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24 minutes ago
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2 Scenarios That Could Send Bitcoin to $150,000, or Crash It Back to $45,000
Bitcoin smashing past its all-time highs is likely, but not guaranteed. If a set of interlocking bearish catalysts occur, the coin's price will fall sharply. Trade policy and inflation are the two big things that could rain on the parade. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › Trying to forecast Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) next big move is often easier than it seems, as long as you're willing to entertain multiple possibilities. Today, as always, the coin's balance depends on forces far bigger than crypto itself. At one end is a flood of global liquidity and ravenous demand from institutional investors. On the other is an inflationary flare-up that could wreck risk appetite and expose a fragile new crop of highly leveraged "Bitcoin treasury" companies. Investors need to understand both possibilities before deciding whether to buy more, trim, or simply hang on. Central banks have already started cutting the prime interest rate at which they lend to their national banks. In doing so, they reduce the cost of borrowing money, which has the effect of encouraging capital to chase riskier investments as safer yields from government bonds become lower. In this vein, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered its second reduction of its interest rate in early June and signaled at least one more cut before year-end. The Federal Reserve in the U.S. has been flirting with rate cuts of its own and now faces pressure from the president to do so. Thus, further reductions to the interest rate are likely inevitable, though not necessarily happening this month or next. That incoming monetary swell is meeting a brand-new demand pipe in the form of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that hold Bitcoin. Those products soaked up another $1 billion of inflows in the week ending July 7, capping 12 straight weeks of inflows. Bitcoin used to rely on retail investor fervor to drive its price higher, but now it enjoys institutional autopilot bids every time brokers rebalance. Meanwhile, its supply growth is running on fumes, and it'll only get worse over time. Since the April 2024 halving, miners have been creating just 450 new coins per day, down from 900 before -- and more than they'll ever create in the future once the next halving kicks in sometime in early 2028. With 93% of all coins already mined, the float keeps shrinking even as ETF issuers, corporates, and long-term holders squirrel more away. Put liquidity, ETF flows, and hard-coded scarcity together, and the math gets euphoric for holders. From today's roughly $109,000 price, only a 37% climb is needed to clear $150,000. If interest rate cuts accelerate and fund inflows stay anywhere near current run rates, that threshold could arrive faster than most expect. There's a darker path here, and it behooves investors to understand how it could play out because it could be quite grim, at least temporarily. President Trump's July tariff schedule threatens levies as high as 25% to 70% on major trading partners, a move economists warn could reignite inflation just as headline prices were cooling. If inflation stays sticky as a result of these tariffs, the Federal Reserve may kill or put off its own rate-cut plans, bond yields could stretch back toward 5%, and the dollar would strengthen. Sharp moves in yields historically sap appetite for risk assets, including Bitcoin, and a stronger dollar has historically not been favorable for the asset either. There's another pair of risks here. In theory, the coin is an inflation hedge, yet it has stumbled during previous yield spikes when liquidity dried up and margin calls snowballed. A fresh stress point has emerged as dozens of newly listed Bitcoin treasury companies that borrow in dollars to buy coins. Their convertible bond capital structures work only if Bitcoin keeps climbing. A sharp drop could force emergency sales and hands upside to creditors. Many of the 50-plus Bitcoin treasury newcomers of 2025 could thus implode in the next downturn. If a leveraged unwind coincides with tighter monetary policy, Bitcoin's price could cascade to the mid-$40,000s, a roughly 59% drop from today. Thankfully for holders, the balance of evidence still tilts firmly toward a very bullish picture for Bitcoin here. Central banks outside the U.S. are already easing, global liquidity is edging higher, and ETF demand shows no sign of fatigue. Buy this coin, and hold it for the foreseeable future and beyond. When you do, just remember that volatility is the toll you pay for Bitcoin's long-run scarcity story. If you can stomach a potential detour to $45,000, the road to $150,000 or beyond will look surprisingly well-paved. Before you buy stock in Bitcoin, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Bitcoin wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $671,477!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,010,880!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,047% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join . See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 7, 2025 Alex Carchidi has positions in Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. 2 Scenarios That Could Send Bitcoin to $150,000, or Crash It Back to $45,000 was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
29 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Nabors Industries (NBR) Gained This Week. Here is Why.
The share price of Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE:NBR) surged by 7.43% between July 7 and July 11, 2025, putting it among the Energy Stocks that Gained the Most This Week. A drilling rig on a large oil field, capturing a crucial moment of the extraction process. With operations in approximately 20 countries, Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE:NBR) is a leading provider of advanced technology for the energy industry. Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE:NBR) continues to surge after Susquehanna analyst Charles Minervino raised the company's price target to $32 from $29, while maintaining a 'Neutral' rating on its shares. It's worth noting that Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE:NBR) posted strong results for its Q1 2025, beating estimates in both earnings and revenue. The firm also completed the acquisition of Parker Wellbore in March this year, expanding its market presence and service offerings across key global regions. Despite the recent uptick, the share price of Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE:NBR) has fallen by over 43% since the beginning of the year. While we acknowledge the potential of NBR as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the . READ NEXT: 10 Best Nuclear Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now and The 5 Energy Stocks Billionaires are Quietly Piling Into. Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
29 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Tidewater (TDW): Among the Energy Stocks that Gained This Week
The share price of Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW) surged by 9.13% between July 7 and July 11, 2025, putting it among the Energy Stocks that Gained the Most This Week. A fleet of offshore supply vessels and tugs carrying materials to an oilrig in the distance. Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW), together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore support vessels and marine support services to the offshore energy industry through the operation of a fleet of marine service vessels worldwide. Tidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW) garnered increased investor attention this week after the company announced the closing of a $650 million offering of 9.125% senior unsecured notes due 2030, using the proceeds to repay existing debt and fund the redemption of outstanding bonds. Moreover, the company reported that it had entered into a new $250 million revolving credit facility, further bolstering its financial flexibility and positioning in the offshore support vessel industry. While we acknowledge the potential of TDW as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the . READ NEXT: 10 Best Nuclear Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now and The 5 Energy Stocks Billionaires are Quietly Piling Into. Disclosure: None.