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Yahoo
30 minutes ago
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10 shares I wouldn't want to hold in a stock market crash
There are several warning signs suggest the stock market may be entering an overheating phase, reminiscent of prior late-stage bull markets. It's certainly more prevalent in the US, but even some UK stocks look a little too hot to touch. Key indicators include technical metrics, valuation levels, investor behaviour, and macroeconomic signals. The S&P 500 is trading significantly above its 200-day moving average, a pattern often seen near market peaks. Meanwhile the market has been climbing the so-called Wall of Worry. Market participants have been shrugging off negative news, fuelling elevated investor optimism despite conflicting signals from credit markets and underlying economic risks. Valuations are looking stretched all over the place, even when accounting for the transformative impact of artificial intelligence (AI). For context, the forward price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio for the global IT sector now sits at 1.83, suggesting that growth is more than priced in. High-performing sectors, particularly technology leaders, have experienced the kind of parabolic rallies that historically precede sharp corrections. Modest rallies are typically more indicative of sustainable price movement. And many commentator are highlighting that the market will need to acknowledge some of the broader economic challenges we see today. Inflation is stubborn in many parts of the world, geopolitical tensions remain elevated, and US trade policy will have a material impact on global development. So, which shares would I not want to hold in a stock market crash? Well, stocks with strong momentum that could reverse amid demanding valuations. Stock 6-month price change Arm Holdings -1.5% Holdings 88% Credo Technologies 25.8% Oracle 32% Palantir 96% Quantum Computing Inc 55% Rightmove 21% Rocket Lab 58% SoundHound AI -24% Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) -24% There's no particular pattern here. However, many trade at multiples far in excess of their averages, display unsustainable share price movements, and have an element of speculation baked in. I even owned some until recently, and continue to own Quantum Computing Inc — this is a short-term trade not an investment. I sadly decided to part with my Rocket Lab shares — up 100%, but I think the gains were unsustainable. What's wrong with Tesla? I like Tesla. I own a Tesla. But I wouldn't buy Tesla stock at the current price. Simply, at 177 times forward earnings, the stock is detached from its fundamentals and even its prospects. The stock has become so expensive because of the belief that Tesla will dominate the autonomous driving revolution. Indeed, it's certainly ahead of the game in relative terms, having rolled out robotaxis in limited numbers. However, there is no guarantee it will dominate in the autonomous era. And there's no guarantee uptake will be unanimous. And that's an issue for a company with a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of eight times. Ironically, Ferrari, the antithesis of autonomous driving, also trades with an outrageous PEG of six times. Long story short, as much as I like the brand, the valuation is built on a degree of speculation. And when the market goes into reverse, speculators get hurt the most. That's why I think investors should consider other stocks with stronger metrics for now. Or possibly sell if they hold them. Nonetheless, I still think there are some excellent investment opportunities out there, even in the current market. The post 10 shares I wouldn't want to hold in a stock market crash appeared first on The Motley Fool UK. More reading 5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50 One Top Growth Stock from the Motley Fool James Fox has positions in Quantum Computing Inc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Oracle, Rightmove Plc, and Tesla. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Motley Fool UK 2025 Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
an hour ago
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Wage growth in Europe: Which jobs have seen the biggest increases?
Wages in the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, and France grew year-on-year by 5.5%, 5.3%, 3.8%, and 1.9%, respectively, in May 2025. That's based on salary data from global hiring platform Indeed. After adjusting for inflation — using CPI data from the ONS and Eurostat — real wage growth stood at 2.3% in the UK, 1.8% in the Netherlands, 1.6% in Germany, and 1.1% in France over the same period. Delving deeper than country-specific rates, wage growth nonetheless varies significantly across occupations and sectors. Based on data provided by Indeed to Euronews, we take a closer look at the jobs that experienced the largest annual increases and declines in wages, based on a three-month moving average as of May 2025. Our analysis focuses on the 25 largest occupational categories, calculated by their share of total job postings. Legal roles see the highest rise in the UK and Germany Among the four countries named above, legal roles saw the highest real wage growth in both Germany and the UK, with increases of 5.7% and 4.3%, respectively. This category includes several occupations, with lawyers being the leading role. According to Indeed, the average annual salary for a lawyer is £53,420 (€61,900) in the UK and €71,274 in Germany as of mid-2025. These figures reflect national averages, though salaries vary significantly by region. For example, lawyers in London earn an average of around £70,450 (€81,670) per year. In France, the management sector and the security & public safety industry both recorded the highest real wage growth, at around 2%. In the Netherlands, cleaning & sanitation roles saw the largest increase at 4%, followed closely by security & public safety at 3.9%. 'Postings are down year on year in almost every occupational category, so it's important to look at wage growth and job posting trends relative to the average to see which categories are over- and underperforming in the market for new hires,' Pawel Adrjan, Director of Economic Research at Indeed, told Euronews Business. Jobs and drivers of wage growth in the UK Among the four countries, the UK recorded the highest wage growth, both in nominal and real terms. 'The UK's high wage growth has been puzzling economists for a while. While down from its peak, wage growth remains fairly high in nominal terms, despite the fact that demand for new workers has fallen significantly,' Adrjan said. He noted that there are a number of likely reasons for this trend, and one is that the government has decided to increase the minimum wage. This is impacting salaries not just in the lowest-paid jobs, but it is also having ripple effects on wage distribution. Employers may feel the need to raise salaries across the board to maintain wage differences between roles and experience levels. Another factor driving wage growth is that labour supply is constricted by lower immigration rates and high economic inactivity. This means employers are more likely to raise wages to attract and retain workers. Looking at the 25 largest occupations, certain jobs saw more than a 3% jump in real wages in the UK. Top-ranking legal professions showed a 4.3% increase, while roles in retail (3.3%), production & manufacturing (3.2%), loading & stocking (3.1%), and customer service (3%) also saw significant rises. Growth showed a steady, gradual pattern, with no extreme outliers, aside from the top-performing legal sector and the lowest-ranking software development jobs (-2.2%). Health and care-related occupations in the UK, including nursing (1.7%), childcare (2.3%), and personal care and home health (2.1%), saw modest real wage growth. IT wages in decline in Germany In Germany, legal roles saw the strongest real wage growth at 5.7%, followed by production & manufacturing and medical technician jobs (both at 4.1%). Education, security, media, and human resources roles also recorded solid gains between 3.5% and 3.9%. In contrast, IT-related roles saw the biggest declines in real wages. For example, IT operations & helpdesk roles saw a 6.4% decline, and software development jobs registered a decrease of 4.2%. For these roles, this means that prices have gone up faster than wages, reducing workers' purchasing power. Indeed's Adrjan noted that wage growth has slowed but remains above the Eurozone average in Germany. 'Wage growth is driven to a large extent by a gradual and coordinated process of union negotiations, which have in many cases concluded with multi-year wage increases that are still affecting aggregate wage growth trends today,' he said. No outliers in France's wage growth In France, real wage growth was relatively flat across many sectors, with most occupations clustered between 0.5% and 1.5%. At the lower end, personal care & home health, banking & finance, and software development saw minimal increases of 0.2% or less. Leading the list, management and security & public safety roles (both at 2%) are followed closely by the information design & documentation sector (1.9%). Human resources comes in next, at 1.8%. 'In France, there is a high degree of indexation of the minimum wage to inflation, and wages negotiated between firms and unions tend to follow suit, meaning that wage growth responded swiftly to inflation increases in 2022 and 2023 as well as to the marked slowdown in inflation over the past two years,' Adrjan explained. Real wages fall in Dutch health and care roles Wage growth in the Netherlands was led by cleaning & sanitation (4.0%) and security & public safety (3.9%), with notable gains also seen in banking & finance (3.4%), management (3.1%), and construction (3.0%). In contrast, several care-related occupations experienced real wage declines, including nursing (-0.3%), childcare (-0.5%) and physicians & surgeons (-0.6%). Discover more: Salary trends in the UK, Germany, and France Since the sectors listed in the charts above cover a range of roles, salary details for specific positions can be found on Indeed's website. Euronews Business articles also offer detailed salary breakdowns for the UK, Germany, and France individually. Solve the daily Crossword
Yahoo
an hour ago
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Global Wealth Report: Where in Europe did people's net worth increase the most?
The net worth of citizens varies significantly across Europe, and it changes every year. What really matters is how the changes compare when adjusted for inflation. Wealth per adult increased in a huge majority of European countries between 2023 and 2024, while a few saw declines, according to UBS's Global Wealth Report 2025. Changes measured in local currencies are shown in both average and median values — we focus on the median for deeper analysis, which isn't affected by extreme outliers, while briefly mentioning averages. Hungary recorded the highest real growth in median wealth per adult between 2023 and 2024, rising by 18.6%. The growth also reached 15% or above in several other countries, including Lithuania (16.9%), Sweden (15.3%), Italy and Latvia (both 15%). In the report, among EU member states, candidate countries, EFTA members, and the UK, only Turkey and Belgium saw a decline in median wealth per adult. Turkey stands out with a sharp 20.9% drop, while Belgium recorded a more moderate fall of 5.6%. Of Europe's five largest economies, Italy saw the highest real growth in wealth per adult at 15% whereas the UK had the lowest at 5.3%. France (10.3%), Germany (9.5%), and Spain (9%) fell in between. Switzerland, the wealthiest country per adult, saw a 7.7% increase. Sweden and other Nordic countries also recorded strong growth, each exceeding 10%. Outside Europe, South Korea (13.9%), Australia (10.7%), Canada (9.6%), and Japan (8.6%) saw significant gains in 2024. The increase in the US was more moderate at 2.3%. China and Russia recorded notable declines of 6.3% and 8.2%, respectively. Looking at average wealth change instead of median, several European countries saw declines. Both Turkey (–14.6%) and Belgium (–0.3%) saw smaller average declines in comparison to their median values. Luxembourg (–1.3%), Estonia (–2.3%), France (–1.8%), and the UK (–3.6%) also recorded decreases. Drivers behind changes in Turkey's asset prices So, what explains Turkey's sharpest decline in wealth per adult between 2023 and 2024? Prof. Hakan Kara of Bilkent University in Ankara, and former chief economist at the Central Bank of Turkey, suggests that to understand this trend, one must look back over the past five years. He noted that between 2020 and 2023, an environment of abundant credit and extremely low real interest rates led to a significant surge in asset prices. 'This period witnessed a major transfer of wealth from savers to borrowers, and from fixed-income households to corporations. The Foreign Exchange Protected Deposit scheme (KKM) further reinforced this dynamic. As wealth inequality rose rapidly, only a narrow segment of the population—those with access to credit or pre-existing savings—was able to benefit from the asset price boom,' he explained. By mid-2023, with the normalisation of interest rates, a real correction in asset prices began. As housing, land, stock, and bond prices declined in real terms, a corresponding erosion of real wealth was observed. 'We can see the 2023-24 period as a correction of the 2020-22 period', he added. Related Where in Europe are workers losing ground as taxes rise faster than wages? Wage growth in Europe: Which jobs have seen the biggest increases? Five-year changes: Austria records the largest decline 'Real' changes in wealth per adult from the beginning of 2020 to the end of 2024 reveal longer-term trends. Austria emerges as a major outlier, with median wealth per adult falling by 18%. The Netherlands (–2.3%) and Estonia (–0.1%) followed. In Europe, Cyprus recorded the highest increase at 43.9%, followed by Denmark, Latvia, and Lithuania — each with gains of over 30%. Real median wealth per adult growth also exceeded 25% in Malta, Slovenia, Norway, Bulgaria, and Portugal. Germany saw the highest rise among Europe's top five economies, with a 20.1% increase. Italy recorded the lowest at 4.7%. Spain (17.8%) and the UK (16.3%) posted strong growth, while France saw a more moderate increase of 10.5%. Major non-European countries reported significant growth, with the US leading at 45.8%, followed by Russia (35.1%) and South Korea (31%). In average terms, the picture changes completely. Several countries saw declines in wealth per adult. Cyprus, which recorded the highest growth in median wealth, emerged as the outlier with a –24.9% drop in average wealth per adult. Other significant drops occurred in Austria (–13.1%), Malta (–11.3%), Estonia (–10.6%), Italy (–9.4%), and Ireland (–7.8%). Switzerland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Belgium, Romania, and Slovakia also recorded comparatively moderate declines. The impact of high inflation 'The contraction in real average wealth per adult in this period was mainly due to high inflation in the concerned countries, particularly so in Austria, Belgium and the Netherlands, but also in Italy, albeit to a slightly lesser extent', the report noted. The growth in the size of the adult population was a further contributing factor, primarily in the Netherlands and, to a smaller degree, in Switzerland according to the report. In Switzerland's case, currency depreciation was the primary factor, followed by inflation. Related Bean vs. cup: Where is the most expensive takeaway coffee in Europe? Energy, water, and waste: How much do Europeans pay for household bills? What do divergences suggest? Divergences are striking in several countries, where changes in average and median wealth per adult differ significantly. For example, in Switzerland, slightly negative growth in average wealth per adult compares with a 14% rise in median wealth per adult, while in Italy the figures are respectively –10% and almost +5%. 'These divergences suggest slower wealth growth at the higher end of the spectrum than in the middle section of the wealth distribution,' the report pointed out. The same dynamic was at work in Germany and the UK, too. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
