Texas flooding live updates: At least 82 killed, including 27 girls and counselors from Camp Mystic
Across the state, rescuers continue their efforts to search for the dozens still missing, including 10 campers and one counselor at an all-girls camp located along the Guadalupe River, near San Antonio, which rose more than 20 feet in less than two hours. Camp Mystic confirmed that 27 campers and counselors died during the weekend floods.
Parts of central Texas are bracing for another day of localized flash flooding threats caused by slow-moving thunderstorms in the flood-ravaged area, according to weather officials. The storms could produce another 2 to 4 inches of rain, with an isolated total of up to 10 inches, according to the National Weather Service's Austin-San Antonio office. Nearly 5 million people, including those in the disaster areas, are under a flood watch that has been extended until 7 p.m. local time.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., is demanding an investigation into whether key vacancies at National Weather Service offices "contributed to the catastrophic loss of life" in this weekend's flooding in Texas.
In a letter to the Commerce Department on Monday, Schumer urged the agency's inspector general to immediately 'open an investigation into the scope, breadth, and ramifications of whether staffing shortages at key local National Weather Service (NWS) stations contributed to the catastrophic loss of life and property during the deadly flooding.'
Schumer said that 'vital forecasting, meteorology and coordination roles" were vacant at NWS offices in San Antonio and San Angelo.
'These are the experts responsible for modeling storm impacts, monitoring rising water levels, issuing flood warnings, and coordinating directly with local emergency managers about when to warn the public and issue evacuation orders,' Schumer wrote. 'To put it plainly: they help save lives.'
Scott Ruskin, a rescue swimmer for the U.S. Coast Guard, is being hailed as a hero for saving 165 people at Camp Mystic amid the deadly flash flooding on July 4. It was Ruskin's "first experience" saving lives at this magnitude, having completed his training six months prior, he told Good Morning America on Monday.
"They don't really know what my experience is or my rank or my age," he said. "They just know, 'Hey this guy is a professional, and he's here to help us.' And I kind of had to live up to that standard."
Ruskin said he has a different perspective on who the "real heroes" were in this emergency situation: "The real heroes, I think, were the kids on the ground," he told GMA. "Those guys are heroic, and they were dealing with some of the worst times of their lives, and they were staying strong. That helped inspire me to get in there and help them out."
Pope Leo expressed his condolences to the victims affected by the flash floods in Texas, writing in a post on X on Sunday: "I would like to express sincere condolences to all the families who have lost loved ones, in particular their daughters, who were at the summer camp, in the disaster caused by flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas in the United States. We pray for them."
I would like to express sincere condolences to all the families who have lost loved ones, in particular their daughters, who were at the summer camp, in the disaster caused by flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas in the United States. We pray for them.
— Pope Leo XIV (@Pontifex) July 6, 2025
At a morning press conference, Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha said that as of 8:30 a.m., 75 bodies had been recovered, including 48 adults and 27 children.
Of those that were recovered, 24 are pending identification, Leitha said.
He added that 10 campers and one counselor from Camp Mystic remain unaccounted for.
Earlier Monday, the camp confirmed that 27 campers and counselors were killed in the deadly floods.
"Reuniting the families remains our top priority," the sheriff said.
In a live report from Camp Mystic on Sunday, CNN's Pamela Brown revealed that she attended the all-girls summer camp in Hunt, Texas, as a child.
'It's surreal coming back here 30 years later,' Brown said. 'I was a 10-year-old little camper here, full of so much hope and joy. It's a magical place, and I remember the excitement and anticipation of coming to Camp Mystic.'
Brown said she was "overwhelmed' with emotion and memories of the camp, which confirmed Monday that 27 people, including campers and counselors, died in the July 4 floods.
"I can't get over looking at those cabins right next to the Guadalupe River. That river was the source of so much joy and fun for us. ... That is what we loved,' Brown said. 'To think that that same river is the source of this devastation, it's just hard to wrap my head around. And it's such a magical place that now, all these girls, these sweet young campers who had to evacuate, and their families, so much innocence has now been lost. And I just can't help but think about them and pray for them and just hope that more are found alive.'
—@PamelaBrownCNN was a camper at Camp Mystic thirty years ago. She is back there today anchoring for CNN."That river was the source of so much joy and fun for us... To think that that same river is the source of this devastation, it's just hard to wrap my head around." pic.twitter.com/cPvEpi4xBL
— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) July 6, 2025
Texas-born celebrities Matthew McConaughey, Jennifer Garner and Hilary Duff posted messages of support on Instagram for the victims of the deadly flash floods.
"Heartbroken doesn't begin to cover it. Consumed. Obsessed. Praying for even a shred of a miracle — to find a child alive in the wake of this boundless disaster," Duff, a Houston native, wrote in a statement on Instagram. "Tears fall every time I imagine one of these families receiving bad news... waiting... or entire families lost. Just gone. It's too much to comprehend."
View this post on Instagram
A post shared by Hilary Duff (@hilaryduff)
"I was — and forever will be — that girl with a wild hearted, fierce love for my barefoot summers at camp in the Texas Hill country," she continued. "It imprints on your soul. It changes your identity. It's a realm of true magic. You could never imagine an ending this tragic."
McConaughey, who was born in Uvalde, Texas, also shared a statement posted on Instagram.
"At least 70 lives have been lost, many more are unaccounted for, and countless Texans are hurting — inside and out," McConaughey's statement read. "If you're able, please lend a helping hand where and how you can. It's gonna be a long road ahead, but right now the shock, the pain, and the chaos need the steady hand of a neighbor."
View this post on Instagram
A post shared by Matthew McConaughey (@officiallymcconaughey)
Garner, who was born in Houston, posted a four-word message to an Instagram story: "Texas. God, be near."
Speaking to reporters Sunday, President Trump said he would "probably" visit flood-ravaged Texas on Friday.
'I would have done it today, but we'd just be in their way,' Trump said before boarding Air Force One after spending the weekend at his golf club in Bedminster, N.J. 'It's a horrible thing that took place, absolutely horrible.'
Earlier in the day, Trump signed an emergency disaster declaration for Kerr County, Texas, authorizing the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to assist relief efforts.
But the president declined to discuss whether he still wants to phase out FEMA, saying it was "something we can talk about later, but right now they're busy working."
Trump also rejected the idea that cuts to the National Weather Service made as part of his widespread government spending reductions played a role in the tragedy.
'This was a thing that happened in seconds," he said. "Nobody expected it. Nobody saw it. Very talented people there, and they didn't see it.'
A Texas high school is remembering one of its graduates, who was a counselor at Camp Mystic and died in the catastrophic flooding over the weekend.
ABC News reports:
Chloe Childress, a counselor at Camp Mystic, was killed during the devastating flooding in Hunt, Texas, over the holiday weekend, according to a representative of her high school.She graduated from The Kinkaid School earlier this year and was set to attend the University of Texas at Austin in the fall.Jonathan Eades, the head of The Kinkaid School, remembered Childress as someone who had a "remarkable way of making people feel seen" and "steady compassion that settled a room.""Whether it was sharing her own challenges to ease someone's burden or quietly cheering a teammate or classmate through a tough day, Chloe made space for others to feel safe, valued, and brave. She understood what it meant to be part of a community, and more than that, she helped build one," Eades wrote in a letter to the school community.
Read more from ABC News: Texas high school says Camp Mystic counselor was among those killed in flooding
In the aftermath of the deadly flash floods in Texas, questions are mounting over whether more could have been done to warn people in the path of the floodwaters.
As the Texas Tribune reports, state and local officials are pointing to weather forecasts that did not accurately predict the intensity of the rainfall, while some forecasters have suggested that local officials and camp leadership should have heeded the warnings that were issued:
Nim Kidd, chief of the Texas Division of Emergency Management, on Friday pointed to NWS forecasts from earlier in the week that projected up to 6 inches of rain.
'It did not predict the amount of rain that we saw,' Kidd said.Kerr County Judge Rob Kelly echoed Kidd. When he was asked why camps along the Guadalupe were not evacuated, Kelly told reporters the county had 'no reason to believe that this was going to be anything like what's happened here.'However, warnings were issued about the potential for flash flooding hours before the waters reached their peak. Rain began to fall around midnight, and the first flash flood warning was issued by the NWS at 1:14 a.m. Friday, [the National Weather Service's Bob] Fogarty said. That warning should have triggered a response by local emergency management and local media to spread the word to those in harm's way, as well as the Emergency Alert System that broadcasts warnings to televisions and radios.
Read more here from the Texas Tribune: In Texas region prone to catastrophic floods, questions grow about lack of warning
Emma Foltz, a counselor at Camp Mystic, helped evacuate 14 of her campers to safety, Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry said on social media. Landry says Foltz of Alexandria, La., has been a counselor at the Texas camp for three years.
Emma Foltz, of Alexandria, Louisiana and rising senior at Louisiana Tech has been a camp counselor at Camp Mystic in Texas for three years. She played an instrumental role in helping evacuate 14 of her campers to safety. Please join me in thanking Emma for all her hard work and… pic.twitter.com/2Fz1kWwzkc
— Governor Jeff Landry (@LAGovJeffLandry) July 6, 2025
Images taken in the aftermath of the deadly flooding at Camp Mystic show muddy, waterlogged debris, including bunk beds, suitcases and stuffed animals, inside cabins at the all-girls Christian summer camp, where at least 27 campers and counselors died.
A time-lapse video from Friday shows flood waters rushing in within a span of 30 minutes along the Llano River in Kingsland, Texas, which is located about 95 miles northeast of Camp Mystic. The following video was obtained by CNN.
Slow-moving thunderstorms could cause more flash flooding over central Texas today, forecasters say, hampering search and rescue efforts.
According to the National Weather Service's Austin-San Antonio office, 2 to 4 inches of additional rainfall with "isolated amounts up to 10 inches" could fall in Hill Country. Flood watches remain in effect until 7 p.m. local time.
"Any additional heavy rainfall over hardest hit areas of the past few days will lead to rapid runoff and flash flooding," the weather service said. 'Stay alert for Flash Flood Warnings!"
There remains a threat of flash flooding overnight and through the day on Monday somewhere over the Flood Watch area. Difficult to pinpoint exact locations where isolated heavier amounts occur. Any additional heavy rainfall will lead to rapid runoff and flash flooding. pic.twitter.com/9AHwr7Vkg5
— NWS Austin/San Antonio (@NWSSanAntonio) July 7, 2025
Camp Mystic, an all-girls Christian summer camp located along the Guadalupe River, which rose over 20 feet in less than two hours, has been left reeling from the devastating floods over the weekend. The camp confirmed the loss of campers and counselors in a post on its website on Monday:
Camp Mystic is grieving the loss of 27 campers and counselors following the catastrophic flooding on the Guadalupe river.Our hearts are broken alongside our families that are enduring this unimaginable tragedy. We are praying for them constantly.We have been in communication with local and state authorities who are tirelessly deploying extensive resources to search for our missing girls.We are deeply grateful for the outpouring of support from community, first responders, and officials at every level.We ask for your continued prayers, respect and privacy for each of our families affected. May the Lord continue to wrap His presence around all of us.
The death toll from the flash floods in Texas continues to rise, officials say.
More than 80 people — including 28 children — have been killed in the floods that struck early on July 4.
Dozens remain missing, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said, as search and rescue efforts continue.
Camp Mystic, an all-girls summer camp, confirmed that 27 campers and counselors died in the floods.
President Trump signed a major disaster declaration for Kerr County, where at least 68 people died.
Weather forecasters said that additional rounds of heavy rains could trigger more flooding in central Texas, where flash flood warnings remain in place.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., is demanding an investigation into whether key vacancies at National Weather Service offices "contributed to the catastrophic loss of life" in this weekend's flooding in Texas.
In a letter to the Commerce Department on Monday, Schumer urged the agency's inspector general to immediately 'open an investigation into the scope, breadth, and ramifications of whether staffing shortages at key local National Weather Service (NWS) stations contributed to the catastrophic loss of life and property during the deadly flooding.'
Schumer said that 'vital forecasting, meteorology and coordination roles" were vacant at NWS offices in San Antonio and San Angelo.
'These are the experts responsible for modeling storm impacts, monitoring rising water levels, issuing flood warnings, and coordinating directly with local emergency managers about when to warn the public and issue evacuation orders,' Schumer wrote. 'To put it plainly: they help save lives.'
Scott Ruskin, a rescue swimmer for the U.S. Coast Guard, is being hailed as a hero for saving 165 people at Camp Mystic amid the deadly flash flooding on July 4. It was Ruskin's "first experience" saving lives at this magnitude, having completed his training six months prior, he told Good Morning America on Monday.
"They don't really know what my experience is or my rank or my age," he said. "They just know, 'Hey this guy is a professional, and he's here to help us.' And I kind of had to live up to that standard."
Ruskin said he has a different perspective on who the "real heroes" were in this emergency situation: "The real heroes, I think, were the kids on the ground," he told GMA. "Those guys are heroic, and they were dealing with some of the worst times of their lives, and they were staying strong. That helped inspire me to get in there and help them out."
Pope Leo expressed his condolences to the victims affected by the flash floods in Texas, writing in a post on X on Sunday: "I would like to express sincere condolences to all the families who have lost loved ones, in particular their daughters, who were at the summer camp, in the disaster caused by flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas in the United States. We pray for them."
I would like to express sincere condolences to all the families who have lost loved ones, in particular their daughters, who were at the summer camp, in the disaster caused by flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas in the United States. We pray for them.
— Pope Leo XIV (@Pontifex) July 6, 2025
At a morning press conference, Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha said that as of 8:30 a.m., 75 bodies had been recovered, including 48 adults and 27 children.
Of those that were recovered, 24 are pending identification, Leitha said.
He added that 10 campers and one counselor from Camp Mystic remain unaccounted for.
Earlier Monday, the camp confirmed that 27 campers and counselors were killed in the deadly floods.
"Reuniting the families remains our top priority," the sheriff said.
In a live report from Camp Mystic on Sunday, CNN's Pamela Brown revealed that she attended the all-girls summer camp in Hunt, Texas, as a child.
'It's surreal coming back here 30 years later,' Brown said. 'I was a 10-year-old little camper here, full of so much hope and joy. It's a magical place, and I remember the excitement and anticipation of coming to Camp Mystic.'
Brown said she was "overwhelmed' with emotion and memories of the camp, which confirmed Monday that 27 people, including campers and counselors, died in the July 4 floods.
"I can't get over looking at those cabins right next to the Guadalupe River. That river was the source of so much joy and fun for us. ... That is what we loved,' Brown said. 'To think that that same river is the source of this devastation, it's just hard to wrap my head around. And it's such a magical place that now, all these girls, these sweet young campers who had to evacuate, and their families, so much innocence has now been lost. And I just can't help but think about them and pray for them and just hope that more are found alive.'
—@PamelaBrownCNN was a camper at Camp Mystic thirty years ago. She is back there today anchoring for CNN."That river was the source of so much joy and fun for us... To think that that same river is the source of this devastation, it's just hard to wrap my head around." pic.twitter.com/cPvEpi4xBL
— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) July 6, 2025
Texas-born celebrities Matthew McConaughey, Jennifer Garner and Hilary Duff posted messages of support on Instagram for the victims of the deadly flash floods.
"Heartbroken doesn't begin to cover it. Consumed. Obsessed. Praying for even a shred of a miracle — to find a child alive in the wake of this boundless disaster," Duff, a Houston native, wrote in a statement on Instagram. "Tears fall every time I imagine one of these families receiving bad news... waiting... or entire families lost. Just gone. It's too much to comprehend."
View this post on Instagram
A post shared by Hilary Duff (@hilaryduff)
"I was — and forever will be — that girl with a wild hearted, fierce love for my barefoot summers at camp in the Texas Hill country," she continued. "It imprints on your soul. It changes your identity. It's a realm of true magic. You could never imagine an ending this tragic."
McConaughey, who was born in Uvalde, Texas, also shared a statement posted on Instagram.
"At least 70 lives have been lost, many more are unaccounted for, and countless Texans are hurting — inside and out," McConaughey's statement read. "If you're able, please lend a helping hand where and how you can. It's gonna be a long road ahead, but right now the shock, the pain, and the chaos need the steady hand of a neighbor."
View this post on Instagram
A post shared by Matthew McConaughey (@officiallymcconaughey)
Garner, who was born in Houston, posted a four-word message to an Instagram story: "Texas. God, be near."
Speaking to reporters Sunday, President Trump said he would "probably" visit flood-ravaged Texas on Friday.
'I would have done it today, but we'd just be in their way,' Trump said before boarding Air Force One after spending the weekend at his golf club in Bedminster, N.J. 'It's a horrible thing that took place, absolutely horrible.'
Earlier in the day, Trump signed an emergency disaster declaration for Kerr County, Texas, authorizing the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to assist relief efforts.
But the president declined to discuss whether he still wants to phase out FEMA, saying it was "something we can talk about later, but right now they're busy working."
Trump also rejected the idea that cuts to the National Weather Service made as part of his widespread government spending reductions played a role in the tragedy.
'This was a thing that happened in seconds," he said. "Nobody expected it. Nobody saw it. Very talented people there, and they didn't see it.'
A Texas high school is remembering one of its graduates, who was a counselor at Camp Mystic and died in the catastrophic flooding over the weekend.
ABC News reports:
Chloe Childress, a counselor at Camp Mystic, was killed during the devastating flooding in Hunt, Texas, over the holiday weekend, according to a representative of her high school.She graduated from The Kinkaid School earlier this year and was set to attend the University of Texas at Austin in the fall.Jonathan Eades, the head of The Kinkaid School, remembered Childress as someone who had a "remarkable way of making people feel seen" and "steady compassion that settled a room.""Whether it was sharing her own challenges to ease someone's burden or quietly cheering a teammate or classmate through a tough day, Chloe made space for others to feel safe, valued, and brave. She understood what it meant to be part of a community, and more than that, she helped build one," Eades wrote in a letter to the school community.
Read more from ABC News: Texas high school says Camp Mystic counselor was among those killed in flooding
In the aftermath of the deadly flash floods in Texas, questions are mounting over whether more could have been done to warn people in the path of the floodwaters.
As the Texas Tribune reports, state and local officials are pointing to weather forecasts that did not accurately predict the intensity of the rainfall, while some forecasters have suggested that local officials and camp leadership should have heeded the warnings that were issued:
Nim Kidd, chief of the Texas Division of Emergency Management, on Friday pointed to NWS forecasts from earlier in the week that projected up to 6 inches of rain.
'It did not predict the amount of rain that we saw,' Kidd said.Kerr County Judge Rob Kelly echoed Kidd. When he was asked why camps along the Guadalupe were not evacuated, Kelly told reporters the county had 'no reason to believe that this was going to be anything like what's happened here.'However, warnings were issued about the potential for flash flooding hours before the waters reached their peak. Rain began to fall around midnight, and the first flash flood warning was issued by the NWS at 1:14 a.m. Friday, [the National Weather Service's Bob] Fogarty said. That warning should have triggered a response by local emergency management and local media to spread the word to those in harm's way, as well as the Emergency Alert System that broadcasts warnings to televisions and radios.
Read more here from the Texas Tribune: In Texas region prone to catastrophic floods, questions grow about lack of warning
Emma Foltz, a counselor at Camp Mystic, helped evacuate 14 of her campers to safety, Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry said on social media. Landry says Foltz of Alexandria, La., has been a counselor at the Texas camp for three years.
Emma Foltz, of Alexandria, Louisiana and rising senior at Louisiana Tech has been a camp counselor at Camp Mystic in Texas for three years. She played an instrumental role in helping evacuate 14 of her campers to safety. Please join me in thanking Emma for all her hard work and… pic.twitter.com/2Fz1kWwzkc
— Governor Jeff Landry (@LAGovJeffLandry) July 6, 2025
Images taken in the aftermath of the deadly flooding at Camp Mystic show muddy, waterlogged debris, including bunk beds, suitcases and stuffed animals, inside cabins at the all-girls Christian summer camp, where at least 27 campers and counselors died.
A time-lapse video from Friday shows flood waters rushing in within a span of 30 minutes along the Llano River in Kingsland, Texas, which is located about 95 miles northeast of Camp Mystic. The following video was obtained by CNN.
Slow-moving thunderstorms could cause more flash flooding over central Texas today, forecasters say, hampering search and rescue efforts.
According to the National Weather Service's Austin-San Antonio office, 2 to 4 inches of additional rainfall with "isolated amounts up to 10 inches" could fall in Hill Country. Flood watches remain in effect until 7 p.m. local time.
"Any additional heavy rainfall over hardest hit areas of the past few days will lead to rapid runoff and flash flooding," the weather service said. 'Stay alert for Flash Flood Warnings!"
There remains a threat of flash flooding overnight and through the day on Monday somewhere over the Flood Watch area. Difficult to pinpoint exact locations where isolated heavier amounts occur. Any additional heavy rainfall will lead to rapid runoff and flash flooding. pic.twitter.com/9AHwr7Vkg5
— NWS Austin/San Antonio (@NWSSanAntonio) July 7, 2025
Camp Mystic, an all-girls Christian summer camp located along the Guadalupe River, which rose over 20 feet in less than two hours, has been left reeling from the devastating floods over the weekend. The camp confirmed the loss of campers and counselors in a post on its website on Monday:
Camp Mystic is grieving the loss of 27 campers and counselors following the catastrophic flooding on the Guadalupe river.Our hearts are broken alongside our families that are enduring this unimaginable tragedy. We are praying for them constantly.We have been in communication with local and state authorities who are tirelessly deploying extensive resources to search for our missing girls.We are deeply grateful for the outpouring of support from community, first responders, and officials at every level.We ask for your continued prayers, respect and privacy for each of our families affected. May the Lord continue to wrap His presence around all of us.
The death toll from the flash floods in Texas continues to rise, officials say.
More than 80 people — including 28 children — have been killed in the floods that struck early on July 4.
Dozens remain missing, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said, as search and rescue efforts continue.
Camp Mystic, an all-girls summer camp, confirmed that 27 campers and counselors died in the floods.
President Trump signed a major disaster declaration for Kerr County, where at least 68 people died.
Weather forecasters said that additional rounds of heavy rains could trigger more flooding in central Texas, where flash flood warnings remain in place.

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- Forbes
Rain At Bristol Speedway Classic Was Well-Predicted. So Why Play?
Most headlines will read that the Speedway Classic at the historic NASCAR track in Bristol, Tennessee experienced two rain delays, which forced Major League Baseball to postpone the game. It has been announced that the game will resume at 1 pm on Sunday. However, the meteorologist in me, and yes, I actually am one, knew that they would probably not get the game in Saturday night. Weather warning signs and forecasts were clear. Here's a breakdown of why any narrative saying it 'came without warning' or 'there was no time to prepare for rain' is false. NWS Warned Of Rainfall In The Days And Hours Leading Up To The Game The website stated, 'Following great pomp and pageantry to celebrate the first MLB Speedway Classic, the skies opened above the famous Bristol Motor Speedway and rain delayed the start of the historic contest between the Braves and Reds by two hours and 17 minutes. The game eventually got underway but was suspended with one out in the bottom of the first inning.' The National Weather Service warned of rainfall in the days and hours leading up to the game. In the NWS Morristown weather discussion on Friday morning, meteorologists wrote, 'On Saturday, an inverted surface trough will be across the TN Valley, which should help convection develop in the afternoon. The surface trough retreats west on Sunday as the ridge strengthens, but rain chances persist with the approach of a shortwave trough and jet streak.' There is a lot of meteorological jargon there, but I will translate it. The surface and upper atmospheric conditions were primed for rainfall Saturday and into Sunday. Persistent cloud cover was draped across much of the Southeast and southern Appalachia on Saturday as a frontal system stretched across the region. On Saturday morning at 7:55 am, NWS Morristown, the office responsible for the Bristol area, tweeted, 'Rain showers with a few thunderstorms are expected to develop over us today, bringing rainfall and a low risk of flooding. If looking to attend a certain⚾️ game this evening, light showers may be lingering.' In another Tweet Saturday afternoon, NWS also shared a short-range model showing expected rainfall that evening. It was clearly going to be raining in Bristol at 6 pm (map above) and in subsequent hours. From A Climate Perspective, It Was The Rainiest Time Of The Year In Bristol Certainly, the meteorological signals were there. From a climate perspective, the State Climate Office website at East Tennessee State University provides good context. While Tennessee receives the greatest amount of precipitation during winter and spring months, the site stated, 'A secondary maximum of precipitation occurs in summer in response to thunderstorm activity. This is especially pronounced in the mountains of the east where July rainfall exceeds the precipitation of any other month.' Early August conditions are likely similar. Bristol is in the Tri-Cities region so based on the data above, I would have advised MLB to schedule this game in April, May, or September. As a reminder to all organizations, there are weather and climate experts whom you can consult on these matters, but I digress. Motivated Reasoning As noted earlier, there was a lot of 'pomp and circumstance' surrounding this event. However, as I watched players, fans, and field crews struggle in the rain, my first statement at dinner is, 'This is an epic fail. Why are they trying to play this game?' My wife Ayana is the biggest Braves fan in our home. She added, 'They would never try to play in these conditions in their home stadiums. Someone is going to get hurt.' Throughout my meteorological career, I have lamented about something called motivated reasoning. It causes people to drive through flooded roadways, finish a round of golf while it is lightning, run a 5K in dangerous heat conditions, or stay put as a major hurricane approaches. What is motivated reasoning? It is process by which people or organizations consume information from a biased lens or ignore it altogether because there is a needed outcome. Given the primetime TV exposure, media presence, massive fan presence, and overall hype, I could certainly understand why there would be motivated reasoning to get this game in. MLB is going to try again today. Candidly, they are not quite out of the woods. The official forecast for Bristol, Tennessee calls for partly sunny skies with chance of showers or thunderstorms. The probability of precipitation is 30%. It is also important to remember that 30% is not 0%, so if it rains, that was in the forecast. Let me add one additional meteorological nugget. Complex, mountainous terrain can be a challenge for weather radar beams. Experienced meteorologists can often decipher what they see in these regions better than the average person looking at their favorite radar app.