of over 200 goods and services from thousands of locations around the country every month. The CPI-W is then calculated based on the changes in those prices each weighted according to their weight in the basket of goods. For example, if the price of food or housing increased by 1% over the last month's survey data, it would have a substantial impact on the ultimate CPI-W number. On the other hand, if the price of clothing increased by 1%, it would have a much smaller impact, since it represents a smaller portion of the average person's budget. The government calculates the COLA by taking the average year-over-year increase in the CPI-W during the third quarter of the year. That number becomes the COLA for the next year. That means the accuracy of the data is particularly important because that's a relatively short window to determine how prices are impacting seniors' budgets and how much more they'll need to get by over the next year. Unfortunately for seniors relying on the COLA, this year's third-quarter CPI numbers might not be as accurate as they could be. That's because cutbacks in the BLS have led the bureau to reduce the number of survey points for the Consumer Price Index. In an internal report shared with The Wall Street Journal, government officials said: "The CPI temporarily reduced the number of outlets and quotes it attempted to collect due to a staffing shortage in certain CPI cities. These procedures will be kept in place until the hiring freeze is lifted, and additional staff can be hired and trained." In the meantime, it's relying on less effective estimation methods to figure out how much prices increased in any given month. Nearly 30% of all the data points in the CPI came from estimates. Prior to April, that number was consistently 10% or less. Over the long run, the team at the BLS will probably do a pretty good job of estimating the changes in prices for the CPI. However, as mentioned, the COLA is based on a relatively small window. And it's very likely there will be some inaccuracies in the data used to compile the CPI. If the BLS underestimates inflation, it means next year's COLA will come in below where it should. As a result, seniors could experience a further deterioration in the purchasing power of their Social Security checks. Both The Senior Citizens League and independent analyst Mary Johnson currently estimate the 2026 COLA will come in at 2.5%. That's right in line with last year's COLA as well as its historical average. But several factors could cause that number to climb higher over the next few months. Not only is the BLS struggling to collect accurate data (which could swing the COLA either higher or lower), but the Trump administration has imposed tariffs on most imports. The tariffs are paid by businesses importing goods, which typically leads to higher prices for consumers. Those tariffs could lead to a higher COLA next year, but that's not necessarily good for seniors. The COLA calculation is most effective when there's slow and steady inflation. Sudden spikes in inflation -- like those caused by tariffs or even by inaccurate data -- can lead to diversions between the calculated COLA and the actual price changes experienced by seniors. As a result, 2026 could be a challenging year for those heavily reliant on Social Security. If you're like most Americans, you're a few years (or more) behind on your retirement savings. But a handful of little-known could help ensure a boost in your retirement income. One easy trick could pay you as much as $23,760 more... each year! Once you learn how to maximize your Social Security benefits, we think you could retire confidently with the peace of mind we're all after. Join Stock Advisor to learn more about these Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. President Trump's Government Cutbacks Could Be a Serious Problem for Next Year's Social Security COLA was originally published by The Motley Fool